Another January Thaw - Northeast U.S. Weather Blog Weather Blog

Another January Thaw - Northeast U.S. Weather Blog Weather Blog < click here.

Energy Records Broken in South Amid Deep Freeze

Energy Records Broken in South Amid Deep Freeze < click here.

Latest weather geek gossip. Mild, windy rainy Saturday and lookout for MLK weekend!

Saturday will bring very mild weather with a period of heavy rain and wind gusts up to 45 to 50 mph.

MLK weekend will bring a return of winter snows, cold and one guy even used the word blizzard!

We shall see.  But do not believe that winter is now over because of some mild weather in the coming days.  A January thaw?

Enjoy the thaw for the next week.  It may not last.

Strong winds with temperatures near zero.

... Wind Advisory remains in effect from 9 PM this evening to 6 PM
EST Tuesday...

* locations... New York City... Long Island... northeast New Jersey and
portions of the lower Hudson Valley.

* Hazards... strong winds.

* Winds... west 25 to 35 mph with gusts up to 50 mph.

* Timing... strong winds will develop late this evening and
continue into Tuesday afternoon. The highest winds are expected
between midnight and 8 am.

* Impacts... difficult driving conditions in strong winds.

Precautionary/preparedness actions...

A Wind Advisory is issued when sustained winds of 31 to 39 mph...
or gusts of 46 to 57 mph... are expected or occurring. Winds this
strong can make driving difficult... especially for high profile
vehicles. Use extra caution.

Extreme Cold to Challenge All-Time Record Lows? - The WeatherMatrix Blog Weather Blog

Extreme Cold to Challenge All-Time Record Lows? - The WeatherMatrix Blog Weather Blog < click here.

All Minnesota Public Schools Closed Monday Due to Cold

All Minnesota Public Schools Closed Monday Due to Cold < click here.

Coldest Air in 20 Years to Aim at Nation's Heartland

Coldest Air in 20 Years to Aim at Nation's Heartland< click here.

Possible Record Cold in the days ahead, but what about the past?

From American Weather.

Annual low temperatures at Central Park since 1950:

Year....Annual Minimum Temperature

2013...11

2012...13

2011...6

2010..13

2009...6

2008..10

2007...8

2006...15

2005...5

2004...1

2003..7

2002..19

2001...16

2000...3

1999...9

1998...14

1997...4

1996...5

1995...6

1994...-2

1993...7

1992...11

1991...10

1990...7

1989...6

1988...5

1987...4

1986...8

1985...-2

1984...8

1983..4

1982...0

1981...2

1980...-1

1979...0

1978...10

1977...-2

1976...-1

1975...15

1974...6

1973...7

1972...5

1971...4

1970...3

1969...11

1968...-1

1967...4

1966...8

1965...9

1964...9

1963...-2

1962....4

1961...-2

1960...8

1959...7

1958...3

1957...0

1956...14

1955...0

1954...7

1953...14

1952...8

1951...8

1950...5

Snowfall totals for New Jersey

... Bergen County...
   Paramus 9.0 700 am 1/03 NJ dot
   East Rutherford 8.0 700 am 1/03 NJ dot
   Fort Lee 7.0 1000 am 1/03 trained spotter
   Saddle Brook 6.8 1000 am 1/03 trained spotter
   North Arlington 6.7 1000 am 1/03 trained spotter
   Teaneck 6.5 1000 am 1/03 trained spotter
   Bergenfield 6.5 1000 am 1/03 trained spotter
   Tenafly 6.0 800 am 1/03 public
   Rivervale 6.0 624 am 1/03 public
   Ridgewood 5.8 700 am 1/03 trained spotter
   Closter 5.5 1000 am 1/03 trained spotter
   Oakland 5.5 810 am 1/03 public
   Mahwah 4.9 900 am 1/03 trained spotter
   Emerson 4.5 511 am 1/03 public
   Ridgefield 4.4 700 am 1/03 public
   Washington Township 3.5 1000 am 1/03 trained spotter

... Essex County...
   Newark Airport 8.5 700 am 1/03 FAA contract observer
   West Orange 6.5 800 am 1/03 public
   Verona 6.0 434 am 1/03 public
   Cedar Grove 5.5 740 am 1/03 public

