First Bobsled Gold Medal in 6 decades.
SORRY,no blizzard this week.
Sunday, February 28, 2010
Saturday, February 27, 2010
Snow Concerns Mid-Week Lessen Somewhat, and Rain Concerns the Week After. If it isn't one thing it's another.
Sunday update:
The storm for Tuesday and Wednesday still looks like it will just miss giving us a heavy snow, only a light amount may occur. But since it is a close call, it has to be watched closely.
While it is far from a sure thing, there may be more snow this week. Another low may turn up the east coast Tuesday into Wednesday. The computer models show a track off shore and too far to bring in heavy precipitation. The trend this winter has been that as the event approaches, the track adjusts more north and west. This means the late Tuesday storm must be watched for a similar development.
Sooner or later the train of storms will warm up enough to bring rain and that means the potential for floods. A sizable and warmer storm is already showing up on the long range maps.
More below......
Friday, February 26, 2010
Photo: J. Chmura
But I have promises to keep, and miles to go before I sleep.
- Robert Frost
Oh no! Another snowstorm March 3rd.?
The GFS forecast model, as of noon today, shows yet another coastal storm headed up the east coast next week. In another year, there might not be much to get excited about, but this year the odds of seeing yet another big snow are pretty good. We still have a negative NAO, blocking near Greenland, a trough over the Northeast, and an active train of storms moving across the country. And still just enough cold air to get it to snow again. We aren't done yet!
Why is this winter so bad? It's all a matter of perspective. We have had many easy winters for decades. Now, things have swung back to the way winters used to be. At least for a while, it will feel like Global Warming has been put on hold. But it hasn't really. When it is cold here, it usually is warm someplace else.
BOWLING FOR BLIZZARDS PART 5! THE WEATHER WILL ALWAYS SURPRISE YOU !
Beware the Ides of March.
SNOW TOTALS in inches. February 26,2010
...MORRIS COUNTY...
OAK RIDGE 16.0
ROCKAWAY 15.0
BUTLER 12.0 .BERGEN COUNTY... FORT LEE 20.0 100 PM 2/26
TENAFLY 20.0 230 PM 2/26
RIDGEWOOD 16.3 400 PM 2/26
HASBROUCK HEIGHTS 14.2 227 PM 2/26
NORTHVALE 14.0 258 PM 2/26
GARFIELD 12.4 1015 AM 2/26
FAIR LAWN 12.0 326 PM 2/26
WASHINGTON TOWNSHIP 11.0 100 PM 2/26
PALISADES PARK 9.0 100 PM 2/26
...ESSEX COUNTY...
BLOOMFIELD 16.0 330 PM 2/26
WEST ORANGE 15.7 1100 AM 2/26
NEWARK 14.9 400 PM 2/26
CEDAR GROVE 14.3 1100 AM 2/26
...HUDSON COUNTY...
HOBOKEN 16.3 400 PM 2/26
KEARNY 12.5 1015 AM 2/26
...PASSAIC COUNTY...
WEST MILFORD 28.0 1015 AM 2/26
WAYNE 17.0 1220 PM 2/26
...UNION COUNTY...
ROSELLE 21.4 1130 AM 2/26
FANWOOD 17.3 145 PM 2/26
ROSELLE PARK 16.2 128 PM 2/26
ELIZABETH 13.0 1025 AM 2/26
PLAINFIELD 11.5 1145 AM 2/26
SPRINGFIELD 11.0 1120 AM 2/26
Many motorists stranded on I-84 near exit 15, some since Thursday evening.
MOST SNOW : WEST MILFORD, NJ , 28 inches as reported by NWS.
................ Monroe, NY, 31 inches.
............................... NYC, Central Park, 20 inches.
The 4 th. biggest snow of all time. Right behind the famous Blizzard of March 12, 1888.
MOST SNOW : WEST MILFORD, NJ , 28 inches as reported by NWS.
................ Monroe, NY, 31 inches.
............................... NYC, Central Park, 20 inches.
The 4 th. biggest snow of all time. Right behind the famous Blizzard of March 12, 1888.
Thursday, February 25, 2010
Bowling for BLIZZARDS Part 4: It's A STRIKE!
Forecast: It is going to keep on snowing and snowing and snowing and snowing...............
Before dawn this morning, the radio, 1010 WINS, reported rain in all areas, with some snow mixed in here and there. Then around daybreak, almost in a flash, all areas had switched over to all snow.
We are now in the Snow Olympics. 20 inches or bust.
939 pm
Blowing and drifting snow, strong winds, heavier snow
8:47 pm UPDATE
Temperatures dropping to below freezing, and winds are increasing. The low pressure center is heading west by northwest toward Long Island.
West Milford, 12 inches
Wayne, 8 inches
Ridgewood , 4.5 inches
NYC, Central Park, 5.5 inches
5:00 pm UPDATE
Latest breaking news from the Blizzard Desk, at Weather Balloon Central:
Latest NWS forecast is for snow until Monday, but the accumulating snow, may end Friday night.
15 to 20 inches total predicted and that may be on the light side.
