Friday, December 23, 2011
AccuWeather.com - Meteo Madness | I See Snow Possibilities Next Week
AccuWeather.com - Meteo Madness | I See Snow Possibilities Next Week
Mild now, snow and cold comes later, new video by Henry.
Mild now, snow and cold comes later, new video by Henry.
Wednesday, December 21, 2011
If, If it snows on Christmas, it would likely be in the 1 to 3" range.
Rain is more likely near the coast.
Tuesday, December 20, 2011
"there remains a chance for snow on Christmas, albeit the chances are better the farther north and west of Interstate 95 you live."
Quote above is from the NWS , Mount Holly.
Monday, December 19, 2011
AccuWeather.com - Meteo Madness | Blizzard Hits the Plains. Possible Snowstorm for Christmas Eve
Emphasize the word POSSIBLE. Dreaming of a White Christmas in the New York/New jersey metro area is possible, we have a chance at it .
Sunday, December 18, 2011
Euro Model Shows snow just after Christmas.
At ten days away it is too early to get the plows ready but it is something to watch for. I remain unconvinced that there will be a cold snowy, period next week. There are some signs of it but not a clear signal, so far, but that could change fairly soon. But at least there is a chance for it, unlike the last several weeks. If any snow occurs later this week it should be light and well inland, with a good bit of rain as well. So we could squeak in a semi-white Christmas over inland NJ.
Long Range Video Discussion for December 18, 2011
Long Range Video Discussion for December 18, 2011
NEW JERSEY METEOROLOGIST GIVES HIS VIEW ON AN UPCOMING SHIFT IN THE WEATHER PATTERN PRODUCING COLD, SNOWY WEATHER. ( CLICK ON THE LINK ABOVE.)
NEW JERSEY METEOROLOGIST GIVES HIS VIEW ON AN UPCOMING SHIFT IN THE WEATHER PATTERN PRODUCING COLD, SNOWY WEATHER. ( CLICK ON THE LINK ABOVE.)
Saturday, December 17, 2011
AccuWeather.com - Brett Anderson | Updated Computer Model Monthly Forecast through March
If you like snow, this winter does not look good.
Thursday, December 15, 2011
Sunday, December 11, 2011
Friday, December 9, 2011
Eastern USA is heading for a mild winter.
Although it will be stormy, we will likely have more rain than snow. Only those areas far to the north and well inland stand a chance for substantial snows this winter.
But, this does not mean that we won't get cold spells along with snow. It is just that rain will be predominating for most of this winter.
A cold Pacific Ocean, warm Indian Ocean and cold waters near Greenland will tend to steer the cold air toward the Western states and the Great Lakes.
But, this does not mean that we won't get cold spells along with snow. It is just that rain will be predominating for most of this winter.
A cold Pacific Ocean, warm Indian Ocean and cold waters near Greenland will tend to steer the cold air toward the Western states and the Great Lakes.
Thursday, December 8, 2011
Wednesday, December 7, 2011
Tuesday, December 6, 2011
Monday, December 5, 2011
Hold the phone! Snow is possible mid-week! Areas inland of New York City could see accumulations of snow Wednesday night. According to latest weather forecast models for the Metro area.
Originally it looked like almost all rain, followed by snow showers, then all rain and now back to snow.
I still favor rain at first, then changing to snow. Since this is such a close call I would not trust any forecast until the Tuesday morning weather forecasts are published.
Certainly we will have colder weather at the end of this week, and it might even snow then too. So, heads up.
One computer model predicts 9" of snow above West Point, NY. Just to give you an idea. The coast would see little or no snow. You need to be inland with elevation on this one. A process of dynamic cooling would produce the snow IF, we get it. It would be similar to the October 27th storm that we had then. The storm generates it's own cold air.
I still favor rain at first, then changing to snow. Since this is such a close call I would not trust any forecast until the Tuesday morning weather forecasts are published.
Certainly we will have colder weather at the end of this week, and it might even snow then too. So, heads up.
One computer model predicts 9" of snow above West Point, NY. Just to give you an idea. The coast would see little or no snow. You need to be inland with elevation on this one. A process of dynamic cooling would produce the snow IF, we get it. It would be similar to the October 27th storm that we had then. The storm generates it's own cold air.
Sunday, December 4, 2011
Rain midweek some snow/rain possible Friday. Trending colder after the rain.
Next weekend will be cold enough to make it feel like Christmas is near.
Saturday, December 3, 2011
Storm moving through this week but mostly rain is what we can expect, perhaps ending as snow showers.
There has been some talk of snow this week but if it occurs it will be well west of the NY Metro, NJ area. Intriguingly, the NAO is showing a downward trend, toward negative territory, but it is not sharp enough to get me worried/excited that it will snow. We will have to wait some more for a snowstorm. It will be noticeably colder later this week, but not frigid.
A moderate winter still looks most likely this year and not another blockbuster snow season. We are set up with ocean temps. around the globe that do not favor a cold, snowy winter on the Eastern Seaboard. But sudden shifts have changed things quickly in other years, and we can't rule that possibility out, just yet.
A moderate winter still looks most likely this year and not another blockbuster snow season. We are set up with ocean temps. around the globe that do not favor a cold, snowy winter on the Eastern Seaboard. But sudden shifts have changed things quickly in other years, and we can't rule that possibility out, just yet.
Wednesday, November 30, 2011
A Shift to a Colder Pattern?
The first signs of a shift to more seasonal temperatures appears to be setting up in about 7 to 10 days. Not severe cold, just more near normal. The very warm temps are already easing off. As so for snow it is wait and see.
Most forecasters are looking for a moderate winter, with about a 50% less chance of snow than last year, but there are a few who favor a turn to a cold and snowy pattern later in December.
My own sense so far, is for an easier winter this year. Plenty of moisture though, less snowy.
Most forecasters are looking for a moderate winter, with about a 50% less chance of snow than last year, but there are a few who favor a turn to a cold and snowy pattern later in December.
My own sense so far, is for an easier winter this year. Plenty of moisture though, less snowy.
Thursday, November 24, 2011
Friday, November 18, 2011
The Best #OWS Anthem For Our Times: We Are The Many, By Makana
The Best #OWS Anthem For Our Times: We Are The Many, By Makana
A very talented young artist explains Occupy Wall Street.
AccuWeather.com - Meteo Madness | Snow to Hit from Wyoming to Minnesota; Northeast Snow Next Week
AccuWeather.com - Meteo Madness | Snow to Hit from Wyoming to Minnesota; Northeast Snow Next Week
HENRY THINKS THAT 3"+ of SNOW POSSIBLE TUES. / WED. NEXT WEEK!
HENRY THINKS THAT 3"+ of SNOW POSSIBLE TUES. / WED. NEXT WEEK!
SNOW/RAIN POSSIBLE WITH YOUR TURKEY ! ! !
We are back to computer model watching again. Click on " home" below for more.
Wednesday, November 16, 2011
Government of the people, by the people, for the people. Abraham Lincoln.
The words of President Lincoln are as important to American government as anything in the Constitution or the Declaration of Independence. Now we see that Congress has an APPROVAL RATING OF 9% in the opinion polls. All the citizens are in agreement, the government is not working.
This is what OCCUPY WALL STREET is all about. We have all seen what voting in the elections has produced. Nothing. The influence of big business, big banks and Wall Street trumps anything that the public may want.
I support Occupy Wall Street 100% and I hope that you will consider doing the same.
Government of the People
The end of Massive Unemployment
A more just distribution of America's wealth
Ending the" bought off " Congress.
These are the things Occupy Wall Street wants.
Nothing could be clearer.
This is what OCCUPY WALL STREET is all about. We have all seen what voting in the elections has produced. Nothing. The influence of big business, big banks and Wall Street trumps anything that the public may want.
I support Occupy Wall Street 100% and I hope that you will consider doing the same.
Government of the People
The end of Massive Unemployment
A more just distribution of America's wealth
Ending the" bought off " Congress.
These are the things Occupy Wall Street wants.
Nothing could be clearer.
Tuesday, November 15, 2011
Wednesday, November 9, 2011
Friday, November 4, 2011
Fearless Winter Forecast ( early outlook )
I usually like to wait until late November, but I have read enough to make a stab at it now. Looking at Weatherundergrounds Blizzard 92, WxRisk Dave Toleris, NWS, Accuweather and the Farmers Almanac, I have distilled my own forecast which may change after Thanksgiving, but here is how it looks so far. There have been early snows and cold in Siberia and Canada. This will give us a rough early winter. There is a LaNina, in the Pacific. It usually causes a milder east coast winter. A southeast ridge develops in such years which pumps warmer air up the East Coast. But the early winter can be cold and snowy then flip over to milder.
I expect the early winter to be cold and snowy but then it will most likely turn mild in January and tend to remain mild. The worst winter conditions should be in the Mid West and Great Lakes.The East Coast will be variable, tending toward milder later in the winter.
