Record 13 foot storm surge at the Battery, New York City.

U of Wisconsin satellite image

Major flood now in progress at Tuckerton, NJ

Over 8 feet above MLW at Little Egg inlet.
Ocean City flooded from sea to the bay.
LBI much flooding
Atlantic City serious flooding. morning 10/29

Coastal Flood Estimates as of 7:45 pm. Revised upward.

... NY Harbor water levels for Monday evening...

Coastal... ... ... ... time of... ... forecast total... ..Flood... ..
Location... ... ... ..high Tide... ..Water level... ... .category..
... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ..(Mllw)... ... ... ... ... ... ..

The Battery NYC... ..813 PM... ... ... 11.7... ... ... ... .Major... .
Bergen Point NY... ..814 PM... ... ... 12.3... ... ... ... .Major... .

... Western l.I. Sound water levels for Monday night...

Coastal... ... ... ... time of... ... forecast total... ..Flood... ..
Location... ... ... ..high Tide... ..Water level... ... .category..
... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ..(Mllw)... ... ... ... ... ... ..

Kings Point NY... ... 1227 am... ... ..16.6... ... ... ... .Major... .
Lattingtown NY... ... 1205 am... ... ..16.7... ... ... ... .Major... .
Stamford CT... ... ... 1201 am... ... ..16.4... ... ... ... .Major... .
Bridgeport CT... ... .1158 PM... ... ..15.9... ... ... ... .Major... .
New Haven CT... ... ..1157 PM... ... ..15.3... ... ... ... .Major... .

Jersey Central Power and Light, power outages

http://outages.firstenergycorp.com/nj.html

PSE&G Power Outages on Twitterhttp://twitter.com/psegdelivers

http://twitter.com/psegdelivers

click on orange wording

National Weather Service , Mt. Holly, NJ Storm Sandy.

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MOUNT HOLLY HAS CANCELLED THE
HIGH SURF ADVISORY.

* LOCATION...THE ATLANTIC COAST OF NEW JERSEY AND DELAWARE.

* COASTAL FLOODING...MAJOR COASTAL FLOODING IS FORECAST FOR THE
  MONDAY MORNING AND MONDAY EVENING HIGH TIDES. MODERATE COASTAL
  FLOODING IS FORECAST FOR THIS EVENINGS HIGH TIDE AND WIDESPREAD
  MINOR FLOODING IS EXPECTED WITH THIS MORNINGS HIGH TIDE CYCLE.

* HIGH SURF OF 15 TO 20 FEET DRIVEN BY FREQUENT 50 TO 60 MPH WIND
  GUSTS WILL CONTRIBUTE TO THE FLOODING ON MONDAY...ESPECIALLY
  MONDAY EVENING.

* A 4 TO 8 FEET STORM SURGE COINCIDING WITH THE MONDAY EVENING
  HIGH TIDE IS LIKELY TO PRODUCE A RECORD FLOOD AS MEASURED AT
  SANDY HOOK...POSSIBLY 1 TO 2 FEET HIGHER THAN EVER RECORDED
  SINCE STORM TIDE RECORDS BEGAN AROUND THE 1940S.

* AT SANDY HOOK... NEW JERSEY (SANDY HOOK BAY)... THIS EVENINGS
  HIGH TIDE OCCURS AT 741 PM... WITH A FORECAST TIDE LEVEL OF 7.5
  TO 8.0 FEET ABOVE MEAN LOWER LOW WATER. THE MONDAY MORNING HIGH
  TIDE OCCURS AT 801 AM... WITH A FORECAST TIDE LEVEL OF 9.0 TO
  9.5 FEET ABOVE MEAN LOWER LOW WATER. THE MONDAY EVENING HIGH
  TIDE OCCURS AT 822 PM...WITH A FORECAST TIDE LEVEL OF BETWEEN
  10.5 AND 12.0 FEET...THIS LATTER PROJECTION SPECIFIC WITH THE
  PATH OF SANDY CROSSING THE NEW JERSEY COAST LATE MONDAY EVENING.

Latest Flood estimate, Storm Surge at the Battery, New York, NY.

