WINTER STORM WATCH ( there are signs that snow totals may go up )

... Winter Storm Watch remains in effect from Thursday evening
through Friday afternoon...

* locations... Passaic... Hudson... Bergen... Essex... and Union
counties in New Jersey. Orange... Putnam... Rockland...
Westchester New York... Bronx... Richmond... Kings and Queens
counties in New York.

* Hazard types... snow.

* Accumulations... 4 to 8 inches.

* Winds... north 10 to 20 mph with gusts up to 30 mph.

* Temperatures... single digits and teens.

* Visibilities... one quarter to one half mile at times.

* Timing... Thursday night into Friday.

* Impacts... the accumulating snow... along with areas of blowing
snow... will be capable of producing hazardous travel
conditions.

Precautionary/preparedness actions...

A Winter Storm Watch means there is a potential for significant
snow... sleet... or ice accumulations that may impact travel.
Continue to monitor the latest forecasts.

Snowstorm Targets 70 Million in Northeast, Midwest

Snowstorm Targets 70 Million in Northeast, Midwest< click here.

New Jersey , New York Metro will get snow, but we will not have reliable numbers until sometime New Years Day!

Models all over the place and so are forecasters

Only this afternoon has the storm energy come ashore on the west coast.  There may be better agreement in the next day or tonight late.

I still like my first guess from a few days ago, a total of  5 up to maybe 10 inches.  But who knows?

In Connecticut and Mass. , a foot or more.  A real big snow seems less likely, at this time.

Thursday Morning as you wake up.

The ground is white. It will snow with varying intensity and become heavy as the day moves along.

Snow day? Probably, in many districts.

Monster Miller "A" type storm is now on the table for New York, New Jersey Metro area.

My guess for 5 to 9 inches that I posted a few days ago, may need to be revised upward.  THe GFS weather models show a major storm coming up from the Gulf of Mexico, NOT a transfer from Ohio to the DelMar Va.

Sub zero temperatures are possible after the storm ends.

6 to 12 inches for Northern New Jersey and much more than that for New England.

DT at Wxrisk.com is still betting on the Euro.

Caldwell, NJ forecast low temp. Is -9 degrees below zero,  ( GFS Numerical ) , Saturday morning.

Even New York City may take a run at 150 year old temperature records this Saturday.

Major Snowstorm May Affect the Northeast Thursday

Major Snowstorm May Affect the Northeast Thursday < click here.

Snow Thursday and Friday. How much?

Record cold is likely in Maine and Quebec later this week.

Blocking is setting up near Greenland.

These two developments raise suspicion for a major snowstorm later this week!

Thursday Snowstorm to Affect Large Part of Northeast

Thursday Snowstorm to Affect Large Part of Northeast

WPC , the Weather Prediction Center Forecast for day

Snow seems more likely now with several models beginning to agree on the Thursday night and into Friday time frame.

Post New Years Day snow is more probable, but this Sunday is rainy.

DT at Wxrisk and also the WPC , see a snow in our future on Jan. 2 or 3.

Early guess?  5 to 9 inches over New Jersey and New York metro.

Bitter cold will follow the snow, if it happens.  Temps at or below zero next weekend.

1947 New York City blizzard.

1947 blizzard newsreel. < click here.

Models on UK / Ireland Big Christmas Storm - The WeatherMatrix Blog Weather Blog

Models on UK / Ireland Big Christmas Storm - The WeatherMatrix Blog Weather Blog < click here<

Get ready here comes the cold and maybe the snow.

Christmas Eve. Snow showers and snow squalls with some minor accumulations possible in Northern New Jersey and New York Metro.

After New Years a snowstorm is possible followed by bitter cold.  It is after all, January!  The weather forecast should not be surprising.

New Cold Regime Begins - Northeast U.S. Weather Blog Weather Blog

New Cold Regime Begins - Northeast U.S. Weather Blog Weather Blog

After our record breaking warmth, colder weather will prevail.

No big storms on the horizon, after a rainy and much cooler Monday.

Tuesday will bring good shopping weather for those last minute buyers in the New York, New Jersey Metro area.  But it will be a chilly Christmas Eve and Christmas Day.

The New Year will probably bring frigid temperatures as we move into the 2 nd week of the year.

DT at Wxrisk .com announced this trend a few days ago and now it is looking more likely than ever.

Record warmth this weekend then chilly for Christmas. The New Year may bring some very cold weather, but let us get past Christmas first.

Snow in the Northeast Today, Warmer Late Week - AccuWeather.com

Snow in the Northeast Today, Warmer Late Week - AccuWeather.com< CLICK.......

Big warm up due this weekend

Temperatures will go above 50 to near 60 or better. 
A December thaw.

Clipper hits us before dawn tomorrow.

A general 2 to 4 inch snow will occur tomorrow morning and ending in the afternoon followed by another shot at night that will range from a coating to one inch.  The roads will have winter travel problems tomorrow morning in New Jersey, and the New York metro area.  Winter weather forecast headaches do not return until Christmas.

Euro takes a look at the next 30 days.

Although a short warm spell is due at the end of this week, the next 30 days look colder than normal and probably snowy as well.

More snow ahead for New York, New Jersey, in the weather forecast. New Englanders are thankful for the Christmas Ski Week ahead.

Weather geek gossip is for 1 to 4 inches of snow.  A fast moving clipper storm. This Tuesday into Wednesday so it is looking fairly certain.

A HUGE WARM UP IS COMING DECEMBER 20, 21,22.

