Mother nature getting set to drop a bomb, a snow bomb that is.

Yes, it is a surprise, but not if you read the Jan. 21st post.

Although still 48 hours away and subject to change, a much colder and snowier storm may be getting ready to strike Wednesday.  In only a 6 to 8 hour time period,  many areas will get 6 to 12 inches of snow.  We have a much colder storm heading our way.


Is there uncertainty?  You bet. 


According to NYNJPAWeather.com the northwest counties of NJ will see 6 to 12 inches of snow.  Elsewhere in NJ a 4 to 8 inch snowfall is likely.  So far.


AccuWeather.com expects less snow, more like 3"to 6" and 1"to 3" near NYC.


NWS is in the 3" to 5" camp.


In my own opinion, most of these figures are too low.  I still like my Sept. 21 Fearless Forecast.  ( which is only an educated guess, afterall ) The QPF for the storm is 3/4" to 1 1/2" for the storm. If that is all snow we have 7 to 15 inches possible.  YIKES!


Everyone, I mean everyone, is waiting for the 12Z guidance to come in.  That happens between 11:30 am and 1:30 pm.

What will the 12Z GFS say? Will it agree with the ECM? Or what about the CMC? And then there is the NOGAPS. The NAM can't be right. Maybe we should follow the SREF. What if the QPF is too low? The DGEX always blows things up. The GFS has a southeast bias. If we get under the CCB we will be hammered!  I need a vacation!


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