Wednesday, November 30, 2011
A Shift to a Colder Pattern?
The first signs of a shift to more seasonal temperatures appears to be setting up in about 7 to 10 days. Not severe cold, just more near normal. The very warm temps are already easing off. As so for snow it is wait and see.
Most forecasters are looking for a moderate winter, with about a 50% less chance of snow than last year, but there are a few who favor a turn to a cold and snowy pattern later in December.
My own sense so far, is for an easier winter this year. Plenty of moisture though, less snowy.
Most forecasters are looking for a moderate winter, with about a 50% less chance of snow than last year, but there are a few who favor a turn to a cold and snowy pattern later in December.
My own sense so far, is for an easier winter this year. Plenty of moisture though, less snowy.
Thursday, November 24, 2011
Friday, November 18, 2011
The Best #OWS Anthem For Our Times: We Are The Many, By Makana
The Best #OWS Anthem For Our Times: We Are The Many, By Makana
A very talented young artist explains Occupy Wall Street.
AccuWeather.com - Meteo Madness | Snow to Hit from Wyoming to Minnesota; Northeast Snow Next Week
AccuWeather.com - Meteo Madness | Snow to Hit from Wyoming to Minnesota; Northeast Snow Next Week
HENRY THINKS THAT 3"+ of SNOW POSSIBLE TUES. / WED. NEXT WEEK!
HENRY THINKS THAT 3"+ of SNOW POSSIBLE TUES. / WED. NEXT WEEK!
SNOW/RAIN POSSIBLE WITH YOUR TURKEY ! ! !
We are back to computer model watching again. Click on " home" below for more.
Wednesday, November 16, 2011
Government of the people, by the people, for the people. Abraham Lincoln.
The words of President Lincoln are as important to American government as anything in the Constitution or the Declaration of Independence. Now we see that Congress has an APPROVAL RATING OF 9% in the opinion polls. All the citizens are in agreement, the government is not working.
This is what OCCUPY WALL STREET is all about. We have all seen what voting in the elections has produced. Nothing. The influence of big business, big banks and Wall Street trumps anything that the public may want.
I support Occupy Wall Street 100% and I hope that you will consider doing the same.
Government of the People
The end of Massive Unemployment
A more just distribution of America's wealth
Ending the" bought off " Congress.
These are the things Occupy Wall Street wants.
Nothing could be clearer.
This is what OCCUPY WALL STREET is all about. We have all seen what voting in the elections has produced. Nothing. The influence of big business, big banks and Wall Street trumps anything that the public may want.
I support Occupy Wall Street 100% and I hope that you will consider doing the same.
Government of the People
The end of Massive Unemployment
A more just distribution of America's wealth
Ending the" bought off " Congress.
These are the things Occupy Wall Street wants.
Nothing could be clearer.
Tuesday, November 15, 2011
Wednesday, November 9, 2011
Friday, November 4, 2011
Fearless Winter Forecast ( early outlook )
I usually like to wait until late November, but I have read enough to make a stab at it now. Looking at Weatherundergrounds Blizzard 92, WxRisk Dave Toleris, NWS, Accuweather and the Farmers Almanac, I have distilled my own forecast which may change after Thanksgiving, but here is how it looks so far. There have been early snows and cold in Siberia and Canada. This will give us a rough early winter. There is a LaNina, in the Pacific. It usually causes a milder east coast winter. A southeast ridge develops in such years which pumps warmer air up the East Coast. But the early winter can be cold and snowy then flip over to milder.
I expect the early winter to be cold and snowy but then it will most likely turn mild in January and tend to remain mild. The worst winter conditions should be in the Mid West and Great Lakes.The East Coast will be variable, tending toward milder later in the winter.
Having said that, this is close to the forecast for last winter. We know that turned out cold and snowy just about all the way through.
It does not seem likely that South Jersey and SE Penna. will be the center for snow, not this year. Notice the Halloween storm clobbered Northern NJ and Southern New England and that should be the pattern.
Temperatures should be slightly below normal.
To sum up , a cold snowy start then more variable and milder in mid to late winter. Also, more icing conditions are likely this year. The old snow, sleet, freezing rain mix, may return this year.