Public information from NWS

000

NOUS41 KPHI 150956

PNSPHI

DEZ001>004-MDZ008-012-015-019-020-NJZ001-007>010-012>027-PAZ054-055-

060>062-067>071-152156-

PUBLIC INFORMATION STATEMENT

SPOTTER REPORTS

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ

456 AM EST SUN DEC 15 2013

NEW JERSEY

...BURLINGTON COUNTY...

   FLORENCE               1.8   150 AM 12/15  TRAINED SPOTTER

   MOUNT LAUREL           1.1   539 PM 12/14  NWS EMPLOYEE

   MOUNT HOLLY WFO        1.0   728 PM 12/14  NWS OFFICE

   DELRAN TWP             1.0   759 PM 12/14  NWS EMPLOYEE

...GLOUCESTER COUNTY...

   NATIONAL PARK          0.3   725 PM 12/14  TRAINED SPOTTER

...HUNTERDON COUNTY...

   WHITEHOUSE STATION     5.8   950 PM 12/14  BROADCAST MEDIA

   RINGOES                4.0  1200 AM 12/15  PUBLIC

   THREE BRIDGES          3.0   648 PM 12/14  PUBLIC

   UNION TWP              1.0   146 PM 12/14  PUBLIC

...MERCER COUNTY...

   HOPEWELL TWP           2.9   755 PM 12/14  TRAINED SPOTTER

   1 ESE EWING TWP        2.4   945 PM 12/14  COCORAHS

   1 S TRENTON AIRPORT    2.0   726 PM 12/14  TRAINED SPOTTER

   EWING                  1.2   620 PM 12/14  TRAINED SPOTTER

...MIDDLESEX COUNTY...

   PERTH AMBOY            4.5  1000 PM 12/14  PUBLIC

   PISCATAWAY             4.5  1010 PM 12/14  TRAINED SPOTTER

   SOUTH PLAINFIELD       2.5   820 PM 12/14  TRAINED SPOTTER

   SAYREVILLE             2.5   821 PM 12/14  TRAINED SPOTTER

   MADISON PARK           2.1   824 PM 12/14  TRAINED SPOTTER

...MONMOUTH COUNTY...

   OAKHURST               5.5   542 PM 12/14  TRAINED SPOTTER

   LINCROFT               5.1   720 PM 12/14  TRAINED SPOTTER

   FREEHOLD               5.0   757 PM 12/14  PUBLIC

   HAZLET                 4.5   917 PM 12/14  TRAINED SPOTTER

   COLTS NECK             3.8   706 PM 12/14  TRAINED SPOTTER

   MANALAPAN              3.5   755 PM 12/14  TRAINED SPOTTER

   WAYSIDE                3.5   410 PM 12/14  TRAINED SPOTTER

   MILLSTONE TWP          2.6   330 AM 12/15  TRAINED SPOTTER

   MORGANVILLE            1.7   518 PM 12/14  PUBLIC

...MORRIS COUNTY...

   MILTON                 6.5  1030 PM 12/14  TRAINED SPOTTER

   BUTLER                 6.0  1135 PM 12/14  TRAINED SPOTTER

   HANOVER TWP            5.5  1030 PM 12/14  TRAINED SPOTTER

   RANDOLPH TWP           4.0  1030 PM 12/14  PUBLIC

   ROCKAWAY               2.8   919 PM 12/14  TRAINED SPOTTER

...SOMERSET COUNTY...

   HILLSBOROUGH           5.2   330 AM 12/15  PUBLIC

   BOUND BROOK            4.5   830 PM 12/14  TRAINED SPOTTER

   2 ENE FRANKLIN TWP     4.0   912 PM 12/14  TRAINED SPOTTER

   SOMERSET               4.0   900 PM 12/14  TRAINED SPOTTER

   SOMERVILLE             3.8  1004 PM 12/14  COCORAHS

   BRIDGEWATER TWP        3.8  1010 PM 12/14  TRAINED SPOTTER

   NORTH PLAINFIELD       3.5   821 PM 12/14  TRAINED SPOTTER

   BELLE MEAD             3.0   722 PM 12/14  TRAINED SPOTTER

...SUSSEX COUNTY...

   HIGHLAND LAKES         5.6  1025 PM 12/14  TRAINED SPOTTER

   WANTAGE                2.8   505 PM 12/14  TRAINED SPOTTER

   VERNON VALLEY          2.2   609 PM 12/14  TRAINED SPOTTER

   HARDYSTON TWP          2.0   533 PM 12/14  COCORAHS

...WARREN COUNTY...

   BLAIRSTOWN             8.1   145 AM 12/15  TRAINED SPOTTER

   ASBURY                 7.0  1100 PM 12/14  PUBLIC

   ALLAMUCHY              6.8  1040 PM 12/14  TRAINED SPOTTER

   HACKETTSTOWN           6.0  1100 PM 12/14  TRAINED SPOTTER

   HOPE                   5.5  1000 PM 12/14  TRAINED SPOTTER

   STEWARTSVILLE          4.5  1010 PM 12/14  TRAINED SPOTTER

 

Light snow Tuesday/ Wednesday

You've Never Seen a Snowflake in This Much Detail

You've Never Seen a Snowflake in This Much Detail < click

Snowfall reports

The following are unofficial observations taken during the recent storm that has been affecting our region. Appreciation is extended to Highway departments... cooperative observers... Skywarn spotters and media for these reports. This summary is also available on our home Page at weather.Gov/NYC ********************storm total snowfall********************