One model shows an 11 foot total surge.  The other model is about 8 inches less.  There is a 10% chance these figures will be exceeded.  The first high tide is Monday morning, the second and larger tide is Monday evening.  These heights would exceed the sea wall in the area of lower Manhattan.  Subways will flood unless they are successfully sand bagged.

Some minor flooding could occur Sunday evening.  The worst storm surge and winds will occur Monday night.

To view the Stevens Tech. report click the link colored in orange.

http://hudson.dl.stevens-tech.edu/SSWS/d/index.shtml?station=N017r

From Weatherunderground:

Last night's 9:30 pm EDT H*Wind analysis from NOAA's Hurricane Research Division put the destructive potential of Sandy's winds at a modest 2.6 on a scale of 0 to 6. However, the destructive potential of the storm surge was exceptionally high: 5.7 on a scale of 0 to 6. This is a higher destructive potential than any hurricane observed between 1969 - 2005, including Category 5 storms like Katrina, Rita, Wilma, Camille, and Andrew. The previous highest destructive potential for storm surge was 5.6 on a scale of 0 to 6, set during Hurricane Isabel of 2003. Sandy is now forecast to bring a near-record storm surge of 6 - 11 feet to Northern New Jersey and Long Island Sound, including the New York City Harbor. While Sandy's storm surge will be nowhere near as destructive as Katrina's, the storm surge does have the potential to cause many billions of dollars in damage if it hits near high tide at 9 pm EDT on Monday. The full moon is on Monday, which means astronomical high tide will be about 5% higher than the average high tide for the month. This will add another 2 - 3" to water levels. Fortunately, Sandy is now predicted to make a fairly rapid approach to the coast, meaning that the peak storm surge will not affect the coast for multiple high tide cycles. Sandy's storm surge will be capable of overtopping the flood walls in Manhattan, which are only five feet above mean sea level. On August 28, 2011, Tropical Storm Irene brought a storm surge of 4.13' to Battery Park on the south side of Manhattan. The waters poured over the flood walls into Lower Manhattan, but came 8 - 12" shy of being able to flood the New York City subway system. According to the latest storm surge forecast for NYC from NHC, Sandy's storm surge is expected to be several feet higher than Irene's. If the peak surge arrives near Monday evening's high tide at 9 pm EDT, a portion of New York City's subway system could flood, resulting in billions of dollars in damage. I give a 50% chance that Sandy's storm surge will end up flooding a portion of the New York City subway system.

Flood Times Estimate for The Battery , New York City

Minor to moderate flooding at 9 am, 10/29, Monday.

Moderate flooding at 11pm, 10/29, Monday.

Winds 30 to 50 mph,  max gusts to 70 mph.  ( NWS estimate )

 http://hudson.dl.stevens-tech.edu/SSWS/d/index.shtml?station=N017

http://hudson.dl.stevens-tech.edu/SSWS/d/index.shtml?station=N017   (click on orange words, to view)

Looks like 6 to 12" higher than Irene.

Sandy may bring in water a foot higher than last years storm.  It could flood part of the NYC subway system.

Updates: Sandy's Catastrophic Impacts on the Northeast

Updates: Sandy's Catastrophic Impacts on the Northeast

Very Dangerous Sandy now 54 hours from Landfall.

Showing an intensity similar to the 1993 Superstorm.

NWS BRIEFING ON SANDY: no changes to previous brief, executive summary below this post.

Changes from previous briefing
•    No significant changes from previous briefing package.
•    Confidence continues to increase that our region will see very severe impacts from this storm.

Issued Friday, Oct. 26, 2012

Applies to New Jersey and Pennsylvania from Mount Holly Office, National Weather Service.

High winds and heavy rain are expected on Monday and Tuesday, but the track and intensity of Sandy are still in doubt. It has shifted more to the NJ area this afternoon.

AccuWeather.com Election Coverage: Sandy May Pose Threat to East Coast Voters

AccuWeather.com Election Coverage: Sandy May Pose Threat to East Coast Voters

click on the orange words to read and view video.

LATEST from NOAA is that Northern NJ will be in the 6 to 8 inch rainfall zone!