It's beginning to look a lot like a blizzard.

MOST PLACES IN NEW JERSEY WILL GET ABOUT A FOOT OF SNOW give or take 2 inches. But some areas will approach the 20 inch mark.

Snow developing Tuesday night late. Probably 1 to 3 inches by dawn. There may be a pause in the snow for a few hours.

Snow continuing in the morning at a light pace at first, then all hell will break loose sometime around lunch hour or a bit later.

There will be heavier snow at times , increasing wind, possible thunder and lightning in some places.

If you hear thunder you know that you are in a heavy snow band. If snow falls heavily and continuously then you will be getting the highest snow amounts in your area. People only 10 or 20 miles away will get much less snow.

Falling snow,blowing and drifting snow will cause visibility to drop to between 1/2 and 2/10ths. mile. Near white conditions may occur in strong wind gusts. Winds will average about 15 miles per hour but there may be gusts to 40 miles per hour or higher, especially in coastal areas,in the afternoon and evening...near blizzard conditions will develop at times.

A suspected dry slot could cut off the heavy snow in some areas and lessen accumulations.

Some coastal and southern locations should see some mixing in of sleet or rain for a while, then, back to snow. These areas will still get at least 6 inches of snow anyway.

Conditions will improve around 7 to 9 pm.

The snow will end by about midnight.

Although a dry slot may lessen accumulations, most places will see about a foot of snow with a few small areas getting as much as 20 inches south of Rte. 78. Well north, accumulations could be as little a 6 inches. North of Rte. 78 some areas will exceed 12 inches also.

A mesoscale band of heavy snow will set up running from New York City southeast to the area of Philadelphia. The exact location of this expected band will produce the most accumulations. It will form where there is the most forcing present at the frontogenic zone. This cannot be determined in advance, only by watching live radar images.

Travel from afternoon to nightfall will be very difficult and hazardous.


9 pm update - pressures falling rapidly near Cape Hatteras, low is now taking shape

heavy snow breaking out in PA.

Midnight update

Snow breaking out in most of NJ, the NAM model now shows North Jersey really getting hammered tomorrow.

Mount Holly- Heavy snow, freezing fog.
Wildwood - Freezing rain
Caldwell- light snow, overcast
Trenton- light snow
Lakehurst- Snow