 Location storm total time/date comments snowfall of /inches/ measurement Connecticut ... Fairfield County... New Canaan 7.0 1000 PM 12/14 CT dot Stamford 6.2 900 PM 12/14 public Danbury 6.0 1000 PM 12/14 CT dot Monroe 5.0 735 PM 12/14 public Shelton 4.9 820 PM 12/14 public Bridgeport 4.0 1000 PM 12/14 NWS coop Norwalk 3.5 900 PM 12/14 trained spotter Weston 3.2 600 PM 12/14 trained spotter Darien 3.0 600 PM 12/14 CT dot ... New Haven County... Wallingford 7.0 915 PM 12/14 trained spotter Guilford 5.7 1042 PM 12/14 trained spotter Wolcott 5.3 930 PM 12/14 trained spotter Milford 5.0 1000 PM 12/14 CT dot North Branford 5.0 830 PM 12/14 public Beacon Falls 4.5 1000 PM 12/14 CT dot New Haven 3.3 900 PM 12/14 CT dot Southbury 2.0 600 PM 12/14 CT dot ... New London County... Gilman 4.0 1000 PM 12/14 public Groton 3.0 1000 PM 12/14 CT

dot New Jersey ... Bergen County... East Rutherford 6.3 1000 PM 12/14 NJ dot Fort Lee 6.3 1000 PM 12/14 trained spotter Ramsey 6.1 1000 PM 12/14 trained spotter Mahwah 5.6 725 PM 12/14 trained spotter Paramus 5.5 1015 PM 12/14 NJ dot Ridgewood 5.1 1000 PM 12/14 trained spotter Bergenfield 4.8 930 PM 12/14 trained spotter North Arlington 4.8 1030 PM 12/14 Emergency Mngr Saddle Brook 4.7 1000 PM 12/14 trained spotter Midland Park 4.7 1015 PM 12/14 trained spotter River Vale 4.5 1030 PM 12/14 trained spotter Wyckoff 3.6 1000 PM 12/14 trained spotter Tenafly 2.5 725 PM 12/14 public ...

Essex County... Cedar Grove 4.7 1010 PM 12/14 public West Orange 4.5 930 PM 12/14 public Newark Airport 4.3 1000 PM 12/14 FAA contract observer Millburn 4.0 722 PM 12/14 public ... Hudson County... Kearny 5.5 915 PM 12/14 trained spotter Secaucus 5.5 1015 PM 12/14 NJ dot Jersey City 5.0 1000 PM 12/14 NJ dot Harrison 5.0 1000 PM 12/14 trained spotter North Bergen 4.9 1001 PM 12/14 trained spotter Hoboken 4.3 1000 PM 12/14 trained spotter ...

Passaic County... West Milford 6.3 1000 PM 12/14 trained spotter Ringwood 5.8 1000 PM 12/14 trained spotter Haskell 5.5 1000 PM 12/14 trained spotter Wayne 5.0 1013 PM 12/14 trained spotter Pompton Lakes 4.8 829 PM 12/14 public Clifton 4.5 1015 PM 12/14 NJ dot ...

Union County... Union 5.5 1000 PM 12/14 NJ dot Westfield 4.8 1030 PM 12/14 trained spotter Elizabeth 4.6 900 PM 12/14 trained spotter Clark 3.5 1000 PM 12/14 NJ dot

 New York ... Bronx County... Bedford Park 7.1 1022 PM 12/14 public Parkchester 4.7 830 PM 12/14 trained spotter ... Kings County... Sheepshead Bay 3.0 825 PM 12/14 trained spotter ... Nassau County... Bayville 6.1 1020 PM 12/14 public Glen Cove 4.3 1036 PM 12/14 Fire Dept/Rescue East Meadow 3.5 900 PM 12/14 trained spotter Albertson 3.5 930 PM 12/14 public Jericho 3.0 947 PM 12/14 trained spotter Wantagh 3.0 900 PM 12/14 trained spotter Syosset 3.0 1035 PM 12/14 trained spotter Plainview 2.0 900 PM 12/14 trained spotter Long Beach 2.0 915 PM 12/14 trained spotter Massapequa 1.9 900 PM 12/14 trained spotter ... New York County... upper west side 6.0 930 PM 12/14 trained spotter Central Park 5.0 1000 PM 12/14 Central Park Zoo ... Orange County... Warwick 7.0 1042 PM 12/14 trained spotter New Windsor 6.5 915 PM 12/14 public Florida 6.5 914 PM 12/14 public Harriman 6.2 900 PM 12/14 trained spotter Monroe 6.0 845 PM 12/14 public Middletown 6.0 845 PM 12/14 public Gardnertown 5.5 800 PM 12/14 trained spotter Milburn 4.5 1002 PM 12/14 public Washingtonville 3.1 656 PM 12/14 amateur radio south Blooming Grove 2.5 515 PM 12/14 trained spotter Goshen 2.0 701 PM 12/14 amateur radio ... Putnam County... Kent Cliffs 6.8 1025 PM 12/14 trained spotter Cold Spring 5.2 905 PM 12/14 trained spotter ... Queens County... NYC/La Guardia 4.2 1000 PM 12/14 FAA contract observer Astoria 4.1 910 PM 12/14 public NYC/JFK Airport 3.2 1000 PM 12/14 FAA contract observer Middle Village 3.0 840 PM 12/14 public Bayside 3.0 920 PM 12/14 trained spotter South Ozone Park 2.2 500 PM 12/14 trained spotter ... Rockland County... Airmont 5.0 1020 PM 12/14 public New City 3.5 800 PM 12/14 trained spotter Stony Point 3.0 515 PM 12/14 trained spotter ... Suffolk County... St. James 4.5 950 PM 12/14 public Centerport 4.3 1000 PM 12/14 NWS coop Islip Airport 4.1 1000 PM 12/14 FAA contract observer Port Jefferson 4.1 1040 PM 12/14 public Shoreham 3.7 1010 PM 12/14 trained spotter East Northport 3.5 1000 PM 12/14 trained spotter Huntington 3.0 958 PM 12/14 trained spotter Bay Shore 2.9 848 PM 12/14 trained spotter Upton 2.8 920 PM 12/14 NWS office Yaphank 2.8 905 PM 12/14 public Ronkonkoma 2.6 929 PM 12/14 NWS employee Centereach 2.5 855 PM 12/14 NWS employee Orient 2.0 600 PM 12/14 trained spotter Stony Brook 1.7 700 PM 12/14 trained spotter Sound Beach 1.6 500 PM 12/14 public Riverhead 1.6 700 PM 12/14 NWS office North Babylon 1.5 845 PM 12/14 public Quogue 1.5 530 PM 12/14 trained spotter ... Westchester County... Armonk 7.6 845 PM 12/14 public Scarsdale 7.5 855 PM 12/14 public Yonkers 6.2 655 PM 12/14 city official Elmsford 6.2 710 PM 12/14 public Hartsdale 6.2 513 PM 12/14 public Eastchester 6.1 515 PM 12/14 public works East White Plains 6.0 950 PM 12/14 trained spotter Somers 5.0 747 PM 12/14 public Mount Kisco 5.0 1000 PM 12/14 public Hastings-On-Hudson 3.0 615 PM 12/14 public

