Europe blasted by 99 mph winds.

Great Lakes Area to get hammered.

FARTHER NORTH ON DAY 4/THURSDAY... ALTHOUGH THE EXACT DEGREE OF DESTABILIZATION IS UNCERTAIN... ***** A SEVERE /DAMAGING WIND AND PERHAPS TORNADO/ RISK CANNOT BE DISCOUNTED FOR ADDITIONAL PORTIONS OF THE OH VALLEY/NEARBY GREAT LAKES. ***

THIS INCLUDES THE POSSIBILITY OF A STRONGLY FORCED/LOW-TOPPED CONVECTIVE LINE IN ASSOCIATION WITH ROBUST VERTICAL SHEAR/FORCING FOR ASCENT.

INTO DAY 5/FRIDAY...(NOV1) THE STRONGEST UPPER TROUGH-ASSOCIATED ASCENT SHOULD SPREAD AWAY FROM THE RICHEST LOW-LEVEL MOISTURE. EVEN SO...A MOIST AIRMASS/ ****VERY STRONG SHEAR **** COULD ACCOUNT FOR SOME STRONGER STORMS ACROSS PARTS OF THE SOUTHEAST STATES AND PERHAPS ADDITIONAL PARTS OF THE EASTERN CONUS.

A cold and snowy winter still appears likely according to several forecasters, but the opinions are not unanimous. Ocean temperatures have caused this forecast to take place. In about a month we should have a more certain outlook.

The sunspot count is very low and is prompting some to expect a colder winter ahead.

Some good color already is found in Vermont , especially far north. Some forecasters are already calling a winter forecast, but it is too early to give them much credibility.