ALWAYS CHECK THE OFFICIAL WEATHER SERVICE FORECASTS FOR THE MOST RELIABLE WEATHER PREDICTIONS,..................................Photo:Weatherunderground, Wunderphotos file. ...... A fun blog for people who enjoy the weather and don't expect the weather forecast to be right anyway...... WELCOME WEATHER BALLOONERS.
Sunday, November 28, 2010
Saturday, November 27, 2010
Big Ass snowstorm may strike New England next weekend into Monday. We get the fringe effects.
Sunday night update :
This storm comes and goes on the model maps. Something seems likely to happen on the east coast from Dec. 5th to the 8th, in that time frame. Keep watching the GFS .
Tuesday update: A mild soaking rain today and tomorrow and then a shift to colder weather. Stormy for Maine next week and cold and blustery in NJ. It will turn noticeably cold and windy here, about Dec. 5th., and at that time Maine will be dealing with a major snowfall, as will the mountains of most of New England.
The snows will miss us at first, but we get a chance for snow about the 12th.
There are signs that a change to milder weather will occur after the middle of December.
This storm comes and goes on the model maps. Something seems likely to happen on the east coast from Dec. 5th to the 8th, in that time frame. Keep watching the GFS .
Tuesday update: A mild soaking rain today and tomorrow and then a shift to colder weather. Stormy for Maine next week and cold and blustery in NJ. It will turn noticeably cold and windy here, about Dec. 5th., and at that time Maine will be dealing with a major snowfall, as will the mountains of most of New England.
The snows will miss us at first, but we get a chance for snow about the 12th.
There are signs that a change to milder weather will occur after the middle of December.
Friday, November 26, 2010
Fearless winter forecast, 2010-2011. Kind of variable and kind of normal winter likely.
First the easy part, the Southern USA will have a mild winter, with the warmth centering on Texas.
The Northeast will probably start off cold and snowy in December but the rest of the winter will be mild and very variable. Joe Bastardi and other forecasters at Accuweather .com expect a stormy and coldish December to start off with.
A dominant storm track toward the Great Lakes will be seen often. The spring is likely to be mild and early. Alaska seems to be in for a cold winter which often means our winter will be mild. The Ohio Valley region will have the most moisture according to the National Weather Service.
But this winter does not give clear signals, for our region, so, it could shift either way. Do not expect a block buster snow season such as was seen last winter centering around PA, MD, VA and DE. That was a real record breaker.
That's it. I hope the forecast works out better this year than last.
The Northeast will probably start off cold and snowy in December but the rest of the winter will be mild and very variable. Joe Bastardi and other forecasters at Accuweather .com expect a stormy and coldish December to start off with.
A dominant storm track toward the Great Lakes will be seen often. The spring is likely to be mild and early. Alaska seems to be in for a cold winter which often means our winter will be mild. The Ohio Valley region will have the most moisture according to the National Weather Service.
But this winter does not give clear signals, for our region, so, it could shift either way. Do not expect a block buster snow season such as was seen last winter centering around PA, MD, VA and DE. That was a real record breaker.
That's it. I hope the forecast works out better this year than last.
Updates: first snow before Christmas?
Siberia: - 57 degrees below zero with snow. Ojmajakon, Russia.
Chilly and breezy Saturday. Cold but sunny Sunday.
Our first snowfall may come the weekend following this one. Milder early next week, though. Rain mid-week then, colder. Chance of snow next weekend, ( Sunday into Monday) followed by more cold weather.
This all depends on whether the GFS computer model is accurate or up to its' old tricks.
Chilly and breezy Saturday. Cold but sunny Sunday.
Our first snowfall may come the weekend following this one. Milder early next week, though. Rain mid-week then, colder. Chance of snow next weekend, ( Sunday into Monday) followed by more cold weather.
This all depends on whether the GFS computer model is accurate or up to its' old tricks.
Thursday, November 25, 2010
Cloudy, chilly Thanksgiving with a sleet, snow mix then rain developing from mid-day on.
Some areas will see frozen precip. at the onset ,then just plain rain. No ice seen on the ponds so far, showing a milder than usual autumn thus far.
Scranton : light snow 11am.
Scranton : light snow 11am.
Saturday, November 20, 2010
Global Warming continues unabated, so keep your air conditioners handy .
GLOBALLY, the trend continues with remarkably warm temperatures world wide. We will get the final figures in right after New Years. If you don't believe in global warming, keeping your head in the sand ,won't cool you off very much. 2010 may be the warmest year on record, in a tie with 1998.
Somehow a false idea has taken hold that now, things are getting cooler. The world reports do not show this, even though we had a cool summer in 2009, in the eastern US.
Recall that Russia was literally burning up this past summer.
A natural cycle , I suspect, is at work along with human activity, adding to the warming.
A mighty volcanic blast, is the only thing that could cool things off, or if the sun goes into a quiet cycle, as many experts seem to think it will.
Somehow a false idea has taken hold that now, things are getting cooler. The world reports do not show this, even though we had a cool summer in 2009, in the eastern US.
Recall that Russia was literally burning up this past summer.
A natural cycle , I suspect, is at work along with human activity, adding to the warming.
A mighty volcanic blast, is the only thing that could cool things off, or if the sun goes into a quiet cycle, as many experts seem to think it will.
Friday, November 19, 2010
Thanksgiving will bring active weather changes across the country, the Northeast will escape the worst of it.
