Thursday, December 13, 2012

The 3 Day Rule on Snowstorms

It takes about 3 days for a weather system to travel across the USA.  So anything more than 3 days in the future is still out over the Pacific Ocean, for example.  In the ocean and also in Arctic regions, the observation stations are much fewer and the data is not plentiful.  These uncertainties more than 3 days ahead make forcasting the weather more difficult.

Since snow is always an iffy thing in New Jersey, you really can't trust a forecast for snow more than 3 days ahead.

At this time, the large scale weather pattern does not favor snow, as pointed out by DT at Wxrisk and Elliot Abrams at Accuweather, as well as others.

A full blown snowstorm still is not likely the early part of next week for the reasons given above.  We have to wait another day or two for the storm next week to come into better focus.  So I am not betting on snow next week.

Keep in touch.

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