Sunday, December 14, 2014

Major Storm Takes Aim at Japan

Major Storm Takes Aim at Japan < click



This will probably cause a cold stormy period here in 10 to 14 days.



New Jersey, New York may have a snowy mix next weekend Dec. 20,21.  Could be heavy in such areas as West Milford.

Tuesday, November 18, 2014

Lake effect Snows. Incredible!


PUBLIC INFORMATION STATEMENT
SPOTTER REPORTS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
425 PM EST TUE NOV 18 2014

********************STORM TOTAL SNOWFALL********************

LOCATION          STORM TOTAL     TIME/DATE   COMMENTS
                     SNOWFALL           OF
                     /INCHES/   MEASUREMENT

NEW YORK

...ERIE COUNTY...
   2 S CHEEKTOWAGA       51.0   330 PM 11/18  TRAINED SPOTTER
   2 SW ALDEN            48.0  1252 PM 11/18  TRAINED SPOTTER
   3 WSW ELMA            46.0  1215 PM 11/18  COCORAHS
   WEST SENECA           45.0  1141 AM 11/18  SOCIAL MEDIA
   DEPEW                 42.0  1200 PM 11/18  TRAINED SPOTTER
   LANCASTER             42.0   900 AM 11/18  NWS EMPLOYEE
   1 N HAMBURG           37.0   330 PM 11/18  NWS EMPLOYEE
   ALDEN                 34.0   106 PM 11/18  NWS EMPLOYEE
   ORCHARD PARK          32.0   129 PM 11/18  NWS EMPLOYEE
   WEST FALLS            29.0   318 PM 11/18  SOCIAL MEDIA
   3 SW BLASDELL         27.0   335 PM 11/18  TRAINED SPOTTER
   EAST AURORA           17.0  1240 PM 11/18  NWS EMPLOYEE
   DERBY                 14.0   100 PM 11/18  TRAINED SPOTTER
   3 N CHEEKTOWAGA        2.0   125 PM 11/18  PUBLIC

...JEFFERSON COUNTY...
   PHILADELPHIA          15.0  1128 AM 11/18  PUBLIC
   3 S THERESA           14.0   215 PM 11/18  COCORAHS

...LIVINGSTON COUNTY...
   CALEDONIA              5.0   330 PM 11/18  PUBLIC


**********************24 HOUR SNOWFALL*****

Sunday, July 20, 2014

What will next winter be like?

After checking, NYNJPA Weather, Accuweather etc.  it looks like another cold snowy winter ahead.  But it is way too early to say with any confidence.  Right now the pattern we had, has not changed much.

It looks like our region will see a shift to drier conditions, in July and early August.

Temperature Turnaround and Long-Range Update - Canadian Weather Blog Weather Blog

Temperature Turnaround and Long-Range Update - Canadian Weather Blog Weather Blog < click here
Cool weather for summer, ahead, especially the Great Lakes region.  A continuation of the winter pattern we had.

Thursday, May 1, 2014

Rain totals for New Jersey and New York


000
NOUS41 KOKX 011059
PNSOKX
012-NJZ002-004-006-103>108-NYZ067>075-078>081-176>179-012259- PUBLI
CTZ005 >C INFORMATION STATEMENT SPOTTER REPORTS
AM EDT THU MAY 01 2014 THE FOLLOWIN
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK NY 659 G ARE UNOFFICIAL OBSERVATIONS TAKEN DURING THE RECENT
IS EXTENDED TO HIGHWAY DEPARTMENTS...COOPERATIVE OBSERVERS...SKYWARN
STORM THAT HAS BEEN AFFECTING OUR REGION. APPRECIATION SPOTTERS AND MEDIA FOR THESE REPORTS. THIS SUMMARY IS ALSO AVAILABLE ON OUR HOME PAGE AT WEATHER.GOV/NYC
COMMENTS RAINFALL
********************STORM TOTAL RAINFALL******************** LOCATION STORM TOTAL TIME/DATE OF /INCHES/ MEASUREMENT CONNECTICUT ...FAIRFIELD COUNTY... NORWALK 4.52 630 AM 5/01 PUBLIC
3.40 530 AM 5/01 PUBLIC DANBURY AIRPORT
BRIDGEPORT AIRPORT 3.96 616 AM 5/01 ASOS STAMFORD 3.80 600 AM 5/01 MESONET SHELTON 2.78 621 AM 5/01 ASOS ...NEW HAVEN COUNTY... WOODBRIDGE 3.03 600 AM 5/01 MESONET NEW HAVEN 2.78 632 AM 5/01 ASOS
OXFORD 2.04 600 AM 5/01 MESONET
WALLINGFORD 2.65 600 AM 5/01 MESONET HAMDEN 2.64 600 AM 5/01 MESONET MERIDEN 2.12 642 AM 5/01 ASOS ...NEW LONDON COUNTY... GALES FERRY 2.35 612 AM 5/01 TRAINED SPOTTER YANTIC 1.64 600 AM 5/01 MESONET CLARKS FALLS 1.35 600 AM 5/01 MESONET NEW JERSEY ...BERGEN COUNTY...
TER FRANKLIN LAKES 3.64 600 AM 5/01 MESONET
LYNDHURST 4.89 515 AM 5/01 PUBLIC TETERBORO 4.52 645 AM 5/01 ASOS WOODCLIFF LAKE 4.03 600 AM 5/01 MESONET SADDLE BROOK 4.03 637 AM 5/01 TRAINED SPO T RIDGEWOOD 3.60 600 AM 5/01 MESONET RIVERVALE 3.60 545 AM 5/01 PUBLIC ...ESSEX COUNTY... NEWARK AIRPORT 5.36 622 AM 5/01 ASOS CANOE BROOK 4.28 600 AM 5/01 MESONET
HAWTHORNE 3.98 513 AM 5/01 TRAINED SPOTTER
CALDWELL AIRPORT 3.50 626 AM 5/01 ASOS MAPLEWOOD 3.48 600 AM 5/01 MESONET ...HUDSON COUNTY... HARRISON 4.90 240 AM 5/01 EMERGENCY MNGR ...PASSAIC COUNTY... WEST PATERSON 4.16 600 AM 5/01 MESONET WAYNE 3.80 600 AM 5/01 MESONET LITTLE FALLS 3.67 600 AM 5/01 MESONET WEST MILFORD 3.20 600 AM 5/01 MESONET RINGWOOD 2.88 600 AM 5/01 MESONET ...UNION COUNTY... MOUNTAINSIDE 5.93 600 AM 5/01 MESONET
...NEW YORK COUNTY... CENTRAL PARK 5.12 614 AM 5/01
LINDEN 4.49 600 AM 5/01 MESONET NEW YORK ...NASSAU COUNTY... PLAINVIEW 5.54 620 AM 5/01 TRAINED SPOTTER PLANTING FIELDS NEPP 5.06 600 AM 5/01 MESONET 1 S MERRICK 5.05 500 AM 5/01 TRAINED SPOTTER BELLMORE 4.40 600 AM 5/01 PUBLIC ASOS ...ORANGE COUNTY... MONTGOMERY AIRPORT 2.86 640 AM 5/01 ASOS STERLING FOREST 2.68 600 AM 5/01 MESONET ...QUEENS COUNTY... NYC/LA GUARDIA 5.43 638 AM 5/01 ASOS NYC/JFK AIRPORT 4.96 636 AM 5/01 ASOS ...RICHMOND COUNTY... GREENBELT 4.67 600 AM 5/01 MESONET
OS
...ROCKLAND COUNTY... SUFFERN 2.71 600 AM 5/01 MESONET ...SUFFOLK COUNTY... NORTHPORT 3.85 600 AM 5/01 MESONET EAST FARMINGDALE 3.77 627 AM 5/01 ASOS NORTH BABYLON 3.30 300 AM 5/01 PUBLIC ISLIP AIRPORT 2.77 635 AM 5/01 ASOS SHIRLEY AIRPORT 2.53 633 AM 5/01 A S LAKE RONKONKOMA 2.49 325 AM 5/01 TRAINED SPOTTER MONTAUK 2.14 643 AM 5/01 ASOS FIRE ISLAND 2.04 600 AM 5/01 MESONET WESTHAMPTON AIRPORT 1.88 624 AM 5/01 ASOS UPTON 1.86 200 AM 5/01 NWS OFFICE GREENPORT 1.27 600 AM 5/01 MESONET ...WESTCHESTER COUNTY...
WHITE PLAINS AIRPORT 4.02 630 AM 5/01 ASOS PEEKSKILL 2.85 545 AM 5/01 TRAINED SPOTTER $$
DS

