Mid-Atlantic Major Snow Potential Next Week
click here ^ ^ ^
Thursday, February 28, 2013
As of today the weather models show a snowstorm next week but it misses New Jersey and New York.
After this storm pulls out some mild weather will take over and that should be the end of winter. Still watching the March 6, 7 potential snow, south of us.
Wednesday, February 27, 2013
Attack of the March Blizzard is still on the Euro for New York City and points south. But, will it happen? Who knows?
The winter assault will include Virginia, Delaware, Southeast Pennsylvania, New Jersey, Southern New York, Long Island then out to sea via Martha's Vineyard.
IF, it occurs look for a heavy wet snow about March 6 / 7.
Weather for New York City, on March 6, 7, 2013, is more likely, cloudy with snow showers, but the Euro is not backing down, so far. This, almost certainly, would be our last chance for a significant snow this season.
Latest Euro shows a monster 2 foot blizzard next week, but probably, it is wrong. Virginia, Maryland, Delaware, Pennsylvania, New York and New Jersey would all be affected if, it were to occur. Coastal flooding would be a concern.
Monday, February 25, 2013
THIS WEEK IN WEATHER 24 FEB 2013
A weather geek show about the end of winter snow chances. Best bet: March 6-7 , maybe. From meteorologist DT, at Wxrisk.
Although the upper air set up is pretty good, it looks like the next 2 storms will miss us because one will be too warm and the next goes out to sea.
A
Friday, February 22, 2013
Looking for snow?
More rain / snow next Tuesday in a storm similar to this weekend. It will be a bit colder and we could expect more snow especially far Northwest.
A big storm may, may be brewing for Friday, March 1st. This would be the end of winter storm, if it happens. Both the Euro and the GFS are picking it up, so , maybe?
A big storm may, may be brewing for Friday, March 1st. This would be the end of winter storm, if it happens. Both the Euro and the GFS are picking it up, so , maybe?
Thursday, February 21, 2013
Where is spring?
According to Steve DiMartino, NY NJ PA Weather.com, we have about 2 or maybe 3 weeks of winter left to go. After that a markedly warmer pattern begins.
This weekend, New Jersey will see mostly rain, not snow.
The main center of the weekend storm will be over the Great Lakes and will pull in warm air over NJ.
This weekend, New Jersey will see mostly rain, not snow.
The main center of the weekend storm will be over the Great Lakes and will pull in warm air over NJ.
Friday, February 15, 2013
Wednesday, February 13, 2013
Snow?
About 1 to 3" in most areas tonight. Heavier in the Philadelphia area. The weekend threat has backed off to only some snow showers.
Tuesday, February 12, 2013
Good, non technical explanation of the Weather Model Gap of the USA and other global entities.
http://cliffmass.blogspot.com/2013/02/the-us-weather-prediction-computer-gap.html
Why does the US have such a lousy weather model? click ^ ^ ^
Why does the US have such a lousy weather model? click ^ ^ ^
Shared from Dt @ Wxrisk.com and on Facebook. Scott Bergenfield photo.
( ECMWF= Europe, GFS& NAM = USA )
Light snow Wednesday and Thursday and we try to hit the trifecta on the weekend.
The on again off again storm for Valentine's Day appears to be on with mostly 1 to 3 inch totals. South could see a bit more.
The weekend could be interesting or not. The threat of a major winter storm is there. A polar disturbance, and the southern branch of the jet stream will be interacting in some way, but that may occur inland, on the coast or, out over the open ocean. The large scale pattern is favorable, which is why there is so much attention being given to it.
Will it be a hit or a miss? We should know more after the first storm goes past us Thursday.
The weekend could be interesting or not. The threat of a major winter storm is there. A polar disturbance, and the southern branch of the jet stream will be interacting in some way, but that may occur inland, on the coast or, out over the open ocean. The large scale pattern is favorable, which is why there is so much attention being given to it.
Will it be a hit or a miss? We should know more after the first storm goes past us Thursday.
Monday, February 11, 2013
Ice, freezing rain and sleet Monday morning, early!
The Valentine snow is not very likely and if it occurs it would be over the southern areas of New Jersey. But the GFS says snow Thursday 6" +. ????
The threat of a potential snow for this weekend is still present. I notice 3 of the main models have the storm this weekend. Something to watch for sure.
The threat of a potential snow for this weekend is still present. I notice 3 of the main models have the storm this weekend. Something to watch for sure.
Sunday, February 10, 2013
Now that we have had some practice, are we ready to shovel more snow?
South Jersey will get some more shoveling in, about Valentines" Day.
The region in general, has a potential storm around President's Day weekend.
The region in general, has a potential storm around President's Day weekend.
Saturday, February 9, 2013
What is on the menu? Valentine's Day a storm slides south of us giving only south Jersey snow. Around Presidents Day a major coastal storm is coming into view as a big wrap up to a snowy February.
There will be an almost perfect synoptic set up for an East Coast storm around the PD Weekend. That is, the large scale pattern, will be right for a storm. Exactly how it may play out, as far as rain or snow, is not known at this early juncture.
