Thursday, December 16, 2010

UH OH! Here comes a storm on Sunday? Yes Virginia, there is a Santa.

Afternoon update:  Euro model shows major weekend storm! Wild !  So many different views on the snowstorm.  Stay tuned, things may be changing.


6 inches, to as much as 2 feet of snow,  cannot be ruled out! ( Steve D. at NY NJ PA Weather.com )


Models and forecasters differ widely on the predictions.


2:20 pm
5, five, computer models now show major winter storm.  They seem to agree on the outcome for the first time.


Western NJ may see much less snow, as you move closer to the coast, the snow totals will increase dramatically.


Storm may stall, prolonging snowfall into Monday.


Forecasting difficulties,  plus the anticipated rapid intensification,  means a clear picture may not emerge until Friday or even Saturday.   But there has been a definite , sudden shift to a snowier weekend forecast, than was seen even as recently as Thursday morning.


Eastern regions and New England most likely to bear the brunt of the snowstorm.  NYC and Long Island in the heavy snow zone. Immediate coast may see rain for a time.


Travel disruptions likely on Sunday.  Major snowstorm for Sunday/ Monday.


Snow to begin early Sunday and may persist into Monday night. 6 inches likely with 12 inches or more possible east of Rte. 287.


Snow day probability Monday better than 50%.


The storm may even retrograde back toward us after it has seemingly gone by.




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