The same will push Maria OTS.
Friday, September 9, 2011
Tuesday, September 6, 2011
Heavy rainfall will produce moderate to major flooding.
New Tropical Depression 14 on a track similar to Irene and will need to be watched next week.
Flood waters expected to rise once again. Our rainiest summer on record.
From the NWS:
... Record setting rainfall for the climatological Summer of 2011
for Central Park...
... Despite record heat in July and above normal temperatures in June
the climatological Summer of 2011 was not one of the top ten warmest
Summers...
Central Park received a record 25.23 inches of rainfall for the
climatological Summer (which encompasses the months of
June... July... and august). This is almost twice the normal value
(13.45 inches)... and breaks the previous record of 22.40 inches set
back in 1975. This comes after both June and July were actually
below normal. In June... 3.25 inches fell. Normal for June is 3.84
inches. In July... 3.03 inches fell and the normal value is 4.62.
Some significant dates where Central Park received heavy rainfall
were August 9th... 14th... 27th... and 28th. On August 9th... a
frontal system was moving through the area and 2.09 inches fell. On
the 14th 5.81 inches of rain fell due to an upper level disturbance
which allowed for torrential rainfall and flash flooding in an
around New York City. Finally... Tropical Storm Irene helped push the
Summer of 2011 into the record books by dumping 2.88 inches on the
27th... and 3.99 inches on the 28th. Irene helped to make August 2011
the wettest August on record. It also helped make August 2011 the
all time wettest month on record. Other locations that broke records:
Location... ... ... ... ... ... .Summer 2011 observed rainfall
LaGuardia... ... ... ... ... ... 24.11
JFK... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... 22.04
Newark... ... ... ... ... ... ... 23.57
Record heat occurred in July with the Mercury passing the century
mark on July 22nd with a record 104 degrees and setting another
record on the 23rd with 100 degrees. The average temperature in
August was 3.7 degrees above normal... pushing July 2011 into the
number 2 spot for warmest July. June was also above normal... by
1.1 degrees. Despite all this... the Summer of 2011 was not in any of
the top 10 warmest Summer on record. This is because August was only
slightly above normal by 0.1 degrees.
... Record setting rainfall for the climatological Summer of 2011
for Central Park...
... Despite record heat in July and above normal temperatures in June
the climatological Summer of 2011 was not one of the top ten warmest
Summers...
Central Park received a record 25.23 inches of rainfall for the
climatological Summer (which encompasses the months of
June... July... and august). This is almost twice the normal value
(13.45 inches)... and breaks the previous record of 22.40 inches set
back in 1975. This comes after both June and July were actually
below normal. In June... 3.25 inches fell. Normal for June is 3.84
inches. In July... 3.03 inches fell and the normal value is 4.62.
Some significant dates where Central Park received heavy rainfall
were August 9th... 14th... 27th... and 28th. On August 9th... a
frontal system was moving through the area and 2.09 inches fell. On
the 14th 5.81 inches of rain fell due to an upper level disturbance
which allowed for torrential rainfall and flash flooding in an
around New York City. Finally... Tropical Storm Irene helped push the
Summer of 2011 into the record books by dumping 2.88 inches on the
27th... and 3.99 inches on the 28th. Irene helped to make August 2011
the wettest August on record. It also helped make August 2011 the
all time wettest month on record. Other locations that broke records:
Location... ... ... ... ... ... .Summer 2011 observed rainfall
LaGuardia... ... ... ... ... ... 24.11
JFK... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... 22.04
Newark... ... ... ... ... ... ... 23.57
Record heat occurred in July with the Mercury passing the century
mark on July 22nd with a record 104 degrees and setting another
record on the 23rd with 100 degrees. The average temperature in
August was 3.7 degrees above normal... pushing July 2011 into the
number 2 spot for warmest July. June was also above normal... by
1.1 degrees. Despite all this... the Summer of 2011 was not in any of
the top 10 warmest Summer on record. This is because August was only
slightly above normal by 0.1 degrees.
Monday, September 5, 2011
Tropical update. Rainy weather ahead the next few days.
Saturday, September 3, 2011
Guess what? NJ is due for 2 to 4" of rain over the next 5 days.
Tropical Storm Lee, now in the Gulf states, will move up the east coast this week bringing a swath of 2 to 4" of rain. Certainly enough to halt the lowering of the flood waters. Still a little early to raise the alarms again.