Having said that, this is close to the forecast for last winter. We know that turned out cold and snowy just about all the way through.
It does not seem likely that South Jersey and SE Penna. will be the center for snow, not this year. Notice the Halloween storm clobbered Northern NJ and Southern New England and that should be the pattern.
Temperatures should be slightly below normal.
To sum up , a cold snowy start then more variable and milder in mid to late winter. Also, more icing conditions are likely this year. The old snow, sleet, freezing rain mix, may return this year.
I expect the early winter to be cold and snowy but then it will most likely turn mild in January and tend to remain mild. The worst winter conditions should be in the Mid West and Great Lakes.The East Coast will be variable, tending toward milder later in the winter.
Having said that, this is close to the forecast for last winter. We know that turned out cold and snowy just about all the way through.
It does not seem likely that South Jersey and SE Penna. will be the center for snow, not this year. Notice the Halloween storm clobbered Northern NJ and Southern New England and that should be the pattern.
Temperatures should be slightly below normal.
To sum up , a cold snowy start then more variable and milder in mid to late winter. Also, more icing conditions are likely this year. The old snow, sleet, freezing rain mix, may return this year.
Sunday, October 30, 2011
STORM TOTALS FROM NOAA
THE FOLLOWING ARE UNOFFICIAL OBSERVATIONS TAKEN DURING THE RECENT
STORM THAT HAS BEEN AFFECTING OUR REGION. APPRECIATION IS EXTENDED
TO HIGHWAY DEPARTMENTS...COOPERATIVE OBSERVERS...SKYWARN SPOTTERS
AND MEDIA FOR THESE REPORTS. THIS SUMMARY IS ALSO AVAILABLE ON OUR
HOME PAGE AT WEATHER.GOV/NYC
...RECORD OCTOBER SNOWFALL AMOUNT SET FOR CENTRAL PARK NY...
CENTRAL PARK RECORDED 2.9 INCHES OF SNOWFALL DURING THE RECENT STORM.
SINCE SNOWFALL RECORDS BEGAN IN 1869...AN INCH OF SNOWFALL HAS NEVER BEEN
RECORDED IN THE MONTH OF OCTOBER. THE LAST TWO TIMES THAT MEASURABLE SNOW
FELL IN THE MONTH OF OCTOBER WAS...OCTOBER 21 1952 WITH 0.5 INCHES AND
OCTOBER 30 1925 WITH 0.8 INCHES. THEREFORE...THIS BREAKS THE DAILY
RECORD FOR SNOWFALL IN OCTOBER AND THE MOST SNOWFALL EVER RECORDED
IN THE MONTH OF OCTOBER.
********************STORM TOTAL SNOWFALL********************
LOCATION STORM TOTAL TIME/DATE COMMENTS
SNOWFALL OF
/INCHES/ MEASUREMENT
CONNECTICUT
...FAIRFIELD COUNTY...
RIDGEFIELD 15.5 1015 PM 10/29 PUBLIC
DANBURY 13.2 900 PM 10/29 SKYWARN SPOTTER
SHELTON 8.5 945 PM 10/29 PUBLIC
MONROE 7.0 249 PM 10/29 PUBLIC
GREENWICH 7.0 630 PM 10/29 SKYWARN SPOTTER
BROOKFIELD 6.0 500 PM 10/29 SKYWARN SPOTTER
NEWTOWN 5.0 323 PM 10/29 SKYWARN SPOTTER
NORWALK 4.5 945 PM 10/29 PUBLIC
DARIEN 3.5 559 PM 10/29 SKYWARN SPOTTER
BRIDGEPORT 2.5 800 PM 10/29 COOP OBSERVER
STAMFORD 2.0 145 PM 10/29 SKYWARN SPOTTER
STRATFORD 1.3 119 PM 10/29 PUBLIC
...MIDDLESEX COUNTY...
HADDAM 2.0 523 PM 10/29 PUBLIC
...NEW HAVEN COUNTY...
OXFORD 12.3 1230 AM 10/30 SKYWARN SPOTTER
SEYMOUR 7.0 457 PM 10/29 PUBLIC
NORTH HAVEN 6.7 705 PM 10/29 SKYWARN SPOTTER
MERIDEN 4.0 412 PM 10/29 PUBLIC
NEW HAVEN 1.1 233 PM 10/29 PUBLIC
EAST DERBY 1.0 234 PM 10/29 PUBLIC
NEW JERSEY
...BERGEN COUNTY...
TENAFLY 5.8 1100 PM 10/29 PUBLIC
SADDLE BROOK 4.8 800 PM 10/29 SKYWARN SPOTTER
RIDGEWOOD 4.7 800 PM 10/29 SKYWARN SPOTTER
RAMSEY 4.2 800 PM 10/29 SKYWARN SPOTTER
MIDLAND PARK 4.0 336 PM 10/29 PUBLIC
RIDGEFIELD 4.0 130 PM 10/29 PUBLIC
DUMONT 3.0 319 PM 10/29 NWS EMPLOYEE
RIVERVALE 2.5 245 PM 10/29 COOP OBSERVER
WYCKOFF 1.9 800 PM 10/29 SKYWARN SPOTTER
GARFIELD 1.2 138 PM 10/29 SKYWARN SPOTTER
...ESSEX COUNTY...
NORTH CALDWELL 12.0 1000 PM 10/29 SKYWARN SPOTTER
WEST ORANGE 8.0 945 PM 10/29 SKYWARN SPOTTER
VERONA 7.5 830 PM 10/29 OBSERVER
BLOOMFIELD 6.3 815 PM 10/29 SKYWARN SPOTTER
MONTCLAIR 6.0 1000 PM 10/29 PUBLIC
CEDAR GROVE 5.3 452 PM 10/29 PUBLIC
NEWARK AIRPORT 5.2 200 AM 10/30 FAA CONTRACT OBSERVER
BELLEVILLE 4.9 516 PM 10/29 SKYWARN SPOTTER
...HUDSON COUNTY...
HARRISON 4.0 1015 PM 10/29 SKYWARN SPOTTER
KEARNY 4.0 1200 AM 10/30 PUBLIC
HOBOKEN 1.0 333 PM 10/29 SKYWARN SPOTTER
...PASSAIC COUNTY...
WEST MILFORD 19.0 1020 PM 10/29 SKYWARN SPOTTER - 1100 FT
RINGWOOD 10.5 830 PM 10/29 SKYWARN SPOTTER - 900 FT
WAYNE 7.0 600 PM 10/29 SKYWARN SPOTTER
HAWTHORNE 4.5 1217 AM 10/30 SKYWARN SPOTTER
...UNION COUNTY...
ROSELLE PARK 4.8 532 PM 10/29 SKYWARN SPOTTER
ELIZABETH 3.8 1000 PM 10/29 SKYWARN SPOTTER
NEW YORK
...BRONX COUNTY...
FIELDSTON 6.0 1155 PM 10/29 PUBLIC
BRONX 2.2 421 PM 10/29 PUBLIC
...KINGS COUNTY...
SHEEPSHEAD BAY 2.1 1045 PM 10/29 SKYWARN SPOTTER
MARINE PARK 1.5 600 PM 10/29 PUBLIC
...NASSAU COUNTY...
MINEOLA 4.0 503 PM 10/29 SKYWARN SPOTTER
NORTH MASSAPEQUA 2.1 1230 AM 10/30 PUBLIC
...NEW YORK COUNTY...
CENTRAL PARK 2.9 200 AM 10/30 CENTRAL PARK ZOO
NEW YORK 1.8 254 PM 10/29 PUBLIC AT W 85TH ST
...ORANGE COUNTY...
HARRIMAN 16.0 1220 AM 10/30 SKYWARN SPOTTER
MONROE 12.0 915 PM 10/29 PUBLIC
MIDDLETOWN 12.0 1200 AM 10/30 PUBLIC
HIGHLAND MILLS 12.0 1020 PM 10/29 PUBLIC
NEW WINDSOR 11.5 1215 AM 10/30 PUBLIC
CORNWALL LANDING 11.5 1126 PM 10/29 SKYWARN SPOTTER
CHESTER 10.7 555 PM 10/29 PUBLIC
TUXEDO PARK 10.3 944 PM 10/29 PUBLIC
NEWBURGH 8.7 1016 PM 10/29 SKYWARN SPOTTER
BLOOMING GROVE 8.3 556 PM 10/29 SKYWARN SPOTTER
WARWICK 8.0 448 PM 10/29 SKYWARN SPOTTER
GARDNERVILLE 7.5 930 PM 10/29 PUBLIC
GOSHEN 5.0 345 PM 10/29 EMERGENCY MANAGER
GREENWOOD LAKE 3.0 248 PM 10/29 PUBLIC
SOUTH BLOOMING GROVE 3.0 226 PM 10/29 SKYWARN SPOTTER
...PUTNAM COUNTY...