Local temperature up 2 degrees , sleet will begin.

The storm may last about 5 hours longer. On Sunday with temps around 38 degrees, treated roads will be clear of snow and ice.

Snow totals as of early evening

   River Vale 3.0 615 PM 12/14 trained spotter 

   Midland Park 2.7 538 PM 12/14 trained spotter 

   Ridgewood 2.3 400 PM 12/14 trained spotter 

   Rivervale 2.3 330 PM 12/14 trained spotter 

   Bergenfield 2.2 600 PM 12/14 trained spotter 

   Wyckoff 2.2 400 PM 12/14 trained spotter 

   Hillsdale 2.1 200 PM 12/14 public 

   Rutherford 2.0 400 PM 12/14 NJ dot 

   Paramus 2.0 400 PM 12/14 NJ dot 

   Saddle Brook 2.0 400 PM 12/14 trained spotter 

   Ramsey 1.8 400 PM 12/14 trained spotter 

... Essex County... 

   Cedar Grove 3.1 555 PM 12/14 public 

   Newark Airport 2.8 700 PM 12/14 FAA observer 

   Maplewood 2.2 400 PM 12/14 public 

... Hudson County... 

   Harrison 3.5 658 PM 12/14 trained spotter 

   North Bergen 2.2 415 PM 12/14 trained spotter 

   Jersey City 2.1 400 PM 12/14 NJ dot 

   Secaucus 2.0 400 PM 12/14 NJ dot 

   Hoboken 1.6 315 PM 12/14 trained spotter 

... Passaic County... 

   Haskell 3.3 600 PM 12/14 trained spotter 

   Pompton Lakes 3.0 630 PM 12/14 public 

   Ringwood 2.7 400 PM 12/14 trained spotter 

   West Milford 2.0 400 PM 12/14 trained spotter 

   Clifton 2.0 400 PM 12/14 NJ dot 

   Wayne 1.0 200 PM 12/14 trained spotter 

... Union County... 

   Elizabeth 2.6 500 PM 12/14 trained spotter 

   Clark 2.0 400 PM 12/14 NJ dot 

   Westfield 1.5 430 PM 12/14 public 

   Union 1.3 200 PM 12/14 NJ dot 

   Plainfield 0.8 300 PM 12/14 trained spotter 

Falling temperatures through the day.

The temps continue to fall and the likely hood of rain developing seems much less likely. But only 1 to 3 inches locally so far.

It gives an old fashioned feeling that the weather will surprise us, no matter how much technology is employed.

We just will wait and see what happens.

NWSdiscussion

thermal aloft profiles especially late Sat night...with the European model (ecmwf) 
cold enough for an all snow event northwest of NYC...and snow mixing with 
or changing to rain for NYC and Long Island...and the GFS showing 
a change to freezing rain and sleet inland late Sat night. Since 
the better part of the precipitation will have fallen by the time p-type 
begins to change from snow...these differences should not have a 
major impact on snowfall amts...so think most inland sections and 
all of southern CT should see snowfall amts of 5-7 inches...with 
NYC and Long Island seeing amts of 2-4 or 3-5 inches. Confidence 
is increasing on these amts...and a Winter Storm Watch may 
eventually be issued for most areas northwest of NYC and southern CT. 

Update GFS model.

Latest data shows .5 inches water, which is still in the 4 to 6 inches of snow range.  It turns to ice Sat. Night.  Ends Sunday morning.  Areas south or east get more ice or rain.

Doctor No ( Euro ) says at least 6 hours of snow , followed by ice. Snow about 4 to 6 inches . Several hours of ice, then flurries.

Not a blockbuster storm , but it will gives us more snow and ice than the last one.  The end of the event will be about noon on Sunday.  Saturday night travel will be hazardous in the New York, New Jersey metro area, but the weather forecast is not as bad as it started to look yesterday.  Still , there is time for the weather forecast to change.

This is based on the Euro and a few others that show a somewhat similar trend.

At this time of year ,
it is a major nuisance, and gives us practice in dealing with snow removal.

National Weather Service is tuned in to a possible storm this weekend for New York Metro and suburbs.

