Weather forecast headlines for New Jersey and NYC Metro

Cool Super Bowl, not frigid.

Light snow Monday

Snow, ice, rain Wednesday.  Several inches of snow and ice possible, also rain.

Feb. 8,9. Snow likely.  Possibly heavy but with some mixing.

Winter Storm Threat Evolves as Extreme Cold Eases in South, East

Winter Storm Threat Evolves as Extreme Cold Eases in South, East <click here.



Acomplete outlook on the next week.

Weather Outlook: snow, snow, ice, rain, big snow. Look out New Jersey.

Sunday, cloudy, cool.  Super Bowl 35 to 40 degrees.


Monday, about 1" snow

Wednesday, snow, ice, rain a few inches of snow then ice ending as rain

Weekend outlook: major snow possible. ( about a foot in some areas) Feb. 8,9.

Five Unexpected Benefits of the Cold

Five Unexpected Benefits of the Cold <click here.

Snow,ice,rain threats next week.

Steve DiMartino at NYNJPAWEATHER.com and Facebook sees a lot of winter weather ahead next week, also.  Still too early to make a call for next Tues through Thursday.

Winter Storm Threat Evolves as Extreme Cold Eases in South, East

Winter Storm Threat Evolves as Extreme Cold Eases in South, East < click here.



Lots of moisture and very complex.

Travel Weather Forecast - AccuWeather.com

Travel Weather Forecast - AccuWeather.com <click here.

Five Ways Cold Can Damage Your Car

Five Ways Cold Can Damage Your Car <click here.

LIVE: Rare Ice, Snow Storm Halts Atlanta Traffic Through the Night

LIVE: Rare Ice, Snow Storm Halts Atlanta Traffic Through the Night < click here.

Winter reruns ahead......more snow for New Jersey and New York Metro

There are several snowstorms ahead in February.  Or at least there is more moisture ahead, the question is, will it be frozen or not?

Super Bowl Sunday.  snow or a mix is in the forecast early on Sunday with improving weather, later. Moderately cold.

Monday. Light snow.

Wednesday/ Thursday.  A stronger storm with snow or a mix/ rain.  My guess is 4 to 8 inches.  A rerun.

Later , another snowstorm brews.  It is a winter festival ahead, if you like snow.  But we will get a break from the very frigid weather.  In fact , warmer air may be making a comeback.

EURO SHOWS 12" for all of NORTHERN NEW JERSEY, Feb. 5&6. FWIW.

February 9, could see a snowstorm also. With warm air pressing in and cold air in retreat, rain is definitely possible, as well.

The further out in time we go, the more unsettled it all looks.

Weather geek gossip. New Jersey, New York weather forecast turns snowy next week.

Next week should bring significant snow and ice or rain.  So far it looks mostly frozen.  Get your ice melter now.

Weather underground forecasts about 5 to 10 inches of snow next week.

Heavy Snow, Ice Target I-10 and I-95 in South

Heavy Snow, Ice Target I-10 and I-95 in South < click here.

Wednesday brings in a brief light snow.

Based on NAM 4 simulated radar, 0z, we will have several hours of snow showers/ light snow on the 29th.  This may be correct or it may bust.

IF it happens it would be from about midnight Tuesday and end before daybreak on Wednesday.

Arctic front moves through at lunchtime.

... An Arctic front will impact Bergen... Essex... Passaic and western
Union counties...

At 1118 am EST... National Weather Service Doppler radar was tracking
an Arctic front from upstate New York into Pennsylvania... moving
southeast at 25 mph.

* The front will be near...
West Milford by 1220 PM...
Ringwood by 1230 PM...
Wanaque... Pompton Lakes... Oakland and Bloomingdale by 1240 PM...
Wayne... Upper Saddle River... Ramsey and Franklin Lakes by 1250
PM...

Gusty winds up to 45 mph an be expected with the frontal passage. In
addition... scattered snow showers will be possible behind the front.

My updated Super Bowl weather forecast for Sunday, February 2.

My new forecast is slightly warmer and drier.  But otherwise, the forecast I made on Jan. 16th, is about the same.

Mostly cloudy, winds 5 to 10 mph, temperatures 38F to 28 F. 

Note that a winter storm moves in the next day on Monday, Feb. 3.

Not Your Average Chill: What Does 'Polar Vortex' Mean?

Not Your Average Chill: What Does 'Polar Vortex' Mean?

Snow, Ice Wreak Havoc on Travel in Texas and Louisiana

Snow, Ice Wreak Havoc on Travel in Texas and Louisiana

Snow, Ice Wreak Havoc on Travel in Texas and Louisiana

Snow, Ice Wreak Havoc on Travel in Texas and Louisiana

Northeast Snow Threats to Continue Next Week

Northeast Snow Threats to Continue Next Week << click here.

Three Foods That Help Prevent Slippery Roads

Three Foods That Help Prevent Slippery Roads <<<click here.

Will It Snow? - Weather Forecast for MetLife Stadium on February 2, 2014

Will It Snow? - Weather Forecast for MetLife Stadium on February 2, 2014 < click here.



The cold will decrease but the risk for snow will increase.

February outlook, stormy, snowy, cold.

From DT at Wxrisk, Steve Di Martino at NyNjPaWeather, to Henry Margusity, To Brett Anderson at Accuweather, there is a common thread which is a stormy , cold, February.   And, probably some snowstorms in there.  This is normal for February, it brings the snow to us.

Snow at Super Bowl Could Favor a Seahawks Win

Snow at Super Bowl Could Favor a Seahawks Win < click here.

Extreme Cold to Continue in the Northeast - Northeast U.S. Weather Blog Weather Blog

Extreme Cold to Continue in the Northeast - Northeast U.S. Weather Blog Weather Blog < click here.



Maybe the only thing certain about the Super Bowl weather is that it will not be warm.