KENT CLIFFS 12.0 1000 PM 10/29 PUBLIC - 650 FT
BREWSTER 7.0 956 PM 10/29 SKYWARN SPOTTER
MAHOPAC 6.5 432 PM 10/29 PUBLIC
PUTNAM VALLEY 1.5 247 PM 10/29 COOP OBSERVER
...QUEENS COUNTY...
ASTORIA 2.0 1100 PM 10/29 PUBLIC
NYC/LA GUARDIA 1.7 200 AM 10/30 FAA CONTRACT OBSERVER
NYC/JFK AIRPORT 1.5 200 AM 10/30 FAA CONTRACT OBSERVER
HOWARD BEACH 0.5 700 PM 10/29 SKYWARN SPOTTER
...RICHMOND COUNTY...
BAY TERRACE 3.5 1230 AM 10/30 SKYWARN SPOTTER
ANNADALE 2.4 945 PM 10/29 PUBLIC
ELTINGVILLE 0.5 100 PM 10/29 PUBLIC
...ROCKLAND COUNTY...
TALLMAN 5.5 435 PM 10/29 PUBLIC
NEW CITY 5.0 420 PM 10/29 PUBLIC
STONY POINT 4.0 1100 PM 10/29 SKYWARN SPOTTER
...SUFFOLK COUNTY...
OAKDALE 0.3 208 PM 10/29 PUBLIC
ISLIP AIRPORT 0.3 200 AM 10/30 FAA CONTRACT OBSERVER
UPTON 0.2 200 AM 10/30 NWS OFFICE
MOUNT SINAI T 600 PM 10/29 PUBLIC
HOLBROOK T 200 AM 10/30 PUBLIC
...WESTCHESTER COUNTY...
ARMONK 12.5 1230 AM 10/30 PUBLIC
SOMERS 12.0 1100 PM 10/29 PUBLIC
SCARSDALE 10.0 1200 AM 10/30 SKYWARN SPOTTER
WHITE PLAINS 7.5 823 PM 10/29 PUBLIC
YONKERS 7.0 1220 AM 10/30 PUBLIC
MOUNT KISCO 7.0 905 PM 10/29 PUBLIC
MAMARONECK 7.0 800 PM 10/29 PUBLIC
HASTINGS-ON-HUDSON 6.5 1200 AM 10/30 PUBLIC
VALHALLA 5.0 300 PM 10/29 PUBLIC
VERNON PARK 4.0 255 PM 10/29 SKYWARN SPOTTER
RYE 2.5 113 PM 10/29 PUBLIC
***********************PEAK WIND GUST***********************
LOCATION MAX WIND TIME/DATE COMMENTS
GUST OF
MPH MEASUREMENT
CONNECTICUT
...FAIRFIELD COUNTY...
BRIDGEPORT AIRPORT 36 725 PM 10/29 ASOS
...NEW HAVEN COUNTY...
NEW HAVEN 38 738 PM 10/29 ASOS
...NEW LONDON COUNTY...
GROTON 38 1110 PM 10/29 ASOS
NEW JERSEY
...ESSEX COUNTY...
NEWARK AIRPORT 30 630 PM 10/29 ASOS
NEW YORK
...NEW YORK COUNTY...
CENTRAL PARK 30 1100 AM 10/29 ASOS
...QUEENS COUNTY...
NYC/LA GUARDIA 37 1105 AM 10/29 ASOS
KENNEDY AIRPORT 35 500 PM 10/29 ASOS
...SUFFOLK COUNTY...
WESTHAMPTON 49 746 PM 10/29 ASOS
ISLIP AIRPORT 46 504 PM 10/29 ASOS
SHIRLEY AIRPORT 43 1007 PM 10/29 ASOS
EAST FARMINGDALE 40 541 PM 10/29 ASOS
...WESTCHESTER COUNTY...
WHITE PLAINS 31 809 PM 10/29 ASOS
Saturday, October 29, 2011
Very astute observations by WxRisk.com last week: An intense blizzard hit Siberia, the snow cover over Northern Canada had increased to above normal.
These observation lead DT to speculate that a cold, snowy start to our winter would likely follow. Also a polar vortex established itself over eastern Canada. But will this hold for most of the winter? Wait and see.
Judging from radar echoes the snow may end before nightfall. My own opinion, not a forecast!
The snow has stopped over a portion of Southern New Jersey.
As of 4:30 pm the snow has filled back in and this means the snow will continue beyond sunset, not good news , it will cool off slightly enabling the snow to stick better.
A dry slot had developed earlier and I was hopeful that it was a signal that the snow might end sooner, but as the next 2 hours went by the precip just filled back in again.
As of 4:30 pm the snow has filled back in and this means the snow will continue beyond sunset, not good news , it will cool off slightly enabling the snow to stick better.
A dry slot had developed earlier and I was hopeful that it was a signal that the snow might end sooner, but as the next 2 hours went by the precip just filled back in again.
PSE&G POWER OUTAGE INFO PAGE
PSE&G POWER OUTAGES INFO PAGE
^ Click on link above ^
Up to 500 customers without power, in upper Passaic County. ****In Essex County, between 2000 and 5000 customers are out.*****
*** Essex County now 5000 to 10,000 customers out *** Bergen County 2000 to 5000 customers***
Radar echoes indicate the snow may, may, end sooner than forecast.
***** Union, Somerset, Mercer, Middlesex counties have thousands without power.*****
*****Bergen County now has 5000 to 10,000 customers out. *****
*********************************************************
****Bergen , Somerset Union, Mercer, Essex each have 10,000 cutomers out plus! as of 2:28pm.
**** Passaic County now has over 10,000 customers without power. As of 4:36 pm.
Total of 320,000 customers reported without power.
^ Click on link above ^
Up to 500 customers without power, in upper Passaic County. ****In Essex County, between 2000 and 5000 customers are out.*****
*** Essex County now 5000 to 10,000 customers out *** Bergen County 2000 to 5000 customers***
Radar echoes indicate the snow may, may, end sooner than forecast.
***** Union, Somerset, Mercer, Middlesex counties have thousands without power.*****
*****Bergen County now has 5000 to 10,000 customers out. *****
*********************************************************
****Bergen , Somerset Union, Mercer, Essex each have 10,000 cutomers out plus! as of 2:28pm.
**** Passaic County now has over 10,000 customers without power. As of 4:36 pm.
Total of 320,000 customers reported without power.
Moose Report
Click "HOME " below for more info.
Crushing, Cruising Snowstorm to Plaster Northeast Saturday
Crushing, Cruising Snowstorm to Plaster Northeast Saturday
Woodbridge 1 to 3", Watchung 3 to 5", Wayne 6 to 10", West Milford 10 to 14"
Woodbridge 1 to 3", Watchung 3 to 5", Wayne 6 to 10", West Milford 10 to 14"
WINTER STORM WARNING FOR 6 to 11 inches in the highest elevations.
... Winter Storm Warning remains in effect from 8 am Saturday to
4 am EDT Sunday...
* locations... eastern Passaic and western Bergen counties.
* Hazard types... heavy wet snow.
* Accumulations... 6 to 11 inches of snow... highest amounts across
higher elevations.
* Winds... north 15 to 25 mph with gusts up to 45 mph. Highest
gusts will be Saturday evening through early Sunday morning.
* Temperatures... in the lower to mid 30s.
* Visibilities... less than 1/2 mile at times.
* Timing... light snow will begin after daybreak Saturday... then
become moderate to heavy in intensity late Saturday afternoon
into Saturday evening. The snow will then taper off later
Saturday night.
* Impacts... widespread hazardous travel conditions due to reduced
visibilities and snow covered roads. The combination of strong
winds and heavy wet snow will result in downed trees... tree
limbs and power lines. The damage could be quite extensive with
the potential for an area of widespread power outages.
Friday, October 28, 2011
Thursday, October 27, 2011
AccuWeather.com - Meteo Madness | Snow for Tonight and Saturday; Map for Saturday
AccuWeather.com - Meteo Madness | Snow for Tonight and Saturday; Map for Saturday
Big snow possible in Northwest New Jersey Saturday?
Big snow possible in Northwest New Jersey Saturday?
Wednesday, October 26, 2011
Some light snow now likely in Northern NJ Saturday
It is early in the season for this and the details are still up in the air.
Tuesday, October 25, 2011
Space weather has everything about the northern lights.
http://spaceweather.com/http://spaceweather.com/
Lots of info and photos. Photo above Shawn Malone at space weather.com.
Monday, October 24, 2011
AURORA NOW VISIBLE IN USA, Monday night!
New York, Maryland, Ohio. take a look between now and dawn Tuesday morning. Northern lights make near record appearance!
from WXRISK.COM !Sunday, October 16, 2011
http://www.accuweather.com/blogs/news/story/56429/wild_storm_threatens_to_renew.asp
http://www.accuweather.com/blogs/news/story/56429/wild_storm_threatens_to_renew.asp
Could be more bad news in the flood prone areas, this week!