Do not expect a storm such as we just saw,because those historic storms, are years apart.
Usually. Let us hope so.
Do not expect a storm such as we just saw,because those historic storms, are years apart.
Usually. Let us hope so.
Storm totals, snowfall for New Jersey, New York, Connecticut and others. Peak wind gusts.
PUBLIC INFORMATION STATEMENT
SPOTTER REPORTS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK NY
939 AM EST SAT FEB 09 2013
THE FOLLOWING ARE UNOFFICIAL OBSERVATIONS TAKEN DURING THE RECENT
STORM THAT HAS BEEN AFFECTING OUR REGION. APPRECIATION IS EXTENDED TO
HIGHWAY DEPARTMENTS...COOPERATIVE OBSERVERS...SKYWARN SPOTTERS AND
MEDIA FOR THESE REPORTS. THIS SUMMARY IS ALSO AVAILABLE ON OUR HOME
PAGE AT WEATHER.GOV/NYC
********************STORM TOTAL SNOWFALL********************
LOCATION STORM TOTAL TIME/DATE COMMENTS
SNOWFALL OF
/INCHES/ MEASUREMENT
CONNECTICUT
...FAIRFIELD COUNTY...
BRIDGEPORT 30.0 658 AM 2/09 COOP OBSERVER
SHELTON 26.5 700 AM 2/09 PUBLIC
WESTON 26.5 800 AM 2/09 SKYWARN SPOTTER
STRATFORD 24.0 1200 AM 2/09 PUBLIC
DARIEN 22.1 500 AM 2/09 PUBLIC
NORWALK 22.0 730 AM 2/09 PUBLIC
ROXBURY 22.0 800 AM 2/09 SKYWARN SPOTTER
NEW CANAAN 22.0 600 AM 2/09 CT DOT
DANBURY 20.5 600 AM 2/09 CT DOT
WESTPORT 18.2 900 AM 2/09 SKYWARN SPOTTER
BETHEL 16.0 800 AM 2/09 SKYWARN SPOTTER
GREENWICH 15.5 315 AM 2/09 PUBLIC
NEWTOWN 15.1 103 AM 2/09 PUBLIC
RIDGEFIELD 12.0 800 AM 2/09 PUBLIC
...MIDDLESEX COUNTY...
EAST HADDAM 35.5 845 AM 2/09 PUBLIC
CLINTON 27.5 800 AM 2/09 PUBLIC
HIGGANUM 24.0 700 AM 2/09 AMATEUR RADIO
CROMWELL 23.0 700 AM 2/09 AMATEUR RADIO
OLD SAYBROOK 20.0 400 AM 2/09 CT DOT
...NEW HAVEN COUNTY...
MILFORD 38.0 615 AM 2/09 PUBLIC
OXFORD 36.2 600 AM 2/09 SKYWARN SPOTTER
HAMDEN 36.0 745 AM 2/09 SKYWARN SPOTTER
YALESVILLE 35.0 909 AM 2/09 SKYWARN SPOTTER
WALLINGFORD 35.0 700 AM 2/09 PUBLIC
NEW HAVEN 34.3 600 AM 2/09 CT DOT
WOLCOTT 33.0 457 AM 2/09 SKYWARN SPOTTER
NORTH GUILFORD 32.0 900 AM 2/09 SKYWARN SPOTTER
MADISON 32.0 321 AM 2/09 PUBLIC
NAUGATUCK 30.0 600 AM 2/09 PUBLIC
MERIDEN 30.0 400 AM 2/09 PUBLIC
BRANFORD 28.0 700 AM 2/09 PUBLIC
NORTH BRANFORD 27.0 243 AM 2/09 PUBLIC
GUILFORD 27.0 200 AM 2/09 PUBLIC
NORTH HAVEN 25.7 204 AM 2/09 SKYWARN SPOTTER
WATERBURY 24.0 600 AM 2/09 CT DOT
NORTH BRANDFORD 24.0 1230 AM 2/09 PUBLIC
SOUTHBURY 21.0 130 AM 2/09 SKYWARN SPOTTER
BEACON FALLS 18.0 400 AM 2/09 CT DOT
...NEW LONDON COUNTY...
GILMAN 27.0 600 AM 2/09 PUBLIC
NORWICH 25.0 600 AM 2/09 CT DOT
COLCHESTER 25.0 600 AM 2/09 CT DOT
LISBON 23.0 845 AM 2/09 SKYWARN SPOTTER
GALES FERRY 20.0 840 AM 2/09 SKYWARN SPOTTER
LEDYARD CENTER 20.0 715 AM 2/09 SKYWARN SPOTTER
STONINGTON 15.0 900 AM 2/09 SKYWARN SPOTTER
GROTON 8.0 1000 PM 2/08 CT DOT
NEW JERSEY
...BERGEN COUNTY...