Four Feet of Rain Floods Philippines, Displaces More Than 260,000 People

Four Feet of Rain Floods Philippines, Displaces More Than 260,000 People < click here



California has had only a fraction of its' usual snow.  Here is where the moisture is.

Latest Super Bowl Weather Forecast from the GFS, the Global Forecast System

Mostly cloudy, cold, snow showers, an inch or 2 accumulation.

High temp. 28 F,  low temp. 12 F.


MY ORIGINAL forecast:

Becoming mostly cloudy, windy, snow showers, temp. 25 to 30 at kickoff.

I made this forecast last week, on Jan. 16 th.,  and I am not changing it , so far.  Please note that my forecast is a guess, with a little science thrown in.

Weather for the week of the Super Bowl. Wintry!

The cold and snowy pattern appears to continue right up to the game.

Jan. 27, 28 a significant snowfall is possible, this has been showing up repeatedly.

Feb.2, Sunday, continued cold but a bit milder, mostly cloudy, snow showers.

Final snowfall totals for New Jersey, Wednesday morning

********************storm total snowfall********************

Location storm total time/date comments
                     snowfall of
                     /inches/ measurement

Connecticut

... Fairfield County...
   Greenwich 10.5 1110 PM 1/21 public
   Stamford 10.3 1153 PM 1/21 public
   New Canaan 10.3 1100 PM 1/21 CT dot
   Weston 10.2 145 am 1/22 trained spotter
   Darien 10.0 100 am 1/22 CT dot
   Shelton 9.5 900 PM 1/21 public
   North Stamford 9.5 1100 PM 1/21 trained spotter
   Old Greenwich 9.5 835 PM 1/21 trained spotter
   Brookfield 3.8 1000 PM 1/21 trained spotter
   Danbury 3.0 1100 PM 1/21 CT dot

... Middlesex County...
   Durham 9.0 950 PM 1/21 public
   Haddam 8.5 100 am 1/22 CT dot
   Clinton 6.7 450 am 1/22 broadcast media
   Old Saybrook 5.5 100 am 1/22 CT dot

... New Haven County...
   North Haven 9.5 1015 PM 1/21 trained spotter
   North Branford 9.0 1125 PM 1/21 public
   Branford 8.5 1000 PM 1/21 public
   Wallingford 8.3 945 PM 1/21 trained spotter
   Milford 8.0 1100 PM 1/21 CT dot
   New Haven 8.0 1100 PM 1/21 CT dot
   West Haven 8.0 930 PM 1/21 public
   Meriden 6.5 1100 PM 1/21 CT dot
   Wolcott 5.8 1130 PM 1/21 trained spotter
   Beacon Falls 5.0 100 am 1/22 CT dot
   2 NNE Wolcott 4.4 1130 PM 1/21 trained spotter
   Southbury 4.0 830 PM 1/21 public
   Waterbury 4.0 1100 PM 1/21 CT dot

... New London County...
   Colchester 7.5 1100 PM 1/21 CT dot
   Norwich 7.0 100 am 1/22 CT dot
   Gales Ferry 6.4 457 am 1/22 trained spotter
   Groton 6.0 100 am 1/22 CT dot
   Ledyard Center 5.0 1000 PM 1/21 trained spotter
   Stonington 4.5 1000 PM 1/21 trained spotter

New Jersey

... Bergen County...
   Little Ferry 13.4 1000 PM 1/21 public
   East Rutherford 13.0 1000 PM 1/21 NJ dot
   Tenafly 12.0 1015 PM 1/21 public
   Fort Lee 11.2 1000 PM 1/21 trained spotter
   Lyndhurst 11.0 1100 PM 1/21 public
   Bergenfield 10.4 1010 PM 1/21 trained spotter
   North Arlington 9.8 1000 PM 1/21 trained spotter
   Saddle Brook 9.6 1000 PM 1/21 trained spotter
   Hackensack 9.5 1030 PM 1/21 public
   Ridgewood 7.9 1000 PM 1/21 trained spotter
   Rivervale 7.0 1021 PM 1/21 public
   Midland Park 6.5 1008 PM 1/21 trained spotter
   Wyckoff 6.2 1000 PM 1/21 trained spotter
   Ridgefield 6.0 1020 PM 1/21 public
   Oakland 4.7 900 PM 1/21 public

... Essex County...
   Roseland 10.7 1125 PM 1/21 public
   Verona 10.5 900 PM 1/21 public
   Newark Airport 10.0 1200 am 1/22 FAA contract observer
   South Orange 10.0 1200 am 1/22 public
   Millburn 9.5 1000 PM 1/21 public
   Belleville 8.2 750 PM 1/21 trained spotter
   Cedar Grove 8.0 1230 am 1/22 public
   Maplewood 7.8 930 PM 1/21 public

... Hudson County...
   Secaucus 12.5 1000 PM 1/21 NJ dot
   North Bergen 11.1 915 PM 1/21 trained spotter
   Harrison 11.1 940 PM 1/21 trained spotter
   Kearny 11.0 820 PM 1/21 public
   Jersey City 10.0 1000 PM 1/21 NJ dot
   Hoboken 9.5 930 PM 1/21 trained spotter

... Passaic County...
   Clifton 12.5 1000 PM 1/21 NJ dot
   Wayne 9.5 900 PM 1/21 trained spotter
   Little Falls 7.0 1000 PM 1/21 trained spotter
   Hawthorne 6.4 808 PM 1/21 public
   Bloomingdale 4.6 115 am 1/22 trained spotter
   Pompton Lakes 4.4 1000 PM 1/21 trained spotter
   Haskell 3.8 800 PM 1/21 trained spotter
   Ringwood 3.8 1000 PM 1/21 trained spotter
   West Milford 3.5 800 PM 1/21 trained spotter

... Union County...
   Elizabeth 12.2 1200 am 1/22 trained spotter
   Clark 12.0 1000 PM 1/21 NJ dot
   Roselle Park 12.0 900 PM 1/21 public
   Cranford 11.6 1030 PM 1/21 public
   Roselle 11.2 100 am 1/22 trained spotter
   Union 10.7 1040 PM 1/21 trained spotter
   Westfield 9.0 1000 PM 1/21 public
   Plainfield 8.0 820 PM 1/21 trained spotter 

Latest Weather Forecast for Sunday Super Bowl

The latest GFS data which is always changing is:

High Temp. 15 F.  Low temp. 1 F. Partly cloudy, snow showers.