I expect the early winter to be cold and snowy but then it will most likely turn mild in January and tend to remain mild. The worst winter conditions should be in the Mid West and Great Lakes.The East Coast will be variable, tending toward milder later in the winter.
Having said that, this is close to the forecast for last winter. We know that turned out cold and snowy just about all the way through.
It does not seem likely that South Jersey and SE Penna. will be the center for snow, not this year. Notice the Halloween storm clobbered Northern NJ and Southern New England and that should be the pattern.
Temperatures should be slightly below normal.
To sum up , a cold snowy start then more variable and milder in mid to late winter. Also, more icing conditions are likely this year. The old snow, sleet, freezing rain mix, may return this year.
Sunday, October 30, 2011
STORM TOTALS FROM NOAA
THE FOLLOWING ARE UNOFFICIAL OBSERVATIONS TAKEN DURING THE RECENT
STORM THAT HAS BEEN AFFECTING OUR REGION. APPRECIATION IS EXTENDED
TO HIGHWAY DEPARTMENTS...COOPERATIVE OBSERVERS...SKYWARN SPOTTERS
AND MEDIA FOR THESE REPORTS. THIS SUMMARY IS ALSO AVAILABLE ON OUR
HOME PAGE AT WEATHER.GOV/NYC
...RECORD OCTOBER SNOWFALL AMOUNT SET FOR CENTRAL PARK NY...
CENTRAL PARK RECORDED 2.9 INCHES OF SNOWFALL DURING THE RECENT STORM.
SINCE SNOWFALL RECORDS BEGAN IN 1869...AN INCH OF SNOWFALL HAS NEVER BEEN
RECORDED IN THE MONTH OF OCTOBER. THE LAST TWO TIMES THAT MEASURABLE SNOW
FELL IN THE MONTH OF OCTOBER WAS...OCTOBER 21 1952 WITH 0.5 INCHES AND
OCTOBER 30 1925 WITH 0.8 INCHES. THEREFORE...THIS BREAKS THE DAILY
RECORD FOR SNOWFALL IN OCTOBER AND THE MOST SNOWFALL EVER RECORDED
IN THE MONTH OF OCTOBER.
********************STORM TOTAL SNOWFALL********************
LOCATION STORM TOTAL TIME/DATE COMMENTS
SNOWFALL OF
/INCHES/ MEASUREMENT
CONNECTICUT
...FAIRFIELD COUNTY...
RIDGEFIELD 15.5 1015 PM 10/29 PUBLIC
DANBURY 13.2 900 PM 10/29 SKYWARN SPOTTER
SHELTON 8.5 945 PM 10/29 PUBLIC
MONROE 7.0 249 PM 10/29 PUBLIC
GREENWICH 7.0 630 PM 10/29 SKYWARN SPOTTER
BROOKFIELD 6.0 500 PM 10/29 SKYWARN SPOTTER
NEWTOWN 5.0 323 PM 10/29 SKYWARN SPOTTER
NORWALK 4.5 945 PM 10/29 PUBLIC
DARIEN 3.5 559 PM 10/29 SKYWARN SPOTTER
BRIDGEPORT 2.5 800 PM 10/29 COOP OBSERVER
STAMFORD 2.0 145 PM 10/29 SKYWARN SPOTTER
STRATFORD 1.3 119 PM 10/29 PUBLIC
...MIDDLESEX COUNTY...
HADDAM 2.0 523 PM 10/29 PUBLIC
...NEW HAVEN COUNTY...
OXFORD 12.3 1230 AM 10/30 SKYWARN SPOTTER
SEYMOUR 7.0 457 PM 10/29 PUBLIC
NORTH HAVEN 6.7 705 PM 10/29 SKYWARN SPOTTER
MERIDEN 4.0 412 PM 10/29 PUBLIC
NEW HAVEN 1.1 233 PM 10/29 PUBLIC
EAST DERBY 1.0 234 PM 10/29 PUBLIC
NEW JERSEY
...BERGEN COUNTY...