Sunday, March 2, 2014

Cancel the snowstorm for Northern New Jersey

Only a coating to an inch up north.  The Central and Southern Jersey is a different story.

Tuesday, February 25, 2014

Mostly cold and dry until early Sunday and then another storm.

Snow flurries and snow showers today and tomorrow, a small accumulation is possible , especially early tomorrow.

WPC is forecasting a storm beginning Sunday, March 2, through March 4.  A total of 4 to 10 inches of snow and sleet may occur.  A mix of snow, ice, rain is likely, so accumulations will vary widely depending upon your temperature and location.  The northwest should see the most snow.

Thursday, February 20, 2014

Very cold weather with lots of snow potential is still in the long range weather forecast for New Jersey and New York Metro.


 Next week will feature a light snow.

The weekend following will potentially produce 1 to 2 feet of snow.  March roars in like a lion!

Wednesday, February 19, 2014

EURO weather model has two snowstorms next week for New Jersey and New York Metro.

Cold air returns next week but until then we will have mild temperatures.  Lots of melting Friday.

Then next week, a snowstorm for late Tuesday and then another on Friday.  The Friday storm looks like a strong one.

March will come roaring in next Friday, as it looks now.  But that is a long way off and a lot can change between now and then.

These storms may not be all snow but a mixture snow, ice and rain.  The pattern is really looking loaded with POTENTIAL.  As usual, there are no guarantees.

Sixty Million at Risk for Severe Weather Thursday, Friday

Sixty Million at Risk for Severe Weather Thursday, Friday < click here.

Warmup to Bring Flooding, Roof Collapse Risk Midwest, East

Warmup to Bring Flooding, Roof Collapse Risk Midwest, East <click here

Monday, February 17, 2014

NYC: Snow Hits Tuesday, Before a Warmup Wednesday

NYC: Snow Hits Tuesday, Before a Warmup Wednesday < click here.



The warm up will last several days.

A substantial snow early on Tuesday, several days of milder weather, and next week the arctic air returns.

New Jersey is getting a break in the weather forecast this week.  After  a snowfall on Tuesday of  from 3 to 6 inches, the weather turns milder.  We will see one day with 50 degree temperatures on Friday, along with rain, not snow.

But next week , it will turn colder again and snow is possible toward the end of February and the beginning of March.  So winter is not over but we do get a respite.

Thanks to WxRisk and NY NJ PA Weather and the National Weather Service.

Friday, February 14, 2014

Snow depth reports

   Ledyard Center 4.0 1100 am 2/13 trained spotter

New Jersey

... Bergen County...
   East Rutherford 14.4 1208 PM 2/13 public
   Franklin Lakes 14.0 100 PM 2/13 trained spotter
   Glen Rock 13.5 100 PM 2/13 public
   Emerson 13.2 1200 PM 2/13 public
   North Arlington 13.1 100 PM 2/13 trained spotter
   Saddle Brook 13.0 100 PM 2/13 trained spotter
   Bergenfield 13.0 100 PM 2/13 trained spotter
   Ramsey 13.0 100 PM 2/13 trained spotter
   Ridgewood 12.8 1200 am 2/14 trained spotter
   Allendale 12.1 1220 PM 2/13 public
   Tenafly 12.0 1215 PM 2/13 public
   Lodi 12.0 1145 am 2/13 public
   Rivervale 11.6 217 PM 2/13 public
   Lyndhurst 11.0 1230 PM 2/13 public
   Woodcliff Lake 11.0 100 PM 2/13 trained spotter
   Mahwah 10.0 115 PM 2/13 public
   Wyckoff 9.5 400 PM 2/13 trained spotter

... Essex County...
   Verona 14.0 1200 PM 2/13 public
   Millburn 12.5 1140 am 2/13 public
   West Orange 12.5 1200 PM 2/13 public
   Cedar Grove 12.4 500 PM 2/13 public
   West Caldwell 12.2 200 PM 2/13 trained spotter
   Newark Airport 10.1 100 am 2/14 FAA contract observer
   Maplewood 9.3 100 PM 2/13 public

... Hudson County...
   Kearny 15.0 1235 PM 2/13 cocorahs
   Harrison 11.5 218 PM 2/13 trained spotter
   North Bergen 10.5 1045 am 2/13 trained spotter
   Hoboken 10.0 1215 PM 2/13 trained spotter

... Passaic County...
   Wayne 13.0 1200 PM 2/13 trained spotter
   Hawthorne 12.1 111 PM 2/13 trained spotter
   Ringwood 11.5 100 PM 2/13 trained spotter
   Haskell 11.5 100 PM 2/13 trained spotter
   Clifton 11.0 1115 am 2/13 trained spotter
   West Milford 10.5 100 PM 2/13 public
   Bloomingdale 9.4 130 PM 2/13 trained spotter

... Union County...
   Westfield 13.0 100 PM 2/13 public
   Roselle 12.1 1200 PM 2/13 trained spotter
   Union 11.7 100 PM 2/13 trained spotter
   Garwood 11.0 1230 PM 2/13 public 

Thursday, February 13, 2014

Part 2of the party poops out.

Only north and west areas will see heavy snow accumulate overnight, based on radar and surface observations.  Still , several inches , may accumulate in other areas.

Temperatures did not crash, so we got more rain and sleet than snow.

Morning driving will not be good.

Storm goes boom over New Jersey.


 It is now possible that parts of New Jersey will see 15 to 20 inch amounts of snow accumulation.


  It all depends on whether your location switches over to sleet and rain.....or not.


And Part 2 hits New Jersey tonight!  Another 4 to even 12 inches more, on top of what we got this morning.  Surprises, yes.