Hurricane Katia, now far out in the Atlantic, may come as close as within 100 miles of Cape Hatteras before turning out to sea. A very close call. We don't need double trouble at this time!
Hurricane Katia, now far out in the Atlantic, may come as close as within 100 miles of Cape Hatteras before turning out to sea. A very close call. We don't need double trouble at this time!
Thursday, September 1, 2011
Hurricane Katia may approach very closely to the US before turning OTS.
Sunday, August 28, 2011
Another hurricane may be brewing for September.
This one called 92L, is only a tropical wave but may develop. It will most likely stay out at sea.
Saturday, August 27, 2011
55mph gust at Brigantine, NJ..... NWS Warnings
... Hurricane Warning remains in effect...
... Probability of tropical storm/hurricane conditions...
the chance for hurricane conditions at this time is 3 to
10 percent. Also... the chance for tropical storm conditions at
this time is up to 91 percent.
... Winds...
as Hurricane Irene approaches... sustained tropical storm force
winds are expected to begin late this evening... with hurricane
force winds developing early Sunday morning. Maximum winds are
forecast to be in the 55 to 75 mph range with gusts up to 85 mph.
Damaging winds are likely. Homes may have damage to shingles...
siding... gutters and windows... especially if these items are not
properly secured. Loose outdoor items will become airborne...
causing additional damage and possible injury. Power lines will
be knocked down by falling trees... resulting in widespread power
outages. Many large branches of trees will be snapped... and a
numerous trees will be uprooted.
... Tornadoes...
isolated tornadoes are possible across Long Island... coastal
Connecticut... and the New York City Metro area as intense rain
bands move in from the south tonight.
... Storm surge and storm tide...
storm surge is highly dependent on track... intensity... and speed
of the storm as it approaches the coast. The combined effects of
storm surge and storm tide pose a serious threat with several
feet of water inundation possible along coastal locations.
Based on the forecast track of Hurricane Irene... there is
potential for 4 to 8 feet of surge across western Long Island
Sound and New York Harbor... with 3 to 5 ft of surge along the
South Shore bays of Long Island and New York City... Peconic and
gardiners bays... and eastern Long Island from early Sunday
morning into early Sunday afternoon. These tidal conditions will
be aggravated by accompanying large... destructive... and life
threatening waves on top of the storm surge.
High tide across New York Harbor and the South Shore of western
Long Island is around 8 am Sunday. In a worst case scenario...
water levels of 8 to 10 ft above msl are possible.
High tide across western Long Island Sound is around 11 am
Sunday. In a worst case scenario... water levels of 10 to 11 ft
above msl are possible.
High tide across eastern Long Island Sound is around 9 am Sunday.
In a worst case scenario... water levels of 7 to 8 ft above msl
are possible.
There is a 10 percent chance of the worst case scenario.
... Inland flooding...
a Flood Watch is in effect for the entire area. Rainfall amounts
of 6 to 12 inches with locally higher amounts are expected. See
the latest forecast for the most updated information. Listen for
possible flood warnings for your location... and be ready to act
if flooding rains occur.
... Coastal hazards...
increasingly large swells arriving from Hurricane Irene will
create high surf... significant beach erosion and washovers along
the Atlantic facing coastline tonight into Monday.
Significant beach erosion is also likely along the coastline of
Long Island Sound and Peconic and gardiners bays due to the surge
and battering surf.
... Rip currents...
dangerous and life threatening rip currents are expected through
Monday.
... Probability of tropical storm/hurricane conditions...
the chance for hurricane conditions at this time is 3 to
10 percent. Also... the chance for tropical storm conditions at
this time is up to 91 percent.
... Winds...
as Hurricane Irene approaches... sustained tropical storm force
winds are expected to begin late this evening... with hurricane
force winds developing early Sunday morning. Maximum winds are
forecast to be in the 55 to 75 mph range with gusts up to 85 mph.
Damaging winds are likely. Homes may have damage to shingles...
siding... gutters and windows... especially if these items are not
properly secured. Loose outdoor items will become airborne...
causing additional damage and possible injury. Power lines will
be knocked down by falling trees... resulting in widespread power
outages. Many large branches of trees will be snapped... and a
numerous trees will be uprooted.
... Tornadoes...
isolated tornadoes are possible across Long Island... coastal
Connecticut... and the New York City Metro area as intense rain
bands move in from the south tonight.
