Probably 2 to 4 inches is possible over much of Northern New Jersey. Some higher amounts could occur as well as much less.
Still, wait and see! ( 2/4", 3/6", 6/10", ?) (rain?)
Still, wait and see! ( 2/4", 3/6", 6/10", ?) (rain?)
Monday, March 4, 2013
Sunday, March 3, 2013
Latest data from the GFS brings precip into our area, within 72 hours. Overnight, all the other model data will help to zero in on what changes may be afoot. A possibility of snow for New York, NJ Metro is still present, but far from likely. A tough forecast ahead. Stay tuned.
So the question is this, do we now see the GFS catching on to something or, is it one big error?
Can it be too cold to Snow?
http://www.accuweather.com/en/features/winter-break/too_cold_to_snow/6953983
Click here for Accuweather answer ^ ^ ^
Click here for Accuweather answer ^ ^ ^
Saturday, March 2, 2013
Latest on the Storm Next Week - Meteorological Madness Weather Blog
Latest on the Storm Next Week - Meteorological Madness Weather Blog
The take from Henry M. click ^ ^ ^
The take from Henry M. click ^ ^ ^
As the jet stream energy comes ashore, from the Northern Pacific, there will be better data collection begining tomorrow. Sunday night or Monday, the path of the storm, should become clear. At this point, it could be a hit or a miss.
March 6, 7 is when the New York, New Jersey Metro area may be impacted. As of Saturday night it looks like only South Jersey will see moderate snow. Coastal flooding from wind driven tides and surf is a concern.
From Upton, NY office of the NWS
During the middle of the week the focus will be centered around a
strong east coastal storm. This storm could bring heavy
precipitation and strong winds to our local area Wednesday into
Thursday. However...there is still too much uncertainty this far out
to attempt to pin down specific impacts.
The jet stream disturbance that will generate this potential storm
is over the North Pacific today. The disturbance will reach the
Pacific northwest on Sunday. At that time...details of possible
impacts will start to come into focus. Will increase probability of precipitation from
Wednesday through Thursday...but still remain in chance category. The
timing will ultimately determine the track and strength of the low
as well as precipitation amounts and ptype.
With the local area on the northern side of the storm...a prolonged
strong east to east-northeast flow will develop as well.
Friday, March 1, 2013
We are back to waiting to see what happens. If the snow /rain gets as far north as NJ, this would be about as far as it could go. There is a strong tendency for this storm to slide east and more or less miss North Jersey. Wait and see what things look like Sunday night. It is clear that a large storm will affect portions of the East Coast US. Exactly where is not clear yet.
Guess what.? The models bring the storm up our way with snow and rain next week. The storm is large,powerful and slow moving. Not good for coastal areas.
The storm is still 6 days away. We will not have a clear focus on the weather forecast, until Sunday or Monday, at the earliest. It could bring lots of snow and / or rain, along with coastal flooding and strong winds. Or, it could slide off to our south.
Multiple computer models agree on a large storm next week and that indicates that something is more likely to occur, even at this early time.
Potential weather impact zone for March 6, 7 2013. Virginia, Maryland, Delaware, Pennsylvania, New Jersey, New York, Connecticut.
Multiple computer models agree on a large storm next week and that indicates that something is more likely to occur, even at this early time.
Potential weather impact zone for March 6, 7 2013. Virginia, Maryland, Delaware, Pennsylvania, New Jersey, New York, Connecticut.
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