THERE IS THE POTENTIAL FOR A SIGNIFICANT WINTER STORM FROM LATE

SATURDAY THROUGH SUNDAY. AT THIS TIME THE BEST CHANCE FOR A

SIGNIFICANT ACCUMULATION OF SNOW IS ACROSS NORTHERN INTERIOR

PORTIONS OF THE TRI-STATE...WITH A WINTRY MIX MORE LIKELY AT

COASTAL AREAS.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

&&

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK PROVIDES A SUMMARY OF POTENTIAL

WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER EVENTS THAT MAY REACH NWS WARNING

CRITERIA. MOST LONG FUSED NWS WATCHES...WARNINGS AND ADVISORIES IN

Snowstorm to Hit Central States, Northeast This Weekend

Snowstorm to Hit Central States, Northeast This Weekend < click>

Good run down on the weather this weekend with a video.

Arctic Blast to Follow Northeast Snow, Trigger Heavy Lake-Effect

Arctic Blast to Follow Northeast Snow, Trigger Heavy Lake-Effect< click >

Storm due this weekend and the next rolls in on the 18 th of December. More details by this afternoon.

This winter shapes up as a rough one, next storm pops up Saturday and Sunday

New York City to Boston will start as snow to an icy mix.  A lot of icing is possible inland with heavy New England snows.

Much of NJ will change to rain before the storm pulls away then the cold moves in turning the ground into frozen concrete.

A big mess, not a blizzard.

