Monday, December 31, 2012
Cold for this week but then a milding trend in the East, for January
After watching DT from Wxrisk .com, it looks like we will develop another mild spell. Do your skiing now.
The cold will hold until about January 8th. About the 12th, expect rain.
The cold will hold until about January 8th. About the 12th, expect rain.
Saturday, December 29, 2012
Snow totals for New York / New Jersey Metro
Connecticut
... Fairfield County...
Bridgeport 0.8 100 PM 12/29 coop observer
... New Haven County...
New Haven 1.8 439 PM 12/29 Skywarn spotter
Wallingford 0.8 356 PM 12/29 Skywarn spotter
... New London County...
Ledyard Center 1.0 437 PM 12/29 Skywarn spotter
New Jersey
... Bergen County...
Ridgewood 2.1 401 PM 12/29 Skywarn spotter
Rivervale 2.0 439 PM 12/29 public
... Essex County...
Cedar Grove 2.7 438 PM 12/29 public
Millburn 2.0 200 PM 12/29 public
West Orange 1.7 200 PM 12/29 public
Newark Airport 1.1 430 PM 12/29 FAA contract observer
... Hudson County...
Harrison 1.0 253 PM 12/29 Skywarn spotter
... Passaic County...
Haskell 3.0 408 PM 12/29 Skywarn spotter
Ringwood 2.4 415 PM 12/29 Skywarn spotter
... Union County...
Union 1.5 253 PM 12/29 Skywarn spotter
Elizabeth 1.4 200 PM 12/29 Skywarn spotter
New York
... New York County...
Central Park T 100 PM 12/29 Central Park Zoo
... Orange County...
Middletown 4.1 440 PM 12/29 public
Greenville 3.5 355 PM 12/29 Skywarn spotter
south Blooming Grove 1.3 236 PM 12/29 Skywarn spotter
... Queens County...
NYC/La Guardia 0.1 430 PM 12/29 FAA contract observer
NYC/JFK Airport T 430 PM 12/29 FAA contract observer
... Rockland County...
New City 1.4 401 PM 12/29 Skywarn spotter
Congers 0.8 200 PM 12/29 Skywarn spotter
... Westchester County...
Somers 1.0 120 PM 12/29 public
NY NJ PA WEATHER .com Comment from Steve D.
Good chance that we will EXCEED snowfall forecast> None of the models predicted this to happen.
Latest NAM shows Northeast NJ in the 4 to 7" snow zone.
You just wait and watch to see what we get. The snow is light to moderate in many areas.
Looks like New Jersey is in the dry slot. That means less snow. @ 6 AM.
This could be temporary until the low hits the coastline and intensifies. Radar will show by late morning if the snow will really get going or not.
The dark patch over AL,GA.NC,VA,MD is dry air headed toward NJ. The white patch over SC,NC VA coastline is the developing storm. Which will affect NJ today? So far, looks like the 2 disturbances are not joining or phasing.
Friday, December 28, 2012
Light to Moderate Snowfall Saturday , ONSET 7am to 10 am in Northern New Jersey, New York City Metro. Active weather pattern continues with colder conditions as the New Year approaches.
Mostly a 2 to 4 inch snow is likely. There have been some indications , that the weather system will phase a little sooner than thought earlier. If so, accumulations could be higher. ( 4 to 6" ) The scientific method employed for this forecast was that I looked at the map with the most snow on it, and wrote that into this blog. The NAM is snowier at this the 12Z run.
A January 2,3 snow is possible according to DT at Wxrisk .com and on Facebook. There is no sign of it, at this time on the GFS or Euro.
I take that back, GFS adds another 4" snow on top of what we have, about Jan. 2nd. Hooray!
A January 2,3 snow is possible according to DT at Wxrisk .com and on Facebook. There is no sign of it, at this time on the GFS or Euro.
I take that back, GFS adds another 4" snow on top of what we have, about Jan. 2nd. Hooray!
Wednesday, December 26, 2012
Storm throws a hard punch in Northern New Jersey!
Starting between 2 and 3 pm, the snow very quickly began falling at a heavy pace. Roadways were quickly coated and hazardous and as is usual, it was hard to find a salt truck. It struck just as rush hour was beginning. Heavy snow and wind produced conditions reminiscent of past blizzards. A quick one inch coating was put down before sleet began mixing in around 4 pm. Temperatures hovered near 30 degrees, but were expected to rise after nightfall.
A 2-3" accumulation was common, up to 6" in NW Jersey. A foot or more in Ski Country up North.
A 2-3" accumulation was common, up to 6" in NW Jersey. A foot or more in Ski Country up North.
Monday, December 24, 2012
December 26, 27th, storm, ONSET for North Jersey about noon to 2 pm. Wednesday.
PS: It would not be a good idea to be on the road when this starts. Even though forecasts call for rain; ... ice or snow at the onset is possible. Exactly where you are in New Jersey/ New York Metro will be critical as to what weather to expect on Wednesday.
Wednesday, Caldwell, NJ. Forecast:
Mostly cloudy in the morning, then overcast with ice pellets and rain. High of 39F. Winds from the ENE at 5 to 15 mph. Chance of precipitation 80% .
Late update: NAM shows a big influx of warm air, if the other models follow through , the snow / ice threat is over. We shall see.
Awaiting our Christmas snow in Northern NJ
26th, 27th storm will be mostly snow only in north and west NJ. New Years storm still possible.
Early afternoon updated model run.
0Z Euro showed 8". Nah.
1 to 3 inches still looks like the best bet. Especially from Rte. 287 and Northwest. Flakes will be flying most places tonight.
7 pm: snowing in Edison, Scotch Plains, Basking Ridge, Carteret, Jersey City, New Brunswick, Rutherford, Andover, Freehold, Wayne.
MERRY CHRISTMAS!
Early afternoon updated model run.
0Z Euro showed 8". Nah.
1 to 3 inches still looks like the best bet. Especially from Rte. 287 and Northwest. Flakes will be flying most places tonight.
7 pm: snowing in Edison, Scotch Plains, Basking Ridge, Carteret, Jersey City, New Brunswick, Rutherford, Andover, Freehold, Wayne.
MERRY CHRISTMAS!
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