Could be more bad news in the flood prone areas, this week!
Thursday, October 13, 2011
Another major east coast / appalachian storm next week. Snow? Perhaps.
Forecasters at WXRISK, ACCUWEATHER, are looking for a major storm next week from Oct. 18 to 22nd. Too early for details but a storm over the entire east coast is looking likely with even some snow, far inland,well away from the coast. WIND could be a big factor.
After a rainy Thursday and Friday a cooler, very breezy weekend will follow this week.
Early look at this winter season soon. The Old Farmers Almanac sees a generally cold, snowy pattern.
After a rainy Thursday and Friday a cooler, very breezy weekend will follow this week.
Early look at this winter season soon. The Old Farmers Almanac sees a generally cold, snowy pattern.
Friday, September 9, 2011
Tuesday, September 6, 2011
Heavy rainfall will produce moderate to major flooding.
New Tropical Depression 14 on a track similar to Irene and will need to be watched next week.
Flood waters expected to rise once again. Our rainiest summer on record.
From the NWS:
... Record setting rainfall for the climatological Summer of 2011
for Central Park...
... Despite record heat in July and above normal temperatures in June
the climatological Summer of 2011 was not one of the top ten warmest
Summers...
Central Park received a record 25.23 inches of rainfall for the
climatological Summer (which encompasses the months of
June... July... and august). This is almost twice the normal value
(13.45 inches)... and breaks the previous record of 22.40 inches set
back in 1975. This comes after both June and July were actually
below normal. In June... 3.25 inches fell. Normal for June is 3.84
inches. In July... 3.03 inches fell and the normal value is 4.62.
Some significant dates where Central Park received heavy rainfall
were August 9th... 14th... 27th... and 28th. On August 9th... a
frontal system was moving through the area and 2.09 inches fell. On
the 14th 5.81 inches of rain fell due to an upper level disturbance
which allowed for torrential rainfall and flash flooding in an
around New York City. Finally... Tropical Storm Irene helped push the
Summer of 2011 into the record books by dumping 2.88 inches on the
27th... and 3.99 inches on the 28th. Irene helped to make August 2011
the wettest August on record. It also helped make August 2011 the
all time wettest month on record. Other locations that broke records:
Location... ... ... ... ... ... .Summer 2011 observed rainfall
LaGuardia... ... ... ... ... ... 24.11
JFK... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... 22.04
Newark... ... ... ... ... ... ... 23.57
Record heat occurred in July with the Mercury passing the century
mark on July 22nd with a record 104 degrees and setting another
record on the 23rd with 100 degrees. The average temperature in
August was 3.7 degrees above normal... pushing July 2011 into the
number 2 spot for warmest July. June was also above normal... by
1.1 degrees. Despite all this... the Summer of 2011 was not in any of
the top 10 warmest Summer on record. This is because August was only
slightly above normal by 0.1 degrees.
... Record setting rainfall for the climatological Summer of 2011
for Central Park...
... Despite record heat in July and above normal temperatures in June
the climatological Summer of 2011 was not one of the top ten warmest
Summers...
Central Park received a record 25.23 inches of rainfall for the
climatological Summer (which encompasses the months of
June... July... and august). This is almost twice the normal value
(13.45 inches)... and breaks the previous record of 22.40 inches set
back in 1975. This comes after both June and July were actually
below normal. In June... 3.25 inches fell. Normal for June is 3.84
inches. In July... 3.03 inches fell and the normal value is 4.62.
Some significant dates where Central Park received heavy rainfall
were August 9th... 14th... 27th... and 28th. On August 9th... a
frontal system was moving through the area and 2.09 inches fell. On
the 14th 5.81 inches of rain fell due to an upper level disturbance
which allowed for torrential rainfall and flash flooding in an
around New York City. Finally... Tropical Storm Irene helped push the
Summer of 2011 into the record books by dumping 2.88 inches on the
27th... and 3.99 inches on the 28th. Irene helped to make August 2011
the wettest August on record. It also helped make August 2011 the
all time wettest month on record. Other locations that broke records:
Location... ... ... ... ... ... .Summer 2011 observed rainfall
LaGuardia... ... ... ... ... ... 24.11
JFK... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... 22.04
Newark... ... ... ... ... ... ... 23.57
Record heat occurred in July with the Mercury passing the century
mark on July 22nd with a record 104 degrees and setting another
record on the 23rd with 100 degrees. The average temperature in
August was 3.7 degrees above normal... pushing July 2011 into the
number 2 spot for warmest July. June was also above normal... by
1.1 degrees. Despite all this... the Summer of 2011 was not in any of
the top 10 warmest Summer on record. This is because August was only
slightly above normal by 0.1 degrees.
Monday, September 5, 2011
Tropical update. Rainy weather ahead the next few days.
Saturday, September 3, 2011
Guess what? NJ is due for 2 to 4" of rain over the next 5 days.
Tropical Storm Lee, now in the Gulf states, will move up the east coast this week bringing a swath of 2 to 4" of rain. Certainly enough to halt the lowering of the flood waters. Still a little early to raise the alarms again.
Hurricane Katia, now far out in the Atlantic, may come as close as within 100 miles of Cape Hatteras before turning out to sea. A very close call. We don't need double trouble at this time!
Hurricane Katia, now far out in the Atlantic, may come as close as within 100 miles of Cape Hatteras before turning out to sea. A very close call. We don't need double trouble at this time!
Thursday, September 1, 2011
Hurricane Katia may approach very closely to the US before turning OTS.
Sunday, August 28, 2011
Another hurricane may be brewing for September.
This one called 92L, is only a tropical wave but may develop. It will most likely stay out at sea.
Saturday, August 27, 2011
55mph gust at Brigantine, NJ..... NWS Warnings
... Hurricane Warning remains in effect...
... Probability of tropical storm/hurricane conditions...
the chance for hurricane conditions at this time is 3 to
10 percent. Also... the chance for tropical storm conditions at
this time is up to 91 percent.
... Winds...
as Hurricane Irene approaches... sustained tropical storm force
winds are expected to begin late this evening... with hurricane
force winds developing early Sunday morning. Maximum winds are
forecast to be in the 55 to 75 mph range with gusts up to 85 mph.
Damaging winds are likely. Homes may have damage to shingles...
siding... gutters and windows... especially if these items are not
properly secured. Loose outdoor items will become airborne...
causing additional damage and possible injury. Power lines will
be knocked down by falling trees... resulting in widespread power
outages. Many large branches of trees will be snapped... and a
numerous trees will be uprooted.
... Tornadoes...
isolated tornadoes are possible across Long Island... coastal
Connecticut... and the New York City Metro area as intense rain
bands move in from the south tonight.
... Storm surge and storm tide...
storm surge is highly dependent on track... intensity... and speed
of the storm as it approaches the coast. The combined effects of
storm surge and storm tide pose a serious threat with several
feet of water inundation possible along coastal locations.
Based on the forecast track of Hurricane Irene... there is
potential for 4 to 8 feet of surge across western Long Island
Sound and New York Harbor... with 3 to 5 ft of surge along the
South Shore bays of Long Island and New York City... Peconic and
gardiners bays... and eastern Long Island from early Sunday
morning into early Sunday afternoon. These tidal conditions will
be aggravated by accompanying large... destructive... and life
threatening waves on top of the storm surge.
High tide across New York Harbor and the South Shore of western
Long Island is around 8 am Sunday. In a worst case scenario...
water levels of 8 to 10 ft above msl are possible.
High tide across western Long Island Sound is around 11 am
Sunday. In a worst case scenario... water levels of 10 to 11 ft
above msl are possible.
High tide across eastern Long Island Sound is around 9 am Sunday.
In a worst case scenario... water levels of 7 to 8 ft above msl
are possible.
There is a 10 percent chance of the worst case scenario.
... Inland flooding...
a Flood Watch is in effect for the entire area. Rainfall amounts
of 6 to 12 inches with locally higher amounts are expected. See
the latest forecast for the most updated information. Listen for
possible flood warnings for your location... and be ready to act
if flooding rains occur.
... Coastal hazards...
increasingly large swells arriving from Hurricane Irene will
create high surf... significant beach erosion and washovers along
the Atlantic facing coastline tonight into Monday.
Significant beach erosion is also likely along the coastline of
Long Island Sound and Peconic and gardiners bays due to the surge
and battering surf.
... Rip currents...
dangerous and life threatening rip currents are expected through
Monday.
... Probability of tropical storm/hurricane conditions...
the chance for hurricane conditions at this time is 3 to
10 percent. Also... the chance for tropical storm conditions at
this time is up to 91 percent.
... Winds...
as Hurricane Irene approaches... sustained tropical storm force
winds are expected to begin late this evening... with hurricane
force winds developing early Sunday morning. Maximum winds are
forecast to be in the 55 to 75 mph range with gusts up to 85 mph.