         Monthly & Seasonal Snowfall at Central Park

 SEASON  JUL  AUG  SEP  OCT  NOV   DEC   JAN   FEB   MAR   APR  MAY  JUN  TOTAL 

 1887-88  0    0    0    0   0.3   9.0  11.0   3.0  22.3    0    0    0    45.6 

 1888-89  0    0    0    0   1.5    T    4.0   7.0   4.0    0    0    0    16.5 

 1889-90  0    0    0    0    0    6.0    0    1.0  17.0   0.3   0    0    24.3 

 1890-91  0    0    0    0    0   11.4  10.0   5.3   2.1    T    0    0    28.8 

 1891-92  0    0    0    0    0     T   12.3   0.1  12.0   1.0   0    0    25.4 

 1892-93  0    0    0    0   6.3   3.0  16.0  17.8   6.1   0.5   0    0    49.7 

 1893-94  0    0    0    0    0    5.3   9.3  20.5    0    1.0   0    0    36.1 

 1894-95  0    0    0    0   0.5   4.0   9.5   9.0   4.0    T    0    0    27.0 

 1895-96  0    0    0    0    0    0.3   3.0   9.5  30.5   3.0   0    0    46.3 

 1896-97  0    0    0    0   5.0  13.0  11.3  11.0   3.3    0    0    0    43.6 

 1897-98  0    0    0    0   2.3   4.0   9.0   1.3   2.0   2.5   0    0    21.1 

 1898-99  0    0    0    0  19.0   1.5   5.3  25.3   4.8    0    0    0    55.9 

 1899-00  0    0    0    0    T    0.1   1.0   6.5   5.8    0    0    0    13.4 

 1900-01  0    0    0    0    0    0.1   2.0   7.0    T     0    0    0     9.1 

 1901-02  0    0    0    0   0.1   1.5   6.1  15.8   6.5    0    0    0    30.0 

 1902-03  0    0    0    0    0   14.4   4.5   9.8    0     0    0    0    28.7 

 1903-04  0    0    0    0    0    6.3  15.5   5.0   5.4    T    0    0    32.2 

 1904-05  0    0    0    0   0.5  21.6  18.4   5.8   1.8    0    0    0    48.1 

 1905-06  0    0    0    0    0    1.0   1.5   6.0  11.5    0    0    0    20.0 

 1906-07  0    0    0    0   1.0   0.3  11.0  21.8  13.3   5.8   0    0    53.2 

 1907-08  0    0    0    0    T    5.3  10.0  14.6   3.5    0    0    0    33.4 

 1908-09  0    0    0    0   1.0   2.9  11.3   0.8   4.3    T    0    0    20.3 

 1909-10  0    0    0    0   0.8   9.0  11.1   5.0   1.3    0    0    0    27.2 

 1910-11  0    0    0    0    T    6.6   1.3  13.3   3.5   0.5   0    0    25.2 

 1911-12  0    0    0    0   1.0   8.5  13.0   2.5   4.5    T    0    0    29.5 

 1912-13  0    0    0    0   0.8  11.4   0.3   2.6   0.2    T    0    0    15.3 

 1913-14  0    0    0    0    T    0.3   1.3  17.4  21.5    T    0    0    40.5 

 1914-15  0    0    0    0    0    2.6   3.8   4.5   7.7  10.2   0    0    28.8 

 1915-16  0    0    0    0    T    8.1   0.7  13.1  25.5   3.3   0    0    50.7 

 1916-17  0    0    0    0    T   14.5   5.8  12.2  11.7   6.5   0    0    50.7 

 1917-18  0    0    0    0   0.3  14.1  13.2   3.7   0.6   2.6   0    0    34.5 

 1918-19  0    0    0    0    0    0.3   0.3   0.5   2.7    T    0    0     3.8 

 1919-20  0    0    0    0    T    8.8   8.2  25.3   5.3    T    0    0    47.6 

 1920-21  0    0    0    0    T    1.7   3.5  13.3    T    0.1   0    0    18.6 

 1921-22  0    0    0    0    T    7.3   9.4   7.2   3.9    0    0    0    27.8 

 1922-23  0    0    0    0   1.0   8.0  24.5  18.8   8.1    T    0    0    60.4 

 1923-24  0    0    0    0    0    1.5   2.5  11.9   3.1   8.5   0    0    27.5 

 1924-25  0    0    0    0    T    0.9  27.4   1.3    T     T    0    0    29.6 

 1925-26  0    0    0   0.8  0.1   0.9   3.1  26.3   1.2    T    0    0    32.4 

 1926-27  0    0    0    T    T   11.7   5.7   4.6   0.2   0.1   0    0    22.3 

 1927-28  0    0    0    0    T    2.1   2.7   4.0   5.7    T    0    0    14.5 

 1928-29  0    0    0    T    T    2.0   2.3   9.3   0.2    T    0    0    13.8 

 1929-30  0    0    0    T    T    6.3   3.5   3.8    T     T    0    0    13.6 

 1930-31  0    0    0    0    T    5.7   0.5   3.6   1.8    T    0    0    11.6 

 1931-32  0    0    0    0   2.0   0.1   0.8   1.8   0.6    T    0    0     5.3 

 1932-33  0    0    0    0    0    9.4    T   12.8   4.8    T    0    0    27.0 

 1933-34  0    0    0    0   0.5  14.9   0.1  27.9   8.6    0    0    0    52.0 

 1934-35  0    0    0    T    T    1.0  23.6   7.2   2.0    T    0    0    33.8
 1935-36  0    0    0    0   2.7   6.6  12.1  10.3   1.5    T    0    0    33.2
 1936-37  0    0    0    T   3.2    T    6.5   3.4   2.5    T    0    0    15.6
 1937-38  0    0    0    T   0.8   0.7   6.5    T    0.7   6.4   0    0    15.1
 1938-39  0    0    0    0  12.8   1.7  10.3   5.5   7.0    T    0    0    37.3
 1939-40  0    0    0    0    T    3.1   3.5  12.0   5.3   1.8   0    0    25.7

 1940-41  0    0    0    T   2.2   3.0   9.2   5.4  19.2    0    0    0    39.0
 1941-42  0    0    0    0    0    0.3   6.4   1.9   0.5   2.2   0    0    11.3
 1942-43  0    0    0    0    T    8.5   9.5   4.4   7.1    T    0    0    29.5
 1943-44  0    0    0    0    T     T    4.8   7.7   4.8   6.5   0    0    23.8
 1944-45  0    0    0    T    T    6.7  12.3   8.1    T     0    0    0    27.1
 1945-46  0    0    0    0   3.7  15.6   4.2   7.9    T     T    T    0    31.4
 1946-47  0    0    0    0    0    1.3   5.5  17.7   6.1    T    0    0    30.6
 1947-48  0    0    0    0    T   29.6  15.3  13.6   4.7    0    0    0    63.2
 1948-49  0    0    0    0    T   25.3   6.4  10.7   4.2    0    0    0    46.6
 1949-50  0    0    0    0   0.5   1.1   0.4   8.5   1.4   1.9   0    0    13.8

 1950-51  0    0    0    0    T    3.8   3.2   1.9   2.7    0    0    0    11.6
 1951-52  0    0    0    0    T    3.3   6.2   2.8   7.4    0    0    0    19.7
 1952-53  0    0    0   0.5  1.7   7.5   4.1   0.4   0.9    T    0    0    15.1
 1953-54  0    0    0    0   2.2    T   12.7   0.5   0.1   0.3   0    0    15.8
 1954-55  0    0    0    0    T    0.1   2.6   5.2   3.6    0    0    0    11.5
 1955-56  0    0    0    0   1.0   3.3   1.2   2.7  21.1   4.2   0    0    33.5
 1956-57  0    0    0    0    T    0.9   8.9   7.0   2.6   2.5   0    0    21.9
 1957-58  0    0    0    0    T    8.7   9.2  10.7  15.9   0.2   0    0    44.7
 1958-59  0    0    0    0    T    3.8   1.5   0.4   6.7   0.6   0    0    13.0
 1959-60  0    0    0    0   0.5  15.8   2.5   1.9  18.5    0    0    0    39.2
 
 1960-61  0    0    0    T    0   18.6  16.7  18.2   1.2    T    0    0    54.7
 1961-62  0    0    0    0    T    7.7   0.6   9.6   0.2    T    0    0    18.1
 1962-63  0    0    0    T    T    4.5   5.3   3.7   2.8    T    0    0    16.3
 1963-64  0    0    0    0    T   11.3  13.3  14.1   6.0    T    0    0    44.7
 1964-65  0    0    0    0    0    3.1  14.8   2.5   2.8   1.2   0    0    24.4
 1965-66  0    0    0    T    0     T   11.6   9.8    T     0    0    0    21.4
 1966-67  0    0    0    0    0    9.1   1.4  23.6  17.4    T    0    0    51.5
 1967-68  0    0    0    0   3.2   5.5   3.6   1.1   6.1    0    0    0    19.5
 1968-69  0    0    0    0    T    7.0   1.0  16.6   5.6    0    0    0    30.2
 1969-70  0    0    0    0    T    6.8   8.4   6.4   4.0    T    0    0    25.6
 
