January started out cold and this will continue for another day or two. We will have a mild trend next week, ending in a rain storm followed by more seasonal cold. Stratospheric warming has begun and if it continues it will produce colder conditions, again. ( Jan. 17-22 looks cold) There will be a couple of Great Lakes storms ahead and eventually one will be forced east toward the coast bringing us some snow later in January.
I do not expect a big snow in NJ this month. The Pacific jet and a southeast ridge is working against us. Most storms will cut to the Great Lakes as they have been doing. The Rockies and upper Midwest are the best places for cold and snow. It might turn cold for a time as we get near February.
More or less a mediocre winter with some snow/ice but usually rain. We need a big ridge over the Western states and we are not getting that, so, no long cold waves for us.
This is what I can surmise from DT at Wxrisk, Steve D. at NYNJPA Weather and Accuweather's Henry M. and Elliot A.
Not a winter to get excited about on the East Coast, so far. But then February is our snowiest month historically, so, who knows?
Update: Some models are showing a cold outbreak around 2 weeks hence.
I do not expect a big snow in NJ this month. The Pacific jet and a southeast ridge is working against us. Most storms will cut to the Great Lakes as they have been doing. The Rockies and upper Midwest are the best places for cold and snow. It might turn cold for a time as we get near February.
More or less a mediocre winter with some snow/ice but usually rain. We need a big ridge over the Western states and we are not getting that, so, no long cold waves for us.
This is what I can surmise from DT at Wxrisk, Steve D. at NYNJPA Weather and Accuweather's Henry M. and Elliot A.
Not a winter to get excited about on the East Coast, so far. But then February is our snowiest month historically, so, who knows?
Update: Some models are showing a cold outbreak around 2 weeks hence.
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