... Winter Storm Warning remains in effect until 6 am EST Friday...

* locations... western Passaic... eastern Passaic... western
Bergen... eastern Bergen... western Essex... eastern Essex...
western Union... eastern Union.

* Hazard types... heavy snow.

* Accumulations... snow accumulation of 11 to 17 inches... along
with up to a tenth of an inch of ice. Highest amounts farther
north and west.

* Winds... north 15 to 25 mph with gusts up to 35 mph.

* Temperatures... around 30.

* Visibilities... one quarter mile or less at times.

* Timing... heavy snow will taper off to light freezing rain and
sleet by mid afternoon... before changing back to moderate to
heavy snow tonight. The snow will taper off after midnight.

* Impacts... snowfall will make travel treacherous. Heavy... wet
snow will likely bring down some tree limbs and power lines.
Weak... flat roof structures may also be susceptible to
collapsing.

Precautionary/preparedness actions...

A Winter Storm Warning for heavy snow means severe winter weather
conditions are expected or occurring. Significant amounts of snow
are forecast that will make travel dangerous. Only travel in an
emergency. If you must travel... keep an extra flashlight... food...
and water in your vehicle in case of an emergency.


Light snow in Northern NJ at 12:12pm.


Wednesday, February 12, 2014

Atlantic City, Mount Holly, Millville, report light snow, 10 pm.

Major Winter Snowstorm Not Nearly the End of Winter - Joe Lundberg's Weather Blog Weather Blog

Ice Storm Disaster; Lightning Cranks Up Blizzard - The WeatherMatrix Blog Weather Blog

Ice Storm Disaster; Lightning Cranks Up Blizzard - The WeatherMatrix Blog Weather Blog < click here.


Storm has surprises for us, here in New Jersey.

The heaviest, most intense snow will fall between about 8 am up through lunchtime, on Thursday.  Some people will see thunder snow .  Other areas will mix in sleet and freezing rain.  Just about everyone will have some sleet and rain in the afternoon.  It will look like the storm is winding down but, another round of fairly heavy snow should develop after nightfall.  The storm will subside before dawn on Friday.

Most places will have between 6 to 12 inches of snow, but there will be some spots near the ocean with only 2 to 4 inches.  Some inland areas will push the 20 inch total.  We will not know exactly where until tomorrow.

The weather will always surprise you, so watch out for the morning dump , which is heading our way tonight.

Major Snowstorm to Hit Northeastern Pennsylvania Thursday

Major Snowstorm to Hit Northeastern Pennsylvania Thursday< click here.

Historic Ice Storm Unfolds in South; Lengthy Power Outages Possible

Historic Ice Storm Unfolds in South; Lengthy Power Outages Possible < click here.


Winds Gust Near 100 MPH in Wales; Flooding in the UK

Winds Gust Near 100 MPH in Wales; Flooding in the UK <click here.

LIVE: Deadly Southern Ice Storm Disrupts Flights, Causes Power Outages

LIVE: Deadly Southern Ice Storm Disrupts Flights, Causes Power Outages < click here.

Sunday, February 9, 2014

A little snow Sunday and a little more Wednesday into Thursday.

Tomorrow should not be enough snow ,to attract much attention.  Mostly late afternoon and evening, 1 or 2".  But watch it, just in case we get a curve ball.

Mid-week, another  light to moderate snow appears fairly likely.  It too may feature some rain especially toward the end of the event.  The Euro has it's mojo working again on that one.

Then the week after , perhaps a moderation in the cold pattern!

February is the snowiest but also, the last, month of winter.

Wednesday, February 5, 2014

Northern New Jersey Weather


...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST THIS EVENING...
* LOCATIONS...SOUTHERN CONNECTICUT...NORTHERN PORTIONS OF THE NEW YORK CITY METROPOLITAN AREA AND PORTIONS OF NORTHEAST NEW JERSEY.
* HAZARD TYPES...HEAVY SNOW ALONG WITH SLEET AND FREEZING RAIN.
* ACCUMULATIONS...SNOW ACCUMULATION OF 4 TO 6 INCHES...ALONG WITH AROUND ONE QUARTER TO FOUR TENTHS OF AN INCH OF ICE.
* VISIBILITIES...ONE QUARTER TO ONE HALF MILE AT TIMES.
* TEMPERATURES...IN THE LOWER 30S.
* TIMING...SNOW MIXING WITH AND CHANGING TO SLEET AND FREEZING RAIN BY LATE MORNING.
* IMPACTS...TRAVEL WILL BE EXTREMELY DANGEROUS DUE TO SIGNIFICANT SNOW AND ICE ACCUMULATIONS. THE COMBINATION OF SNOW AND ICE ACCUMULATIONS WILL KNOCK DOWN TREE LIMBS AND POWER LINES.
* WINDS...NORTHEAST 5 TO 15 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
A WINTER STORM WARNING MEANS SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF SNOW... SLEET... AND ICE ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. THIS WILL MAKE TRAVEL DANGEROUS. ONLY TRAVEL IN AN EMERGENCY. IF YOU MUST TRAVEL...KEEP AN EXTRA FLASHLIGHT...FOOD... AND WATER IN YOUR VEHICLE IN CASE OF AN EMERGENCY.
&&

Tuesday, February 4, 2014

Winter Storm Closes in on East Tuesday Night - AccuWeather.com

Winter Storm Closes in on East Tuesday Night - AccuWeather.com

...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 6 PM EST WEDNESDAY...
* LOCATIONS...SOUTHERN CONNECTICUT...NORTHERN PORTIONS OF THE NEW YORK CITY METROPOLITAN AREA AND PORTIONS OF NORTHEAST NEW JERSEY.
* HAZARD TYPES...HEAVY SNOW ALONG WITH SLEET AND FREEZING RAIN.
* ACCUMULATIONS...SNOW ACCUMULATION OF 3 TO 6 INCHES...ALONG WITH ONE QUARTER TO ONE HALF INCH OF ICE.
* VISIBILITIES...ONE QUARTER TO ONE HALF MILE AT TIMES.
* TIMING...SNOW DEVELOPING AFTER MIDNIGHT...THEN MIXING WITH AND CHANGING TO SLEET AND FREEZING RAIN BY LATE MORNING.
* IMPACTS...TRAVEL WILL BE EXTREMELY DANGEROUS DUE TO SIGNIFICANT SNOW AND ICE ACCUMULATIONS. THE COMBINATION OF SNOW AND ICE ACCUMULATIONS WILL KNOCK DOWN TREE LIMBS AND POWER LINES.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
A WINTER STORM WARNING MEANS SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF SNOW...SLEET... AND ICE ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. THIS WILL MAKE TRAVEL DANGEROUS. ONLY TRAVEL IN AN EMERGENCY. IF YOU MUST TRAVEL...KEEP AN EXTRA FLASHLIGHT...FOOD... AND WATER IN YOUR VEHICLE IN CASE OF AN EMERGENCY.

Amazing Scenes as Severe Storm Encases Slovenian Town in Ice

Amazing Scenes as Severe Storm Encases Slovenian Town in Ice < click here.