RIVERVALE 15.0 200 AM 2/09 PUBLIC
HILLSDALE 14.0 300 AM 2/09 PUBLIC
PARAMUS 14.0 600 AM 2/09 NJ TPK AUTHORITY
PARK RIDGE 14.0 855 AM 2/09 SKYWARN SPOTTER
RIDGEWOOD 13.5 717 AM 2/09 SKYWARN SPOTTER
RIVER VALE 13.5 130 AM 2/09 PUBLIC
ALLENDALE 13.1 423 AM 2/09 PUBLIC
OAKLAND 12.5 300 AM 2/09 PUBLIC
EAST RUTHERFORD 11.5 600 AM 2/09 NJ TPK AUTHORITY
BERGENFIELD 10.4 1000 PM 2/08 SKYWARN SPOTTER
CRESSKILL 10.0 150 AM 2/09 PUBLIC
...ESSEX COUNTY...
VERONA 14.0 240 AM 2/09 PUBLIC
NORTH CALDWELL 13.5 800 AM 2/09 TRAINED SPOTTER
MILLBURN 12.0 245 AM 2/09 PUBLIC
ROSELAND 12.0 230 AM 2/09 PUBLIC
CEDAR GROVE 11.8 700 AM 2/09 PUBLIC
WEST ORANGE 10.2 320 AM 2/09 PUBLIC
BLOOMFIELD 10.1 325 AM 2/09 SKYWARN SPOTTER
NEWARK AIRPORT 10.0 700 AM 2/09 FAA CONTRACT OBSERVER
...HUDSON COUNTY...
SECAUCUS 11.5 600 AM 2/09 NJ TPK AUTHORITY
JERSEY CITY 11.5 600 AM 2/09 NJ TPK AUTHORITY
HOBOKEN 10.6 755 AM 2/09 SKYWARN SPOTTER
HARRISON 9.0 355 AM 2/09 SKYWARN SPOTTER
KEARNY 7.5 1230 AM 2/09 PUBLIC
...PASSAIC COUNTY...
WEST MILFORD 13.2 200 AM 2/09 SKYWARN SPOTTER
BLOOMINGDALE 12.8 700 AM 2/09 SKYWARN SPOTTER
HAWTHORNE 12.4 530 AM 2/09 SKYWARN SPOTTER
CLIFTON 12.0 600 AM 2/09 NJ TPK AUTHORITY
WAYNE 10.5 105 AM 2/09 SKYWARN SPOTTER
HASKELL 10.0 800 AM 2/09 SKYWARN SPOTTER
...UNION COUNTY...
ROSELLE 14.2 730 AM 2/09 SKYWARN SPOTTER
ROSELLE PARK 12.0 645 AM 2/09 PUBLIC
SCOTCH PLAINS 12.0 202 AM 2/09 PUBLIC
UNION 10.5 600 AM 2/09 NJ TPK AUTHORITY
ELIZABETH 8.5 653 AM 2/09 NJ TURNPIKE
NEW PROVIDENCE 7.5 225 AM 2/09 PUBLIC
WESTFIELD 5.0 1200 AM 2/09 PUBLIC
NEW YORK
...BRONX COUNTY...
FIELDSTON 15.0 515 AM 2/09 PUBLIC
RIVERDALE 13.1 720 AM 2/09 PUBLIC
BEDFORD PARK 12.3 400 AM 2/09 PUBLIC
...KINGS COUNTY...
SHEEPSHEAD BAY 9.0 730 AM 2/09 SKYWARN SPOTTER
...NASSAU COUNTY...
PLAINVIEW 18.0 745 AM 2/09 SKYWARN SPOTTER
WOODMERE 13.8 800 AM 2/09 PUBLIC
SEAFORD 13.8 730 AM 2/09 SKYWARN SPOTTER
CARLE PLACE 13.0 800 AM 2/09 PUBLIC
LEVITTOWN 12.0 800 AM 2/09 PUBLIC
BAYVILLE 11.4 150 AM 2/09 PUBLIC
WANTAGH 11.0 600 AM 2/09 PUBLIC
BELLMORE 11.0 750 AM 2/09 SKYWARN SPOTTER
ALBERTSON 11.0 330 AM 2/09 PUBLIC
JERICHO 10.3 1240 AM 2/09 SKYWARN SPOTTER
LONG BEACH 10.0 305 AM 2/09 PUBLIC
NORTH MERRICK 10.0 830 AM 2/09 PUBLIC
BALDWIN HARBOR 9.5 730 AM 2/09 SKYWARN SPOTTER
NORTH VALLEY STREAM 9.0 700 AM 2/09 SKYWARN SPOTTER
...NEW YORK COUNTY...
CENTRAL PARK 11.4 700 AM 2/09 CENTRAL PARK ZOO
UPPER WEST SIDE 10.9 730 AM 2/09 SKYWARN SPOTTER
HAMILTON HOUSES 9.0 745 AM 2/09 SKYWARN SPOTTER
GREENWICH VILLAGE 7.5 207 AM 2/09 PUBLIC
...ORANGE COUNTY...
