Photo above: White Cat II by Ace of Finland photography.
With several models agreeing on snow Friday, only the details need to be worked out. A moderate amount of snow seems likely, so far. Mets. are waiting for the pm Euro to come in by around 2 pm this afternoon, to see if it now agrees with several other models.
- Tuesday afternoon thoughts.
- With forecasts all over the board, once again, we have a range of expectations for Friday.
- Nothing, 1" to 2", 2" to 4", 6" to 12", and 1' to 2'. *** My best guess is still 4" to 8" for north Jersey. ***
- Since we are in such a volatile weather pattern, I would not trust a forecast more than 24 to 36 hours in advance. Remember, there was no consensus on the December "Boxing Day Blizzard", until Christmas Day! ( and not even then, really)
- This storm is yet another "Miller B" type storm. A disturbance comes from the Plains States, as it gets near the coast, a new storm forms at the ocean front. There is a merger between the original disturbance and another one. If the new storm forms south of NJ, we get a major snowfall. Too far south, it may go out to sea. Too far north and Long Island and New England get the big snows.
- Anything could happen, but the chances of 12" or more are remote, in my humble opinion. The storm will be followed by Arctic air for the weekend.
No comments:
Post a Comment