Damaging winds are likely. Homes may have damage to shingles...
siding... gutters and windows... especially if these items are not
properly secured. Loose outdoor items will become airborne...
causing additional damage and possible injury. Power lines will
be knocked down by falling trees... resulting in widespread power
outages. Many large branches of trees will be snapped... and a
numerous trees will be uprooted.
... Tornadoes...
isolated tornadoes are possible across Long Island... coastal
Connecticut... and the New York City Metro area as intense rain
bands move in from the south tonight.
... Storm surge and storm tide...
storm surge is highly dependent on track... intensity... and speed
of the storm as it approaches the coast. The combined effects of
storm surge and storm tide pose a serious threat with several
feet of water inundation possible along coastal locations.
Based on the forecast track of Hurricane Irene... there is
potential for 4 to 8 feet of surge across western Long Island
Sound and New York Harbor... with 3 to 5 ft of surge along the
South Shore bays of Long Island and New York City... Peconic and
gardiners bays... and eastern Long Island from early Sunday
morning into early Sunday afternoon. These tidal conditions will
be aggravated by accompanying large... destructive... and life
threatening waves on top of the storm surge.
High tide across New York Harbor and the South Shore of western
Long Island is around 8 am Sunday. In a worst case scenario...
water levels of 8 to 10 ft above msl are possible.
High tide across western Long Island Sound is around 11 am
Sunday. In a worst case scenario... water levels of 10 to 11 ft
above msl are possible.
High tide across eastern Long Island Sound is around 9 am Sunday.
In a worst case scenario... water levels of 7 to 8 ft above msl
are possible.
There is a 10 percent chance of the worst case scenario.
... Inland flooding...
a Flood Watch is in effect for the entire area. Rainfall amounts
of 6 to 12 inches with locally higher amounts are expected. See
the latest forecast for the most updated information. Listen for
possible flood warnings for your location... and be ready to act
if flooding rains occur.
... Coastal hazards...
increasingly large swells arriving from Hurricane Irene will
create high surf... significant beach erosion and washovers along
the Atlantic facing coastline tonight into Monday.
Significant beach erosion is also likely along the coastline of
Long Island Sound and Peconic and gardiners bays due to the surge
and battering surf.
... Rip currents...
dangerous and life threatening rip currents are expected through
Monday.
NY NJ Metro feeling early effects of Irene and many watches and warnings have been issued.
Grand Central Station closed tonight. Many NYC facilities and attractions are also closed.
FLOOD Warnings have already been issued.
Travel is not feasible for safety reasons.
FLOOD WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MT HOLLY NJ
406 PM EDT SAT AUG 27 2011
...THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MOUNT HOLLY NJ HAS ISSUED A FLOOD
WARNING FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN NEW JERSEY...PENNSYLVANIA...
DELAWARE...
ASSUNPINK CREEK AT TRENTON AFFECTING MERCER COUNTY
BRANDYWINE CREEK AT CHADDS FORD AFFECTING CHESTER AND DELAWARE
COUNTIES
BRANDYWINE CREEK AT WILMINGTON AFFECTING NEW CASTLE COUNTY
BRODHEAD CREEK AT MINISINK HILLS AFFECTING MONROE COUNTY
BUSH KILL AT SHOEMAKERS AFFECTING MONROE COUNTY
DELAWARE RIVER AT EASTON-PHILLIPSBURG BRIDGE AFFECTING WARREN...
NORTHAMPTON AND HUNTERDON COUNTIES
DELAWARE RIVER AT RIEGELSVILLE AFFECTING HUNTERDON...MERCER AND BUCKS
COUNTIES
DELAWARE RIVER AT FRENCHTOWN AFFECTING HUNTERDON AND BUCKS COUNTIES
DELAWARE RIVER AT STOCKTON AFFECTING HUNTERDON AND BUCKS COUNTIES
DELAWARE RIVER AT NEW HOPE-LAMBERTVILLE BRIDGE AFFECTING HUNTERDON...
MERCER AND BUCKS COUNTIES
DELAWARE RIVER AT WASHINGTON`S CROSSING AFFECTING HUNTERDON...MERCER
AND BUCKS COUNTIES
DELAWARE RIVER AT TRENTON AFFECTING MERCER AND BUCKS COUNTIES
LEHIGH RIVER AT WALNUTPORT AFFECTING LEHIGH AND NORTHAMPTON COUNTIES
LEHIGH RIVER AT BETHLEHEM AFFECTING LEHIGH AND NORTHAMPTON COUNTIES
MILLSTONE RIVER AT BLACKWELLS MILLS AFFECTING SOMERSET COUNTY
NESHAMINY CREEK AT LANGHORNE AFFECTING BUCKS COUNTY
PASSAIC RIVER AT MILLINGTON AFFECTING MORRIS AND SOMERSET COUNTIES
PASSAIC RIVER AT CHATHAM AFFECTING MORRIS AND SOMERSET COUNTIES
PASSAIC RIVER AT PINE BROOK AFFECTING ESSEX...MORRIS AND PASSAIC
COUNTIES
PASSAIC RIVER AT LITTLE FALLS AFFECTING ESSEX AND PASSAIC COUNTIES
PEQUANNOCK RIVER BELOW MACOPIN DAM AFFECTING MORRIS AND PASSAIC
COUNTIES
PERKIOMEN CREEK AT GRATERFORD AFFECTING MONTGOMERY COUNTY
POMPTON RIVER AT POMPTON PLAINS AFFECTING MORRIS AND PASSAIC COUNTIES
RAMAPO RIVER AT POMPTON LAKES AFFECTING BERGEN...MORRIS AND PASSAIC
COUNTIES
NORTH BRANCH RANCOCAS CREEK AT PEMBERTON AFFECTING BURLINGTON COUNTY
SOUTH BRANCH RARITAN RIVER AT STANTON AFFECTING HUNTERDON AND SOMERSET
COUNTIES
NORTH BRANCH RARITAN RIVER AT RARITAN AFFECTING SOMERSET COUNTY
RARITAN RIVER AT MANVILLE AFFECTING MIDDLESEX AND SOMERSET COUNTIES
RARITAN RIVER AT BOUND BROOK AFFECTING MIDDLESEX AND SOMERSET COUNTIES
ROCKAWAY RIVER AT BOONTON ABOVE THE RESERVOIR AFFECTING MORRIS COUNTY
ROCKAWAY RIVER AT BOONTON BELOW THE RESERVOIR AFFECTING MORRIS COUNTY
SCHUYLKILL RIVER AT POTTSTOWN AFFECTING MONTGOMERY COUNTY
SCHUYLKILL RIVER AT NORRISTOWN AFFECTING CHESTER...MONTGOMERY AND
PHILADELPHIA COUNTIES
SCHUYLKILL RIVER AT PHILADELPHIA AFFECTING PHILADELPHIA AND MONTGOMERY
COUNTIES
THESE WARNINGS ARE BASED ON OBSERVED RAINFALL THROUGH 1 PM SATURDAY, PLUS
ADDITIONAL RAIN OF UP TO 8 INCHES IN SOME AREAS INTO SUNDAY AFTERNOON.
WHILE THE CONFIDENCE LEVEL IN THESE RIVER FORECASTS IS HIGH BASED ON CURRENT
RADAR DATA, CURRENT RAIN GAGE DATA, AND CURRENT TRACK FORECASTS ASSOCIATED
WITH HURRICANE IRENE, IF LESS RAIN FALLS BETWEEN NOW AND SUNDAY
AFTERNOON, THESE RIVER FORECASTS WILL BE LOWER.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
SAFETY MESSAGE...DO NOT ATTEMPT TO DRIVE THROUGH FLOODED AREAS. THE
WATER MAY BE DEEPER THAN YOU THINK.
&&
NJC013-027-031-280205-
/O.NEW.KPHI.FL.W.0102.110828T1200Z-000000T0000Z/
/PINN4.3.ER.110828T1200Z.110830T1200Z.000000T0000Z.NR/
406 PM EDT SAT AUG 27 2011
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MOUNT HOLLY NJ HAS ISSUED A
* FLOOD WARNING FOR
THE PASSAIC RIVER AT PINE BROOK.
* FROM SUNDAY MORNING UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS
CANCELLED.
* AT 3:00 PM SATURDAY THE STAGE WAS 16.3 FEET.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 19.0 FEET.
* MAJOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY TOMORROW MORNING AND CONTINUE TO
RISE TO NEAR 23.0 FEET BY TUESDAY MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 22.0 FEET...FLOODING STRETCHES UP TO THE SOUTHERN PORTIONS
ON MONTVILLE. LOWER HOOK MOUNTAIN ROAD IS SUBJECT TO CLOSURES.
$$
Flood Warning
Friday, August 26, 2011
Tropical Floater Two Rainbow Imagery Loop (Flash) - Satellite Services Division/Office of Satellite Data Processing and Distribution
Tropical Floater Two Rainbow Imagery Loop (Flash) - Satellite Services Division/Office of Satellite Data Processing and Distribution
Flash video of Irene from the NHC.
