National Weather Service is tuned in to a possible storm this weekend for New York Metro and suburbs.

THERE IS THE POTENTIAL FOR A SIGNIFICANT WINTER STORM FROM LATE

SATURDAY THROUGH SUNDAY. AT THIS TIME THE BEST CHANCE FOR A

SIGNIFICANT ACCUMULATION OF SNOW IS ACROSS NORTHERN INTERIOR

PORTIONS OF THE TRI-STATE...WITH A WINTRY MIX MORE LIKELY AT

COASTAL AREAS.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

&&

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK PROVIDES A SUMMARY OF POTENTIAL

WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER EVENTS THAT MAY REACH NWS WARNING

CRITERIA. MOST LONG FUSED NWS WATCHES...WARNINGS AND ADVISORIES IN

Snowstorm to Hit Central States, Northeast This Weekend

Snowstorm to Hit Central States, Northeast This Weekend < click>

Good run down on the weather this weekend with a video.

Arctic Blast to Follow Northeast Snow, Trigger Heavy Lake-Effect

Arctic Blast to Follow Northeast Snow, Trigger Heavy Lake-Effect< click >

Storm due this weekend and the next rolls in on the 18 th of December. More details by this afternoon.

This winter shapes up as a rough one, next storm pops up Saturday and Sunday

New York City to Boston will start as snow to an icy mix.  A lot of icing is possible inland with heavy New England snows.

Much of NJ will change to rain before the storm pulls away then the cold moves in turning the ground into frozen concrete.

A big mess, not a blizzard.

