Stormy, Snowy Weather May Bring Holiday Travel Delays
Check out the details from Accuweather. Click above for text and video.
Saturday, December 15, 2012
BIG changes coming by the end of next week to New Jersey / New York City Metro.
The Euro is in and seems to have made up it's mind. We will begin with rain from Sunday, the 16th. into Tuesday, the 18th. There may be some snow in the coldest places.
The storm at the end of the week will bring rain at first, possibly changing to snow. Next Saturday Dec. 22 will be cold and windy with snow or snow showers possible.
There will be dramatically colder and windy conditions a week from today, right up to Christmas.
DT at Wxrisk.com and on Facebook still thinks a day after Christmas snowstorm may be coming our way.
What seems certain is that it will be a colder and windy weather pattern as we near Christmas. And the plains and Mid West will get a full on Blizzard by the end of this coming week.
Keep in mind, as I said before, that the cold air has to actually show up, live and in person, next weekend. Let's see what happens.
Full on Blizzard for next Thursday, look out Iowa and Wisconsin.
The storm at the end of the week will bring rain at first, possibly changing to snow. Next Saturday Dec. 22 will be cold and windy with snow or snow showers possible.
There will be dramatically colder and windy conditions a week from today, right up to Christmas.
DT at Wxrisk.com and on Facebook still thinks a day after Christmas snowstorm may be coming our way.
What seems certain is that it will be a colder and windy weather pattern as we near Christmas. And the plains and Mid West will get a full on Blizzard by the end of this coming week.
Keep in mind, as I said before, that the cold air has to actually show up, live and in person, next weekend. Let's see what happens.
Friday, December 14, 2012
Today is Friday, Dec. 14th, here is the Christmas forecast, as of now.
Christmas Eve: cold, breezy, chance of flurries
Christmas Day: cold, breezy, chance of flurries
Between now and Dec. 25, there will be several storms which will bring northern NJ, mostly rain and maybe some snow.
Skiers from Pennsylvania to New England may be treated to two snowfalls.
This particular weather pattern brings in much uncertainty to the next 12 days. There is a chance of a major snowfall right after Christmas. DT at Wxrisk.com thinks so.
Christmas Day: cold, breezy, chance of flurries
Between now and Dec. 25, there will be several storms which will bring northern NJ, mostly rain and maybe some snow.
Skiers from Pennsylvania to New England may be treated to two snowfalls.
This particular weather pattern brings in much uncertainty to the next 12 days. There is a chance of a major snowfall right after Christmas. DT at Wxrisk.com thinks so.
Holiday Travel Weather - Weather Video - AccuWeather.com
Holiday Travel Weather - Weather Video - AccuWeather.com
( click above for video ) Excellent video from Accuweather!!!
( click above for video ) Excellent video from Accuweather!!!
Thursday, December 13, 2012
The afternoon 12Z ECMWF is coming in.
Still looks like rain for NJ next week but upstate NY and New England get a decent snowfall.
After that it looks like colder air will filter in all the way to Christmas. The models, even the Euro, have not been doing so well in December, so I would not count on this trend. But the rain next week looks pretty certain, no snow, for New Jersey, New York Metro.
After that it looks like colder air will filter in all the way to Christmas. The models, even the Euro, have not been doing so well in December, so I would not count on this trend. But the rain next week looks pretty certain, no snow, for New Jersey, New York Metro.
The 3 Day Rule on Snowstorms
It takes about 3 days for a weather system to travel across the USA. So anything more than 3 days in the future is still out over the Pacific Ocean, for example. In the ocean and also in Arctic regions, the observation stations are much fewer and the data is not plentiful. These uncertainties more than 3 days ahead make forcasting the weather more difficult.
Since snow is always an iffy thing in New Jersey, you really can't trust a forecast for snow more than 3 days ahead.
At this time, the large scale weather pattern does not favor snow, as pointed out by DT at Wxrisk and Elliot Abrams at Accuweather, as well as others.