Flash video of Irene from the NHC.
Satellite images shows Irene gaining some strength once again.
Tropical Floater Two Rainbow Imagery Loop (Flash) - Satellite Services Division/Office of Satellite Data Processing and Distribution
Tropical Floater Two Rainbow Imagery Loop (Flash) - Satellite Services Division/Office of Satellite Data Processing and Distribution
Video from NHC showing a weakening storm. A day of hurricane force winds are less likely but we will have a very strong tropical storm with heavy rains.
Video from NHC showing a weakening storm. A day of hurricane force winds are less likely but we will have a very strong tropical storm with heavy rains.
HURRICANE IRENE DISCUSSION NUMBER 25
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL092011
1100 AM EDT FRI AUG 26 2011
DATA FROM NOAA AND AIR FORCE RESERVE HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT
SUGGEST THE INTENSITY OF IRENE IS SLIGHTLY LOWER. ALTHOUGH PEAK
FLIGHT-LEVEL WINDS AT 700 MB WERE 111 KT...SFMR AND DROPSONDE
OBSERVATIONS INDICATED THAT A HIGHER-THAN-TYPICAL REDUCTION OF THE
WIND FROM FLIGHT-LEVEL TO THE SURFACE APPLIES...AND THE INITIAL
INTENSITY IS REDUCED TO 90 KT. GIVEN THE CURRENT STORM STRUCTURE
AND PREDICTED ENVIRONMENTAL FACTORS...LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS
EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS. AFTER PASSING NORTH
CAROLINA...SOUTHWESTERLY SHEAR IS FORECAST TO INCREASE AND SEA
SURFACE TEMPERATURES WILL BE GRADUALLY DECREASING. THIS SHOULD
RESULT IN GRADUAL WEAKENING OF THE CYCLONE AS IT MOVES NEAR THE
MID-ATLANTIC COAST. HOWEVER...IRENE IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN A LARGE
AND DANGEROUS TROPICAL CYCLONE AND HAS THE POTENTIAL TO PRODUCE
DAMAGING WINDS...STORM SURGE FLOODING...AND EXTREMELY HEAVY RAINS
ALMOST ANYWHERE FROM EASTERN NORTH CAROLINA NORTHWARD THROUGH NEW
ENGLAND.
IRENE IS MOVING NORTHWARD OR 360/12 KT. THERE HAS BEEN NO CHANGE
TO THE FORECAST PHILOSOPHY. IRENE SHOULD MOVE NORTHWARD FOR ANOTHER
12 HOURS OR SO....FOLLOWED BY A GRADUAL TURN TO THE NORTH-NORTHEAST
AS IT MOVES ALONG THE EAST COAST OF THE UNITED STATES. THE TRACK
GUIDANCE IS IN GOOD AGREEMENT ON THIS SCENARIO AND NO CHANGE WAS
REQUIRED FROM THE PREVIOUS NHC FORECAST THROUGH 72 HOURS.
ONLY A SMALL ADJUSTMENT WAS MADE TO THE HURRICANE WARNING ON THIS
ADVISORY. IT IS ANTICIPATED THAT THE HURRICANE WARNING AND WATCH
AREAS WILL NEED TO BE EXTENDED NORTHWARD ALONG THE U.S. EAST COAST
THIS AFTERNOON.
Hurricane Irene... Similar to the Hurricane of 1821?
Hurricane Irene... Similar to the Hurricane of 1821?
" some reports suggest that the Hudson River rose 13 feet in one hour" ...in 1821.
In 1821 lower Manhattan was completely flooded. Click on link above. Weather Bell .com.
" some reports suggest that the Hudson River rose 13 feet in one hour" ...in 1821.
In 1821 lower Manhattan was completely flooded. Click on link above. Weather Bell .com.
Hurricane Watches posted. Hurricane warning for Jersey shore from Cape May to Sandy Hook.
Euro computer model shows the eye passing over Asbury Park and Belmar as a Cat. #1 or 2 storm. The Euro has been the most accurate with this storm.
NHC updates at 11am, 2pm, 5 pm today. The track should be pretty accurate today, but until the storm passes Cape Hatteras on Saturday, the track is still not certain.
Euro computer model shows the eye passing over Asbury Park and Belmar as a Cat. #1 or 2 storm. The Euro has been the most accurate with this storm.
NHC updates at 11am, 2pm, 5 pm today. The track should be pretty accurate today, but until the storm passes Cape Hatteras on Saturday, the track is still not certain.
Thursday, August 25, 2011
Mandatory evacuation for all of Cape May county, NJ.
Forecaster at WXrisk.com expects 80 to 100 mph winds over eastern NJ. 40 to 60 mph over much of the rest of NJ.
A storm surge of 10 feet in some areas that are most vulnerable.
The storm may track from Delaware Bay to Atlantic City to JFK airport.
A storm surge of 10 feet in some areas that are most vulnerable.
The storm may track from Delaware Bay to Atlantic City to JFK airport.
Dr. Jeff Masters' WunderBlog : Irene an extremely dangerous storm surge threat to the mid-Atlantic and New England : Weather Underground
Dr. Jeff Masters' WunderBlog : Irene an extremely dangerous storm surge threat to the mid-Atlantic and New England : Weather Underground
Prepare for a worst case scenario, just in case the storm hits here full force. Heavy rain, coastal and river flooding, high winds, trees toppled, power outages are very possible if not likely.
Prepare for a worst case scenario, just in case the storm hits here full force. Heavy rain, coastal and river flooding, high winds, trees toppled, power outages are very possible if not likely.
AccuWeather.com - Weather News | Irene: New York City, Mid-Atlantic Put on High Alert
AccuWeather.com - Weather News | Irene: New York City, Mid-Atlantic Put on High Alert
DANGEROUS HURRICANE IRENE:
Amateur forecasters calling for 8 to 12" of rain.
DANGEROUS HURRICANE IRENE:
Amateur forecasters calling for 8 to 12" of rain.
National Hurricane Center
National Hurricane Center
Here is the latest from the Hurricane Center.
Irene will impact NY,NJ this weekend!!!
Here is the latest from the Hurricane Center.
Irene will impact NY,NJ this weekend!!!
**********ALERT ! *************
Irene is trending closer to New Jersey on the late night model maps at midnight. Bad weather is likely this weekend. Very strong winds and heavy rain will likely ensue, from a strong storm hugging the coastline and may plow right into the 5 boroughs of New York city. The Friday morning forecast should give a clear view of what may happen. The storm is still 3 days away, and a change in path will change the forecasts.
This is a dangerous storm that can produce flooding rains and high winds especially nearer the coast. Hurricane force winds are possible.
In New York City it is even conceivable for flooding to develop from Canal Street on south to the Battery. Stay Tuned!
Click home or more recent posts below.
This is a dangerous storm that can produce flooding rains and high winds especially nearer the coast. Hurricane force winds are possible.
In New York City it is even conceivable for flooding to develop from Canal Street on south to the Battery. Stay Tuned!
Click home or more recent posts below.
Wednesday, August 24, 2011
Hurricane Season Wundermap : Weather Underground
Hurricane Season Wundermap : Weather Underground
There is a debate on whether the storm heads for Montauk or more west right into NJ. It should be a strong storm( cat. 2 ) and I think the Friday morning forecast will have the track fairly well defined by then. My hunch is that it will come almost over NJ, near Delaware bay, then maybe to Queens, NY. That is my guess. I base this on the tendency seen in winter storms that show a path over the ocean early on, then bring the storm closer to land 2 / 3 days before the storm. But this is a hurricane.
There is a debate on whether the storm heads for Montauk or more west right into NJ. It should be a strong storm( cat. 2 ) and I think the Friday morning forecast will have the track fairly well defined by then. My hunch is that it will come almost over NJ, near Delaware bay, then maybe to Queens, NY. That is my guess. I base this on the tendency seen in winter storms that show a path over the ocean early on, then bring the storm closer to land 2 / 3 days before the storm. But this is a hurricane.
Tuesday, August 23, 2011
New York/ New Jersey Metro, may be the target for Hurricane Irene this Sunday.
A concern is that one, usually reliable, model brings the storm into New Jersey near Delaware Bay. A better picture of the path will form by the Friday morning forecast time. stay tuned.
Hurricane Irene : 5 Day Forecast Map : Weather Underground
The storm will brush NJ on Sunday afternoon, in the 5 day weather forecast. Keep in mind that a 300 mile error can easily occur 5 days out. New Jersey marine interests should keep a watch on this storm. The very latest update has the storm making a direct hit on New York City. Much uncertainty about this weekend.
Monday, August 22, 2011
WEATHER BALLOONER Northern New Jersey: Hurricane Irene is a potetial threat to the Easter...