My original guess which I have not changed is:

Temps. 25 to 30 at kickoff, mostly cloudy, snow showers.

It is still a long way to Ground Hog Day and the Super Bowl but it sure looks wintry, at this time.

*************

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT...CORRECTED 

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK NY 

650 PM EST TUE JAN 21 2014 

...MODERATE TO HEAVY SNOW WILL CONTINUE INTO LATE EVENING OVER 

MOST OF THE TRI-STATE... 

TWO BANDS OF MODERATE TO HEAVY SNOWFALL WERE BLANKETING ALL BUT 

THE FAR NORTHWEST CORNER OF THE TRI-STATE WITH MODERATE TO HEAVY 

SNOW. THE MAIN BAND RUNS FROM THE NEW YORK CITY 

METRO...NORTHEAST INTO SOUTHERN CONNECTICUT. THE SECOND BAND IS 

OVER EASTERN LONG ISLAND AND FAR SOUTHEASTERN CONNECTICUT. THESE 

BANDS ARE PRODUCING SNOWFALL RATES OF 1 TO 2 INCHES PER HOUR AT 

TIMES...AND ARE EXPECTED TO PERSIST THROUGH AT LEAST 10 PM. THIS 

MODERATE TO HEAVY SNOW...COUPLED WITH WINDS GUSTING TO 25 TO 35 

MPH AT TIMES WILL OCCASIONALLY REDUCE VISIBILITIES TO ONE QUARTER 

MILE OR LESS INTO THE LATE EVENING. 

AREA ROADWAYS ARE BECOMING QUITE TREACHEROUS AS A RESULT. PEOPLE ARE 

URGED TO ONLY TRAVEL IF ABSOLUTELY NECESSARY...AND THEN WITH 

EXTREME CAUTION. 

MALOIT 

More storm totals as of this evening.....more to come.

Connecticut

... Fairfield County...
   New Canaan 7.5 700 PM 1/21 CT dot
   Norwalk 7.0 615 PM 1/21 public
   Darien 7.0 630 PM 1/21 public
   Weston 7.0 615 PM 1/21 trained spotter
   Bridgeport Airport 5.5 700 PM 1/21 coop observer
   Stamford 5.0 515 PM 1/21 trained spotter
   Stratford 5.0 640 PM 1/21 public
   Shelton 4.0 510 PM 1/21 public
   Danbury 2.4 500 PM 1/21 trained spotter

... Middlesex County...
   Haddam 5.0 700 PM 1/21 CT dot
   Clinton 3.8 600 PM 1/21 broadcast media

... New Haven County...
   North Haven 6.0 630 PM 1/21 trained spotter
   Milford 5.5 700 PM 1/21 CT dot
   Meriden 5.0 700 PM 1/21 CT dot
   New Haven 4.8 645 PM 1/21 public
   Guilford 3.0 530 PM 1/21 trained spotter
   Beacon Falls 2.5 700 PM 1/21 CT dot
   Waterbury 2.5 700 PM 1/21 CT dot
   Wolcott 1.5 530 PM 1/21 trained spotter

... New London County...
   Colchester 4.5 700 PM 1/21 CT dot
   Groton 3.0 700 PM 1/21 CT dot

New Jersey

... Bergen County...
   Maywood 8.2 443 PM 1/21 public
   Tenafly 8.0 530 PM 1/21 public
   Franklin Lakes 7.0 600 PM 1/21 trained spotter
   Bergenfield 6.5 510 PM 1/21 trained spotter
   Midland Park 5.8 615 PM 1/21 trained spotter
   Emerson 5.5 545 PM 1/21 public
   Rutherford 4.5 430 PM 1/21 NJ dot
   Paramus 3.5 430 PM 1/21 NJ dot
   Mahwah 2.8 500 PM 1/21 trained spotter

... Essex County...
   Newark Airport 7.9 700 PM 1/21 FAA contract observer
   Cedar Grove 7.0 700 PM 1/21 public

... Hudson County...
   Hoboken 6.3 630 PM 1/21 trained spotter
   North Bergen 6.2 515 PM 1/21 trained spotter
   Secaucus 5.0 430 PM 1/21 NJ dot

... Passaic County...
   Wayne 6.0 600 PM 1/21 public
   Hawthorne 5.9 600 PM 1/21 trained spotter
   Clifton 5.0 455 PM 1/21 trained spotter

... Union County...
   Roselle Park 8.7 600 PM 1/21 public
   Fanwood 7.0 500 PM 1/21 trained spotter
   Union 6.5 440 PM 1/21 trained spotter
   Westfield 6.2 600 PM 1/21 public
   Clark 4.0 430 PM 1/21 NJ dot

New York

... Kings (Brooklyn) County...
   Sheepshead Bay 5.5 600 PM 1/21 trained spotter

... Nassau County...
   Lido Beach 6.5 500 PM 1/21 trained spotter
   Massapequa 6.2 600 PM 1/21 trained spotter
   Malverne 6.2 500 PM 1/21 trained spotter
   East Meadow 6.0 515 PM 1/21 trained spotter
   Uniondale 6.0 600 PM 1/21 trained spotter
   Plainview 5.5 600 PM 1/21 trained spotter
   East Rockaway 5.3 445 PM 1/21 trained spotter
   New Hyde Park 5.2 440 PM 1/21 trained spotter
   Merrick 5.1 430 PM 1/21 broadcast media
   Bayville 3.7 555 PM 1/21 public