... Hudson County...
   Kearny 9.5 1030 am 1/03 public
   North Bergen 8.0 831 am 1/03 trained spotter
   Jersey City 8.0 830 am 1/03 trained spotter
   Secaucus 8.0 700 am 1/03 NJ dot
   Hoboken 6.7 900 am 1/03 trained spotter
   Harrison 6.5 700 am 1/03 trained spotter

... Passaic County...
   Bloomingdale 7.8 700 am 1/03 trained spotter
   Wayne 6.5 1000 am 1/03 trained spotter
   West Milford 6.0 1100 am 1/03 trained spotter
   Haskell 6.0 800 am 1/03 trained spotter
   Ringwood 6.0 600 am 1/03 trained spotter
   Clifton 5.0 403 am 1/03 NJ dot

... Union County...
   Elizabeth 8.4 930 am 1/03 trained spotter
   Roselle Park 7.0 1000 am 1/03 trained spotter
   Union 6.1 1130 am 1/03 trained spotter
   Clark 6.0 403 am 1/03 NJ dot
   Westfield 6.0 1040 am 1/03 public 

BLIZZARD WARNING!!! Long Island, Nassau, Suffolk co.

...BLIZZARD WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM THURSDAY TO 1 PM EST  

FRIDAY...  



THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN NEW YORK HAS ISSUED A BLIZZARD  

WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM THURSDAY TO 1 PM EST  

FRIDAY. THE WINTER STORM WATCH IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT.  



* LOCATIONS...LONG ISLAND INCLUDING NASSAU AND SUFFOLK COUNTIES.  



* HAZARD TYPES...SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW.  



* ACCUMULATIONS...UP TO AROUND 1 INCH OF SNOW IS FORECAST  

OVERNIGHT THROUGH THE THURSDAY MORNING RUSH HOUR. AN ADDITIONAL  

7 TO 9 INCHES OF SNOW IS FORECAST THURSDAY EVENING THROUGH  

FRIDAY. TOTAL ACCUMULATIONS OF 8 TO 10 INCHES ARE FORECAST.  



* WINDS...NORTH 25 TO 35 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 45 MPH.  



* TEMPERATURES...IN THE LOWER 20S.  



* VISIBILITIES...ONE QUARTER MILE OR LESS.  



* TIMING...THE HEAVIEST SNOW AND THE STRONGEST WINDS WILL OCCUR THURSDAY  

NIGHT INTO FRIDAY.  



* IMPACTS...BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW WILL PRODUCE DANGEROUS  

TRAVEL CONDITIONS. WIND CHILLS FROM 5 DEGREES BELOW ZERO TO 5  

DEGREES ABOVE ZERO WILL PRODUCE EXTREME COLD IMPACTS.  



PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...  



A BLIZZARD WARNING MEANS SEVERE WINTER WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE  

EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. FALLING AND BLOWING SNOW WITH STRONG WINDS  

AND POOR VISIBILITIES ARE LIKELY. THIS WILL LEAD TO WHITEOUT  

CONDITIONS...MAKING TRAVEL EXTREMELY DANGEROUS. DO NOT TRAVEL. IF  

YOU MUST TRAVEL...HAVE A WINTER SURVIVAL KIT WITH YOU. IF YOU GET  

STRANDED...STAY WITH YOUR VEHICLE.  

HOLD ALL YOUR BETS, because there has been a major shift in the models.

Check the late afternoon forecasts because a much nastier snowstorm may hit, New York, New Jersey and Pennsylvania!  The weather may be about to surprise all of us!

For the last 2 days this storm has been gaining all the earmarks of a MAJOR  winter storm.  Yet, the models have been mostly downplaying it here at the surface w here we live.  Now there appears to be a major shift to a more intense storm.

AO has gone negative.
NAO Is also more favorable.
The trough over the eastern US is now going to tilt negative.
A 50/50 low near Newfoundland will help direct the storm our way.
The storm will move closer, move slower and give more snow.
Record or near record cold temps are very near to us.
The Western ridge has a more favorable position.
The trough and the arctic low are digging further south.

But since the models have been all over the place it is hard to judge what may happen.  If the latest trend continues prepare for over a foot of snow in many areas, high winds and bitter cold.