... Storm surge and storm tide...
storm surge is highly dependent on track... intensity... and speed
of the storm as it approaches the coast. The combined effects of
storm surge and storm tide pose a serious threat with several
feet of water inundation possible along coastal locations.
Based on the forecast track of Hurricane Irene... there is
potential for 4 to 8 feet of surge across western Long Island
Sound and New York Harbor... with 3 to 5 ft of surge along the
South Shore bays of Long Island and New York City... Peconic and
gardiners bays... and eastern Long Island from early Sunday
morning into early Sunday afternoon. These tidal conditions will
be aggravated by accompanying large... destructive... and life
threatening waves on top of the storm surge.
High tide across New York Harbor and the South Shore of western
Long Island is around 8 am Sunday. In a worst case scenario...
water levels of 8 to 10 ft above msl are possible.
High tide across western Long Island Sound is around 11 am
Sunday. In a worst case scenario... water levels of 10 to 11 ft
above msl are possible.
High tide across eastern Long Island Sound is around 9 am Sunday.
In a worst case scenario... water levels of 7 to 8 ft above msl
are possible.
There is a 10 percent chance of the worst case scenario.
... Inland flooding...
a Flood Watch is in effect for the entire area. Rainfall amounts
of 6 to 12 inches with locally higher amounts are expected. See
the latest forecast for the most updated information. Listen for
possible flood warnings for your location... and be ready to act
if flooding rains occur.
... Coastal hazards...
increasingly large swells arriving from Hurricane Irene will
create high surf... significant beach erosion and washovers along
the Atlantic facing coastline tonight into Monday.
Significant beach erosion is also likely along the coastline of
Long Island Sound and Peconic and gardiners bays due to the surge
and battering surf.
... Rip currents...
dangerous and life threatening rip currents are expected through
Monday.
NY NJ Metro feeling early effects of Irene and many watches and warnings have been issued.
Grand Central Station closed tonight. Many NYC facilities and attractions are also closed.
FLOOD Warnings have already been issued.
Travel is not feasible for safety reasons.
FLOOD WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MT HOLLY NJ
406 PM EDT SAT AUG 27 2011
...THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MOUNT HOLLY NJ HAS ISSUED A FLOOD
WARNING FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN NEW JERSEY...PENNSYLVANIA...
DELAWARE...
ASSUNPINK CREEK AT TRENTON AFFECTING MERCER COUNTY
BRANDYWINE CREEK AT CHADDS FORD AFFECTING CHESTER AND DELAWARE
COUNTIES
BRANDYWINE CREEK AT WILMINGTON AFFECTING NEW CASTLE COUNTY
BRODHEAD CREEK AT MINISINK HILLS AFFECTING MONROE COUNTY
BUSH KILL AT SHOEMAKERS AFFECTING MONROE COUNTY
DELAWARE RIVER AT EASTON-PHILLIPSBURG BRIDGE AFFECTING WARREN...
NORTHAMPTON AND HUNTERDON COUNTIES
DELAWARE RIVER AT RIEGELSVILLE AFFECTING HUNTERDON...MERCER AND BUCKS
COUNTIES
DELAWARE RIVER AT FRENCHTOWN AFFECTING HUNTERDON AND BUCKS COUNTIES
DELAWARE RIVER AT STOCKTON AFFECTING HUNTERDON AND BUCKS COUNTIES
DELAWARE RIVER AT NEW HOPE-LAMBERTVILLE BRIDGE AFFECTING HUNTERDON...