Monday, February 3, 2014

Snow today, snow/ice Tuesday night and Wednesday, major snow looking likely this coming weekend.

The best thing that could happen Tuesday night and Wednesday would be if it trends colder and we get all snow and no ice.

Next weekend has a classic snowstorm look to it so far.  New Jersey, New York and Pennsylvania will remember this week for a long time.  A snowy weather forecast, but then it is February.

What will the next storm on this weekend have?

Cold air supply
50/50 low
Blocking in the Davis Straight of Greenland
Negatively tilted trough
Moisture feed from the south,
Phasing upper level low pressure systems


In other words, nearly perfect.   Up to a weekly total of 2 feet of snow is potentially there.  Not saying if it will verify since we have a week to get there.

THIS WHOLE THING WENT ALMOST COMPLETELY BUST! 2/8

Midweek Winter Storm to Sock More Than Two Dozen States

Midweek Winter Storm to Sock More Than Two Dozen States < click here.



New Jersey, New York included.

Snow total, late morning, Monday for New Jersey

   Prices Corner 0.4 1122 am 2/03 deos

New Jersey

... Burlington County...
   Burlington TWP 5.0 1100 am 2/03 trained spotter
   Florence 4.6 1135 am 2/03 trained spotter
   Bordentown 4.4 1040 am 2/03 social media
   Riverside 2.1 900 am 2/03 social media

... Camden County...
   Cherry Hill 1.8 1037 am 2/03 social media

... Hunterdon County...
   Califon 5.7 955 am 2/03 trained spotter
   Kingwood TWP 5.0 1000 am 2/03 trained spotter
   Whitehouse Station 5.0 948 am 2/03 broadcast media
   Whitehouse 4.5 923 am 2/03 trained spotter
   Tewksbury TWP 4.5 1035 am 2/03 Hell Mountain
   Readington TWP 4.3 1025 am 2/03 trained spotter

... Mercer County...
   Ewing 5.5 1100 am 2/03 NWS employee
   Pennington 4.5 1041 am 2/03 social media
   Hopewell TWP 3.5 830 am 2/03 trained spotter
   Trenton 2.0 900 am 2/03 trained spotter

... Middlesex County...
   Cranbury 6.8 1130 am 2/03 trained spotter
   East Brunswick 5.0 1030 am 2/03 trained spotter
   Plainsboro 3.0 927 am 2/03 public

... Monmouth County...
   Lincroft 4.6 1130 am 2/03 trained spotter

... Morris County...
   Rockaway 4.5 1130 am 2/03 trained spotter
   Randolph TWP 4.5 1007 am 2/03 social media
   Kinnelon 4.0 1140 am 2/03 social media
   2 E Randolph TWP 4.0 845 am 2/03 trained spotter
   Marcella 3.3 815 am 2/03 trained spotter
   Succasunna 2.8 715 am 2/03 social media

... Ocean County...
   Lakehurst 1.5 1110 am 2/03 trained spotter
   Manchester TWP 1.0 1109 am 2/03 trained spotter

... Somerset County...
   Bound Brook 5.0 1110 am 2/03 trained spotter
   Bridgewater TWP 5.0 1100 am 2/03 trained spotter
   Belle Mead 5.0 1135 am 2/03 trained spotter
   Rocky Hill 4.0 945 am 2/03 social media

... Sussex County...
   Sparta 4.5 1000 am 2/03 social media
   Hampton TWP 3.5 1150 am 2/03 NWS employee
   Highland Lakes 2.7 745 am 2/03 elevation 1415 feet
   Wantage 1.5 1040 am 2/03 trained spotter
   3 SW Wantage 1.2 900 am 2/03 NWS employee

... Warren County...
   Stewartsville 5.8 1000 am 2/03 trained spotter
   Belvidere 5.5 1045 am 2/03 Scotts Mountain
   hope 3.5 930 am 2/03 trained spotter
   Hackettstown 3.5 916 am 2/03 trained spotter 

Sunday, February 2, 2014

How I did on my Sunday Super Bowl forecast.

My forecast from Sunday, Jan. 27 :

My new forecast is slightly warmer and drier.  But otherwise, the forecast I made on Jan. 16th, is about the same.

Mostly cloudy, winds 5 to 10 mph, temperatures 38F to 28 F. 

Note that a winter storm moves in the next day on Monday, Feb. 3.





My original forecast from Jan. 16 was :

Super Bowl Forecast
Partly cloudy, windy, snow  showers, temperatures 25 to 30 at kickoff.

The days leading up to the Super Bowl will be cold and probably snowy as well.  Expect snow on the ground and frigid temperatures that week.

PLEASE NOTE THIS IS MY OWN BEST GUESS AND NOT ANY OFFICIAL WEATHER FORECAST.  WE ARE definitely heading into a cold regime with multiple light to moderate snow threats.

Thanks to Wxrisk & DT, Steve Dimartino  at NYNJPAWEATHER.COM, ACCUWEATHER.COM !

And.......the National Weather Service too!


Saturday, February 1, 2014

Weather forecast for Monday: Snow

So far, the northern New Jersey areas are good for 1 to 3", on Monday, daytime hours.

Central Jersey and shore areas 3 to 6"

Estimates vary widely, but the above seems most likely right now.

More to come Tuesday night into Wednesday but will likely switch over to rain.  Morning commute Wed. Could be a problem.

Who Will Get the Worst of Winter Storms Next Week?

Who Will Get the Worst of Winter Storms Next Week? <<<< click


Friday, January 31, 2014

Weather forecast headlines for New Jersey and NYC Metro

Cool Super Bowl, not frigid.

Light snow Monday

Snow, ice, rain Wednesday.  Several inches of snow and ice possible, also rain.

Feb. 8,9. Snow likely.  Possibly heavy but with some mixing.

Winter Storm Threat Evolves as Extreme Cold Eases in South, East

Winter Storm Threat Evolves as Extreme Cold Eases in South, East <click here.



Acomplete outlook on the next week.

Thursday, January 30, 2014

Weather Outlook: snow, snow, ice, rain, big snow. Look out New Jersey.

Sunday, cloudy, cool.  Super Bowl 35 to 40 degrees.


Monday, about 1" snow

Wednesday, snow, ice, rain a few inches of snow then ice ending as rain

Weekend outlook: major snow possible. ( about a foot in some areas) Feb. 8,9.

Five Unexpected Benefits of the Cold

Five Unexpected Benefits of the Cold <click here.

Snow,ice,rain threats next week.

Steve DiMartino at NYNJPAWEATHER.com and Facebook sees a lot of winter weather ahead next week, also.  Still too early to make a call for next Tues through Thursday.

Winter Storm Threat Evolves as Extreme Cold Eases in South, East

Winter Storm Threat Evolves as Extreme Cold Eases in South, East < click here.



Lots of moisture and very complex.

Wednesday, January 29, 2014

Travel Weather Forecast - AccuWeather.com

Travel Weather Forecast - AccuWeather.com <click here.


Five Ways Cold Can Damage Your Car

Five Ways Cold Can Damage Your Car <click here.