WASHINGTONVILLE 20.7 620 AM 2/09 TRAINED SPOTTER
CORNWALL ON HUDSON 15.5 730 AM 2/09 SKYWARN SPOTTER
NEW WINDSOR 14.2 730 AM 2/09 PUBLIC
HARRIMAN 14.0 800 AM 2/09 SKYWARN SPOTTER
NEWBURGH 14.0 745 AM 2/09 SKYWARN SPOTTER
GOSHEN 13.9 840 AM 2/09 SKYWARN SPOTTER
ROCK TAVERN 13.0 820 AM 2/09 SKYWARN SPOTTER
HAMPTONBURGH 12.8 800 AM 2/09 SKYWARN SPOTTER
WARWICK 12.0 715 AM 2/09 SKYWARN SPOTTER
MIDDLETOWN 12.0 715 AM 2/09 SKYWARN SPOTTER
CHESTER 10.1 1219 AM 2/09 PUBLIC
FLORIDA 8.8 1240 AM 2/09 PUBLIC
...PUTNAM COUNTY...
MAHOPAC 12.0 800 AM 2/09 TRAINED SPOTTER
KENT CLIFFS 11.0 200 AM 2/09 PUBLIC
...QUEENS COUNTY...
MIDDLE VILLAGE 15.0 810 AM 2/09 PUBLIC
NYC/LA GUARDIA 12.1 700 AM 2/09 FAA CONTRACT OBSERVER
COLLEGE POINT 11.1 500 AM 2/09 NWS EMPLOYEE
BAYSIDE 11.0 615 AM 2/09 SKYWARN SPOTTER
FOREST HILLS 9.8 600 AM 2/09 SKYWARN SPOTTER
REGO PARK 8.5 830 AM 2/09 SKYWARN SPOTTER
KEW GARDENS 8.5 200 AM 2/09 PUBLIC
NYC/JFK AIRPORT 6.4 700 AM 2/09 FAA CONTRACT OBSERVER
...RICHMOND COUNTY...
SUNNYSIDE 12.4 815 AM 2/09 PUBLIC
GREAT KILLS 12.3 830 AM 2/09 PUBLIC
ELTINGVILLE 10.2 500 AM 2/09 PUBLIC
DONGAN HILLS 8.0 330 AM 2/09 PUBLIC
...ROCKLAND COUNTY...
NEW CITY 12.9 830 AM 2/09 SKYWARN SPOTTER
SUFFERN 12.2 720 AM 2/09 PUBLIC
VALLEY COTTAGE 10.0 745 AM 2/09 SKYWARN SPOTTER
...SUFFOLK COUNTY...
UPTON 30.9 900 AM 2/09 NWS OFFICE
CENTRAL ISLIP 30.7 815 AM 2/09 PUBLIC
COMMACK 29.1 530 AM 2/09 PUBLIC
HUNTINGTON 29.0 630 AM 2/09 SKYWARN SPOTTER
EAST SETAUKET 28.5 641 AM 2/09 PUBLIC
STONY BROOK 28.0 730 AM 2/09 SKYWARN SPOTTER
YAPHANK 28.0 830 AM 2/09 PUBLIC
ISLIP AIRPORT 27.8 700 AM 2/09 FAA CONTRACT OBSERVER
ST. JAMES 27.5 135 AM 2/09 PUBLIC
SMITHTOWN 27.0 800 AM 2/09 SKYWARN SPOTTER
SHOREHAM 26.0 600 AM 2/09 SKYWARN SPOTTER
MOUNT SINAI 26.0 600 AM 2/09 COOP OBSERVER
PORT JEFFERSON 25.5 645 AM 2/09 PUBLIC
SOUND BEACH 24.2 715 AM 2/09 NWS EMPLOYEE
SETAUKET 24.0 1200 AM 2/09 PUBLIC
NORTH BABYLON 24.0 530 AM 2/09 PUBLIC
CENTERPORT 21.5 700 AM 2/09 PUBLIC
LAKE RONKONKOMA 21.0 210 AM 2/09 SKYWARN SPOTTER
DEER PARK 20.0 845 AM 2/09 PUBLIC
RONKONKOMA 19.5 115 AM 2/09 PUBLIC
HOLBROOK 19.0 600 AM 2/09 PUBLIC
EAST NORTHPORT 19.0 700 AM 2/09 SKYWARN SPOTTER
ROCKY POINT 18.7 1200 AM 2/09 PUBLIC
BAY SHORE 17.5 730 AM 2/09 SKYWARN SPOTTER
EASTPORT 16.0 900 AM 2/09 NWS EMPLOYEE
SAYVILLE 16.0 700 AM 2/09 NWS EMPLOYEE
MEDFORD 14.0 1230 AM 2/09 PUBLIC
BAITING HOLLOW 12.0 840 AM 2/09 SKYWARN SPOTTER
NORTH PATCHOGUE 12.0 1100 PM 2/08 PUBLIC
BRIDGEHAMPTON 12.0 845 AM 2/09 NWS COOP
SHIRLEY 10.3 835 AM 2/09 SKYWARN SPOTTER
LINDENHURST 10.0 1230 AM 2/09 SKYWARN SPOTTER
WEST ISLIP 10.0 1212 AM 2/09 SKYWARN SPOTTER
...WESTCHESTER COUNTY...
