Compare the two photos, then and now. Al Gore did not fake these!

AUSTRIA 1875

Austria in year 2003.
Photos from Weatherunderground.

WxRisk posts on Isaac landfall.Facebook

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Isaac may score direct hit on New Orleans and then sit there.  See post by clicking above.

In this Monday afternoon image an eye may be forming.

As a comparison, here is Katrina, 7 years ago.

Isaac looks more robust on satellite images yet has not gained strength.

The future path and intensity of Isaac remains in doubt but it still is likely headed for the area between Alabama to Louisiana.  It should gain strength but so far the winds remain at about 60 mph.  Central pressure is dropping and this indicates a slow gain in strength eventually.

Forecast track of Isaac from NHC>

Images from NHC.

Isaac is now mostly over water near Cuba and showing signs of gaining strength and taking a more westward track.

The threat to Florida's panhandle appears lessened and areas from Alabama to Louisiana are more likely to see the future hurricane make landfall there.  The storm will likely gain strength tomorrow near the Keys and further gains in strength will occur over the very warm Gulf waters.  Upper air conditions will also aid the development of the storm. By Sunday night,  there should be a more certain picture of where the storm will go.

Currently tropical storm winds of about 60 mph are present.  Heavy rains occurred over Hispaniola.  Isaac has the potential to become a dangerous hurricane.

satellite photo from NHC.   Infrared rainbow.

Computer model ensemble with many possible tracks for Isaac.  from WeatherUnderground.

Isaac still churning but not gaining strength....yet.

Tampa will almost certainly feel the effects of Isaac.  Should it pass just to the West of Tampa it could cause dangerous high tide flooding.  Stay tuned.

You do not want to be in Tampa next week for multiple reasons!

Isaac at 10 pm EDT. Wednesday. from Weather Underground.

Better organization is now beginning to appear in this Sat. photo.

Possible tracks from computer model.

One computer model ( ECMWF ) shows Isaac as a major Gulf hurricane next week.

The ECMWF model has been the most accurate model in many forecasts, but it is far west of the other models in this map. New Orleans is just about in the bulls eye in this possible forecast.

DT at WxRisk pointed out this trend.

Tropical Storm Isaac continues to move toward the Carribean but with no increase in intensity. The storm will reach a more favorable environment for intensification on Thursday and may affect Florida this weekend and beyond. Should it remain weak it would miss Florida and move toward Yucatan or the Gulf. There is yet another developing system further out in the Tropical Atlantic.

Depicted above is the official NHC track forecast.

Republican National Convention, in Tampa, may be dealing with Tropical Storm Isaac's wind and rain.

tropical system could threaten the east coast in about 10 days. let's see what happens.

As if you did not already know it the heat wave pattern has broken. in Saranac Lake, NY there is a low temperature forecast of 38 degrees for Sunday morning.

History | Weather Underground

History | Weather Underground

July was hot in New Jersey and New York City Metro but it was much worse elsewhere. Oklahoma just completed 18 consecutive days of 100 degrees or better.  There were 3 consecutive days of 112 degrees there.

Click on the link above for a full report.

Heavy weather headed our way Sunday Aug. 5th.

Strong storms and heavy rain is coming to New Jersey / New York Metro.  The weather will move in this afternoon and tonight.

In the tropics one storm will head to the Gulf and the other will pass somewhere near Bermuda.

Dr. Jeff Masters' WunderBlog : Tropical Depression 5 forms; Typhoon Saola hits Taiwan; 115° in Oklahoma | Weather Underground

Dr. Jeff Masters' WunderBlog : Tropical Depression 5 forms; Typhoon Saola hits Taiwan; 115° in Oklahoma | Weather Underground