BOWLING FOR BLIZZARDS Part 3, Mr. Backwards Snowstorm is Ready to Strike!

                                                                            
This one sounds like a real bad boy.


I never saw a snowstorm come in from the Atlantic Ocean and bring us heavy snow but, tomorrow that will happen.  6 to 12 inches seems like a good bet for most areas.  The weather conditions will go downhill all day tomorrow and into the night.  Heavy winds are forecast with gust to 40 to 60 mph.  The high elevations may see 12 to 24 inches.


This will be a very rare and memorable storm.
                                                                             
11:00 pm UPDATE


2 computer models predict 18 to 20 inches of snow for North Jersey.
Widely varying snow total predictions continue.
                                                                             
6:00 pm update


Tomorrow morning may begin as rain or a mix but will switch to all snow later as colder air works in.
                                                                             
Forecasts for snow totals vary widely. 


( Andover, in Sussex County, ranges from 4 to 8 inches, up to 12 to 24 inches, depending on who you ask )
                                                                             
 10 to 16 inches is widely expected, with lower amounts to the east in NYC and Long Island.  The winds will strengthen Thursday afternoon. Gusts to 40 mph and much higher, may occur in some areas.


Higher elevations, north and west, will approach the 2 foot mark.


The snow may not end until Friday night or Saturday, but will not be falling as heavily later on.


This storm reminds me of some of the storms of the 1960's when forecasts for snow totals, would change constantly, through the storm.  You did not know what you would get, until it was on the ground.  In the confusion of a crippling snowstorm, forecast figures get misinterpreted or mixed up.


The duration of the snow, may be very long, indeed. I suspect that the storm center will stall over Long Island, or very near to it.  Other storms have done this in the past.  I don't think that the storm will loop over NJ and PA.  Instead, it will be near Long Island.  So NJ gets plenty of snow, as long as a dry slot does not shut off the snow.


The winds will be very strong, but the 50 to 60 mph gusts will occur in limited areas.  The heavy, wet, snow and wind will cause power failures in many places.
                                                                  
AND WOULD YOU BELIEVE...........


The GFS forecast model showed a stalling snowstorm near NJ over a week ago?  Who woulda thunk it would actually happen?  I can't recall a stalling, looping, snowstorm since 1978.