Thursday, March 10, 2011

Rainfall adding up again.

Rivers on the rise again, Flood Warnings have been posted, Road Closures in force.  Passaic River to rise 2 feet higher than earlier this month.  The Rivers will be at or above flood stage tomorrow.


SERIOUS FLOODING IS LIKELY!

Conflicting views on the long range forecast.

Lots of rain and flooding for Thursday into early Friday is certain.  Next week presents a problem in that some forecasters believe some blocking will set up next week leading to a coastal storm.  Others see a tranquil pattern becoming dominant and a warming trend for late March.  The seasons are changing, that much is known.

So we may, or may not see, corned beef and slush for St. Pattys' Day.  How about green snow?  Maybe.

******** Oh Oh ! , POSSIBLE East Coast storm March 15,16,17 with snow in Northern NJ.

Several models show a strong coastal low for the March 15 to 17 time period.  Too early to run out for bread and milk, but definitely worth watching.  Greatest snow threat is to NW New Jersey. This according to WXRISK.com and computer models.


The St. Patricks Day Storm?


The period from the 15th to the 20th is ripe for a storm.

Tuesday, March 8, 2011

Good weather Tuesday and Wednesday, then rains and flooding begin Thursday. ********* NWS Flood Watch in Effect.

Dry conditions, cool temperatures will make for pleasant weather Tuesday and Wednesday.


Thursday will begin a new round of heavy rain and additional flooding.  1" to 3" of rain is expected with some areas getting as much as 4".  The Pompton River will crest on Wednesday, but will likely begin rising again Thursday.


... Flood Watch in effect from Thursday morning through Friday
morning..
.

The National Weather Service in Upton has issued a

* Flood Watch for portions of southern Connecticut... northeast
New Jersey and southeast New York... including the following
areas... in southern Connecticut... northern Fairfield...
northern New Haven... southern Fairfield and southern New
Haven. In northeast New Jersey... eastern Bergen... eastern
Essex... eastern Passaic... eastern Union... Hudson... western
Bergen... western Essex... western Passaic and western Union. In
southeast New York... northern Westchester... Orange... Putnam...
Rockland and southern Westchester.

* From Thursday morning through Friday morning

* rainfall amounts of 2 to 4 inches are possible Thursday into
early Friday.

* Due to the recent heavy rainfall... many rivers and streams are
at high levels. This combined with saturated soil will result in
high runoff rates with the potential for moderate to major
flooding. This is a potentially dangerous situation.

Precautionary/preparedness actions...

A Flood Watch means there is a potential for flooding based on
current forecasts. You should monitor later forecasts and be
alert for possible flood warnings. Those living in areas prone to
flooding should be prepared to take action should flooding
develop.


Thursday, March 3, 2011

Last chance for winter?

Joe Bastardi sees a chance for a cold snowy spell in late March into April.  A negative NAO will develop leading to a possible coastal storm which could include snow.  No other forecasters have jumped on to his bandwagon , so far.

Pets are good for your physical and mental health, but not for sleeping.

 JC photo

Weatherwise a milder day Friday, clouds increase then lots of rain Sunday.  Oh well.  A good day to sleep in.


5851

Wednesday, March 2, 2011

Not much doing weatherwise.

I am working on my new book : Creative Self Defense with the Video Camcorder.