Fairly strong storm has formed in the coastal waters and is crawling north slowly.

North Jersey is right on the cusp of a major snow. It is time to look out the window , rather than rely on a forecast.

The snow is struggling to travel north and it may not ever get to you IF you are far enough north . It is snowing about as far as Staten Island, from reports at mid day.

Monday weather forecast, March 25.2013

Probably a modest snow ahead.

From NWS, Upton , NY:

The farther north solutions would result in a significant snow event 
for most of the region Monday into Monday evening...while the southern 
solution would result in a few inches of snow...highest amounts for 
the coast. Based on the model predictability issues mentioned above 
and a bit of support for the NAM/sref from the gefs members...can 
not rule out the sref/NAM solutions. But overall confidence in 
seeing several inches of snow is too low (<50 advisories="" at="" issue="" this="" time.="" to="">

Snow's Eventual Target: DC, Philadelphia, NYC

Snow's Eventual Target: DC, Philadelphia, NYC

Some snow, but not too much.  click ^ ^ ^ 

Will the next storm be a hit or a miss on Sunday and Monday?

Nobody seems to know.  Snow or rain, daytime or night time all must be factored in and there is still much uncertainty.  The models are trending to a more snow set up but very tenuously.

From Mt. Holly, NWS discussion:

" We basically are forecasting advisory level snowfall northwest of 
the I-95 corridor (where p-type is forecast to stay snow through the 
event) and and inch or less from the I-95 corridor south (where 
p-type may start as and end as snow). This preserves continuity and 
has a basis in the models we think are closest to the correct 
solution. The event starts on Sunday night and ends on Monday night. 
Winds on land will start to pick up on Monday as the secondary low 
strengthens off the coast, but we aren't expecting land advisory 
winds. Regarding temperatures, we have gone with a 
guidance/continuity blend on Sunday, Sunday night and Monday night, 
but have gone colder on Monday as we will be under the brunt of the 
complex system by then. "

************************************************************************* 

If nature conspires to produce all snow, some areas could see a foot. 

Cold Mid-Atlantic Weekend, Monday Morning Rush Hour Mess? - AccuWeather.com

Cold Mid-Atlantic Weekend, Monday Morning Rush Hour Mess? - AccuWeather.com

All the weather models seem to agree that the next storm will arrive early next week.

The details differ since it is still about a week away.  My own sense is that it will focus on VA and MD and / or New England.  New Jersey will still feel some effects.

Snow totals report New Jeresy, New York, Connecticut

storm total snowfall********************

Location storm total time/date comments
                     snowfall of
                     /inches/ measurement

Connecticut

... Fairfield County...
   Old Greenwich 2.0 843 PM 3/18 Skywarn spotter
   New Canaan 2.0 830 PM 3/18 Skywarn spotter
   Norwalk 1.5 837 PM 3/18 public
   Darien 1.5 812 PM 3/18 public
   Weston 1.5 815 PM 3/18 Skywarn spotter
   North Stamford 1.3 821 PM 3/18 public
   Trumbull 1.0 853 PM 3/18 public
   Bridgeport T 800 PM 3/18 coop observer

New Jersey

... Bergen County...
   Glen Rock 3.2 815 PM 3/18 public
   Ridgewood 3.0 800 PM 3/18 Skywarn spotter
   Fair Lawn 2.4 855 PM 3/18 public

... Essex County...
   Nutley 1.0 819 PM 3/18 broadcast media
   Newark Airport 0.8 800 PM 3/18 FAA contract observer

... Hudson County...
   Harrison 1.2 800 PM 3/18 Skywarn spotter

... Passaic County...
   Wayne 3.5 900 PM 3/18 Skywarn spotter
   West Milford 2.8 734 PM 3/18 Skywarn spotter - 1100 ft
   Clifton 2.5 849 PM 3/18 public

... Union County...
   Elizabeth 1.0 750 PM 3/18 Skywarn spotter

New York

... Bronx County...
   Bedford Park 1.5 743 PM 3/18 public

... Nassau County...
   Wantagh 2.1 840 PM 3/18 Skywarn spotter
   Levittown 1.5 850 PM 3/18 public
   Bellerose 1.5 838 PM 3/18 public

... New York (Manhattan) County...
   Central Park 1.8 800 PM 3/18 Central Park Zoo
   Greenwich Village 1.0 854 PM 3/18 public

... Orange County...
   Chester 2.5 800 PM 3/18 public
   Greenville 1.5 700 PM 3/18 Skywarn spotter

... Putnam County...
   Kent Cliffs 1.5 754 PM 3/18 public

... Queens County...
   Queens Village 2.0 846 PM 3/18 public
   Astoria 1.5 750 PM 3/18 public
   NYC/La Guardia 1.0 800 PM 3/18 FAA contract observer
   Middle Village 1.0 755 PM 3/18 public
   Bayside 1.0 837 PM 3/18 public
   NYC/JFK Airport 0.3 800 PM 3/18 FAA contract observer

... Richmond County...
   Staten Island 0.5 828 PM 3/18 public

... Rockland County...
   Nanuet 2.5 805 PM 3/18 public
   Suffern 2.0 751 PM 3/18 public
   Nyack 2.0 800 PM 3/18 public

... Suffolk County...
   Islip Airport T 800 PM 3/18 FAA contract observer

... Westchester County...
   Harrison 3.5 844 PM 3/18 public
   Scarsdale 2.5 800 PM 3/18 Skywarn spotter
   White Plains 2.0 836 PM 3/18 Skywarn spotter
   Somers 1.0 752 PM 3/18 public

6Z GFS forecast for next week. A monster storm.

This would be a 3 day Nor'easter!  But then, it could slide out to sea, instead.  Or, bring rain.

But, it is worth watching given the powerful blocking to our north.

WPC Weather Forecast for March 18, 2013

Forecast for March 19th: v v v

Virginia-to-Maine Snowstorm Taking Shape

Virginia-to-Maine Snowstorm Taking Shape

Get ready, get set,  click!  ^ ^ ^ 

Big buzz on weather geek gossip page.

Big storm brewing one week hence.  Snow is possible.

Forecast weather for Monday, March 18. 2013.

Snow/ rain mix for New York, New Jersey metro changing to plain rain.  Some ice / sleet possible.  New England gets heavy snow.

From Upton, NY, NWS:

 

There is still some uncertainty as to exactly how much snow/sleet 
will fall before change over to freezing rain...and how long the 
freezing rain will linger into Tuesday morning. Because of these 
uncertainties and that the freezing rain will be occurring during 
morning rush hour - have a 30 percent chance that a Winter Storm 
Warning could be needed - so will highlight this threat over the 
interior in the severe weather potential statement. 

Breakthrough photography.

http://www.accuweather.com/en/features/trend/deep_sea_tech_unveils_giant_sq/8112921

click link ^ ^ ^ 

Giant squid video in natural habitat.