... New York County...
   Riverbend houses 10.8 620 PM 1/21 trained spotter
   Central Park 7.6 700 PM 1/21 Central Park Zoo
   upper west side 6.0 430 PM 1/21 trained spotter

... Queens County...
   Bayside 7.5 645 PM 1/21 public
   Fresh Meadows 7.5 700 PM 1/21 public
   Cedar Manor 7.5 630 PM 1/21 trained spotter
   NYC/La Guardia 6.1 700 PM 1/21 FAA contract observer
   Kew Gardens 5.7 618 PM 1/21 public
   Woodside 5.0 600 PM 1/21 trained spotter
   NYC/JFK Airport 5.0 700 PM 1/21 FAA contract observer
   Whitestone 4.5 500 PM 1/21 trained spotter

... Richmond County...
   Great Kills 5.5 435 PM 1/21 public

... Rockland County...
   Valley Cottage 5.1 600 PM 1/21 public
   New City 3.0 500 PM 1/21 trained spotter
   Nyack 2.5 430 PM 1/21 public

... Suffolk County...
   Lindenhurst 9.0 540 PM 1/21 trained spotter
   Centereach 8.5 700 PM 1/21 trained spotter
   Eastport 7.5 615 PM 1/21 public
   Farmingville 6.6 630 PM 1/21 public
   Cutchogue 6.5 600 PM 1/21 trained spotter
   Shirley 6.5 525 PM 1/21 trained spotter
   Saint James 6.3 550 PM 1/21 trained spotter
   Islip Airport 6.2 700 PM 1/21 FAA contract observer
   Bohemia 6.0 515 PM 1/21 trained spotter
   Sayville 6.0 644 PM 1/21 NWS employee
   Upton 5.8 700 PM 1/21 NWS office
   Riverhead 5.6 600 PM 1/21 NWS employee
   Smithtown 5.5 600 PM 1/21 trained spotter
   Islip 5.0 545 PM 1/21 trained spotter
   Huntington 5.0 525 PM 1/21 trained spotter
   Holtsville 4.5 430 PM 1/21 public
   East Northport 4.0 500 PM 1/21 trained spotter
   Shoreham 3.8 500 PM 1/21 trained spotter

... Westchester County...
   Scarsdale 7.0 450 PM 1/21 trained spotter
   White Plains 6.5 545 PM 1/21 trained spotter
   Mount Kisco 3.5 525 PM 1/21 public 

New Jersey snow totals so far......

   Hamilton TWP 1.2 1238 PM 1/21 trained spotter
   Hammonton 1.0 119 PM 1/21 social media
   Pleasantville T 100 PM 1/21 trained spotter
   Atlantic City airpor T 100 PM 1/21 ASOS

... Burlington County...
   Crosswicks 9.0 305 PM 1/21 trained spotter
   Mount Laurel 8.0 458 PM 1/21 NWS employee
   Springfield TWP 8.0 211 PM 1/21 NWS employee
   Moorestown 7.7 515 PM 1/21 trained spotter
   Burlington 7.5 200 PM 1/21 NWS employee
   Florence 7.5 403 PM 1/21 trained spotter
   Burlington TWP 6.0 125 PM 1/21 social media
   Cinnaminson 5.0 313 PM 1/21 trained spotter
   Hainesport 5.0 348 PM 1/21 trained spotter
   Mount Holly WFO 4.0 100 PM 1/21 NWS office
   Palmyra 3.5 1210 PM 1/21 public
   Tabernacle 3.5 451 PM 1/21 trained spotter
   Southampton TWP 2.5 311 PM 1/21 trained spotter

... Camden County...
   Cherry Hill 7.5 525 PM 1/21 trained spotter
   Bellmawr 7.0 526 PM 1/21 trained spotter
   Voorhees 7.0 525 PM 1/21 trained spotter
   Mount Ephraim 7.0 617 PM 1/21 social media
   Pennsauken 6.4 400 PM 1/21 trained spotter
   Blackwood 6.0 524 PM 1/21 trained spotter
   Gloucester TWP 6.0 524 PM 1/21 trained spotter
   Oaklyn 4.0 255 PM 1/21 County official
   Winslow TWP 4.0 255 PM 1/21 County official
   Somerdale 4.0 255 PM 1/21 County official
   Lindenwold 4.0 404 PM 1/21 NWS employee
   West Berlin 4.0 408 PM 1/21 trained spotter
   Barrington 3.0 255 PM 1/21 County official

... Cumberland County...
   Vineland 0.8 206 PM 1/21 social media
   Bridgeton 0.8 302 PM 1/21 trained spotter

... Gloucester County...
   Williamstown 7.0 628 PM 1/21 trained spotter
   Gibbstown 5.0 344 PM 1/21 trained spotter
   Washington TWP 5.0 624 PM 1/21 trained spotter
   Glassboro 4.0 340 PM 1/21 trained spotter
   Franklinville 4.0 620 PM 1/21 trained spotter
   National Park 3.5 100 PM 1/21 trained spotter
   Woodbury 3.0 221 PM 1/21 social media
   Clayton 3.0 344 PM 1/21 trained spotter
   Sewell 2.3 343 PM 1/21 trained spotter

... Hunterdon County...
   Whitehouse Station 10.5 615 PM 1/21 2 inches 515-615p.
   Three Bridges 3.5 244 PM 1/21 public
   Readington TWP 1.9 141 PM 1/21 trained spotter