WEATHER BALLOONER Northern New Jersey: Hurricane Irene is a potetial threat to the Easter...: Early speculation is that Irene will affect either North or South Carolina and be somewhere in the area of Long Island, NY by next Monday as...
Hurricane Irene is a potetial threat to the Eastern US, in several more days.
Image The WeatherUnderground. weatherunderground.com
Sunday, August 21, 2011
Sunday, August 14, 2011
Autumn like weather pattern takes hold until further notice. Up to 10 " of rain possible in some areas.
Click below for further info. ( Newer post. Home.)
Is summer ending? Flash flood watch.
Is summer ending? Flash flood watch.
Special Video Discussion for August, 14, 2011: Heavy Rain Storm
Special Video Discussion for August, 14, 2011: Heavy Rain Storm
From NYNJPA Weather.com, a comprehensive weather source for New York Metro, New Jersey, Pennsylvania, weather forecast discussion, forecast video, local details.
From NYNJPA Weather.com, a comprehensive weather source for New York Metro, New Jersey, Pennsylvania, weather forecast discussion, forecast video, local details.
FLASH FLOOD WATCH !!!
... Flash Flood Watch remains in effect through Monday evening...
The Flash Flood Watch continues for
* portions of southern Connecticut... northeast New Jersey and
southeast New York... including the following areas... in
southern Connecticut... northern Fairfield... northern New
Haven... southern Fairfield and southern New Haven. In
northeast New Jersey... eastern Bergen... eastern Essex...
eastern Passaic... eastern Union... Hudson... western Bergen...
western Essex and western Union. In southeast New York...
Bronx... Kings (Brooklyn)... New York (Manhattan)... northern
Nassau... northern Queens... northern Westchester... northwestern
Suffolk... Putnam... Richmond (staten island)... Rockland...
southern Nassau... southern Queens... southern Westchester and
southwestern Suffolk.
* Through Monday evening
* an additional 1 to two and one half inches of rainfall... with
locally higher amounts possible... is forecast to fall in the
watch area... on top of any rainfall that fell through this
afternoon. This could result in the flash flooding of urban
areas and fast responding small streams and creeks located
across most of northeast New Jersey... southeast New York... and
southwestern Connecticut.
Precautionary/preparedness actions...
A Flash Flood Watch means that conditions may develop that lead
to flash flooding. Flash flooding is a very dangerous situation.
You should monitor later forecasts and be prepared to take action
should flash flood warnings be issued.
The Flash Flood Watch continues for
* portions of southern Connecticut... northeast New Jersey and
southeast New York... including the following areas... in
southern Connecticut... northern Fairfield... northern New
Haven... southern Fairfield and southern New Haven. In
northeast New Jersey... eastern Bergen... eastern Essex...
eastern Passaic... eastern Union... Hudson... western Bergen...
western Essex and western Union. In southeast New York...
Bronx... Kings (Brooklyn)... New York (Manhattan)... northern
Nassau... northern Queens... northern Westchester... northwestern
Suffolk... Putnam... Richmond (staten island)... Rockland...
southern Nassau... southern Queens... southern Westchester and
southwestern Suffolk.
* Through Monday evening
* an additional 1 to two and one half inches of rainfall... with
locally higher amounts possible... is forecast to fall in the
watch area... on top of any rainfall that fell through this
afternoon. This could result in the flash flooding of urban
areas and fast responding small streams and creeks located
across most of northeast New Jersey... southeast New York... and
southwestern Connecticut.
Precautionary/preparedness actions...
A Flash Flood Watch means that conditions may develop that lead
to flash flooding. Flash flooding is a very dangerous situation.
You should monitor later forecasts and be prepared to take action
should flash flood warnings be issued.
Tuesday, August 2, 2011
To be ignorant of the past is to forever be a child - Cicero
Sunday, July 31, 2011
A word, expert at that, on climate change from Dr. Dave Robinson.
http://www.app.com/article/20110710/NJOPINION06/307100009/In-New-Jersey-major-floods-warming-trend
I first asked his opinion 25 years ago, read what he says now. Click on link above.
I first asked his opinion 25 years ago, read what he says now. Click on link above.
However, when you combine observations, climate model evaluations and the baseline theory of the greenhouse effect (the Earth would be an ice cube without the natural greenhouse effect that has dominated Earth’s atmospheric history), a conclusion of human-induced climate change is inescapable.
Saturday, July 23, 2011
Hot Summers Will Become Common Acording to Stanford University Scientists
Instead of odds of 1 in 20, or 1 in 5, this summers heat will become common.
Stanford climate scientists forecast permanently hotter summers
Good news for Friedrich,Carrier, Frigidaire,etc.
Friday, July 22, 2011
Thursday, July 21, 2011
Wednesday, July 20, 2011
Tuesday, July 19, 2011
Monday, July 18, 2011
Tropical Storm Bret forms near Florida, A heat wave looms ahead.
Strong thunderstorms in the area Monday. Heat will build later this week. Air quality is poor for Monday, across the New York, New Jersey metro forecast region. Take it easy! Click on the seven day forecast, from NY NJ PA Weather.com, below.
The heatwave plaguing the south and damaging the cotton crop in Texas, is heading our way.
The heatwave plaguing the south and damaging the cotton crop in Texas, is heading our way.
Sunday, July 17, 2011
Tropical development beginning to appear off the Florida east coast.
It could become the first tropical depression of the 2011 hurricane season. A hot humid week is ahead for New Jersey/ New York Metro. The heat will build toward the end of the week. Tomorrow's weather will be hot and humid with a chance of thunderstorms. Check tomorrow's forecast for possible strong storms.
Saturday, July 16, 2011
June was the 8th warmest month on record, across the globe last month.
Global warming, caused by the greenhouse effect, produced the 7th warmest June on record on a global scale. As in any month, there were areas with cooler than normal temperatures, but on a world wide scale it was yet another warm month. Weather and climate should not be confused. We need to continue to study temperature trends over many years and over a wide global scale to determine what effects are occurring from greenhouse gases. If your backyard is chilly, that does not mean global warming is bunk.
Wednesday, July 13, 2011
Sunday, July 10, 2011
Sunday, June 19, 2011
UN REPORTS GLOBAL FOOD PRICES HAVE RISEN 40% OVER THE LAST YEAR, FLOODS, DROUGHTS FURTHER THREATEN CROPS THIS SEASON.
Food prices have risen around the world over the last year and food shortages and price rises are expected to continue. A 40% jump in food has occured over the last year. The cause is said to be droughts, floods and speculation by traders.
Friday, June 17, 2011
Wednesday, June 15, 2011
Thursday, June 9, 2011
LIVE COVERAGE OF SEVERE WEATHER EVENTS
LIVE COVERAGE OF SEVERE WEATHER EVENTS
ALERT! ALERT! ALERT!
A line of intense thunderstorms are heading toward NY metro and most of NJ!!
Conn. is experiencing heavy thunderstorms at this time- 5:16 pm.
Wilkes Barre / Scranton and POCONOS now having strong to severe storms! 5:30 pm.
Upper Passaic County now getting strong to severe thunderstorms. 5:38pm.
ALERT! ALERT! ALERT!
A line of intense thunderstorms are heading toward NY metro and most of NJ!!
Conn. is experiencing heavy thunderstorms at this time- 5:16 pm.
SOME STORMS WITH 90MPH WIND AND 1 INCH HAIL!
Wilkes Barre / Scranton and POCONOS now having strong to severe storms! 5:30 pm.
Upper Passaic County now getting strong to severe thunderstorms. 5:38pm.
Wednesday, June 1, 2011
Monday, May 30, 2011
Wednesday, May 18, 2011
Tuesday, May 17, 2011
Sunday, May 1, 2011
Saturday, April 30, 2011
Thursday, April 28, 2011
Friday, April 22, 2011
How I balanced the Federal Budget for 30 years, WITH a 790 billion dollar surplus.
NY Times Nov. 13, 2010
2015 shortfall 418 billion( projected )
2030 shortfall 1,345 billion
The first figure below is the savings after 15 years, the second the savings after 30 years.
The first figure below is the savings after 15 years, the second the savings after 30 years.
Foreign & domestic cuts
17 billion 17 billion foreign aid
14 bill. 14 bill. no earmarks allowed
14 bill. 14 bill. no farm subsidies
14 bill. 14 bill. federal workers 5% pay cut
10 bill. 10 bill. reduce federal workforce 10 %
17 bill. 17 bill. cut 250,00 gov't contractors
30 bill. 30 bill various other federal gov't.
29 bill. 29 bill. cut aid to states by 5 %
Military cuts
19 billion 38 bill. reduce nuclear arsenal and space program
25 bill. 49 billion reduce military to pre-Iraq war size, also Asia, Euro.
