NWSdiscussion

thermal aloft profiles especially late Sat night...with the European model (ecmwf) 
cold enough for an all snow event northwest of NYC...and snow mixing with 
or changing to rain for NYC and Long Island...and the GFS showing 
a change to freezing rain and sleet inland late Sat night. Since 
the better part of the precipitation will have fallen by the time p-type 
begins to change from snow...these differences should not have a 
major impact on snowfall amts...so think most inland sections and 
all of southern CT should see snowfall amts of 5-7 inches...with 
NYC and Long Island seeing amts of 2-4 or 3-5 inches. Confidence 
is increasing on these amts...and a Winter Storm Watch may 
eventually be issued for most areas northwest of NYC and southern CT.