... Mercer County...
   Yardville 11.6 536 PM 1/21 trained spotter
   Robbinsville 9.0 604 PM 1/21 trained spotter
   East Windsor TWP 9.0 406 PM 1/21 trained spotter
   1 ESE Mercerville-ha 7.0 549 PM 1/21 trained spotter
   Princeton 7.0 529 PM 1/21 social media
   Trenton 6.0 503 PM 1/21 trained spotter
   Ewing 5.7 615 PM 1/21 trained spotter
   Hamilton TWP 5.5 550 PM 1/21 trained spotter
   Hopewell TWP 5.5 551 PM 1/21 trained spotter
   Hopewell 5.3 550 PM 1/21 trained spotter
   Lawrenceville 5.0 549 PM 1/21 trained spotter

... Middlesex County...
   East Brunswick 6.2 611 PM 1/21 trained spotter
   Fords 5.8 452 PM 1/21 trained spotter
   Kendall Park 5.5 610 PM 1/21 trained spotter
   South Plainfield 5.3 610 PM 1/21 trained spotter
   Plainsboro 4.8 503 PM 1/21 public
   Sayreville 4.5 413 PM 1/21 trained spotter

... Monmouth County...
   Colts Neck 10.4 526 PM 1/21 trained spotter
   Englishtown 10.3 538 PM 1/21 trained spotter
   Manalapan 9.0 418 PM 1/21 trained spotter
   Morganville 7.7 414 PM 1/21 trained spotter
   Freehold 7.5 254 PM 1/21 social media
   wall TWP 7.0 609 PM 1/21 public
   Middletown 7.0 421 PM 1/21 social media
   Cliffwood 6.8 609 PM 1/21 trained spotter
   Matawan 6.0 324 PM 1/21 social media
   Eatontown 6.0 514 PM 1/21 public
   Freehold TWP 5.5 118 PM 1/21 social media
   Howell TWP 4.3 426 PM 1/21 trained spotter

... Morris County...
   Lake Parsippany 6.0 553 PM 1/21 trained spotter
   Morristown 5.8 513 PM 1/21 trained spotter
   Randolph TWP 4.4 517 PM 1/21 cocorahs

... Ocean County...
   Jackson TWP 6.5 557 PM 1/21 trained spotter
   Toms River 2.8 418 PM 1/21 trained spotter

... Somerset County...
   Bound Brook 6.0 614 PM 1/21 trained spotter
   Basking Ridge 5.9 457 PM 1/21 trained spotter
   Bridgewater TWP 5.6 519 PM 1/21 trained spotter
   Hillsborough 5.4 501 PM 1/21 trained spotter
   Belle Mead 5.0 519 PM 1/21 trained spotter
   1 NW Bridgewater TWP 4.0 431 PM 1/21 trained spotter

... Sussex County...
   Highland Lakes 2.5 550 PM 1/21 public
   Wantage 1.7 604 PM 1/21 trained spotter

... Warren County...
   Hackettstown 3.0 407 PM 1/21 trained spotter
   Broadway 3.0 420 PM 1/21 trained spotter
   Stewartsville 2.7 234 PM 1/21 trained spotter
   hope 2.5 501 PM 1/21 trained spotter

Pennsylvania

... Berks County...
   flying hills 4.5 434 PM 1/21 public 

Early snow totals, just starting.....

   North Haven 2.7 400 PM 1/21 trained spotter

New Jersey

... Bergen County...
   Bergenfield 2.5 315 PM 1/21 trained spotter
   Mahwah 1.2 113 PM 1/21 trained spotter
   Ridgewood 1.1 113 PM 1/21 trained spotter
   Fort Lee 1.0 114 PM 1/21 trained spotter

... Essex County...
   Newark Airport 4.6 400 PM 1/21 FAA observer
   Nutley 2.4 200 PM 1/21 trained spotter
   Maplewood 2.0 230 PM 1/21 public
   Cedar Grove 1.9 215 PM 1/21 public
   West Orange 1.5 200 PM 1/21 public

... Hudson County...
   North Bergen 4.1 315 PM 1/21 trained spotter
   Harrison 4.1 315 PM 1/21 trained spotter

... Passaic County...
   Wayne 3.8 400 PM 1/21 trained spotter

... Union County...
   Elizabeth 6.5 345 PM 1/21 trained spotter
   Roselle Park 2.0 200 PM 1/21 trained spotter
   Union 1.3 1243 PM 1/21 trained spotter 

The 10 Snowiest Colleges in the US

The 10 Snowiest Colleges in the US < click here.

Winter Storm May Loom for Super Bowl Weekend

Winter Storm May Loom for Super Bowl Weekend < click here



Told ya!  Cold and snowy.

Alberta Clipper launches an attack on New Jersey and New York Metro

While it will not be the biggest storm we ever saw it will bring in plenty of wind swept snow and falling temperatures.  Today it was a mild winter day and that all begins changing overnight. Temperatures near zero are possible by Wednesday night.

The storm developed suddenly and was not expected as short a time ago as last Friday.  We shall see just how it evolves, further surprises are possible.  Watch for thunder snow.

Northeast New Jersey has a winter storm warning

Many areas will see 3 to 6 inch amounts, less north and west.  Toward the shore and New York harbor, 6 to 10". 

 Long Island could get 6 to 12 inches.

A snow band is expected tomorrow from Philadelphia to Toms River to Queens and that will be the area of heavy snow.  Expect a dry powdery snow with very cold temperatures.


... Winter Storm Warning in effect from noon Tuesday to 6 am EST
Wednesday...

The National Weather Service in New York has issued a Winter
Storm Warning for snow... which is in effect from noon Tuesday to
6 am EST Wednesday. The Winter Storm Watch is no longer in effect.

* Locations... northeast New Jersey... southern Westchester
County... and southern Fairfield County.

* Hazard types... heavy snow.

* Accumulations... snow accumulation of 6 to 10 inches.

* Winds... north 15 to 25 mph with gusts up to 30 mph.