Thanksgiving will bring a chance for rain showers and fairly mild temps. But a shift to much colder will quickly follow.
Early next week will be fairly mild in our area, so enjoy it, while it lasts. Tuesday, about 60 degrees, but by Friday, only the low 40's. Perhaps the 30's next weekend.
The northern Rockies and plains states will be dealing with snow and falling temperatures, for Thanksgiving travel Tuesday and Wednesday. Sub - zero temps may reach into the Rockies.
Black Friday and the weekend following will be cold and blustery, with Lake effect snows likely in the Great Lakes states. The charts show about 7 days of lake effect snows beginning Friday next week. Look out Buffalo, Rochester, Western PA.
New Jersey will see chilly and breezy conditions, the weekend following Thanksgiving. The potential for quite cold weather is also there. No snow yet, but Sussex County might see flurries, certainly the Poconos will see snow showers.
Indications are that December or at least the early portion of the month, will be cold.
Early next week will be fairly mild in our area, so enjoy it, while it lasts. Tuesday, about 60 degrees, but by Friday, only the low 40's. Perhaps the 30's next weekend.
The northern Rockies and plains states will be dealing with snow and falling temperatures, for Thanksgiving travel Tuesday and Wednesday. Sub - zero temps may reach into the Rockies.
Black Friday and the weekend following will be cold and blustery, with Lake effect snows likely in the Great Lakes states. The charts show about 7 days of lake effect snows beginning Friday next week. Look out Buffalo, Rochester, Western PA.
New Jersey will see chilly and breezy conditions, the weekend following Thanksgiving. The potential for quite cold weather is also there. No snow yet, but Sussex County might see flurries, certainly the Poconos will see snow showers.
Indications are that December or at least the early portion of the month, will be cold.
Thursday, November 18, 2010
Some wintry travel problems possible for Thanksgiving travelers.
From Denver to Chicago to Minnesota there may be travel delays brewing next week. Stay tuned. Much colder by Black Friday.
Monday, November 15, 2010
Turn to colder by the end of this week.
The early outlook for Thanksgiving is for some wintry travel conditions in some areas and a cold outbreak immediately after Thanksgiving.
Monday, November 8, 2010
National Weather Service Winter Outlook ( so far )
- Northeast and Mid-Atlantic: equal chances for above-, near-, or below-normal temperatures and precipitation. Winter weather for these regions is often driven not by La Niña but by weather patterns over the northern Atlantic Ocean and Arctic. These are often more short-term, and are generally predictable only a week or so in advance. If enough cold air and moisture are in place, areas north of the Ohio Valley and into the Northeast could see above-average snow.
No, this forecast does not say much, it is that kind of winter, anything goes. A strongly negative NAO could mean stormy wintery weather in the near future. Stay tuned.
Ocean storm moves in toward the coast and brings our first taste of sleet and snow.
Westward moving storms are unusual at our latitude, but here today we have one. Plenty of wind with gusts to 40 mph at times. No accumulations expected in NJ.
********************STORM TOTAL SNOWFALL********************
LOCATION STORM TOTAL TIME/DATE COMMENTS SNOWFALL OF (INCHES) MEASUREMENT
CONNECTICUT ...FAIRFIELD COUNTY... BRIDGEPORT 0.4 700 AM 11/8 COOP OBSERVER
SHELTON 0.3 728 AM 11/8 COOP OBSERVER
DANBURY 0.2 838 AM 11/8 SKYWARN SPOTTER ...
MIDDLESEX COUNTY... PORTLAND 1.3 800 AM 11/8
KILLINGWORTH 0.5 640 AM 11/8 NEWS MEDIA ...
NEW HAVEN COUNTY... MADISON 1.0 632 AM 11/8 PUBLIC
NEW HAVEN 0.5 640 AM 11/8 NEWS MEDIA
BRANFORD 0.3 619 AM 11/8 PUBLIC ...
NEW LONDON COUNTY... GROTON 0.5 615 AM 11/8 FIRE DEPARTMENT $$
LOCATION STORM TOTAL TIME/DATE COMMENTS SNOWFALL OF (INCHES) MEASUREMENT
CONNECTICUT ...FAIRFIELD COUNTY... BRIDGEPORT 0.4 700 AM 11/8 COOP OBSERVER
SHELTON 0.3 728 AM 11/8 COOP OBSERVER
DANBURY 0.2 838 AM 11/8 SKYWARN SPOTTER ...
MIDDLESEX COUNTY... PORTLAND 1.3 800 AM 11/8
KILLINGWORTH 0.5 640 AM 11/8 NEWS MEDIA ...
NEW HAVEN COUNTY... MADISON 1.0 632 AM 11/8 PUBLIC
NEW HAVEN 0.5 640 AM 11/8 NEWS MEDIA
BRANFORD 0.3 619 AM 11/8 PUBLIC ...
NEW LONDON COUNTY... GROTON 0.5 615 AM 11/8 FIRE DEPARTMENT $$
Sunday, November 7, 2010
Friday, November 5, 2010
Snowiest October on record for Mt. Mansfield, VT.
... October 2010 the wettest and snowiest October on record atop
Mount Mansfield...
A total of 14.71 inches of liquid precipitation fell on Mount
Mansfield during the month of October. This breaks the old record
of 14.43 inches set in October 2006.
A total of 34.1 inches of snow fell on Mount Mansfield during the
month of October. This breaks the old record of 31.8 inches set in
October 2005.
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