         Monthly & Seasonal Snowfall at Central Park

 SEASON  JUL  AUG  SEP  OCT  NOV   DEC   JAN   FEB   MAR   APR  MAY  JUN  TOTAL 

 1887-88  0    0    0    0   0.3   9.0  11.0   3.0  22.3    0    0    0    45.6 

 1888-89  0    0    0    0   1.5    T    4.0   7.0   4.0    0    0    0    16.5 

 1889-90  0    0    0    0    0    6.0    0    1.0  17.0   0.3   0    0    24.3 

 1890-91  0    0    0    0    0   11.4  10.0   5.3   2.1    T    0    0    28.8 

 1891-92  0    0    0    0    0     T   12.3   0.1  12.0   1.0   0    0    25.4 

 1892-93  0    0    0    0   6.3   3.0  16.0  17.8   6.1   0.5   0    0    49.7 

 1893-94  0    0    0    0    0    5.3   9.3  20.5    0    1.0   0    0    36.1 

 1894-95  0    0    0    0   0.5   4.0   9.5   9.0   4.0    T    0    0    27.0 

 1895-96  0    0    0    0    0    0.3   3.0   9.5  30.5   3.0   0    0    46.3 

 1896-97  0    0    0    0   5.0  13.0  11.3  11.0   3.3    0    0    0    43.6 

 1897-98  0    0    0    0   2.3   4.0   9.0   1.3   2.0   2.5   0    0    21.1 

 1898-99  0    0    0    0  19.0   1.5   5.3  25.3   4.8    0    0    0    55.9 

 1899-00  0    0    0    0    T    0.1   1.0   6.5   5.8    0    0    0    13.4 

 1900-01  0    0    0    0    0    0.1   2.0   7.0    T     0    0    0     9.1 

 1901-02  0    0    0    0   0.1   1.5   6.1  15.8   6.5    0    0    0    30.0 

 1902-03  0    0    0    0    0   14.4   4.5   9.8    0     0    0    0    28.7 

 1903-04  0    0    0    0    0    6.3  15.5   5.0   5.4    T    0    0    32.2 

 1904-05  0    0    0    0   0.5  21.6  18.4   5.8   1.8    0    0    0    48.1 

 1905-06  0    0    0    0    0    1.0   1.5   6.0  11.5    0    0    0    20.0 

 1906-07  0    0    0    0   1.0   0.3  11.0  21.8  13.3   5.8   0    0    53.2 

 1907-08  0    0    0    0    T    5.3  10.0  14.6   3.5    0    0    0    33.4 

 1908-09  0    0    0    0   1.0   2.9  11.3   0.8   4.3    T    0    0    20.3 

 1909-10  0    0    0    0   0.8   9.0  11.1   5.0   1.3    0    0    0    27.2 

 1910-11  0    0    0    0    T    6.6   1.3  13.3   3.5   0.5   0    0    25.2 

 1911-12  0    0    0    0   1.0   8.5  13.0   2.5   4.5    T    0    0    29.5 

 1912-13  0    0    0    0   0.8  11.4   0.3   2.6   0.2    T    0    0    15.3 

 1913-14  0    0    0    0    T    0.3   1.3  17.4  21.5    T    0    0    40.5 

 1914-15  0    0    0    0    0    2.6   3.8   4.5   7.7  10.2   0    0    28.8 

 1915-16  0    0    0    0    T    8.1   0.7  13.1  25.5   3.3   0    0    50.7 

 1916-17  0    0    0    0    T   14.5   5.8  12.2  11.7   6.5   0    0    50.7 

 1917-18  0    0    0    0   0.3  14.1  13.2   3.7   0.6   2.6   0    0    34.5 

 1918-19  0    0    0    0    0    0.3   0.3   0.5   2.7    T    0    0     3.8 

 1919-20  0    0    0    0    T    8.8   8.2  25.3   5.3    T    0    0    47.6 

 1920-21  0    0    0    0    T    1.7   3.5  13.3    T    0.1   0    0    18.6 

 1921-22  0    0    0    0    T    7.3   9.4   7.2   3.9    0    0    0    27.8 

 1922-23  0    0    0    0   1.0   8.0  24.5  18.8   8.1    T    0    0    60.4 

 1923-24  0    0    0    0    0    1.5   2.5  11.9   3.1   8.5   0    0    27.5 

 1924-25  0    0    0    0    T    0.9  27.4   1.3    T     T    0    0    29.6 

 1925-26  0    0    0   0.8  0.1   0.9   3.1  26.3   1.2    T    0    0    32.4 

 1926-27  0    0    0    T    T   11.7   5.7   4.6   0.2   0.1   0    0    22.3 

 1927-28  0    0    0    0    T    2.1   2.7   4.0   5.7    T    0    0    14.5 

 1928-29  0    0    0    T    T    2.0   2.3   9.3   0.2    T    0    0    13.8 

 1929-30  0    0    0    T    T    6.3   3.5   3.8    T     T    0    0    13.6 

 1930-31  0    0    0    0    T    5.7   0.5   3.6   1.8    T    0    0    11.6 

 1931-32  0    0    0    0   2.0   0.1   0.8   1.8   0.6    T    0    0     5.3 

 1932-33  0    0    0    0    0    9.4    T   12.8   4.8    T    0    0    27.0 

 1933-34  0    0    0    0   0.5  14.9   0.1  27.9   8.6    0    0    0    52.0 

 1934-35  0    0    0    T    T    1.0  23.6   7.2   2.0    T    0    0    33.8
 1935-36  0    0    0    0   2.7   6.6  12.1  10.3   1.5    T    0    0    33.2
 1936-37  0    0    0    T   3.2    T    6.5   3.4   2.5    T    0    0    15.6
 1937-38  0    0    0    T   0.8   0.7   6.5    T    0.7   6.4   0    0    15.1
 1938-39  0    0    0    0  12.8   1.7  10.3   5.5   7.0    T    0    0    37.3
 1939-40  0    0    0    0    T    3.1   3.5  12.0   5.3   1.8   0    0    25.7

 1940-41  0    0    0    T   2.2   3.0   9.2   5.4  19.2    0    0    0    39.0
 1941-42  0    0    0    0    0    0.3   6.4   1.9   0.5   2.2   0    0    11.3
 1942-43  0    0    0    0    T    8.5   9.5   4.4   7.1    T    0    0    29.5
 1943-44  0    0    0    0    T     T    4.8   7.7   4.8   6.5   0    0    23.8
 1944-45  0    0    0    T    T    6.7  12.3   8.1    T     0    0    0    27.1
 1945-46  0    0    0    0   3.7  15.6   4.2   7.9    T     T    T    0    31.4
 1946-47  0    0    0    0    0    1.3   5.5  17.7   6.1    T    0    0    30.6
 1947-48  0    0    0    0    T   29.6  15.3  13.6   4.7    0    0    0    63.2
 1948-49  0    0    0    0    T   25.3   6.4  10.7   4.2    0    0    0    46.6
 1949-50  0    0    0    0   0.5   1.1   0.4   8.5   1.4   1.9   0    0    13.8