19 bill. 24 bill. reduce Navy, Air Force fleets
23 bill. 51 bill. reduce non-combat comp. and overhead
Foreign troop levels
86 bill. 169 bill. reduce Afghan and Iraq to 30,000 troops
Health Care
8 bill. 13 bill. enact medical malpractice reform
8 bill. 56 bill. increase medicare age to 68
6 billion 54 bill. reduce SS benefits to high income client
Estate taxes
50 billion 104 bill. return estate taxes to Clinton-era levels
Investment taxes( all tax increases )
32 billion 46 bill. return rates to Clinton era
54 billion 115 billion allow expiration of Bush tax cuts if income 250K +
50 billion 100 bill. subject income over $106K to payroll tax
50 billion 95 bill. enact Millionaire's tax over $1 million income
136 billion 315 bill. eliminate loopholes
40 billion 71 bill. carbon tax, new
73 billion 103 bill. Bank Tax, new
The deficit has now been eliminated for 30 years ! Cuts crush the 1,345 billion deficit!
AND guess what? There is a 790 billion dollar surplus! Hooray!
Tuesday, April 19, 2011
Monday, April 18, 2011
Sunday, April 17, 2011
Early outlook for this summer according to ECMWF.
AccuWeather.com's Brett Anderson, reports the following outlook for the summer of 2011. Click on the link above to read the blog.
Temperatures : cooler than normal in the coastal region, of the tristate, near normal inland.
Eastern Canada should be warmer than normal.
Precipitation : near normal in our area.
New England may have a dry summer.
Click on "HOME" to get a link to the full report.
Temperatures : cooler than normal in the coastal region, of the tristate, near normal inland.
Eastern Canada should be warmer than normal.
Precipitation : near normal in our area.
New England may have a dry summer.
Click on "HOME" to get a link to the full report.
Wayne Township NJ - Office of Homeland Security and Emergency Management
Wayne Township NJ - Office of Homeland Security and Emergency Management
Flood conditions are already present on the Pompton River. Rte. 23 northbound is closed.
Another round of flooding for NJ, from 3 to 4 inch rainstorm.
Moderate to major flooding is now occurring or is forecast. The flooding will not be as bad as earlier this spring.
Rte. 23 north is closed near Packanack Lake. All the rain came down in about 12 hours and flood waters have risen rapidly. Even the reservoir is above bank full. Generally showery weather is likely later this week.
Rte. 23 north is closed near Packanack Lake. All the rain came down in about 12 hours and flood waters have risen rapidly. Even the reservoir is above bank full. Generally showery weather is likely later this week.
Saturday, April 16, 2011
Japan nuclear crisis. Radiation continues to be released, but at low levels.
All the details keep coming in little by little, but what experts said weeks ago , seems to be true. That is, the radiation will continue to spread into the environment, at low levels, unless some people are willing to sacrifice their own lives to end the crisis. The equipment is broken and as it stands the buildings are much too dangerous to work in, to effect repairs. That leaves continuing to pour in water to prevent fires and melting. That in itself, spreads radiation as well.
Perhaps robots could do the work, if not, only workers willing to be exposed to intense radiation could control and contain the radioactivity.
The best experts may yet devise a way to make things stable. But, it is not another Chernobyl, nor will it ever become one, it is just not a similar setup to begin with. The disruption of so many lives perhaps, is the worst aspect, even if health effects or fatalities are little or none.
Perhaps robots could do the work, if not, only workers willing to be exposed to intense radiation could control and contain the radioactivity.
The best experts may yet devise a way to make things stable. But, it is not another Chernobyl, nor will it ever become one, it is just not a similar setup to begin with. The disruption of so many lives perhaps, is the worst aspect, even if health effects or fatalities are little or none.
Wind a big factor from late evening on into early morning. Flooding concerns continue.
Did you know? The USA has the most visitors to Weather Ballooner and the 2nd largest group of visitors are from South Korea. Then Russia and Australia.
Tuesday, April 12, 2011
Saturday, April 9, 2011
Tuesday, April 5, 2011
AccuWeather.com - Climate Change | Global Warming Consensus gets a Surprise Boost
AccuWeather.com - Climate Change | Global Warming Consensus gets a Surprise Boost
Global Warming is confirmed by a study that was run and funded by Global Warming skeptics.
Friday, April 1, 2011
From Dave's Weather America
BLIZZARD!!!
History has had many historic blizzards
in the northeast with severe storms in
1778, 1811, 1857 (COLD STORMS),
GREAT BLIZZARD OF 1888 (50"
snow and 20 foot drifts NY), 1899 The
Great Eastern Blizzard from South to
North....
In the 20th Century there were Blizzards
in 1905, 1910, and 1935 at NYC. In 1920
a GREAT SNOW AND SLEET STORM
struck with 17" of mixed precipitation
that defied removal and caused the army
to tackle it with flame throwers. In March
1941 a blizzard occurred in the east on the
7th-9th period.
In DECEMBER 1947 a snowstorm blitzed
NYC with a crushing 26.4" snow and 32"
in suburbs as the Christmas season was in
progress..
In the late 50s and early 60s there were
a series of Blizzards including the
Pre-December Storm of 1960 which
dumped 20" at Newark, Nj with 50mph
gales...followed by the JFK storm in 1961
and a month later by a mega-snow...
There was also a January blizzard in 1964,
a widespread storm; A Blizzard in 1967 that
hammered the after Ground hog day, and
the Lindsday Snowstorm of 1969 that
brought 15"-25" of paralysis to the big
apple...it was a suprise..
In the late 70s there was a January near-
blizzard in the east that also brought
heavy snow unexpectedly to NYC, with
17" in places..FOLLOWED BY THE
FAMOUS GREAT BLIZZARD OF 1978
in February that year...2 to 4 feet of snow!
In February 1979 the President's Day
Storm struck and DC to Boston had 1'-3'
of snow...also a suprise of sorts..
The 1980s featured the rare April 1982
Blizzard, and the Megapolitan Storm of 83'
that brought 1'-3' snow and thunder to
the big cities...breaking records...
The 1990s featured the MARCH 1993
Superstorm a combination of BLIZZARD
and ICESTORM that dumped 12"-24"
in the east...IN JANUARY 1996 a HUGE
BLIZZARD DUMPED 20" on NYC and
30" on the suburbs...worst since 1947..
The Millenium Blizzard of Late December
2000 brought 12"-25" snow to NYC/NJ,
and the PRESIDENT'S DAY 2003
BLIZZARD brought as much as 20" to
NYC and close to 30" in Boston, the
equal to 1996!!
A recent December 2003 blizzard dumped
15"-20" in a two-day stretch in early
December....
And we would add in 2011 with the December 26 blizzard of 20" to 30" of snow in NY,NJ.
History has had many historic blizzards
in the northeast with severe storms in
1778, 1811, 1857 (COLD STORMS),
GREAT BLIZZARD OF 1888 (50"
snow and 20 foot drifts NY), 1899 The
Great Eastern Blizzard from South to
North....
In the 20th Century there were Blizzards
in 1905, 1910, and 1935 at NYC. In 1920
a GREAT SNOW AND SLEET STORM
struck with 17" of mixed precipitation
that defied removal and caused the army
to tackle it with flame throwers. In March
1941 a blizzard occurred in the east on the
7th-9th period.
In DECEMBER 1947 a snowstorm blitzed
NYC with a crushing 26.4" snow and 32"
in suburbs as the Christmas season was in
progress..
In the late 50s and early 60s there were
a series of Blizzards including the
Pre-December Storm of 1960 which
dumped 20" at Newark, Nj with 50mph
gales...followed by the JFK storm in 1961
and a month later by a mega-snow...
There was also a January blizzard in 1964,
a widespread storm; A Blizzard in 1967 that
hammered the after Ground hog day, and
the Lindsday Snowstorm of 1969 that
brought 15"-25" of paralysis to the big
apple...it was a suprise..
In the late 70s there was a January near-
blizzard in the east that also brought
heavy snow unexpectedly to NYC, with
17" in places..FOLLOWED BY THE
FAMOUS GREAT BLIZZARD OF 1978
in February that year...2 to 4 feet of snow!
In February 1979 the President's Day
Storm struck and DC to Boston had 1'-3'
of snow...also a suprise of sorts..
The 1980s featured the rare April 1982
Blizzard, and the Megapolitan Storm of 83'
that brought 1'-3' snow and thunder to
the big cities...breaking records...
The 1990s featured the MARCH 1993
Superstorm a combination of BLIZZARD
and ICESTORM that dumped 12"-24"
in the east...IN JANUARY 1996 a HUGE
BLIZZARD DUMPED 20" on NYC and
30" on the suburbs...worst since 1947..
The Millenium Blizzard of Late December
2000 brought 12"-25" snow to NYC/NJ,
and the PRESIDENT'S DAY 2003
BLIZZARD brought as much as 20" to
NYC and close to 30" in Boston, the
equal to 1996!!
A recent December 2003 blizzard dumped
15"-20" in a two-day stretch in early
December....
And we would add in 2011 with the December 26 blizzard of 20" to 30" of snow in NY,NJ.
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