LIVE: Rare Ice, Snow Storm Halts Atlanta Traffic Through the Night

LIVE: Rare Ice, Snow Storm Halts Atlanta Traffic Through the Night < click here.

Winter reruns ahead......more snow for New Jersey and New York Metro

There are several snowstorms ahead in February.  Or at least there is more moisture ahead, the question is, will it be frozen or not?

Super Bowl Sunday.  snow or a mix is in the forecast early on Sunday with improving weather, later. Moderately cold.

Monday. Light snow.

Wednesday/ Thursday.  A stronger storm with snow or a mix/ rain.  My guess is 4 to 8 inches.  A rerun.

Later , another snowstorm brews.  It is a winter festival ahead, if you like snow.  But we will get a break from the very frigid weather.  In fact , warmer air may be making a comeback.

EURO SHOWS 12" for all of NORTHERN NEW JERSEY, Feb. 5&6. FWIW.

February 9, could see a snowstorm also. With warm air pressing in and cold air in retreat, rain is definitely possible, as well.

The further out in time we go, the more unsettled it all looks.

Tuesday, January 28, 2014

Monday, January 27, 2014

Wednesday brings in a brief light snow.

Based on NAM 4 simulated radar, 0z, we will have several hours of snow showers/ light snow on the 29th.  This may be correct or it may bust.

IF it happens it would be from about midnight Tuesday and end before daybreak on Wednesday.

Arctic front moves through at lunchtime.

... An Arctic front will impact Bergen... Essex... Passaic and western
Union counties...

At 1118 am EST... National Weather Service Doppler radar was tracking
an Arctic front from upstate New York into Pennsylvania... moving
southeast at 25 mph.

* The front will be near...
West Milford by 1220 PM...
Ringwood by 1230 PM...
Wanaque... Pompton Lakes... Oakland and Bloomingdale by 1240 PM...
Wayne... Upper Saddle River... Ramsey and Franklin Lakes by 1250
PM...

Gusty winds up to 45 mph an be expected with the frontal passage. In
addition... scattered snow showers will be possible behind the front.

Sunday, January 26, 2014

My updated Super Bowl weather forecast for Sunday, February 2.

My new forecast is slightly warmer and drier.  But otherwise, the forecast I made on Jan. 16th, is about the same.

Mostly cloudy, winds 5 to 10 mph, temperatures 38F to 28 F. 

Note that a winter storm moves in the next day on Monday, Feb. 3.

Wednesday, January 22, 2014

February outlook, stormy, snowy, cold.

From DT at Wxrisk, Steve Di Martino at NyNjPaWeather, to Henry Margusity, To Brett Anderson at Accuweather, there is a common thread which is a stormy , cold, February.   And, probably some snowstorms in there.  This is normal for February, it brings the snow to us.

Snow at Super Bowl Could Favor a Seahawks Win

Snow at Super Bowl Could Favor a Seahawks Win < click here.


Extreme Cold to Continue in the Northeast - Northeast U.S. Weather Blog Weather Blog

Extreme Cold to Continue in the Northeast - Northeast U.S. Weather Blog Weather Blog < click here.



Maybe the only thing certain about the Super Bowl weather is that it will not be warm.

Four Feet of Rain Floods Philippines, Displaces More Than 260,000 People

Four Feet of Rain Floods Philippines, Displaces More Than 260,000 People < click here



California has had only a fraction of its' usual snow.  Here is where the moisture is.

Latest Super Bowl Weather Forecast from the GFS, the Global Forecast System

Mostly cloudy, cold, snow showers, an inch or 2 accumulation.

High temp. 28 F,  low temp. 12 F.


MY ORIGINAL forecast:

Becoming mostly cloudy, windy, snow showers, temp. 25 to 30 at kickoff.

I made this forecast last week, on Jan. 16 th.,  and I am not changing it , so far.  Please note that my forecast is a guess, with a little science thrown in.

Weather for the week of the Super Bowl. Wintry!

The cold and snowy pattern appears to continue right up to the game.

Jan. 27, 28 a significant snowfall is possible, this has been showing up repeatedly.

Feb.2, Sunday, continued cold but a bit milder, mostly cloudy, snow showers.

Final snowfall totals for New Jersey, Wednesday morning

********************storm total snowfall********************

Location storm total time/date comments
                     snowfall of
                     /inches/ measurement

Connecticut

... Fairfield County...
   Greenwich 10.5 1110 PM 1/21 public
   Stamford 10.3 1153 PM 1/21 public
   New Canaan 10.3 1100 PM 1/21 CT dot
   Weston 10.2 145 am 1/22 trained spotter
   Darien 10.0 100 am 1/22 CT dot
   Shelton 9.5 900 PM 1/21 public
   North Stamford 9.5 1100 PM 1/21 trained spotter
   Old Greenwich 9.5 835 PM 1/21 trained spotter
   Brookfield 3.8 1000 PM 1/21 trained spotter
   Danbury 3.0 1100 PM 1/21 CT dot

... Middlesex County...
   Durham 9.0 950 PM 1/21 public
   Haddam 8.5 100 am 1/22 CT dot
   Clinton 6.7 450 am 1/22 broadcast media
   Old Saybrook 5.5 100 am 1/22 CT dot

... New Haven County...
   North Haven 9.5 1015 PM 1/21 trained spotter
   North Branford 9.0 1125 PM 1/21 public
   Branford 8.5 1000 PM 1/21 public
   Wallingford 8.3 945 PM 1/21 trained spotter
   Milford 8.0 1100 PM 1/21 CT dot
   New Haven 8.0 1100 PM 1/21 CT dot
   West Haven 8.0 930 PM 1/21 public
   Meriden 6.5 1100 PM 1/21 CT dot
   Wolcott 5.8 1130 PM 1/21 trained spotter
   Beacon Falls 5.0 100 am 1/22 CT dot
   2 NNE Wolcott 4.4 1130 PM 1/21 trained spotter
   Southbury 4.0 830 PM 1/21 public
   Waterbury 4.0 1100 PM 1/21 CT dot

... New London County...
   Colchester 7.5 1100 PM 1/21 CT dot
   Norwich 7.0 100 am 1/22 CT dot
   Gales Ferry 6.4 457 am 1/22 trained spotter
   Groton 6.0 100 am 1/22 CT dot
   Ledyard Center 5.0 1000 PM 1/21 trained spotter
   Stonington 4.5 1000 PM 1/21 trained spotter

New Jersey

... Bergen County...
   Little Ferry 13.4 1000 PM 1/21 public
   East Rutherford 13.0 1000 PM 1/21 NJ dot
   Tenafly 12.0 1015 PM 1/21 public
   Fort Lee 11.2 1000 PM 1/21 trained spotter
   Lyndhurst 11.0 1100 PM 1/21 public
   Bergenfield 10.4 1010 PM 1/21 trained spotter
   North Arlington 9.8 1000 PM 1/21 trained spotter
   Saddle Brook 9.6 1000 PM 1/21 trained spotter
   Hackensack 9.5 1030 PM 1/21 public
   Ridgewood 7.9 1000 PM 1/21 trained spotter
   Rivervale 7.0 1021 PM 1/21 public
   Midland Park 6.5 1008 PM 1/21 trained spotter
   Wyckoff 6.2 1000 PM 1/21 trained spotter
   Ridgefield 6.0 1020 PM 1/21 public
   Oakland 4.7 900 PM 1/21 public