 1950-51  0    0    0    0    T    3.8   3.2   1.9   2.7    0    0    0    11.6
 1951-52  0    0    0    0    T    3.3   6.2   2.8   7.4    0    0    0    19.7
 1952-53  0    0    0   0.5  1.7   7.5   4.1   0.4   0.9    T    0    0    15.1
 1953-54  0    0    0    0   2.2    T   12.7   0.5   0.1   0.3   0    0    15.8
 1954-55  0    0    0    0    T    0.1   2.6   5.2   3.6    0    0    0    11.5
 1955-56  0    0    0    0   1.0   3.3   1.2   2.7  21.1   4.2   0    0    33.5
 1956-57  0    0    0    0    T    0.9   8.9   7.0   2.6   2.5   0    0    21.9
 1957-58  0    0    0    0    T    8.7   9.2  10.7  15.9   0.2   0    0    44.7
 1958-59  0    0    0    0    T    3.8   1.5   0.4   6.7   0.6   0    0    13.0
 1959-60  0    0    0    0   0.5  15.8   2.5   1.9  18.5    0    0    0    39.2
 
 1960-61  0    0    0    T    0   18.6  16.7  18.2   1.2    T    0    0    54.7
 1961-62  0    0    0    0    T    7.7   0.6   9.6   0.2    T    0    0    18.1
 1962-63  0    0    0    T    T    4.5   5.3   3.7   2.8    T    0    0    16.3
 1963-64  0    0    0    0    T   11.3  13.3  14.1   6.0    T    0    0    44.7
 1964-65  0    0    0    0    0    3.1  14.8   2.5   2.8   1.2   0    0    24.4
 1965-66  0    0    0    T    0     T   11.6   9.8    T     0    0    0    21.4
 1966-67  0    0    0    0    0    9.1   1.4  23.6  17.4    T    0    0    51.5
 1967-68  0    0    0    0   3.2   5.5   3.6   1.1   6.1    0    0    0    19.5
 1968-69  0    0    0    0    T    7.0   1.0  16.6   5.6    0    0    0    30.2
 1969-70  0    0    0    0    T    6.8   8.4   6.4   4.0    T    0    0    25.6
 
 1970-71  0    0    0    0    0    2.4  11.4    T    1.3   0.4   0    0    15.5
 1971-72  0    0    0    0    T     T    2.8  17.8   2.3    T    0    0    22.9
 1972-73  0    0    0    T    T     T    1.8   0.8   0.2    T    0    0     2.8
 1973-74  0    0    0    0    0    2.8   7.8   9.4   3.2   0.3   0    0    23.5
 1974-75  0    0    0    0   0.1   0.1   2.0  10.6   0.3    T    0    0    13.1
 1975-76  0    0    0    0    T    2.3   5.6   5.0   4.4    T    0    0    17.3
 1976-77  0    0    0    0    T    5.1  13.0   5.8   0.6    T    T    0    24.5
 1977-78  0    0    0    0   0.2   0.4  20.3  23.0   6.8    T    0    0    50.7
 1978-79  0    0    0    0   2.2   0.5   6.6  20.1    T     T    0    0    29.4
 1979-80  0    0    0    T    0    3.5   2.0   2.7   4.6    T    0    0    12.8
 
 1980-81  0    0    0    0    T    2.8   8.0    T    8.6    0    0    0    19.4
 1981-82  0    0    0    0    0    2.1  11.8   0.4   0.7   9.6   0    0    24.6
 1982-83  0    0    0    0    0    3.0   1.9  21.5    T    0.8   0    0    27.2
 1983-84  0    0    0    0    T    1.6  11.7   0.2  11.9    0    0    0    25.4
 1984-85  0    0    0    0    T    5.5   8.4  10.0   0.2    T    0    0    24.1
 1985-86  0    0    0    0    T    0.9   2.2   9.9    T     T    0    0    13.0
 1986-87  0    0    0    0    T    0.6  13.6   7.0   1.9    0    0    0    23.1
 1987-88  0    0    0    0   1.1   2.6  13.9   1.5    T     0    0    0    19.1
 1988-89  0    0    0    0    0    0.3   5.0   0.3   2.5    0    0    0     8.1
 1989-90  0    0    0    0   4.7   1.4   1.8   1.8   3.1   0.6   0    0    13.4
 
 1990-91  0    0    0    0    0    7.2   8.4   9.1   0.2    0    0    0    24.9
 1991-92  0    0    0    0    T    0.7   1.5   1.0   9.4    T    0    0    12.6
 1992-93  0    0    0    0    0    0.4   1.5  10.7  11.9    0    0    0    24.5
 1993-94  0    0    0    0    T    6.9  12.0  26.4   8.1    0    0    0    53.4
 1994-95  0    0    0    0    T     T    0.2  11.6    T     T    0    0    11.8
 1995-96  0    0    0    0   2.9  11.5  26.1  21.2  13.2   0.7   0    0    75.6
 1996-97  0    0    0    0   0.1    T    4.4   3.8   1.7    T    0    0    10.0
 1997-98  0    0    0    0    T     T    0.5   0.0   5.0    0    0    0     5.5
 1998-99  0    0    0    0    0    2.0   4.5   1.7   4.5    0    0    0    12.7
 1999-00  0    0    0    0    0     T    9.5   5.2   0.4   1.2   0    0    16.3
 