PORT CHESTER 23.3 745 AM 2/09 PUBLIC
YONKERS 23.0 800 AM 2/09 PUBLIC
ARDSLEY 23.0 740 AM 2/09 PUBLIC
SCARSDALE 22.5 800 AM 2/09 PUBLIC
EASTCHESTER 22.5 700 AM 2/09 BROADCAST MEDIA
LARCHMONT 22.0 705 AM 2/09 PUBLIC
HARTSDALE 21.5 820 AM 2/09 VILLAGE EMPLOYEE
DOBBS FERRY 21.5 800 AM 2/09 PUBLIC
BRONXVILLE 21.3 630 AM 2/09 PUBLIC
ARMONK 20.0 816 AM 2/09 PUBLIC
MOUNT VERNON 17.2 300 AM 2/09 PUBLIC
WHITE PLAINS 14.0 800 AM 2/09 SKYWARN SPOTTER
MOUNT KISCO 14.0 710 AM 2/09 PUBLIC
HARRISON 12.0 745 AM 2/09 PUBLIC
MILLWOOD 11.6 800 AM 2/09 PUBLIC
OSSINING 11.5 405 AM 2/09 SKYWARN SPOTTER
YORKTOWN HEIGHTS 11.0 900 AM 2/09 HAM RADIO
HASTINGS-ON-HUDSON 10.0 1230 AM 2/09 PUBLIC
**********************24 HOUR SNOWFALL**********************
LOCATION 24 HOUR TIME/DATE COMMENTS
SNOWFALL OF
/INCHES/ MEASUREMENT
CONNECTICUT
...NEW HAVEN COUNTY...
2 NW NEW HAVEN 27.0 830 AM 2/09 COCORAHS
NEW JERSEY
...BERGEN COUNTY...
WNW OAKLAND 11.7 700 AM 2/09 COCORAHS
1 SSE OAKLAND 11.0 800 AM 2/09 COCORAHS
...PASSAIC COUNTY...
1 SSE HAWTHORNE 12.4 527 AM 2/09 COCORAHS
3 NE WEST MILFORD TW 11.5 700 AM 2/09 COCORAHS
1 SSW WAYNE TWP 11.5 700 AM 2/09 COCORAHS
NEW YORK
...QUEENS COUNTY...
5 WSW QUEENS 15.0 700 AM 2/09 COCORAHS
...RICHMOND COUNTY...
1 SE STATEN ISLAND 7.5 800 AM 2/09 COCORAHS
...WESTCHESTER COUNTY...
N PEEKSKILL 13.0 800 AM 2/09 COCORAHS
2 NW SOUTH SALEM 9.9 715 AM 2/09 COCORAHS
***********************PEAK WIND GUST***********************
LOCATION MAX WIND TIME/DATE COMMENTS
GUST OF
MPH MEASUREMENT
CONNECTICUT
...ANZ335...
3 WSW STAMFORD 36 200 PM 2/08 MESONET
...FAIRFIELD COUNTY...
1 ESE WESTPORT 82 1100 PM 2/08 MESONET...ELEVATION 139 FEET
1 ENE PORT CHESTER 50 210 PM 2/08 MESONET
DANBURY AIRPORT 40 955 PM 2/08 ASOS
BRIDGEPORT AIRPORT 39 1152 PM 2/08 ASOS
...MIDDLESEX COUNTY...
1 S PORTLAND 81 1100 PM 2/08 MESONET...ELEVATION 60 FEET
...NEW HAVEN COUNTY...
WATERBURY 48 935 PM 2/08 ASOS
NEW HAVEN 47 858 PM 2/08 ASOS
2 SSE NEW HAVEN 45 924 PM 2/08 MESONET
...NEW LONDON COUNTY...
GROTON AIRPORT 60 656 PM 2/08 ASOS
1 ENE NEW LONDON 43 1130 PM 2/08 MESONET
NEW JERSEY
...HUDSON COUNTY...
1 ENE BAYONNE 39 140 PM 2/08 MESONET
NEW YORK
...ANZ330...
2 NNW MATTITUCK 41 1047 PM 2/08 MESONET
10 NW SOUND AVENUE 40 245 PM 2/08 MESONET
...ANZ335...
1 NNE BAYSIDE 35 230 PM 2/08 MESONET
...ANZ338...
2 N TOMPKINSVILLE 49 236 PM 2/08 MESONET
...ANZ345...
2 SSE EAST MORICHES 47 415 PM 2/08 MESONET
...ANZ350...
20 SE EAST HAMPTON 65 750 PM 2/08 MESONET
BUOY 44017 65 750 PM 2/08 BUOY
...ANZ355...
BUOY 44065 47 250 PM 2/08 BUOY
13 S ATLANTIC BEACH 47 250 PM 2/08 MESONET
...ANZ370...
BUOY 44025 51 350 PM 2/08 BUOY
...NASSAU COUNTY...
2 NNE GLEN COVE 44 151 PM 2/08 MESONET
1 WNW MUTTONTOWN 36 323 PM 2/08 MESONET
...NEW YORK COUNTY...
CENTRAL PARK 36 317 PM 2/08 ASOS
...QUEENS COUNTY...