... Essex County...
   Roseland 10.7 1125 PM 1/21 public
   Verona 10.5 900 PM 1/21 public
   Newark Airport 10.0 1200 am 1/22 FAA contract observer
   South Orange 10.0 1200 am 1/22 public
   Millburn 9.5 1000 PM 1/21 public
   Belleville 8.2 750 PM 1/21 trained spotter
   Cedar Grove 8.0 1230 am 1/22 public
   Maplewood 7.8 930 PM 1/21 public

... Hudson County...
   Secaucus 12.5 1000 PM 1/21 NJ dot
   North Bergen 11.1 915 PM 1/21 trained spotter
   Harrison 11.1 940 PM 1/21 trained spotter
   Kearny 11.0 820 PM 1/21 public
   Jersey City 10.0 1000 PM 1/21 NJ dot
   Hoboken 9.5 930 PM 1/21 trained spotter

... Passaic County...
   Clifton 12.5 1000 PM 1/21 NJ dot
   Wayne 9.5 900 PM 1/21 trained spotter
   Little Falls 7.0 1000 PM 1/21 trained spotter
   Hawthorne 6.4 808 PM 1/21 public
   Bloomingdale 4.6 115 am 1/22 trained spotter
   Pompton Lakes 4.4 1000 PM 1/21 trained spotter
   Haskell 3.8 800 PM 1/21 trained spotter
   Ringwood 3.8 1000 PM 1/21 trained spotter
   West Milford 3.5 800 PM 1/21 trained spotter

... Union County...
   Elizabeth 12.2 1200 am 1/22 trained spotter
   Clark 12.0 1000 PM 1/21 NJ dot
   Roselle Park 12.0 900 PM 1/21 public
   Cranford 11.6 1030 PM 1/21 public
   Roselle 11.2 100 am 1/22 trained spotter
   Union 10.7 1040 PM 1/21 trained spotter
   Westfield 9.0 1000 PM 1/21 public
   Plainfield 8.0 820 PM 1/21 trained spotter 

Tuesday, January 21, 2014

Latest Weather Forecast for Sunday Super Bowl

The latest GFS data which is always changing is:

High Temp. 15 F.  Low temp. 1 F. Partly cloudy, snow showers.


My original guess which I have not changed is:

Temps. 25 to 30 at kickoff, mostly cloudy, snow showers.

It is still a long way to Ground Hog Day and the Super Bowl but it sure looks wintry, at this time.
*************

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT...CORRECTED 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK NY 
650 PM EST TUE JAN 21 2014 
...MODERATE TO HEAVY SNOW WILL CONTINUE INTO LATE EVENING OVER 
MOST OF THE TRI-STATE... 

TWO BANDS OF MODERATE TO HEAVY SNOWFALL WERE BLANKETING ALL BUT 
THE FAR NORTHWEST CORNER OF THE TRI-STATE WITH MODERATE TO HEAVY 
SNOW. THE MAIN BAND RUNS FROM THE NEW YORK CITY 
METRO...NORTHEAST INTO SOUTHERN CONNECTICUT. THE SECOND BAND IS 
OVER EASTERN LONG ISLAND AND FAR SOUTHEASTERN CONNECTICUT. THESE 
BANDS ARE PRODUCING SNOWFALL RATES OF 1 TO 2 INCHES PER HOUR AT 
TIMES...AND ARE EXPECTED TO PERSIST THROUGH AT LEAST 10 PM. THIS 
MODERATE TO HEAVY SNOW...COUPLED WITH WINDS GUSTING TO 25 TO 35 
MPH AT TIMES WILL OCCASIONALLY REDUCE VISIBILITIES TO ONE QUARTER 
MILE OR LESS INTO THE LATE EVENING. 

AREA ROADWAYS ARE BECOMING QUITE TREACHEROUS AS A RESULT. PEOPLE ARE 
URGED TO ONLY TRAVEL IF ABSOLUTELY NECESSARY...AND THEN WITH 
EXTREME CAUTION. 
MALOIT 

More storm totals as of this evening.....more to come.


Connecticut

... Fairfield County...
   New Canaan 7.5 700 PM 1/21 CT dot
   Norwalk 7.0 615 PM 1/21 public
   Darien 7.0 630 PM 1/21 public
   Weston 7.0 615 PM 1/21 trained spotter
   Bridgeport Airport 5.5 700 PM 1/21 coop observer
   Stamford 5.0 515 PM 1/21 trained spotter
   Stratford 5.0 640 PM 1/21 public
   Shelton 4.0 510 PM 1/21 public
   Danbury 2.4 500 PM 1/21 trained spotter

... Middlesex County...
   Haddam 5.0 700 PM 1/21 CT dot
   Clinton 3.8 600 PM 1/21 broadcast media

... New Haven County...
   North Haven 6.0 630 PM 1/21 trained spotter
   Milford 5.5 700 PM 1/21 CT dot
   Meriden 5.0 700 PM 1/21 CT dot
   New Haven 4.8 645 PM 1/21 public
   Guilford 3.0 530 PM 1/21 trained spotter
   Beacon Falls 2.5 700 PM 1/21 CT dot
   Waterbury 2.5 700 PM 1/21 CT dot
   Wolcott 1.5 530 PM 1/21 trained spotter

... New London County...
   Colchester 4.5 700 PM 1/21 CT dot
   Groton 3.0 700 PM 1/21 CT dot

New Jersey

... Bergen County...
   Maywood 8.2 443 PM 1/21 public
   Tenafly 8.0 530 PM 1/21 public
   Franklin Lakes 7.0 600 PM 1/21 trained spotter
   Bergenfield 6.5 510 PM 1/21 trained spotter
   Midland Park 5.8 615 PM 1/21 trained spotter
   Emerson 5.5 545 PM 1/21 public
   Rutherford 4.5 430 PM 1/21 NJ dot
   Paramus 3.5 430 PM 1/21 NJ dot
   Mahwah 2.8 500 PM 1/21 trained spotter

... Essex County...
   Newark Airport 7.9 700 PM 1/21 FAA contract observer
   Cedar Grove 7.0 700 PM 1/21 public

... Hudson County...
   Hoboken 6.3 630 PM 1/21 trained spotter
   North Bergen 6.2 515 PM 1/21 trained spotter
   Secaucus 5.0 430 PM 1/21 NJ dot

... Passaic County...
   Wayne 6.0 600 PM 1/21 public
   Hawthorne 5.9 600 PM 1/21 trained spotter
   Clifton 5.0 455 PM 1/21 trained spotter

... Union County...
   Roselle Park 8.7 600 PM 1/21 public
   Fanwood 7.0 500 PM 1/21 trained spotter
   Union 6.5 440 PM 1/21 trained spotter
   Westfield 6.2 600 PM 1/21 public
   Clark 4.0 430 PM 1/21 NJ dot