TENAFLY 5.8 1100 PM 10/29 PUBLIC
SADDLE BROOK 4.8 800 PM 10/29 SKYWARN SPOTTER
RIDGEWOOD 4.7 800 PM 10/29 SKYWARN SPOTTER
RAMSEY 4.2 800 PM 10/29 SKYWARN SPOTTER
MIDLAND PARK 4.0 336 PM 10/29 PUBLIC
RIDGEFIELD 4.0 130 PM 10/29 PUBLIC
DUMONT 3.0 319 PM 10/29 NWS EMPLOYEE
RIVERVALE 2.5 245 PM 10/29 COOP OBSERVER
WYCKOFF 1.9 800 PM 10/29 SKYWARN SPOTTER
GARFIELD 1.2 138 PM 10/29 SKYWARN SPOTTER
...ESSEX COUNTY...
NORTH CALDWELL 12.0 1000 PM 10/29 SKYWARN SPOTTER
WEST ORANGE 8.0 945 PM 10/29 SKYWARN SPOTTER
VERONA 7.5 830 PM 10/29 OBSERVER
BLOOMFIELD 6.3 815 PM 10/29 SKYWARN SPOTTER
MONTCLAIR 6.0 1000 PM 10/29 PUBLIC
CEDAR GROVE 5.3 452 PM 10/29 PUBLIC
NEWARK AIRPORT 5.2 200 AM 10/30 FAA CONTRACT OBSERVER
BELLEVILLE 4.9 516 PM 10/29 SKYWARN SPOTTER
...HUDSON COUNTY...
HARRISON 4.0 1015 PM 10/29 SKYWARN SPOTTER
KEARNY 4.0 1200 AM 10/30 PUBLIC
HOBOKEN 1.0 333 PM 10/29 SKYWARN SPOTTER
...PASSAIC COUNTY...
WEST MILFORD 19.0 1020 PM 10/29 SKYWARN SPOTTER - 1100 FT
RINGWOOD 10.5 830 PM 10/29 SKYWARN SPOTTER - 900 FT
WAYNE 7.0 600 PM 10/29 SKYWARN SPOTTER
HAWTHORNE 4.5 1217 AM 10/30 SKYWARN SPOTTER
...UNION COUNTY...
ROSELLE PARK 4.8 532 PM 10/29 SKYWARN SPOTTER
ELIZABETH 3.8 1000 PM 10/29 SKYWARN SPOTTER
NEW YORK
...BRONX COUNTY...
FIELDSTON 6.0 1155 PM 10/29 PUBLIC
BRONX 2.2 421 PM 10/29 PUBLIC
...KINGS COUNTY...
SHEEPSHEAD BAY 2.1 1045 PM 10/29 SKYWARN SPOTTER
MARINE PARK 1.5 600 PM 10/29 PUBLIC
...NASSAU COUNTY...
MINEOLA 4.0 503 PM 10/29 SKYWARN SPOTTER
NORTH MASSAPEQUA 2.1 1230 AM 10/30 PUBLIC
...NEW YORK COUNTY...
CENTRAL PARK 2.9 200 AM 10/30 CENTRAL PARK ZOO
NEW YORK 1.8 254 PM 10/29 PUBLIC AT W 85TH ST
...ORANGE COUNTY...
HARRIMAN 16.0 1220 AM 10/30 SKYWARN SPOTTER
MONROE 12.0 915 PM 10/29 PUBLIC
MIDDLETOWN 12.0 1200 AM 10/30 PUBLIC
HIGHLAND MILLS 12.0 1020 PM 10/29 PUBLIC
NEW WINDSOR 11.5 1215 AM 10/30 PUBLIC
CORNWALL LANDING 11.5 1126 PM 10/29 SKYWARN SPOTTER
CHESTER 10.7 555 PM 10/29 PUBLIC
TUXEDO PARK 10.3 944 PM 10/29 PUBLIC
NEWBURGH 8.7 1016 PM 10/29 SKYWARN SPOTTER
BLOOMING GROVE 8.3 556 PM 10/29 SKYWARN SPOTTER
WARWICK 8.0 448 PM 10/29 SKYWARN SPOTTER
GARDNERVILLE 7.5 930 PM 10/29 PUBLIC
GOSHEN 5.0 345 PM 10/29 EMERGENCY MANAGER
GREENWOOD LAKE 3.0 248 PM 10/29 PUBLIC
SOUTH BLOOMING GROVE 3.0 226 PM 10/29 SKYWARN SPOTTER
...PUTNAM COUNTY...