* Wind chills... as low as 10 below zero late Tuesday night.

* Temperatures... 10 to 19.

* Visibilities... one quarter mile or less at times.

* Timing... snowfall will begin late Tuesday morning and will
continue through Tuesday night... tapering off early Wednesday
morning. The heaviest snowfall will occur Tuesday afternoon and
evening.

* Impacts... falling... blowing... and drifting snow will cause
hazardous travel and walking conditions across the
area... possibly impacting the late afternoon and evening
commute. Extreme cold and low wind chills could cause frost
bite. Dress appropriately.

Precautionary/preparedness actions...

A Winter Storm Warning for heavy snow means severe winter weather
conditions are expected or occurring. Significant amounts of snow
are forecast that will make travel dangerous. Only travel in an
emergency. If you must travel... keep an extra flashlight... food...
and water in your vehicle in case of an emergency.

Super Bowl Sunday Weather Forecast

The trend is snowy for the super weekend.  Sunday , light snow, snow showers, windy and cold.

Monday looks even worse , so postponement may not be a viable option.  There could be snow/ ice/rain on Monday and more of it than on Sunday.  Still too early to be even close to locking in a weather forecast.

Snow Tuesday afternoon and evening

Estimates on accumulation range from 1 to 3". To as much as 5 to 10".  Stay tuned!

Snow Returns to the East Coast on Tuesday

Snow Returns to the East Coast on Tuesday < click here.

Super Bowl Weather Forecast Update

The GFS is backing off on the mild weather and so I decided to stick with my original forecast.

Becoming cloudy, windy, snow showers, temperatures 25 to 30 at game time.

Keep in mind that we are still 2 weeks away but the Polar Vortex will likely stick around until then.  So long as that is the case, expect wintry conditions.

THE WEATHER FORECAST MODELS FOR THE SUPER BOWL  have been trending to more snow.  Some accumulating snow now looks more likely, on the order of  2 cm to 5 centimeters.

Snow Tuesday

 1 to 3 inches between 10 am and 7 pm.  Followed by very much colder.

Snow, Brutal Cold from Midwest to East Coast - AccuWeather.com

Snow, Brutal Cold from Midwest to East Coast - AccuWeather.com < click here

No 'Snow Bowls' for Sunday's NFL Championship Games

No 'Snow Bowls' for Sunday's NFL Championship Games < click here.

Weather underground forecasts the Super Bowl

The night before the big game , 3 to 5 inches of snow is forecast.  Snow and rain showers the day of the game.  Temperatures mostly in the 30 's up to near 40 in the afternoon.

Super Bowl Sunday Weather Forecast

Becoming  cloudy, cold, chance of light snow or snow showers, at night, temperatures 22 to 35.F.

The good news is that there is a milding trend right around Super Bowl Sunday, the bad news is that it may bring snow/rain with it.  Too far in the future to make a good guess.

My original Super Bowl Weather Forecast is still not that bad:

Partly cloudy, windy, snow  showers, temperatures 25 to 30 at kickoff. Windy weather conditions are the rule in the meadowlands stadium area.

Some snow may occur on or about Jan. 27, 28.

Snow/rain may occur on the Monday after the Super Bowl.

Super Bowl Sunday Weather Forecast

POLAR VORTEX WINS THE SUPER BOWL ! 

Snow / rain.  Temps. 25 to 44 F.  ( 7am data, EST ). The stadium located in the meadowlands, is subject to windy conditions, so anyone going to the game needs to be prepared for dealing with rather harsh wintry weather.

In the days before the Super Bowl the weather looks very cold, with snow possible.


This forecast is from the GFS data and will be updated as the data changes.

Polar Vortex to Reinforce Extremes: Frigid East, Dry West

Polar Vortex to Reinforce Extremes: Frigid East, Dry West < click here.

Harsh winter conditions return next week to New York and New Jersey, weather forecast for Super Bowl

Next week will see a return of cold weather and maybe some snow as well.  Temps will be below freezing all day by the middle of the week.

Super Bowl Forecast
Partly cloudy, windy, snow  showers, temperatures 25 to 30 at kickoff.

The days leading up to the Super Bowl will be cold and probably snowy as well.  Expect snow on the ground and frigid temperatures that week.

PLEASE NOTE THIS IS MY OWN BEST GUESS AND NOT ANY OFFICIAL WEATHER FORECAST.  WE ARE definitely heading into a cold regime with multiple light to moderate snow threats.

Thanks to Wxrisk & DT, Steve Dimartino  at NYNJPAWEATHER.COM, ACCUWEATHER.COM !

And.......the National Weather Service too!

Area flood watch, no it is not another Gov. Christie political retribution. Or is it?

We have a lot of see saw weather ahead. Tomorrow is a flood watch for heavy rain combined with snow melt.  Even some river ice jams possible.  You might think that someone is up to no good with an anti global warming weather machine.  Make it look like a natural event but it really is somebody looking to cause a flood for retribution?  Only time will tell.

Jan. 17, 18 the deep freeze appears.  Watch for frozen pipe floods.  Check your heat and hot water systems.  Check with the Governor, just in case. Those Republicans get nasty when you do not do things their way.  If the GWB gets washed away along with your bathroom ceiling, well do not say you we're not warned.

What a vivid imagination.  I must see Walter Mitty.  Tap omertà, to pockets!, topoketa, that is.

Sometimes I hate spell check.  I would rather cast my own spell.

No, I won't shut up, or buy another Frankenphone.  So there!

This weekend: RAINFALL AMOUNTS FROM 1 1/2 TO 2 INCHES...WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS UP TO 2 1/2 INCHES IN AND NEAR THE HIGHER TERRAIN NORTH AND WEST OF NEW YORK CITY...IS LIKELY TO CAUSE SIGNIFICANT URBAN...LOW LYING AND POOR DRAINAGE FLOODING EARLY THIS WEEKEND. IN ADDITION TO URBAN AND POOR DRAINAGE FLOODING...FLASHY SMALL STREAM AND RIVER FLOODING IS POSSIBLE. CONDITIONS ARE ALSO FAVORABLE FOR ICE JAM FLOODING.