NYC/LA GUARDIA 40 218 PM 2/08 ASOS
NYC/JFK AIRPORT 39 210 PM 2/08 ASOS
...SUFFOLK COUNTY...
4 ENE PLUM ISLAND 75 1057 PM 2/08 MESONET
3 W HITHER HILLS STA 57 831 PM 2/08 MESONET
MONTAUK HIGHWAY 52 1200 AM 2/09 MESONET
1 SW MONTAUK 49 834 PM 2/08 MESONET
ISLIP AIRPORT 48 312 PM 2/08 ASOS
EATONS NECK 47 155 PM 2/08 MESONET
2 WSW FISHERS ISLAND 47 1200 AM 2/09 MESONET
WESTHAMPTON BEACH AI 46 934 PM 2/08 ASOS
1 S BLUE POINT 43 223 PM 2/08 MESONET
1 ENE OCEAN BEACH 42 1215 AM 2/09 MESONET
EAST FARMINGDALE 40 245 PM 2/08 ASOS
1 ENE HAMPTON BAYS 38 1052 PM 2/08 MESONET
SHIRLEY AIRPORT 37 1134 PM 2/08 ASOS
1 E KINGS PARK 35 1157 PM 2/08 MESONET
$$
Friday, February 8, 2013
Hold the phone! Interesting developments.
The upper level low has developed over NY state and may, in fact, stall the storm now deepening over the Atlantic, east of NJ. According to Steve DiMartino at NYNJPA Weather, this may hold back the storm, acting like an anchor.
Nemo is not leaving for many hours.
Blizzards and pancakes, perfect together!
Nemo is not leaving for many hours.
Blizzards and pancakes, perfect together!
Watching Nemo.
The 3 foot storm totals put out by the NAM last night , have proven to be unfounded. The highest amounts are in the 6 to 8 inch range. The storm is expected to continue until it winds down near dawn tomorrow. You can only watch the radar images or look out your window from now on to tell how it will go. Forecasters have backed off a bit on the accumulations.
There are at least 2 more chances for more snow over the next 10 days.
There are at least 2 more chances for more snow over the next 10 days.
From DT at WXRISK.com and Facebook.
Great view of why the snow is not ending yet.
Storm arrives, some areas have all snow , others rain and sleet. The storm has begun to phase, intensify and get colder.
If you have seen only rain/ sleet, so far, the snow is on the way right now. In Wayne, 2" on the ground. NYC now sleet and accumulating. It has barely begun, it is not going out to sea. Conditions will worsen all afternoon and then the real snow hits around nightfall. Be cautious.
New Jersey, snow totals:
... Bergen County...
Mahwah 2.0 130 PM 2/08 Skywarn spotter
Allendale 1.5 1220 PM 2/08 public
Ridgewood 1.5 100 PM 2/08 Skywarn spotter
Fair Lawn 1.3 100 PM 2/08 Skywarn spotter
... Essex County...
North Caldwell 3.0 130 PM 2/08 Skywarn spotter
Cedar Grove 2.3 1230 PM 2/08 trained spotter
Montclair 2.0 1245 PM 2/08 public
Newark Airport 0.6 100 PM 2/08 FAA contract observer
... Passaic County...
Haskell 1.5 200 PM 2/08 trained spotter
1 NNW Richfield 1.0 1103 am 2/08 Skywarn spotter
New Jersey, snow totals:
... Bergen County...
Mahwah 2.0 130 PM 2/08 Skywarn spotter
Allendale 1.5 1220 PM 2/08 public
Ridgewood 1.5 100 PM 2/08 Skywarn spotter
Fair Lawn 1.3 100 PM 2/08 Skywarn spotter
... Essex County...
North Caldwell 3.0 130 PM 2/08 Skywarn spotter
Cedar Grove 2.3 1230 PM 2/08 trained spotter
Montclair 2.0 1245 PM 2/08 public
Newark Airport 0.6 100 PM 2/08 FAA contract observer
... Passaic County...
Haskell 1.5 200 PM 2/08 trained spotter
1 NNW Richfield 1.0 1103 am 2/08 Skywarn spotter
Thursday, February 7, 2013
" Mother of God."
Nemo, the name given to this impending storm by the Weather Channel, is ready to strike. Comments from the weather geeks on the weather gossip sites and pages include the headline above and " I can't believe this", " This is the most awesome run I have seen ever ". But, there is always doubt. The 6 to 12" figure is easily reached tomorrow almost everywhere.
It will most likely be snowing when you wake up Friday morning. The precip is already above Virginia Beach. There may be sleet and rain mixed in.
New York City will be blasted by snow rates of 3 to 4 " per HOUR. The heavy snow moves in just before nightfall and the Friday rush hour, if there is a rush hour. Many businesses and offices plan to close early.
Totals? 1 or 2 or even 3 feet of snow are possible in some areas.
It will most likely be snowing when you wake up Friday morning. The precip is already above Virginia Beach. There may be sleet and rain mixed in.
New York City will be blasted by snow rates of 3 to 4 " per HOUR. The heavy snow moves in just before nightfall and the Friday rush hour, if there is a rush hour. Many businesses and offices plan to close early.