 1970-71  0    0    0    0    0    2.4  11.4    T    1.3   0.4   0    0    15.5
 1971-72  0    0    0    0    T     T    2.8  17.8   2.3    T    0    0    22.9
 1972-73  0    0    0    T    T     T    1.8   0.8   0.2    T    0    0     2.8
 1973-74  0    0    0    0    0    2.8   7.8   9.4   3.2   0.3   0    0    23.5
 1974-75  0    0    0    0   0.1   0.1   2.0  10.6   0.3    T    0    0    13.1
 1975-76  0    0    0    0    T    2.3   5.6   5.0   4.4    T    0    0    17.3
 1976-77  0    0    0    0    T    5.1  13.0   5.8   0.6    T    T    0    24.5
 1977-78  0    0    0    0   0.2   0.4  20.3  23.0   6.8    T    0    0    50.7
 1978-79  0    0    0    0   2.2   0.5   6.6  20.1    T     T    0    0    29.4
 1979-80  0    0    0    T    0    3.5   2.0   2.7   4.6    T    0    0    12.8
 
 1980-81  0    0    0    0    T    2.8   8.0    T    8.6    0    0    0    19.4
 1981-82  0    0    0    0    0    2.1  11.8   0.4   0.7   9.6   0    0    24.6
 1982-83  0    0    0    0    0    3.0   1.9  21.5    T    0.8   0    0    27.2
 1983-84  0    0    0    0    T    1.6  11.7   0.2  11.9    0    0    0    25.4
 1984-85  0    0    0    0    T    5.5   8.4  10.0   0.2    T    0    0    24.1
 1985-86  0    0    0    0    T    0.9   2.2   9.9    T     T    0    0    13.0
 1986-87  0    0    0    0    T    0.6  13.6   7.0   1.9    0    0    0    23.1
 1987-88  0    0    0    0   1.1   2.6  13.9   1.5    T     0    0    0    19.1
 1988-89  0    0    0    0    0    0.3   5.0   0.3   2.5    0    0    0     8.1
 1989-90  0    0    0    0   4.7   1.4   1.8   1.8   3.1   0.6   0    0    13.4
 
 1990-91  0    0    0    0    0    7.2   8.4   9.1   0.2    0    0    0    24.9
 1991-92  0    0    0    0    T    0.7   1.5   1.0   9.4    T    0    0    12.6
 1992-93  0    0    0    0    0    0.4   1.5  10.7  11.9    0    0    0    24.5
 1993-94  0    0    0    0    T    6.9  12.0  26.4   8.1    0    0    0    53.4
 1994-95  0    0    0    0    T     T    0.2  11.6    T     T    0    0    11.8
 1995-96  0    0    0    0   2.9  11.5  26.1  21.2  13.2   0.7   0    0    75.6
 1996-97  0    0    0    0   0.1    T    4.4   3.8   1.7    T    0    0    10.0
 1997-98  0    0    0    0    T     T    0.5   0.0   5.0    0    0    0     5.5
 1998-99  0    0    0    0    0    2.0   4.5   1.7   4.5    0    0    0    12.7
 1999-00  0    0    0    0    0     T    9.5   5.2   0.4   1.2   0    0    16.3
 
 2000-01  0    0    0    T    0   13.4   8.3   9.5   3.8    0    0    0    35.0
 2001-02  0    0    0    0    0     T    3.5    T     T     T    0    0     3.5 
 2002-03  0    0    0    T    T   11.0   4.7  26.1   3.5   4.0   0    0    49.3    
 2003-04  0    0    0    0    0   19.8  17.3   0.7   4.8    0    0    0    42.6 
 2004-05  0    0    0    0    T    3.0  15.3  15.8   6.9    0    0    0    41.0 
 2005-06  0    0    0    0    T    9.7   2.0  26.9   1.3   0.1   0    0    40.0 
 2006-07  0    0    0    0    0      0   2.6   3.8   6.0    T    0    0    12.4 
 2007-08  0    0    0    0    T    2.9     T   9.0     T    0    0    0    11.9
 2008-09  0    0    0    0    T    6.0   9.0   4.3   8.3    T    0    0    27.6
 2009-10  0    0    0    0    0   12.4   2.1  36.9     T    0    0    0    51.4 
 2010-11  0    0    0    0    T   20.1  36.0   4.8   1.0    T    0    0    61.9
 2011-12  0    0    0  2.9    0      0   4.3   0.2     0    0    0    0     7.4
 2012-13  0    0    0    0  4.7    0.4   1.5  12.2   7.3    0    0    0    26.1
 2013-14  0    0    0      
 

Euro model predicts a major snow this weekend.

Although the large scale setup is flawed , it is still something to watch.  Snow, ice and rain are quite possible , rather than a foot of snow.

I sure do not like ice, power outages galore, west of 287.

Looks like interesting weather for New York, New Jersey this winter and the forecast is the pattern will remain as is.

New York City metro, New Jersey ,Pennsylvania get snow on Tuesday.

Try not to laugh but the amount could be anywhere from 1 to 6 inches.  A very uncertain outlook tomorrow.

Best bet: look out the window starting mid morning.
*********************************************

More snow likely Tuesday morning late, ending by evening.

Another storm may affect us next weekend.  Iffy.

The storm next weekend is more likely South of our area.  But it will be close.

Southern Jersey gets snow dump!