Here at WEATHER BALLOON CENTRAL we have 5 inches of wet, heavy snow. Trees are cracking under the weight of the snow and one is leaning and bending a power line. It is too treacherous to wander about.
Very heavy snow, is likely tonight with increasing winds. Lighter snow will continue through the daylight hours, Friday.
Before dawn this morning, the radio, 1010 WINS, reported rain in all areas, with some snow mixed in here and there. Then around daybreak, almost in a flash, all areas had switched over to all snow.
We are now in the Snow Olympics. 20 inches or bust.
939 pm
Blowing and drifting snow, strong winds, heavier snow
8:47 pm UPDATE
Temperatures dropping to below freezing, and winds are increasing. The low pressure center is heading west by northwest toward Long Island.
West Milford, 12 inches
Wayne, 8 inches
Ridgewood , 4.5 inches
NYC, Central Park, 5.5 inches
5:00 pm UPDATE
Latest breaking news from the Blizzard Desk, at Weather Balloon Central:
Latest NWS forecast is for snow until Monday, but the accumulating snow, may end Friday night.
15 to 20 inches total predicted and that may be on the light side.
Here at WEATHER BALLOON CENTRAL we have 5 inches of wet, heavy snow. Trees are cracking under the weight of the snow and one is leaning and bending a power line. It is too treacherous to wander about.
Very heavy snow, is likely tonight with increasing winds. Lighter snow will continue through the daylight hours, Friday.
Wednesday, February 24, 2010
BOWLING FOR BLIZZARDS Part 3, Mr. Backwards Snowstorm is Ready to Strike!
This one sounds like a real bad boy.
I never saw a snowstorm come in from the Atlantic Ocean and bring us heavy snow but, tomorrow that will happen. 6 to 12 inches seems like a good bet for most areas. The weather conditions will go downhill all day tomorrow and into the night. Heavy winds are forecast with gust to 40 to 60 mph. The high elevations may see 12 to 24 inches.
This will be a very rare and memorable storm.
11:00 pm UPDATE
2 computer models predict 18 to 20 inches of snow for North Jersey.
Widely varying snow total predictions continue.
6:00 pm update
Tomorrow morning may begin as rain or a mix but will switch to all snow later as colder air works in.
Forecasts for snow totals vary widely.
( Andover, in Sussex County, ranges from 4 to 8 inches, up to 12 to 24 inches, depending on who you ask )
10 to 16 inches is widely expected, with lower amounts to the east in NYC and Long Island. The winds will strengthen Thursday afternoon. Gusts to 40 mph and much higher, may occur in some areas.
Higher elevations, north and west, will approach the 2 foot mark.
The snow may not end until Friday night or Saturday, but will not be falling as heavily later on.
This storm reminds me of some of the storms of the 1960's when forecasts for snow totals, would change constantly, through the storm. You did not know what you would get, until it was on the ground. In the confusion of a crippling snowstorm, forecast figures get misinterpreted or mixed up.
The duration of the snow, may be very long, indeed. I suspect that the storm center will stall over Long Island, or very near to it. Other storms have done this in the past. I don't think that the storm will loop over NJ and PA. Instead, it will be near Long Island. So NJ gets plenty of snow, as long as a dry slot does not shut off the snow.
The winds will be very strong, but the 50 to 60 mph gusts will occur in limited areas. The heavy, wet, snow and wind will cause power failures in many places.
AND WOULD YOU BELIEVE...........
The GFS forecast model showed a stalling snowstorm near NJ over a week ago? Who woulda thunk it would actually happen? I can't recall a stalling, looping, snowstorm since 1978.
Tuesday, February 23, 2010
Questions Abound on the Thursday to Friday Storm
A moderate amount of snow seems likely for Thursday night and Friday morning. The latest NWS forecast just went snowier.
Two of the forecast models are very aggressive showing as much as 6 inches or more. Would you believe 8 to 16 inches? It has to be mentioned at this point, but it is not in the forecast.
Today will be mostly rainy but, up county areas could get 4 to 6 inches of snow.
Two of the forecast models are very aggressive showing as much as 6 inches or more. Would you believe 8 to 16 inches? It has to be mentioned at this point, but it is not in the forecast.
Today will be mostly rainy but, up county areas could get 4 to 6 inches of snow.
Monday, February 22, 2010
Snow, ice, rain, Tuesday afternoon, snowy rainy mid- week, a rare snow event Thursday and Friday?
Tuesday, snow and ice, then rain.
Thursday and Friday a rare snowfall on a northwest wind may occur. High winds are possible over 50 mph! 2 to 4 inches is possible, according to Accuweather.com. The storm will move more or less backwards from out in the Atlantic Ocean and in toward New England and New York State. This is so unusual, that it is hard to believe that we will actually see it.
New Jersey will get only the fringe effects with light to moderate snow and very windy conditions.
To our north a very heavy snowfall seems likely along with heavy wind and power outages.
This is a very dynamic and changeable situation and the official forecasts should be watched closely. If it goes bust, then, we are off the hook.