Super Bowl Weather Prediction

I do not know what it will be weather wise .  But I predict it will be the first and last Super Bowl for New Jersey.

Our infrastructure will struggle to handle the crowds and traffic.  The roads were being updated but they are not yet complete.  Traffic and mass transit headaches will make for a dubious Super Bowl debut for New Jersey.  Austerity and super are two incompatible concepts, yes?

Another January Thaw - Northeast U.S. Weather Blog Weather Blog

Another January Thaw - Northeast U.S. Weather Blog Weather Blog < click here.

Energy Records Broken in South Amid Deep Freeze

Energy Records Broken in South Amid Deep Freeze < click here.

Latest weather geek gossip. Mild, windy rainy Saturday and lookout for MLK weekend!

Saturday will bring very mild weather with a period of heavy rain and wind gusts up to 45 to 50 mph.

MLK weekend will bring a return of winter snows, cold and one guy even used the word blizzard!

We shall see.  But do not believe that winter is now over because of some mild weather in the coming days.  A January thaw?

Enjoy the thaw for the next week.  It may not last.

Strong winds with temperatures near zero.

... Wind Advisory remains in effect from 9 PM this evening to 6 PM
EST Tuesday...

* locations... New York City... Long Island... northeast New Jersey and
portions of the lower Hudson Valley.

* Hazards... strong winds.

* Winds... west 25 to 35 mph with gusts up to 50 mph.

* Timing... strong winds will develop late this evening and
continue into Tuesday afternoon. The highest winds are expected
between midnight and 8 am.

* Impacts... difficult driving conditions in strong winds.

Precautionary/preparedness actions...

A Wind Advisory is issued when sustained winds of 31 to 39 mph...
or gusts of 46 to 57 mph... are expected or occurring. Winds this
strong can make driving difficult... especially for high profile
vehicles. Use extra caution.

Extreme Cold to Challenge All-Time Record Lows? - The WeatherMatrix Blog Weather Blog

Extreme Cold to Challenge All-Time Record Lows? - The WeatherMatrix Blog Weather Blog < click here.

All Minnesota Public Schools Closed Monday Due to Cold

All Minnesota Public Schools Closed Monday Due to Cold < click here.

Coldest Air in 20 Years to Aim at Nation's Heartland

Coldest Air in 20 Years to Aim at Nation's Heartland< click here.

Possible Record Cold in the days ahead, but what about the past?

From American Weather.

Annual low temperatures at Central Park since 1950:

Year....Annual Minimum Temperature

2013...11

2012...13

2011...6

2010..13

2009...6

2008..10

2007...8

2006...15

2005...5

2004...1

2003..7

2002..19

2001...16

2000...3

1999...9

1998...14

1997...4

1996...5

1995...6

1994...-2

1993...7

1992...11

1991...10

1990...7

1989...6

1988...5

1987...4

1986...8

1985...-2

1984...8

1983..4

1982...0

1981...2

1980...-1

1979...0

1978...10

1977...-2

1976...-1

1975...15

1974...6

1973...7

1972...5

1971...4

1970...3

1969...11

1968...-1

1967...4

1966...8

1965...9

1964...9

1963...-2

1962....4

1961...-2

1960...8

1959...7

1958...3

1957...0

1956...14

1955...0

1954...7

1953...14

1952...8

1951...8

1950...5

Snowfall totals for New Jersey

... Bergen County...
   Paramus 9.0 700 am 1/03 NJ dot
   East Rutherford 8.0 700 am 1/03 NJ dot
   Fort Lee 7.0 1000 am 1/03 trained spotter
   Saddle Brook 6.8 1000 am 1/03 trained spotter
   North Arlington 6.7 1000 am 1/03 trained spotter
   Teaneck 6.5 1000 am 1/03 trained spotter
   Bergenfield 6.5 1000 am 1/03 trained spotter
   Tenafly 6.0 800 am 1/03 public
   Rivervale 6.0 624 am 1/03 public
   Ridgewood 5.8 700 am 1/03 trained spotter
   Closter 5.5 1000 am 1/03 trained spotter
   Oakland 5.5 810 am 1/03 public
   Mahwah 4.9 900 am 1/03 trained spotter
   Emerson 4.5 511 am 1/03 public
   Ridgefield 4.4 700 am 1/03 public
   Washington Township 3.5 1000 am 1/03 trained spotter

... Essex County...
   Newark Airport 8.5 700 am 1/03 FAA contract observer
   West Orange 6.5 800 am 1/03 public
   Verona 6.0 434 am 1/03 public
   Cedar Grove 5.5 740 am 1/03 public

... Hudson County...
   Kearny 9.5 1030 am 1/03 public
   North Bergen 8.0 831 am 1/03 trained spotter
   Jersey City 8.0 830 am 1/03 trained spotter
   Secaucus 8.0 700 am 1/03 NJ dot
   Hoboken 6.7 900 am 1/03 trained spotter
   Harrison 6.5 700 am 1/03 trained spotter

... Passaic County...
   Bloomingdale 7.8 700 am 1/03 trained spotter
   Wayne 6.5 1000 am 1/03 trained spotter
   West Milford 6.0 1100 am 1/03 trained spotter
   Haskell 6.0 800 am 1/03 trained spotter
   Ringwood 6.0 600 am 1/03 trained spotter
   Clifton 5.0 403 am 1/03 NJ dot

... Union County...
   Elizabeth 8.4 930 am 1/03 trained spotter
   Roselle Park 7.0 1000 am 1/03 trained spotter
   Union 6.1 1130 am 1/03 trained spotter
   Clark 6.0 403 am 1/03 NJ dot
   Westfield 6.0 1040 am 1/03 public 

BLIZZARD WARNING!!! Long Island, Nassau, Suffolk co.