MERCER AND BUCKS COUNTIES
DELAWARE RIVER AT WASHINGTON`S CROSSING AFFECTING HUNTERDON...MERCER
AND BUCKS COUNTIES
DELAWARE RIVER AT TRENTON AFFECTING MERCER AND BUCKS COUNTIES
LEHIGH RIVER AT WALNUTPORT AFFECTING LEHIGH AND NORTHAMPTON COUNTIES
LEHIGH RIVER AT BETHLEHEM AFFECTING LEHIGH AND NORTHAMPTON COUNTIES
MILLSTONE RIVER AT BLACKWELLS MILLS AFFECTING SOMERSET COUNTY
NESHAMINY CREEK AT LANGHORNE AFFECTING BUCKS COUNTY
PASSAIC RIVER AT MILLINGTON AFFECTING MORRIS AND SOMERSET COUNTIES
PASSAIC RIVER AT CHATHAM AFFECTING MORRIS AND SOMERSET COUNTIES
PASSAIC RIVER AT PINE BROOK AFFECTING ESSEX...MORRIS AND PASSAIC
COUNTIES
PASSAIC RIVER AT LITTLE FALLS AFFECTING ESSEX AND PASSAIC COUNTIES
PEQUANNOCK RIVER BELOW MACOPIN DAM AFFECTING MORRIS AND PASSAIC
COUNTIES
PERKIOMEN CREEK AT GRATERFORD AFFECTING MONTGOMERY COUNTY
POMPTON RIVER AT POMPTON PLAINS AFFECTING MORRIS AND PASSAIC COUNTIES
RAMAPO RIVER AT POMPTON LAKES AFFECTING BERGEN...MORRIS AND PASSAIC
COUNTIES
NORTH BRANCH RANCOCAS CREEK AT PEMBERTON AFFECTING BURLINGTON COUNTY
SOUTH BRANCH RARITAN RIVER AT STANTON AFFECTING HUNTERDON AND SOMERSET
COUNTIES
NORTH BRANCH RARITAN RIVER AT RARITAN AFFECTING SOMERSET COUNTY
RARITAN RIVER AT MANVILLE AFFECTING MIDDLESEX AND SOMERSET COUNTIES
RARITAN RIVER AT BOUND BROOK AFFECTING MIDDLESEX AND SOMERSET COUNTIES
ROCKAWAY RIVER AT BOONTON ABOVE THE RESERVOIR AFFECTING MORRIS COUNTY
ROCKAWAY RIVER AT BOONTON BELOW THE RESERVOIR AFFECTING MORRIS COUNTY
SCHUYLKILL RIVER AT POTTSTOWN AFFECTING MONTGOMERY COUNTY
SCHUYLKILL RIVER AT NORRISTOWN AFFECTING CHESTER...MONTGOMERY AND
PHILADELPHIA COUNTIES
SCHUYLKILL RIVER AT PHILADELPHIA AFFECTING PHILADELPHIA AND MONTGOMERY
COUNTIES
THESE WARNINGS ARE BASED ON OBSERVED RAINFALL THROUGH 1 PM SATURDAY, PLUS
ADDITIONAL RAIN OF UP TO 8 INCHES IN SOME AREAS INTO SUNDAY AFTERNOON.
WHILE THE CONFIDENCE LEVEL IN THESE RIVER FORECASTS IS HIGH BASED ON CURRENT
RADAR DATA, CURRENT RAIN GAGE DATA, AND CURRENT TRACK FORECASTS ASSOCIATED
WITH HURRICANE IRENE, IF LESS RAIN FALLS BETWEEN NOW AND SUNDAY
AFTERNOON, THESE RIVER FORECASTS WILL BE LOWER.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
SAFETY MESSAGE...DO NOT ATTEMPT TO DRIVE THROUGH FLOODED AREAS. THE
WATER MAY BE DEEPER THAN YOU THINK.
&&
NJC013-027-031-280205-
/O.NEW.KPHI.FL.W.0102.110828T1200Z-000000T0000Z/
/PINN4.3.ER.110828T1200Z.110830T1200Z.000000T0000Z.NR/
406 PM EDT SAT AUG 27 2011
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MOUNT HOLLY NJ HAS ISSUED A
* FLOOD WARNING FOR
THE PASSAIC RIVER AT PINE BROOK.
* FROM SUNDAY MORNING UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS
CANCELLED.
* AT 3:00 PM SATURDAY THE STAGE WAS 16.3 FEET.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 19.0 FEET.
* MAJOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY TOMORROW MORNING AND CONTINUE TO
RISE TO NEAR 23.0 FEET BY TUESDAY MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 22.0 FEET...FLOODING STRETCHES UP TO THE SOUTHERN PORTIONS
ON MONTVILLE. LOWER HOOK MOUNTAIN ROAD IS SUBJECT TO CLOSURES.
$$
Flood Warning
Friday, August 26, 2011
Tropical Floater Two Rainbow Imagery Loop (Flash) - Satellite Services Division/Office of Satellite Data Processing and Distribution
Tropical Floater Two Rainbow Imagery Loop (Flash) - Satellite Services Division/Office of Satellite Data Processing and Distribution
Flash video of Irene from the NHC.
Flash video of Irene from the NHC.
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