KENT CLIFFS 12.0 1000 PM 10/29 PUBLIC - 650 FT
BREWSTER 7.0 956 PM 10/29 SKYWARN SPOTTER
MAHOPAC 6.5 432 PM 10/29 PUBLIC
PUTNAM VALLEY 1.5 247 PM 10/29 COOP OBSERVER
...QUEENS COUNTY...
ASTORIA 2.0 1100 PM 10/29 PUBLIC
NYC/LA GUARDIA 1.7 200 AM 10/30 FAA CONTRACT OBSERVER
NYC/JFK AIRPORT 1.5 200 AM 10/30 FAA CONTRACT OBSERVER
HOWARD BEACH 0.5 700 PM 10/29 SKYWARN SPOTTER
...RICHMOND COUNTY...
BAY TERRACE 3.5 1230 AM 10/30 SKYWARN SPOTTER
ANNADALE 2.4 945 PM 10/29 PUBLIC
ELTINGVILLE 0.5 100 PM 10/29 PUBLIC
...ROCKLAND COUNTY...
TALLMAN 5.5 435 PM 10/29 PUBLIC
NEW CITY 5.0 420 PM 10/29 PUBLIC
STONY POINT 4.0 1100 PM 10/29 SKYWARN SPOTTER
...SUFFOLK COUNTY...
OAKDALE 0.3 208 PM 10/29 PUBLIC
ISLIP AIRPORT 0.3 200 AM 10/30 FAA CONTRACT OBSERVER
UPTON 0.2 200 AM 10/30 NWS OFFICE
MOUNT SINAI T 600 PM 10/29 PUBLIC
HOLBROOK T 200 AM 10/30 PUBLIC
...WESTCHESTER COUNTY...
ARMONK 12.5 1230 AM 10/30 PUBLIC
SOMERS 12.0 1100 PM 10/29 PUBLIC
SCARSDALE 10.0 1200 AM 10/30 SKYWARN SPOTTER
WHITE PLAINS 7.5 823 PM 10/29 PUBLIC
YONKERS 7.0 1220 AM 10/30 PUBLIC
MOUNT KISCO 7.0 905 PM 10/29 PUBLIC
MAMARONECK 7.0 800 PM 10/29 PUBLIC
HASTINGS-ON-HUDSON 6.5 1200 AM 10/30 PUBLIC
VALHALLA 5.0 300 PM 10/29 PUBLIC
VERNON PARK 4.0 255 PM 10/29 SKYWARN SPOTTER
RYE 2.5 113 PM 10/29 PUBLIC
***********************PEAK WIND GUST***********************
LOCATION MAX WIND TIME/DATE COMMENTS
GUST OF
MPH MEASUREMENT
CONNECTICUT
...FAIRFIELD COUNTY...
BRIDGEPORT AIRPORT 36 725 PM 10/29 ASOS
...NEW HAVEN COUNTY...
NEW HAVEN 38 738 PM 10/29 ASOS
...NEW LONDON COUNTY...
GROTON 38 1110 PM 10/29 ASOS
NEW JERSEY
...ESSEX COUNTY...
NEWARK AIRPORT 30 630 PM 10/29 ASOS
NEW YORK
...NEW YORK COUNTY...
CENTRAL PARK 30 1100 AM 10/29 ASOS
...QUEENS COUNTY...
NYC/LA GUARDIA 37 1105 AM 10/29 ASOS
KENNEDY AIRPORT 35 500 PM 10/29 ASOS
...SUFFOLK COUNTY...
WESTHAMPTON 49 746 PM 10/29 ASOS
ISLIP AIRPORT 46 504 PM 10/29 ASOS
SHIRLEY AIRPORT 43 1007 PM 10/29 ASOS
EAST FARMINGDALE 40 541 PM 10/29 ASOS
...WESTCHESTER COUNTY...
WHITE PLAINS 31 809 PM 10/29 ASOS
Saturday, October 29, 2011
Very astute observations by WxRisk.com last week: An intense blizzard hit Siberia, the snow cover over Northern Canada had increased to above normal.
These observation lead DT to speculate that a cold, snowy start to our winter would likely follow. Also a polar vortex established itself over eastern Canada. But will this hold for most of the winter? Wait and see.
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