It looks like a 3 to 6 inch event to me but, we will not have good figures on this, until Tuesday morning. A fast moving and not a long lasting storm.
The Euro and the GFS are both changing things around. Perhaps DT was correct on Friday, when he stated that this will go mostly to New England.
I think Henry M. at Accuweather.com has the right idea in his blog. A clipper storm heads to the coast and there picks up moisture, intensifies, but quickly moves out to the northeast. Leaving us with 4" + of snow and plenty of wind and cold. It all depends on weather we are on the cold side of the storm or not.
Once in a while, such a storm can drop more snow than forecast but so far, I see no reason for this one to do that. The 12Z models are coming in now.
GFS shows a quick moving clipper that brings snow in to the New York Metro in the pre-dawn hours and quickly exits by Friday afternoon, leaving us with 5 to 8 inches of snow. A tough commute Friday morning, the 25th of January! IF it is correct!
Statement:
MODELS ARE SIGNALING POTENTIAL FOR
A MORE SIGNIFICANT LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM TO END THE WEEK/START THE
WEEKEND AS A RESULT. BUT BECAUSE THE ENERGY FOR THIS SYSTEM IS STILL
IN THE BERING SEA AND NOT EXPECTED TO WORK INTO THE WEST COAST
TILL MIDWEEK THERE IS AN ENORMOUS AMOUNT OF UNCERTAINTY ON DETAILS
AT THIS TIME. THIS IS BORNE OUT BY THE STILL WIDE RANGE OF MEDIUM
RANGE OPERATIONAL MODEL AND ENSEMBLE MEMBER SOLUTIONS
*****from Upton, NY weather office.
The Euro and the GFS are both changing things around. Perhaps DT was correct on Friday, when he stated that this will go mostly to New England.
I think Henry M. at Accuweather.com has the right idea in his blog. A clipper storm heads to the coast and there picks up moisture, intensifies, but quickly moves out to the northeast. Leaving us with 4" + of snow and plenty of wind and cold. It all depends on weather we are on the cold side of the storm or not.
Once in a while, such a storm can drop more snow than forecast but so far, I see no reason for this one to do that. The 12Z models are coming in now.
GFS shows a quick moving clipper that brings snow in to the New York Metro in the pre-dawn hours and quickly exits by Friday afternoon, leaving us with 5 to 8 inches of snow. A tough commute Friday morning, the 25th of January! IF it is correct!
Statement:
MODELS ARE SIGNALING POTENTIAL FOR
A MORE SIGNIFICANT LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM TO END THE WEEK/START THE
WEEKEND AS A RESULT. BUT BECAUSE THE ENERGY FOR THIS SYSTEM IS STILL
IN THE BERING SEA AND NOT EXPECTED TO WORK INTO THE WEST COAST
TILL MIDWEEK THERE IS AN ENORMOUS AMOUNT OF UNCERTAINTY ON DETAILS
AT THIS TIME. THIS IS BORNE OUT BY THE STILL WIDE RANGE OF MEDIUM
RANGE OPERATIONAL MODEL AND ENSEMBLE MEMBER SOLUTIONS
*****from Upton, NY weather office.
No comments:
Post a Comment