HAPPY NEW YEAR!

From Upton, New York,  for New York City Metro

Winter Storm Watch

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK NY

446 AM EST WED JAN 1 2014

...A COASTAL STORM WILL BRING THE POTENTIAL FOR HEAVY SNOW...NEAR

BLIZZARD CONDITIONS ALONG THE COAST...AND DANGEROUSLY COLD WIND

CHILLS THURSDAY EVENING THROUGH FRIDAY AFTERNOON...

CTZ009>012-NJZ006-NYZ071>075-078>081-176>179-012215-

/O.EXT.KOKX.WS.A.0005.140102T2300Z-140103T1800Z/

SOUTHERN FAIRFIELD-SOUTHERN NEW HAVEN-SOUTHERN MIDDLESEX-

SOUTHERN NEW LONDON-HUDSON-SOUTHERN WESTCHESTER-

NEW YORK (MANHATTAN)-BRONX-RICHMOND (STATEN ISLAND)-

KINGS (BROOKLYN)-NORTHWESTERN SUFFOLK-NORTHEASTERN SUFFOLK-

SOUTHWESTERN SUFFOLK-SOUTHEASTERN SUFFOLK-NORTHERN QUEENS-

NORTHERN NASSAU-SOUTHERN QUEENS-SOUTHERN NASSAU-

446 AM EST WED JAN 1 2014

...WINTER STORM WATCH NOW IN EFFECT FROM THURSDAY EVENING THROUGH

FRIDAY AFTERNOON...

* LOCATIONS...COASTAL CONNECTICUT...NEW YORK CITY METROPOLITAN

AREA AND SURROUNDINGS...AND LONG ISLAND.

* HAZARD TYPES...SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW.

* ACCUMULATIONS...5 TO 9 INCHES.

* WINDS...NORTH 20 TO 30 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 40 MPH.

* TEMPERATURES...TEMPERATURES DROPPING INTO THE LOWER TEENS

THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY AFTERNOON WITH WIND CHILLS OF 5 TO

10 BELOW ZERO.

* VISIBILITIES...ONE QUARTER TO ONE HALF MILE AT TIMES LATE

THURSDAY INTO FRIDAY MORNING.

* TIMING...THURSDAY NIGHT INTO FRIDAY.

* IMPACTS...THE ACCUMULATING SNOW...ALONG WITH CONSIDERABLE

BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW...WOULD PRODUCE DANGEROUS TRAVEL

CONDITIONS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WINTER STORM WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT

SNOW...SLEET...OR ICE ACCUMULATIONS THAT MAY IMPACT TRAVEL.

CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE LATEST FORECASTS.

&&

$

WINTER STORM WATCH ( there are signs that snow totals may go up )

... Winter Storm Watch remains in effect from Thursday evening
through Friday afternoon...

* locations... Passaic... Hudson... Bergen... Essex... and Union
counties in New Jersey. Orange... Putnam... Rockland...
Westchester New York... Bronx... Richmond... Kings and Queens
counties in New York.

* Hazard types... snow.

* Accumulations... 4 to 8 inches.

* Winds... north 10 to 20 mph with gusts up to 30 mph.

* Temperatures... single digits and teens.

* Visibilities... one quarter to one half mile at times.

* Timing... Thursday night into Friday.

* Impacts... the accumulating snow... along with areas of blowing
snow... will be capable of producing hazardous travel
conditions.

Precautionary/preparedness actions...

A Winter Storm Watch means there is a potential for significant
snow... sleet... or ice accumulations that may impact travel.
Continue to monitor the latest forecasts.

Snowstorm Targets 70 Million in Northeast, Midwest

Snowstorm Targets 70 Million in Northeast, Midwest< click here.

New Jersey , New York Metro will get snow, but we will not have reliable numbers until sometime New Years Day!

Models all over the place and so are forecasters

Only this afternoon has the storm energy come ashore on the west coast.  There may be better agreement in the next day or tonight late.

I still like my first guess from a few days ago, a total of  5 up to maybe 10 inches.  But who knows?

In Connecticut and Mass. , a foot or more.  A real big snow seems less likely, at this time.