 2000-01  0    0    0    T    0   13.4   8.3   9.5   3.8    0    0    0    35.0
 2001-02  0    0    0    0    0     T    3.5    T     T     T    0    0     3.5 
 2002-03  0    0    0    T    T   11.0   4.7  26.1   3.5   4.0   0    0    49.3    
 2003-04  0    0    0    0    0   19.8  17.3   0.7   4.8    0    0    0    42.6 
 2004-05  0    0    0    0    T    3.0  15.3  15.8   6.9    0    0    0    41.0 
 2005-06  0    0    0    0    T    9.7   2.0  26.9   1.3   0.1   0    0    40.0 
 2006-07  0    0    0    0    0      0   2.6   3.8   6.0    T    0    0    12.4 
 2007-08  0    0    0    0    T    2.9     T   9.0     T    0    0    0    11.9
 2008-09  0    0    0    0    T    6.0   9.0   4.3   8.3    T    0    0    27.6
 2009-10  0    0    0    0    0   12.4   2.1  36.9     T    0    0    0    51.4 
 2010-11  0    0    0    0    T   20.1  36.0   4.8   1.0    T    0    0    61.9
 2011-12  0    0    0  2.9    0      0   4.3   0.2     0    0    0    0     7.4
 2012-13  0    0    0    0  4.7    0.4   1.5  12.2   7.3    0    0    0    26.1
 2013-14  0    0    0      
 

Euro model predicts a major snow this weekend.

Although the large scale setup is flawed , it is still something to watch.  Snow, ice and rain are quite possible , rather than a foot of snow.

I sure do not like ice, power outages galore, west of 287.

Looks like interesting weather for New York, New Jersey this winter and the forecast is the pattern will remain as is.

New York City metro, New Jersey ,Pennsylvania get snow on Tuesday.

Try not to laugh but the amount could be anywhere from 1 to 6 inches.  A very uncertain outlook tomorrow.

Best bet: look out the window starting mid morning.
*********************************************

More snow likely Tuesday morning late, ending by evening.

Another storm may affect us next weekend.  Iffy.

The storm next weekend is more likely South of our area.  But it will be close.

Southern Jersey gets snow dump!

   Cloverfields T 1030 am 12/08 trained spotter

New Jersey

... Atlantic County...
   Hammonton 5.2 433 PM 12/08 trained spotter
   Mays Landing 3.5 332 PM 12/08 public
   Estell Manor 2.0 431 PM 12/08 co-op observer
   Pleasantville 0.3 138 PM 12/08 co-op observer
   Atlantic City airpor 0.3 137 PM 12/08 ASOS

... Burlington County...
   Medford 9.4 339 PM 12/08 public
   Southampton TWP 9.3 200 PM 12/08 trained spotter
   Vincentown 9.0 402 PM 12/08 public
   Browns Mills 8.0 339 PM 12/08 public
   Marlton 8.0 348 PM 12/08 public
   Shamong TWP 6.4 349 PM 12/08 public
   Washington TWP 6.0 217 PM 12/08 public
   Moorestown 5.8 300 PM 12/08 public
   Mount Laurel 5.8 352 PM 12/08 NWS employee
   Maple Shade 5.5 234 PM 12/08 public
   Mount Holly WFO 5.0 300 PM 12/08 NWS office
   Hainesport 5.0 334 PM 12/08 trained spotter
   Delran TWP 4.2 315 PM 12/08 NWS employee
   Bordentown 3.2 347 PM 12/08 trained spotter
   chesterfild TWP 2.5 333 PM 12/08 public

... Camden County...
   Lindenwold 8.5 403 PM 12/08 NWS employee
   Laurel Springs 8.3 352 PM 12/08 public
   Point of Woods 8.0 255 PM 12/08 trained spotter
   Cherry Hill 8.0 401 PM 12/08 public
   1 N Pennsauken 7.5 410 PM 12/08 trained spotter
   Runnemede 7.0 411 PM 12/08 trained spotter
   Barrington 7.0 334 PM 12/08 public
   West Berlin 6.5 400 PM 12/08 public
   East Camden 6.0 335 PM 12/08 public
   Blackwood 6.0 145 PM 12/08 Emergency Mngr
   Collingswood 6.0 400 PM 12/08 public
   Somerdale 5.3 220 PM 12/08 co-op observer
   Erial 3.5 100 PM 12/08 trained spotter

