Light snow on the way Thursday night and Friday.

We are looking at very little moisture but it comes down during the morning commute, Friday. 1 to 3 inches is most likely. A light, fluffy, snow is expected. There are some indications that the snow figures will need to be revised upward.

The NAM forecast model showed a subtle but important change. A small low pressure center will form right on the NJ coast, with an arm of snow reaching back toward land. In future runs, this feature may expand and produce a quick shot of heavier snow.

It is wait and watch time on this system. Unfortunately, forecasting the rapid development of such a feature, is a known weakness of the forecast models. A forecaster must resort to surface observations and experience with prior systems of this type to make a good call.

That seems to be the way some of the forecasters at Accuweather.com handle it. Joe and Henry may be vindicated. Let's hope so.

By the way, if you don't like snow, you should not be reading this blog.

I find it interesting that the models show less precipitation than the current system is actually producing. Hmmmm.

The best advice that I heard was to declare your own snow day tomorrow. Travel could get snarled by snow and icing on ramps and bridges.

And, when you think about it, how much difference is there if we get 1 or 2 inches vs. 4 or 5. You still have snow underfoot.

A very cold and breezy weekend is in store.

Next week could turn milder from Wednesday on.