   Cloverfields T 1030 am 12/08 trained spotter

New Jersey

... Atlantic County...
   Hammonton 5.2 433 PM 12/08 trained spotter
   Mays Landing 3.5 332 PM 12/08 public
   Estell Manor 2.0 431 PM 12/08 co-op observer
   Pleasantville 0.3 138 PM 12/08 co-op observer
   Atlantic City airpor 0.3 137 PM 12/08 ASOS

... Burlington County...
   Medford 9.4 339 PM 12/08 public
   Southampton TWP 9.3 200 PM 12/08 trained spotter
   Vincentown 9.0 402 PM 12/08 public
   Browns Mills 8.0 339 PM 12/08 public
   Marlton 8.0 348 PM 12/08 public
   Shamong TWP 6.4 349 PM 12/08 public
   Washington TWP 6.0 217 PM 12/08 public
   Moorestown 5.8 300 PM 12/08 public
   Mount Laurel 5.8 352 PM 12/08 NWS employee
   Maple Shade 5.5 234 PM 12/08 public
   Mount Holly WFO 5.0 300 PM 12/08 NWS office
   Hainesport 5.0 334 PM 12/08 trained spotter
   Delran TWP 4.2 315 PM 12/08 NWS employee
   Bordentown 3.2 347 PM 12/08 trained spotter
   chesterfild TWP 2.5 333 PM 12/08 public

... Camden County...
   Lindenwold 8.5 403 PM 12/08 NWS employee
   Laurel Springs 8.3 352 PM 12/08 public
   Point of Woods 8.0 255 PM 12/08 trained spotter
   Cherry Hill 8.0 401 PM 12/08 public
   1 N Pennsauken 7.5 410 PM 12/08 trained spotter
   Runnemede 7.0 411 PM 12/08 trained spotter
   Barrington 7.0 334 PM 12/08 public
   West Berlin 6.5 400 PM 12/08 public
   East Camden 6.0 335 PM 12/08 public
   Blackwood 6.0 145 PM 12/08 Emergency Mngr
   Collingswood 6.0 400 PM 12/08 public
   Somerdale 5.3 220 PM 12/08 co-op observer
   Erial 3.5 100 PM 12/08 trained spotter

... Cape May County...
   Cape May Court House 1.0 348 PM 12/08 public
   North Cape May 0.3 211 PM 12/08 trained spotter

... Cumberland County...
   Vineland 3.7 414 PM 12/08 trained spotter

... Gloucester County...
   Deptford TWP 9.0 428 PM 12/08 public
   Mantua 8.3 327 PM 12/08 public
   Sewell 7.3 315 PM 12/08 trained spotter
   West Deptford TWP 7.0 335 PM 12/08 public
   East Greenwich TWP 7.0 339 PM 12/08 public
   Woodbury 7.0 230 PM 12/08 trained spotter
   Turnersville 7.0 415 PM 12/08 trained spotter
   Westville 6.1 417 PM 12/08 public
   Washington TWP 6.0 400 PM 12/08 trained spotter
   Thorofare 6.0 338 PM 12/08 public
   Williamstown 5.5 333 PM 12/08 public

... Hunterdon County...
   Lambertville 2.0 357 PM 12/08 public
   5 NNW Flemington 0.5 447 PM 12/08 trained spotter

... Mercer County...
   Trenton 2.3 357 PM 12/08 trained spotter
   White Horse 2.0 359 PM 12/08 public
   Ewing 1.2 300 PM 12/08 NWS employee

... Monmouth County...
   wall TWP 2.5 356 PM 12/08 public
   Freehold 2.0 428 PM 12/08 public
   Oakhurst 1.5 303 PM 12/08 public

... Ocean County...
   Beachwood 9.0 421 PM 12/08 public
   Toms River 8.0 346 PM 12/08 public
   3 SSE Berkeley TWP 8.0 447 PM 12/08 cocorahs
   3 WSW Toms River 8.0 340 PM 12/08 cocorahs
   Berkeley TWP 8.0 437 PM 12/08 trained spotter
   N Toms River 7.5 344 PM 12/08 public
   Bayville 7.0 400 PM 12/08 public
   Lacey 6.5 359 PM 12/08 public
   S Toms River 6.0 427 PM 12/08 public
   Forked River 5.5 428 PM 12/08 public
   brick TWP 5.0 330 PM 12/08 public
   Manahawkin 5.0 327 PM 12/08 public
   Manchester TWP 4.0 334 PM 12/08 public
   Lakewood 3.3 431 PM 12/08 public
   Plumstead TWP 3.0 334 PM 12/08 public
   Surf City 2.3 300 PM 12/08 trained spotter

... Salem County...
   Penns Grove 11.0 359 PM 12/08 public
   Carneys Point 6.0 155 PM 12/08 trained spotter
   upper Pittsgrove TWP 6.0 353 PM 12/08 public 

Sunday evening snow looks to accumulate from 1 to 3 inches area wide.

Overnight Sunday into Monday there will be a warming trend which will cause a wintry mix to change to plain rain on Monday.

Areas near New York City and the shore areas will see the least accumulations, in fact they may end up with only a coating.

The weather will turn quite cold later this week.  There is even a chance of more snow Tuesday.

Mostly rain today but Sunday could turn snowy and icy late in the day.

As is usual the forecasts are changing but travel after sunset on Sunday could be treacherous.
Click on the right for a detailed look. >>>>>>

There is the possibility of last minute developments Sunday which could alter the weather forecast for, New Jersey, New York and Pennsylvania.  Check for the latest forecast, which will be adjusted as we get closer to Sunday night.

As of now it still looks like snow arrives around sunset on Sunday. The worst conditions will be in the overnight hours Sunday into very early Monday.

Preview of late Sunday?

This Sunday, 2 to 3 inches of snow is likely, maybe more North and West.

It will begin Sunday afternoon and continue into the evening. The first measurable snow for most of New Jersey.  This is based on the ECMWF model which has been showing this trend for days now.

New York City, mostly slush

Far north and west 6 inches or more.

Pennsylvania  6 inches plus.

There will be a sharp cold spell next week but not of long duration.

Today when the sun was shining it was spring but soon winter weather will begin again.

The next rain, snow, ice threat is December 9, 10. Stay tuned, we have a nice week coming up in the New York, New Jersey, Pennsylvania weather outlook.

Click on any link on the right.