In case you don't already know, snow forecasting is the most difficult of all. This is because there are so many factors that must come together to produce snow, in the NY metro area. And if the forecasters are wrong, everyone knows it. Too many variables, some of which change in a somewhat random fashion, make forecasting difficult.
Just to our south though, this may be an unusually snowy month ahead. The main storm track will bring the most precipitation roughly through Virginia.
Forecaster Joe Bastardi expects a wild winter party later this month. Elliot Abrams is confident on cold weather to persist, but makes no guarantees about snow. Henry Margusity sees a snowy lining in almost any cloud, but he alone saw the weekend storm moving as far north as NJ. Frank Strait is keeping the Southerners happy with snow and ice.
I say, bring it on.
Please light a snow candle to help bring a coastal storm up to our area. Thanks.
Come Wednesday night, I will use my intuition to help guess what this weekend storm will do. Right now, the weekend storm does not look all that promising for a deep snowfall here in Northern NJ. The storms just keep marching along well to our south.
We are fast approaching the New York area's infamous, " snow window ", when some of our best or worst, snowstorms occur. I believe it runs from about Feb. 4 to the 14th, approximately. There are other storms ahead on the GFS so, maybe one of those will pan out. The last run showed a nice storm for us around the 13th. But then, the GFS has always had many snowstorms that never show up.
FISH FORECASTING, if we could only talk to the animals.
Just before a thunderstorm, you may see fish wildly playing at the surface of the water. I experienced this last summer and the sky was fair with no sign of a thunderstorm. The fish are better weather watchers than we are.
Moose does not make his forecast until Saturday morning.
1 comment:
Funny photo!
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