Totals? 1 or 2 or even 3 feet of snow are possible in some areas.
Latest data says, we get all snow and lots of it.
Best guess is 15 to 20". But it is still not a done deal, so stay tuned. A historic blizzard , may be in the making.
6 to 12" is not a bad forecast and, if it goes to 20", who will notice? Bloomberg this morning said 4 to 6". Wrong again. Ranks with the Lindsay storm and the Blizz of '78.
Blizzard of '13 coming up? Looks like it.
6 to 12" is not a bad forecast and, if it goes to 20", who will notice? Bloomberg this morning said 4 to 6". Wrong again. Ranks with the Lindsay storm and the Blizz of '78.
Blizzard of '13 coming up? Looks like it.
Scary NAM map, probably overdone but then, you never know.
Although New Jersey / New York Metro will miss the brunt of the storm, many areas will see 6 to 10" of snow, maybe more.
Mixing in sleet, rain and freezing rain may happen also. Worst conditions are expected late Friday.
Near Blizzard conditions may occur, especially north and east sections.
Near Blizzard conditions may occur, especially north and east sections.
Wednesday, February 6, 2013
Boston , Mass. forecast:... Blizzard watch in effect from Friday morning through Saturday afternoon... ... Winter Storm Watch is cancelled... The National Weather Service in Taunton has issued a blizzard watch... which is in effect from Friday morning through Saturday afternoon.
... Blizzard watch in effect from Friday morning through Saturday
afternoon...
... Winter Storm Watch is cancelled...
The National Weather Service in Taunton has issued a blizzard
watch... which is in effect from Friday morning through Saturday
afternoon. The Winter Storm Watch has been cancelled.
* Locations... much of eastern Massachusetts as well as northern and
central Rhode Island. This includes the Boston to Providence
corridor.
* Hazard types... heavy snow with the potential for blizzard
conditions.
* Accumulations... snow accumulation of 12 to 24 inches.
* Timing... light snow develops by Friday morning. Snow will
increase intensity during Friday afternoon. The heaviest snow
will occur Friday night into Saturday morning.
* Impacts... heavy snow and strong winds will bring the potential
for blizzard conditions. The worst of the storm will be Friday
night into Saturday morning. Snowfall rates of 2 to 3 inches per
hour possible. Travel may become nearly impossible with blowing
and drifting snow.
* Winds... northeast 25 to 35 mph with gusts up to 55 mph.
* Visibilities... one quarter mile or less at times.
* Temperatures... in the mid 20s.
afternoon...
... Winter Storm Watch is cancelled...
The National Weather Service in Taunton has issued a blizzard
watch... which is in effect from Friday morning through Saturday
afternoon. The Winter Storm Watch has been cancelled.
* Locations... much of eastern Massachusetts as well as northern and
central Rhode Island. This includes the Boston to Providence
corridor.
* Hazard types... heavy snow with the potential for blizzard
conditions.
* Accumulations... snow accumulation of 12 to 24 inches.
* Timing... light snow develops by Friday morning. Snow will
increase intensity during Friday afternoon. The heaviest snow
will occur Friday night into Saturday morning.
* Impacts... heavy snow and strong winds will bring the potential
for blizzard conditions. The worst of the storm will be Friday
night into Saturday morning. Snowfall rates of 2 to 3 inches per
hour possible. Travel may become nearly impossible with blowing
and drifting snow.
* Winds... northeast 25 to 35 mph with gusts up to 55 mph.
* Visibilities... one quarter mile or less at times.
* Temperatures... in the mid 20s.
... Winter Storm Watch in effect from Friday afternoon through
Saturday afternoon...
The National Weather Service in Upton has issued a Winter Storm
Watch... which is in effect from Friday afternoon through Saturday
afternoon.
* Locations... northeastern New Jersey and southern Westchester.
* Hazard types... heavy snow... sleet... and freezing rain.
* Accumulations... snow accumulation of 6 to 12 inches... along
with up to a quarter of an inch of ice.
* Winds... north 20 to 30 mph with gusts up to 50 mph.
* Temperatures... in the lower 30s.
* Visibilities... one quarter mile or less at times.
* Timing... Friday afternoon into early Saturday morning.
* Impacts... heavy snow and freezing rain will make for dangerous
driving conditions. In addition... the heavy snow and strong
winds could result in near blizzard conditions... bring down some
tree limbs... and cause scattered power outages.
Precautionary/preparedness actions...
A Winter Storm Watch means there is a potential for significant
snow... sleet... or ice accumulations that may impact travel.
Continue to monitor the latest forecasts.
Blizzard to Bury New England at the End of the Week
Blizzard to Bury New England at the End of the Week
click here to Accuweather ^ ^ ^
The NAM shows Boston getting 48" of snow! I will believe it, when I see it.
click here to Accuweather ^ ^ ^
The NAM shows Boston getting 48" of snow! I will believe it, when I see it.
Mid-day model runs support trend to a snowy Friday for many areas.
The Euro may be correct, let us see what happens when the new Euro run comes in by mid-afternoon.
