Saturday, January 14, 2012

Ingredients on Deck for Historic Seattle Snowstorm

Ingredients on Deck for Historic Seattle Snowstorm

Warm ups ahead!

Tuesday will be a mild with showers but then cool down again.

Next weekend will begin a warmer and longer lasting mild spell.  The arctic blasts will be defeated once again.

I usually like to blog on the next snowstorm, but this winter has no snowstorms in sight, so far.  This could change in February, maybe.

Thursday, January 12, 2012

DT at WxRisk throws in the towel. No big change to cold and snowy. Nope, it won't happen. A mild winter will be the trend for the East Coast.

But, very cold this weekend, then milder early next week, followed by another cold shot, later.

The meteorology blogger, Blizz'92, at WeatherUnderground, also expects no pattern change and hence we will continue an East Coast, mostly mild, winter.

I give up on the cold and snowy scenario as well.  By the time the change happens it might as well be Spring.

Cockapoo Puppies in Their First Snow in Iowa

Switch to colder pattern will be temporary, still more mild weather to come in January. NEW! Stowe, Vermont Snow Cam.

Mt. Mansfield should get 6 to 12" by Saturday.

What has been going on this winter?
      We have been under the influence of La Nina, a very large pool of cold water in the Pacific.  Also factoring in are the Indian Ocean which is warm, and some cold water near Greenland.  All this has caused the jet stream to ride further north than usual.  Although there are predictions of a switch to a colder pattern, it has been very slow to show up.  The remainder of January still has some mild weather in it.  But this weekend will be colder, noticeably so.

Last winter we had a negative NAO which is a large blocking high pressure near Greenland.  This forces cold air south, toward the Eastern Seaboard.  It is not there this year, so far.  So, no snow.


Wednesday, January 11, 2012

Stormy followed by more wintry conditions on Friday.

Although Friday will feature very windy weather and plunging temperatures, there are no major snow accumulations in sight.  A flash freeze and a snow coating might occur Friday.  This weekend will be much colder with a moderating trend next week.

AccuWeather.com - Elliot Abrams | A Jolt of January

AccuWeather.com - Elliot Abrams | A Jolt of January

Sunday, January 8, 2012

The Much Talked About Pattern Change Remains Just talk.

But there is a small chance for a little snow Monday in the New York Metro area weather , away from the coast.  A cold rain is more likely.

Wednesday, January 4, 2012

Pattern Change Ahead About Jan. 15- Get ready for Winter!

As I check the various blogs, consensus is building for a colder and snowier pattern to set up the middle of January.  You might think of Tuesday and Wednesday of this week as a preview of what is to come.  Here are a few who see a change probably shaping up.  DT at WxRisk, Henry M. at AccuWeather, Steve D. at NYNJPA Weather, Earthlight at American Weather Forum, Accuweather.com itself on the main page, JB at Weatherbell.
A big storm may hit next week but will more likely be rain near the coast.  After that the cold may set in full force.

Joe Bastardi at Weatherbell looks for a major arctic outbreak in January, 3rd. week.


This Saturday:  50 degrees.

Henry Margusity at Accuweather reports that the Euro brings in colder air Jan. 13th.   Colder than now he says!

A widely followed British forecaster predicts massive snows Jan. 11 to 14 in the Eastern US.  fwiiw.

Monday, January 2, 2012

Snow in the future? Maybe!

Looking over the blogs and long range GFS and ECMWF we have a chance at our first snow between January 10th to 14th.

The warm pattern will return but there are some signs that the pattern will shift to colder in late January and February.  So we may getting into a late winter snow pattern.  Meteorologists consider the months of Dec., Jan., and Feb., as the winter season.  So the 2nd half of winter may be quite a change from the first very mild portion.

  It is well known from climatology. that February is the New York City Metro areas snowiest time period, anyway.

The weather will always surprise you.  Let's see what happens.

Henry M. at Accuweather, Steve D. at NY,NJ PA Weather, Joe B.  at Weatherbell, all are looking for a change coming up.