... Cape May County...
   Cape May Court House 1.0 348 PM 12/08 public
   North Cape May 0.3 211 PM 12/08 trained spotter

... Cumberland County...
   Vineland 3.7 414 PM 12/08 trained spotter

... Gloucester County...
   Deptford TWP 9.0 428 PM 12/08 public
   Mantua 8.3 327 PM 12/08 public
   Sewell 7.3 315 PM 12/08 trained spotter
   West Deptford TWP 7.0 335 PM 12/08 public
   East Greenwich TWP 7.0 339 PM 12/08 public
   Woodbury 7.0 230 PM 12/08 trained spotter
   Turnersville 7.0 415 PM 12/08 trained spotter
   Westville 6.1 417 PM 12/08 public
   Washington TWP 6.0 400 PM 12/08 trained spotter
   Thorofare 6.0 338 PM 12/08 public
   Williamstown 5.5 333 PM 12/08 public

... Hunterdon County...
   Lambertville 2.0 357 PM 12/08 public
   5 NNW Flemington 0.5 447 PM 12/08 trained spotter

... Mercer County...
   Trenton 2.3 357 PM 12/08 trained spotter
   White Horse 2.0 359 PM 12/08 public
   Ewing 1.2 300 PM 12/08 NWS employee

... Monmouth County...
   wall TWP 2.5 356 PM 12/08 public
   Freehold 2.0 428 PM 12/08 public
   Oakhurst 1.5 303 PM 12/08 public

... Ocean County...
   Beachwood 9.0 421 PM 12/08 public
   Toms River 8.0 346 PM 12/08 public
   3 SSE Berkeley TWP 8.0 447 PM 12/08 cocorahs
   3 WSW Toms River 8.0 340 PM 12/08 cocorahs
   Berkeley TWP 8.0 437 PM 12/08 trained spotter
   N Toms River 7.5 344 PM 12/08 public
   Bayville 7.0 400 PM 12/08 public
   Lacey 6.5 359 PM 12/08 public
   S Toms River 6.0 427 PM 12/08 public
   Forked River 5.5 428 PM 12/08 public
   brick TWP 5.0 330 PM 12/08 public
   Manahawkin 5.0 327 PM 12/08 public
   Manchester TWP 4.0 334 PM 12/08 public
   Lakewood 3.3 431 PM 12/08 public
   Plumstead TWP 3.0 334 PM 12/08 public
   Surf City 2.3 300 PM 12/08 trained spotter

... Salem County...
   Penns Grove 11.0 359 PM 12/08 public
   Carneys Point 6.0 155 PM 12/08 trained spotter
   upper Pittsgrove TWP 6.0 353 PM 12/08 public 

Sunday evening snow looks to accumulate from 1 to 3 inches area wide.

Overnight Sunday into Monday there will be a warming trend which will cause a wintry mix to change to plain rain on Monday.

Areas near New York City and the shore areas will see the least accumulations, in fact they may end up with only a coating.

The weather will turn quite cold later this week.  There is even a chance of more snow Tuesday.

Mostly rain today but Sunday could turn snowy and icy late in the day.

As is usual the forecasts are changing but travel after sunset on Sunday could be treacherous.
Click on the right for a detailed look. >>>>>>

There is the possibility of last minute developments Sunday which could alter the weather forecast for, New Jersey, New York and Pennsylvania.  Check for the latest forecast, which will be adjusted as we get closer to Sunday night.

As of now it still looks like snow arrives around sunset on Sunday. The worst conditions will be in the overnight hours Sunday into very early Monday.

Preview of late Sunday?

This Sunday, 2 to 3 inches of snow is likely, maybe more North and West.

It will begin Sunday afternoon and continue into the evening. The first measurable snow for most of New Jersey.  This is based on the ECMWF model which has been showing this trend for days now.

New York City, mostly slush

Far north and west 6 inches or more.

Pennsylvania  6 inches plus.

There will be a sharp cold spell next week but not of long duration.

Today when the sun was shining it was spring but soon winter weather will begin again.

The next rain, snow, ice threat is December 9, 10. Stay tuned, we have a nice week coming up in the New York, New Jersey, Pennsylvania weather outlook.

Click on any link on the right.