Hold the phone! Snow is possible mid-week! Areas inland of New York City could see accumulations of snow Wednesday night. According to latest weather forecast models for the Metro area.

Originally it looked like almost all rain, followed by snow showers, then all rain and now back to snow.

I still favor rain at first, then changing to snow.  Since this is such a close call I would not trust any forecast until the Tuesday morning weather forecasts are published.

Certainly we will have colder weather at the end of this week, and it might even snow then too.  So, heads up.

One computer model predicts 9" of snow above West Point, NY.  Just to give you an idea.  The coast would see little or no snow.  You need to be inland with elevation on this one. A process of dynamic cooling would produce the snow IF, we get it.  It would be similar to the October 27th storm that we had then.  The storm generates it's own cold air.

Rain midweek some snow/rain possible Friday. Trending colder after the rain.

Next weekend will be cold enough to make it feel like Christmas is near.

Storm moving through this week but mostly rain is what we can expect, perhaps ending as snow showers.

There has been some talk of snow this week but if it occurs it will be well west of the NY Metro, NJ area.  Intriguingly, the NAO is showing a downward trend, toward negative territory, but it is not sharp enough to get me worried/excited that it will snow.  We will have to wait some more for a snowstorm.  It will be noticeably colder later this week, but not frigid.



A moderate winter still looks most likely this year and not another blockbuster snow season.  We are set up with ocean temps. around the globe that do not favor a cold, snowy winter on the Eastern Seaboard. But sudden shifts have changed things quickly in other years, and we can't rule that possibility out, just yet.

Hurricane Irene: New York City Narrowly Escaped Disastrous Flooding.

http://www.wunderground.com/blog/JeffMasters/article.html?entrynum=1995

Click on the link above.

A Shift to a Colder Pattern?

The first signs of a shift to more seasonal temperatures appears to be setting up in about 7 to 10 days.  Not severe cold, just more near normal.  The very warm temps are already easing off.  As so for snow it is wait and see. 

Most forecasters are looking for a moderate winter, with about a 50% less chance of snow than last year, but there are a few who favor a turn to a cold and snowy pattern later in December.

My own sense so far, is for an easier winter this year.  Plenty of moisture though, less snowy.

Good argument for a milder winter this year in the Eastern US.

click below for video.

Little winter rant November 22nd, 2011 ***A Mild Winter is Likely.

The Best #OWS Anthem For Our Times: We Are The Many, By Makana

The Best #OWS Anthem For Our Times: We Are The Many, By Makana

A very talented young artist explains Occupy Wall Street.

AccuWeather.com - Meteo Madness | Snow to Hit from Wyoming to Minnesota; Northeast Snow Next Week

AccuWeather.com - Meteo Madness | Snow to Hit from Wyoming to Minnesota; Northeast Snow Next Week

HENRY THINKS THAT 3"+ of SNOW POSSIBLE TUES. / WED. NEXT WEEK!

SNOW/RAIN POSSIBLE WITH YOUR TURKEY ! ! !

We are back to computer model watching again.  Click on " home" below for more.

Government of the people, by the people, for the people. Abraham Lincoln.

The words of President Lincoln are as important to American government as anything in the Constitution or the Declaration of Independence.  Now we see that Congress has an APPROVAL RATING OF 9% in the opinion polls.  All the citizens are in agreement, the government is not working. 

This is what OCCUPY WALL STREET is all about.  We have all seen what voting in the elections has produced.  Nothing.  The influence of big business, big banks and Wall Street trumps anything that the public may want. 

I support Occupy Wall Street 100% and I hope that you will consider doing the same. 

Government of the People
The end of Massive Unemployment
A more just distribution of America's wealth
Ending the" bought off  " Congress.


These are the things Occupy Wall Street wants.


Nothing could be clearer.

AccuWeather.com - WeatherMatrix | Alaska Superstorm Stats and Update

AccuWeather.com - WeatherMatrix | Alaska Superstorm Stats and Update


EPIC STORM CLOBBERS ALASKA TODAY.

Another Amazing Aurora Show Possible Soon

Another Amazing Aurora Show Possible Soon

Fearless Winter Forecast ( early outlook )

I usually like to wait until late November, but I have read enough to make a stab at it now.  Looking at Weatherundergrounds Blizzard 92, WxRisk Dave Toleris, NWS, Accuweather and the Farmers Almanac, I have distilled my own forecast which may change after Thanksgiving, but here is how it looks so far.  There have been early snows and cold in Siberia and Canada.  This will give us a rough early winter.  There is a LaNina, in the Pacific. It usually causes a milder east coast winter. A southeast ridge develops in such years which pumps warmer air up the East Coast. But the early winter can be cold and snowy then flip over to milder.

I expect the early winter to be cold and snowy but then it will most likely turn mild in January and tend to remain mild.  The worst winter conditions should be in the Mid West and Great Lakes.The East Coast will be variable, tending toward milder later in the winter.


Having said that, this is close to the forecast for last winter.  We know that turned out cold and snowy just about all the way through. 

It does not seem likely that South Jersey and SE Penna. will be the center for snow, not this year.  Notice the Halloween storm clobbered Northern NJ and Southern New England and that should be the pattern.


Temperatures should be slightly below normal.


To sum up , a cold snowy start then more variable and milder in mid to late winter. Also, more icing conditions are likely this year.  The old snow, sleet, freezing rain mix, may return this year.