...BLIZZARD WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM THURSDAY TO 1 PM EST  

FRIDAY...  



THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN NEW YORK HAS ISSUED A BLIZZARD  

WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM THURSDAY TO 1 PM EST  

FRIDAY. THE WINTER STORM WATCH IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT.  



* LOCATIONS...LONG ISLAND INCLUDING NASSAU AND SUFFOLK COUNTIES.  



* HAZARD TYPES...SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW.  



* ACCUMULATIONS...UP TO AROUND 1 INCH OF SNOW IS FORECAST  

OVERNIGHT THROUGH THE THURSDAY MORNING RUSH HOUR. AN ADDITIONAL  

7 TO 9 INCHES OF SNOW IS FORECAST THURSDAY EVENING THROUGH  

FRIDAY. TOTAL ACCUMULATIONS OF 8 TO 10 INCHES ARE FORECAST.  



* WINDS...NORTH 25 TO 35 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 45 MPH.  



* TEMPERATURES...IN THE LOWER 20S.  



* VISIBILITIES...ONE QUARTER MILE OR LESS.  



* TIMING...THE HEAVIEST SNOW AND THE STRONGEST WINDS WILL OCCUR THURSDAY  

NIGHT INTO FRIDAY.  



* IMPACTS...BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW WILL PRODUCE DANGEROUS  

TRAVEL CONDITIONS. WIND CHILLS FROM 5 DEGREES BELOW ZERO TO 5  

DEGREES ABOVE ZERO WILL PRODUCE EXTREME COLD IMPACTS.  



PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...  



A BLIZZARD WARNING MEANS SEVERE WINTER WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE  

EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. FALLING AND BLOWING SNOW WITH STRONG WINDS  

AND POOR VISIBILITIES ARE LIKELY. THIS WILL LEAD TO WHITEOUT  

CONDITIONS...MAKING TRAVEL EXTREMELY DANGEROUS. DO NOT TRAVEL. IF  

YOU MUST TRAVEL...HAVE A WINTER SURVIVAL KIT WITH YOU. IF YOU GET  

STRANDED...STAY WITH YOUR VEHICLE.  

HOLD ALL YOUR BETS, because there has been a major shift in the models.

Check the late afternoon forecasts because a much nastier snowstorm may hit, New York, New Jersey and Pennsylvania!  The weather may be about to surprise all of us!

For the last 2 days this storm has been gaining all the earmarks of a MAJOR  winter storm.  Yet, the models have been mostly downplaying it here at the surface w here we live.  Now there appears to be a major shift to a more intense storm.

AO has gone negative.
NAO Is also more favorable.
The trough over the eastern US is now going to tilt negative.
A 50/50 low near Newfoundland will help direct the storm our way.
The storm will move closer, move slower and give more snow.
Record or near record cold temps are very near to us.
The Western ridge has a more favorable position.
The trough and the arctic low are digging further south.

But since the models have been all over the place it is hard to judge what may happen.  If the latest trend continues prepare for over a foot of snow in many areas, high winds and bitter cold.

HAPPY NEW YEAR!

From Upton, New York,  for New York City Metro

Winter Storm Watch

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK NY

446 AM EST WED JAN 1 2014

...A COASTAL STORM WILL BRING THE POTENTIAL FOR HEAVY SNOW...NEAR

BLIZZARD CONDITIONS ALONG THE COAST...AND DANGEROUSLY COLD WIND

CHILLS THURSDAY EVENING THROUGH FRIDAY AFTERNOON...

CTZ009>012-NJZ006-NYZ071>075-078>081-176>179-012215-

/O.EXT.KOKX.WS.A.0005.140102T2300Z-140103T1800Z/

SOUTHERN FAIRFIELD-SOUTHERN NEW HAVEN-SOUTHERN MIDDLESEX-

SOUTHERN NEW LONDON-HUDSON-SOUTHERN WESTCHESTER-

NEW YORK (MANHATTAN)-BRONX-RICHMOND (STATEN ISLAND)-

KINGS (BROOKLYN)-NORTHWESTERN SUFFOLK-NORTHEASTERN SUFFOLK-

SOUTHWESTERN SUFFOLK-SOUTHEASTERN SUFFOLK-NORTHERN QUEENS-

NORTHERN NASSAU-SOUTHERN QUEENS-SOUTHERN NASSAU-

446 AM EST WED JAN 1 2014

...WINTER STORM WATCH NOW IN EFFECT FROM THURSDAY EVENING THROUGH

FRIDAY AFTERNOON...

* LOCATIONS...COASTAL CONNECTICUT...NEW YORK CITY METROPOLITAN

AREA AND SURROUNDINGS...AND LONG ISLAND.

* HAZARD TYPES...SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW.

* ACCUMULATIONS...5 TO 9 INCHES.

* WINDS...NORTH 20 TO 30 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 40 MPH.

* TEMPERATURES...TEMPERATURES DROPPING INTO THE LOWER TEENS

THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY AFTERNOON WITH WIND CHILLS OF 5 TO

10 BELOW ZERO.

* VISIBILITIES...ONE QUARTER TO ONE HALF MILE AT TIMES LATE

THURSDAY INTO FRIDAY MORNING.

* TIMING...THURSDAY NIGHT INTO FRIDAY.

* IMPACTS...THE ACCUMULATING SNOW...ALONG WITH CONSIDERABLE

BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW...WOULD PRODUCE DANGEROUS TRAVEL

CONDITIONS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WINTER STORM WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT

SNOW...SLEET...OR ICE ACCUMULATIONS THAT MAY IMPACT TRAVEL.

CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE LATEST FORECASTS.

&&

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