Thursday and Friday a rare snowfall on a northwest wind may occur. High winds are possible over 50 mph! 2 to 4 inches is possible, according to Accuweather.com. The storm will move more or less backwards from out in the Atlantic Ocean and in toward New England and New York State. This is so unusual, that it is hard to believe that we will actually see it.
New Jersey will get only the fringe effects with light to moderate snow and very windy conditions.
To our north a very heavy snowfall seems likely along with heavy wind and power outages.
This is a very dynamic and changeable situation and the official forecasts should be watched closely. If it goes bust, then, we are off the hook.
WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY 4:17 pm. Monday
Accumulating snow, ice freezing rain from 8 pm tonight into tomorrow! Check the latest National Weather Service Forecast. Around an inch tonight and more tomorrow.
Bowling for Blizzards part II......... Updated 11:19 am, Monday.
WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY for the NJ Highlands from 7 pm tonight into tomorrow. Accumulating snow and ice will occur. Check the National Weather Service forecast for your location.
This week, will bring unsettled weather, with snow,mix and rain. Some snow and ice may accumulate, even in Northeast NJ. Stay tuned.....
Little accumulation is expected, unless you live way up in the hills. The NWS office in Albany, speculates 30 inches of snow in the Adirondacks Tuesday into Wednesday, above 1000 ft. elevation. Wow!
The weather goes downhill late Monday. If we do get substantial accumulating snow, it could happen later in the week.
There is low confidence in these forecasts, and last minute changes could occur, so don't be surprised.
On the Long range, 3 computer models show a major storm for early March, which would be next Tuesday and Wednesday, next week. Henry Margusity let it slip out, that this is the big storm he has been waiting for. Check his blog at AccuWeather.com.
We have an unusual weather pattern this week, and upstate NY and New England could get a lot of snow over many days. The storm is just going to sit and spin up there. A part of the polar vortex, is involved in this pattern and this is not often seen.
The 12 z GFS looks snowy for us, Thursday night and Friday. It shows an unusual northwest wind bringing in snow. An unlikely, but not impossible snow producer. The low center is sitting over the lower Hudson Valley then, Long Island. All this is very touch and go 4 to 5 days away.
Spring is on the way, but we are not there yet.
The map above is the Friday GFS from NOAA , READY. A most unusual day!
This week, will bring unsettled weather, with snow,mix and rain. Some snow and ice may accumulate, even in Northeast NJ. Stay tuned.....
Little accumulation is expected, unless you live way up in the hills. The NWS office in Albany, speculates 30 inches of snow in the Adirondacks Tuesday into Wednesday, above 1000 ft. elevation. Wow!
The weather goes downhill late Monday. If we do get substantial accumulating snow, it could happen later in the week.
There is low confidence in these forecasts, and last minute changes could occur, so don't be surprised.
On the Long range, 3 computer models show a major storm for early March, which would be next Tuesday and Wednesday, next week. Henry Margusity let it slip out, that this is the big storm he has been waiting for. Check his blog at AccuWeather.com.
We have an unusual weather pattern this week, and upstate NY and New England could get a lot of snow over many days. The storm is just going to sit and spin up there. A part of the polar vortex, is involved in this pattern and this is not often seen.
The 12 z GFS looks snowy for us, Thursday night and Friday. It shows an unusual northwest wind bringing in snow. An unlikely, but not impossible snow producer. The low center is sitting over the lower Hudson Valley then, Long Island. All this is very touch and go 4 to 5 days away.
Spring is on the way, but we are not there yet.
Saturday, February 20, 2010
Difficult forecasting for this week. Snow and rain or ice changing back and forth. An unsettled week of chilly weather ahead.
Sunday will be mostly sunny and rather mild by comparison to recent cold, breezy.
The stretch of tranquil weather will end Monday night and the rain/snow line will be very near our area as a low comes in from the west. A secondary low will form. So, we will be going back and forth between types of precipitation. Later in the week, yet another coastal low may affect us. Areas north and west will have the most snow. Some heavy snow is possible and the weather is unsettled, from Tuesday on.
Too early to say what may happen, although not much snow will accumulate, at least early on. Later in the week, will come the threat of snow.
An unusual retrograde motion, of a low near New England and a visit from the Polar Vortex, all will make for an interesting pattern of weather this week. A low will get stuck near or over New England.
The next 2 weeks look chilly and stormy.
Beware the ides of March. A large storm possible in early March.
The stretch of tranquil weather will end Monday night and the rain/snow line will be very near our area as a low comes in from the west. A secondary low will form. So, we will be going back and forth between types of precipitation. Later in the week, yet another coastal low may affect us. Areas north and west will have the most snow. Some heavy snow is possible and the weather is unsettled, from Tuesday on.
Too early to say what may happen, although not much snow will accumulate, at least early on. Later in the week, will come the threat of snow.
An unusual retrograde motion, of a low near New England and a visit from the Polar Vortex, all will make for an interesting pattern of weather this week. A low will get stuck near or over New England.
The next 2 weeks look chilly and stormy.
Beware the ides of March. A large storm possible in early March.
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