New York

... Kings (Brooklyn) County...
   Sheepshead Bay 5.5 600 PM 1/21 trained spotter

... Nassau County...
   Lido Beach 6.5 500 PM 1/21 trained spotter
   Massapequa 6.2 600 PM 1/21 trained spotter
   Malverne 6.2 500 PM 1/21 trained spotter
   East Meadow 6.0 515 PM 1/21 trained spotter
   Uniondale 6.0 600 PM 1/21 trained spotter
   Plainview 5.5 600 PM 1/21 trained spotter
   East Rockaway 5.3 445 PM 1/21 trained spotter
   New Hyde Park 5.2 440 PM 1/21 trained spotter
   Merrick 5.1 430 PM 1/21 broadcast media
   Bayville 3.7 555 PM 1/21 public

... New York County...
   Riverbend houses 10.8 620 PM 1/21 trained spotter
   Central Park 7.6 700 PM 1/21 Central Park Zoo
   upper west side 6.0 430 PM 1/21 trained spotter

... Queens County...
   Bayside 7.5 645 PM 1/21 public
   Fresh Meadows 7.5 700 PM 1/21 public
   Cedar Manor 7.5 630 PM 1/21 trained spotter
   NYC/La Guardia 6.1 700 PM 1/21 FAA contract observer
   Kew Gardens 5.7 618 PM 1/21 public
   Woodside 5.0 600 PM 1/21 trained spotter
   NYC/JFK Airport 5.0 700 PM 1/21 FAA contract observer
   Whitestone 4.5 500 PM 1/21 trained spotter

... Richmond County...
   Great Kills 5.5 435 PM 1/21 public

... Rockland County...
   Valley Cottage 5.1 600 PM 1/21 public
   New City 3.0 500 PM 1/21 trained spotter
   Nyack 2.5 430 PM 1/21 public

... Suffolk County...
   Lindenhurst 9.0 540 PM 1/21 trained spotter
   Centereach 8.5 700 PM 1/21 trained spotter
   Eastport 7.5 615 PM 1/21 public
   Farmingville 6.6 630 PM 1/21 public
   Cutchogue 6.5 600 PM 1/21 trained spotter
   Shirley 6.5 525 PM 1/21 trained spotter
   Saint James 6.3 550 PM 1/21 trained spotter
   Islip Airport 6.2 700 PM 1/21 FAA contract observer
   Bohemia 6.0 515 PM 1/21 trained spotter
   Sayville 6.0 644 PM 1/21 NWS employee
   Upton 5.8 700 PM 1/21 NWS office
   Riverhead 5.6 600 PM 1/21 NWS employee
   Smithtown 5.5 600 PM 1/21 trained spotter
   Islip 5.0 545 PM 1/21 trained spotter
   Huntington 5.0 525 PM 1/21 trained spotter
   Holtsville 4.5 430 PM 1/21 public
   East Northport 4.0 500 PM 1/21 trained spotter
   Shoreham 3.8 500 PM 1/21 trained spotter

... Westchester County...
   Scarsdale 7.0 450 PM 1/21 trained spotter
   White Plains 6.5 545 PM 1/21 trained spotter
   Mount Kisco 3.5 525 PM 1/21 public 

New Jersey snow totals so far......

   Hamilton TWP 1.2 1238 PM 1/21 trained spotter
   Hammonton 1.0 119 PM 1/21 social media
   Pleasantville T 100 PM 1/21 trained spotter
   Atlantic City airpor T 100 PM 1/21 ASOS

... Burlington County...
   Crosswicks 9.0 305 PM 1/21 trained spotter
   Mount Laurel 8.0 458 PM 1/21 NWS employee
   Springfield TWP 8.0 211 PM 1/21 NWS employee
   Moorestown 7.7 515 PM 1/21 trained spotter
   Burlington 7.5 200 PM 1/21 NWS employee
   Florence 7.5 403 PM 1/21 trained spotter
   Burlington TWP 6.0 125 PM 1/21 social media
   Cinnaminson 5.0 313 PM 1/21 trained spotter
   Hainesport 5.0 348 PM 1/21 trained spotter
   Mount Holly WFO 4.0 100 PM 1/21 NWS office
   Palmyra 3.5 1210 PM 1/21 public
   Tabernacle 3.5 451 PM 1/21 trained spotter
   Southampton TWP 2.5 311 PM 1/21 trained spotter

... Camden County...
   Cherry Hill 7.5 525 PM 1/21 trained spotter
   Bellmawr 7.0 526 PM 1/21 trained spotter
   Voorhees 7.0 525 PM 1/21 trained spotter
   Mount Ephraim 7.0 617 PM 1/21 social media
   Pennsauken 6.4 400 PM 1/21 trained spotter
   Blackwood 6.0 524 PM 1/21 trained spotter
   Gloucester TWP 6.0 524 PM 1/21 trained spotter
   Oaklyn 4.0 255 PM 1/21 County official
   Winslow TWP 4.0 255 PM 1/21 County official
   Somerdale 4.0 255 PM 1/21 County official
   Lindenwold 4.0 404 PM 1/21 NWS employee
   West Berlin 4.0 408 PM 1/21 trained spotter
   Barrington 3.0 255 PM 1/21 County official

... Cumberland County...
   Vineland 0.8 206 PM 1/21 social media
   Bridgeton 0.8 302 PM 1/21 trained spotter

... Gloucester County...
   Williamstown 7.0 628 PM 1/21 trained spotter
   Gibbstown 5.0 344 PM 1/21 trained spotter
   Washington TWP 5.0 624 PM 1/21 trained spotter
   Glassboro 4.0 340 PM 1/21 trained spotter
   Franklinville 4.0 620 PM 1/21 trained spotter
   National Park 3.5 100 PM 1/21 trained spotter
   Woodbury 3.0 221 PM 1/21 social media
   Clayton 3.0 344 PM 1/21 trained spotter
   Sewell 2.3 343 PM 1/21 trained spotter

... Hunterdon County...
   Whitehouse Station 10.5 615 PM 1/21 2 inches 515-615p.
   Three Bridges 3.5 244 PM 1/21 public
   Readington TWP 1.9 141 PM 1/21 trained spotter

... Mercer County...
   Yardville 11.6 536 PM 1/21 trained spotter
   Robbinsville 9.0 604 PM 1/21 trained spotter
   East Windsor TWP 9.0 406 PM 1/21 trained spotter
   1 ESE Mercerville-ha 7.0 549 PM 1/21 trained spotter
   Princeton 7.0 529 PM 1/21 social media
   Trenton 6.0 503 PM 1/21 trained spotter
   Ewing 5.7 615 PM 1/21 trained spotter
   Hamilton TWP 5.5 550 PM 1/21 trained spotter
   Hopewell TWP 5.5 551 PM 1/21 trained spotter
   Hopewell 5.3 550 PM 1/21 trained spotter
   Lawrenceville 5.0 549 PM 1/21 trained spotter

... Middlesex County...
   East Brunswick 6.2 611 PM 1/21 trained spotter
   Fords 5.8 452 PM 1/21 trained spotter
   Kendall Park 5.5 610 PM 1/21 trained spotter
   South Plainfield 5.3 610 PM 1/21 trained spotter
   Plainsboro 4.8 503 PM 1/21 public
   Sayreville 4.5 413 PM 1/21 trained spotter