A full blown snowstorm still is not likely the early part of next week for the reasons given above. We have to wait another day or two for the storm next week to come into better focus. So I am not betting on snow next week.
Keep in touch.
Since snow is always an iffy thing in New Jersey, you really can't trust a forecast for snow more than 3 days ahead.
At this time, the large scale weather pattern does not favor snow, as pointed out by DT at Wxrisk and Elliot Abrams at Accuweather, as well as others.
A full blown snowstorm still is not likely the early part of next week for the reasons given above. We have to wait another day or two for the storm next week to come into better focus. So I am not betting on snow next week.
Keep in touch.
Wednesday, December 12, 2012
Rain Sunday and more again later next week.
A lack of cold air will most likely prevent snow falling in the next two weather systems. Although some of the models are indicating snow now, as we get closer to next week, it should become clear that, if there might be some snow mixing in next week, it would happen as the storm is ending. As usual the far inland locations, with elevation, would have the best chance for getting any frozen precip.
Tuesday, December 11, 2012
ACCUWEATHER: Snowy, Colder Pattern for U.S. Leading up to Christmas
Snowy, Colder Pattern for U.S. Leading up to Christmas
( click above)
Just when I had all but given up on snow in December! Things could be changing. DT at Wxrisk still sees no snow for NJ. Wait and see how this develops for Dec. 18,19.
( click above)
Just when I had all but given up on snow in December! Things could be changing. DT at Wxrisk still sees no snow for NJ. Wait and see how this develops for Dec. 18,19.
Monday, December 10, 2012
Updated Winter Forecast Model is Stormier in the East - Canadian Weather Blog - AccuWeather.com
Updated Winter Forecast Model is Stormier in the East - Canadian Weather Blog - AccuWeather.com
Weather model predicts normal temps and moist conditions for January through March.
Weather model predicts normal temps and moist conditions for January through March.
Sunday, December 9, 2012
December looks to end the year on a mild trend and will complete the warmest year in US history if all goes as expected.
The next storms occur tomorrow, Dec. 15, and Dec. 18th. There is little prospect for snow. We may return to seasonal temperatures but no bitter cold weather is foreseeable.
The weather models have been forecasting a shift to colder but so far, it is not showing up. Just seasonably cold in between very mild spells.
The storm track continues to be focused on the Great Lakes region. DT at Wxrisk.com does not see winter taking hold just yet, maybe January.
Christmas Eve forecast is for cloudy conditions and seasonably cold. About the same Christmas Day.
No White Christmas is seen at this time.
The weather models have been forecasting a shift to colder but so far, it is not showing up. Just seasonably cold in between very mild spells.
The storm track continues to be focused on the Great Lakes region. DT at Wxrisk.com does not see winter taking hold just yet, maybe January.
Christmas Eve forecast is for cloudy conditions and seasonably cold. About the same Christmas Day.
No White Christmas is seen at this time.
Tuesday, December 4, 2012
Monday, December 3, 2012
Not a good start if you like cold and snowy.
December is the start of the winter season and with 60 degree temps, this is not winter. There is still talk of a big shift in the pattern about Dec. 15th. We shall see, otherwise it is starting out as a mild winter. My old rule of thumb has been that if we see snow early on, then the winter later on will not be snowy. We had snow right after the hurricane, and that WAS early!
Christmas Eve forecast from Accuweather: Rain showers 46 degrees. Oh, Boo!
Christmas Eve forecast from Accuweather: Rain showers 46 degrees. Oh, Boo!
Saturday, December 1, 2012
Euro predicts snow for Dec. 10th.
For what it is worth, 6 to 12 inches on the latest map. From Henry Margusity at Accuweather.com.
A major cold outbreak may occur about Dec. 15th.
The Euro has not been performing well recently so , forget the snow unless you live in Minnesota. ( 12/4 update )
DT at Wxrisk.com correctly said the snow was not headed for the East Coast.
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