So far, there is no reason to doubt a major snowfall, especially for areas north and east of New York City. New York Metro itself has still some room for doubt, but it is getting narrowed down with each passing hour.
So far, there is no reason to doubt a major snowfall, especially for areas north and east of New York City. New York Metro itself has still some room for doubt, but it is getting narrowed down with each passing hour.
Euro predicts 12 to 18 inches of snow across portions of New York Metro, but can it be believed?
No official word yet, but a reasonable guess would be 6"+, with a potential for a foot or more. The phasing of the southern disturbance and the northern one is crucial. The Euro is right only if the 2 storms phase perfectly. Possible yes , but not a done deal. We may know for sure by tonight or tomorrow.
This phasing can go right or wrong by as little as a 6 hour difference, maybe less. This is where the uncertainty comes in.
Southern NJ will see more rain than snow.
This phasing can go right or wrong by as little as a 6 hour difference, maybe less. This is where the uncertainty comes in.
Southern NJ will see more rain than snow.
Tuesday, February 5, 2013
Word from the early bird, is that New England gets a classic Nor'Easter, with 1 to 2 feet of snow, on the east portions. Weather Friday for New York Metro is uncertain, snow is possible.
When things change , they change in a hurry!
The storm approaches Cape Hatteras Thursday and moves to New England on Friday. Much of New Jersey will see mostly rain, except areas north and west, which will get a snowy mix. A very close call.
This is still very tentative, given such a slim margin between rain and snow.
From NWS, Mass. office:
" potential for a foot or more of snow..."
Epic blizzard just misses New Jersey / New York Metro? We shall see.
***DT at Wxrisk thinks the New York Metro area could be looking at 4 to 8" snow Friday. Possible? Yes. Rain is a big feature , for NJ, along with coastal flooding, again.
Big rain, early next week for New Jersey is pretty certain.
****A major snow is possible around Valentine's Day! **** Thanks to NYNJPA WEATHER. And, DT @ Wxrisk.com.
The storm approaches Cape Hatteras Thursday and moves to New England on Friday. Much of New Jersey will see mostly rain, except areas north and west, which will get a snowy mix. A very close call.
This is still very tentative, given such a slim margin between rain and snow.
From NWS, Mass. office:
" potential for a foot or more of snow..."
Epic blizzard just misses New Jersey / New York Metro? We shall see.
***DT at Wxrisk thinks the New York Metro area could be looking at 4 to 8" snow Friday. Possible? Yes. Rain is a big feature , for NJ, along with coastal flooding, again.
Big rain, early next week for New Jersey is pretty certain.
****A major snow is possible around Valentine's Day! **** Thanks to NYNJPA WEATHER. And, DT @ Wxrisk.com.
Remarkable Video shows breakup of a Greenland Glacier - Climate Change Weather Blog
Remarkable Video shows breakup of a Greenland Glacier - Climate Change Weather Blog
Click here ^ ^ ^
Truly amazing video of iceberg formation.
Click here ^ ^ ^
Truly amazing video of iceberg formation.
Another light snow after this one. Friday will be a close call, looks like rain/snow mix but Boston, for example, could get well over a foot of snow.
The Thursday night, Friday storm will bear watching , especially in places like West Milford. The EURO may be correct in forecasting a major storm for Friday in New Jersey/ New York metro and especially Eastern New England.
Sunday, February 3, 2013
Spring Forecast: Six More Weeks of Winter for Northeast
Spring Forecast: Six More Weeks of Winter for Northeast
click here to read ^ ^ ^
The experts are divided on what to expect the next 6 weeks, mostly because the computer models have some sort of stomach virus and can't agree or be consistent on anything. But it looks like the core of the cold air is headed away from North America, and if that trend holds it should turn mild again soon.
I think that Punxsutawney Phil is on the right track. Spring is near.
click here to read ^ ^ ^
The experts are divided on what to expect the next 6 weeks, mostly because the computer models have some sort of stomach virus and can't agree or be consistent on anything. But it looks like the core of the cold air is headed away from North America, and if that trend holds it should turn mild again soon.
I think that Punxsutawney Phil is on the right track. Spring is near.
Saturday, February 2, 2013
Diamond dust falling over North Jersey.
A thin coating so far of a steady very light and sparkling snow. The dearth of snow this season makes it all the more appealing. Maybe about 1 inch expected, more near shore areas.
The EURO, which has lost it's marbles this winter, is calling for several feet of snow in New England next weekend. Meanwhile the GFS has a killer blizzard for February 15th. Dreams are made of this.
Phil says winter is all but over and he may be correct. Here he is again.
The EURO, which has lost it's marbles this winter, is calling for several feet of snow in New England next weekend. Meanwhile the GFS has a killer blizzard for February 15th. Dreams are made of this.
Phil says winter is all but over and he may be correct. Here he is again.
Phil says: It's over!
Photo: TriState Weather.
Headline: Winter will wind down in about 7 to 10 days.
Unless a negative NAO develops, or in other words, a Greenland blocking high pressure area, there is little chance of any big snow in the next 2 weeks. Steve D. at NYNJPA weather expects a very mild March.
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