... Monmouth County...
   Colts Neck 10.4 526 PM 1/21 trained spotter
   Englishtown 10.3 538 PM 1/21 trained spotter
   Manalapan 9.0 418 PM 1/21 trained spotter
   Morganville 7.7 414 PM 1/21 trained spotter
   Freehold 7.5 254 PM 1/21 social media
   wall TWP 7.0 609 PM 1/21 public
   Middletown 7.0 421 PM 1/21 social media
   Cliffwood 6.8 609 PM 1/21 trained spotter
   Matawan 6.0 324 PM 1/21 social media
   Eatontown 6.0 514 PM 1/21 public
   Freehold TWP 5.5 118 PM 1/21 social media
   Howell TWP 4.3 426 PM 1/21 trained spotter

... Morris County...
   Lake Parsippany 6.0 553 PM 1/21 trained spotter
   Morristown 5.8 513 PM 1/21 trained spotter
   Randolph TWP 4.4 517 PM 1/21 cocorahs

... Ocean County...
   Jackson TWP 6.5 557 PM 1/21 trained spotter
   Toms River 2.8 418 PM 1/21 trained spotter

... Somerset County...
   Bound Brook 6.0 614 PM 1/21 trained spotter
   Basking Ridge 5.9 457 PM 1/21 trained spotter
   Bridgewater TWP 5.6 519 PM 1/21 trained spotter
   Hillsborough 5.4 501 PM 1/21 trained spotter
   Belle Mead 5.0 519 PM 1/21 trained spotter
   1 NW Bridgewater TWP 4.0 431 PM 1/21 trained spotter

... Sussex County...
   Highland Lakes 2.5 550 PM 1/21 public
   Wantage 1.7 604 PM 1/21 trained spotter

... Warren County...
   Hackettstown 3.0 407 PM 1/21 trained spotter
   Broadway 3.0 420 PM 1/21 trained spotter
   Stewartsville 2.7 234 PM 1/21 trained spotter
   hope 2.5 501 PM 1/21 trained spotter

Pennsylvania

... Berks County...
   flying hills 4.5 434 PM 1/21 public 

Early snow totals, just starting.....

   North Haven 2.7 400 PM 1/21 trained spotter

New Jersey

... Bergen County...
   Bergenfield 2.5 315 PM 1/21 trained spotter
   Mahwah 1.2 113 PM 1/21 trained spotter
   Ridgewood 1.1 113 PM 1/21 trained spotter
   Fort Lee 1.0 114 PM 1/21 trained spotter

... Essex County...
   Newark Airport 4.6 400 PM 1/21 FAA observer
   Nutley 2.4 200 PM 1/21 trained spotter
   Maplewood 2.0 230 PM 1/21 public
   Cedar Grove 1.9 215 PM 1/21 public
   West Orange 1.5 200 PM 1/21 public

... Hudson County...
   North Bergen 4.1 315 PM 1/21 trained spotter
   Harrison 4.1 315 PM 1/21 trained spotter

... Passaic County...
   Wayne 3.8 400 PM 1/21 trained spotter

... Union County...
   Elizabeth 6.5 345 PM 1/21 trained spotter
   Roselle Park 2.0 200 PM 1/21 trained spotter
   Union 1.3 1243 PM 1/21 trained spotter 

The 10 Snowiest Colleges in the US

The 10 Snowiest Colleges in the US < click here.


Winter Storm May Loom for Super Bowl Weekend

Winter Storm May Loom for Super Bowl Weekend < click here



Told ya!  Cold and snowy.

Monday, January 20, 2014

Alberta Clipper launches an attack on New Jersey and New York Metro

While it will not be the biggest storm we ever saw it will bring in plenty of wind swept snow and falling temperatures.  Today it was a mild winter day and that all begins changing overnight. Temperatures near zero are possible by Wednesday night.

The storm developed suddenly and was not expected as short a time ago as last Friday.  We shall see just how it evolves, further surprises are possible.  Watch for thunder snow.

Northeast New Jersey has a winter storm warning

Many areas will see 3 to 6 inch amounts, less north and west.  Toward the shore and New York harbor, 6 to 10". 

 Long Island could get 6 to 12 inches.


A snow band is expected tomorrow from Philadelphia to Toms River to Queens and that will be the area of heavy snow.  Expect a dry powdery snow with very cold temperatures.



... Winter Storm Warning in effect from noon Tuesday to 6 am EST
Wednesday...

The National Weather Service in New York has issued a Winter
Storm Warning for snow... which is in effect from noon Tuesday to
6 am EST Wednesday. The Winter Storm Watch is no longer in effect.

* Locations... northeast New Jersey... southern Westchester
County... and southern Fairfield County.

* Hazard types... heavy snow.

* Accumulations... snow accumulation of 6 to 10 inches.

* Winds... north 15 to 25 mph with gusts up to 30 mph.

* Wind chills... as low as 10 below zero late Tuesday night.

* Temperatures... 10 to 19.

* Visibilities... one quarter mile or less at times.

* Timing... snowfall will begin late Tuesday morning and will
continue through Tuesday night... tapering off early Wednesday
morning. The heaviest snowfall will occur Tuesday afternoon and
evening.

* Impacts... falling... blowing... and drifting snow will cause
hazardous travel and walking conditions across the
area... possibly impacting the late afternoon and evening
commute. Extreme cold and low wind chills could cause frost
bite. Dress appropriately.

Precautionary/preparedness actions...

A Winter Storm Warning for heavy snow means severe winter weather
conditions are expected or occurring. Significant amounts of snow
are forecast that will make travel dangerous. Only travel in an
emergency. If you must travel... keep an extra flashlight... food...
and water in your vehicle in case of an emergency.

Super Bowl Sunday Weather Forecast

The trend is snowy for the super weekend.  Sunday , light snow, snow showers, windy and cold.

Monday looks even worse , so postponement may not be a viable option.  There could be snow/ ice/rain on Monday and more of it than on Sunday.  Still too early to be even close to locking in a weather forecast.

Snow Tuesday afternoon and evening

Estimates on accumulation range from 1 to 3". To as much as 5 to 10".  Stay tuned!

Snow Returns to the East Coast on Tuesday

Snow Returns to the East Coast on Tuesday < click here.

Super Bowl Weather Forecast Update

The GFS is backing off on the mild weather and so I decided to stick with my original forecast.

Becoming cloudy, windy, snow showers, temperatures 25 to 30 at game time.


Keep in mind that we are still 2 weeks away but the Polar Vortex will likely stick around until then.  So long as that is the case, expect wintry conditions.


THE WEATHER FORECAST MODELS FOR THE SUPER BOWL  have been trending to more snow.  Some accumulating snow now looks more likely, on the order of  2 cm to 5 centimeters.

Saturday, January 18, 2014

Super Bowl Sunday Weather Forecast

Becoming  cloudy, cold, chance of light snow or snow showers, at night, temperatures 22 to 35.F.

The good news is that there is a milding trend right around Super Bowl Sunday, the bad news is that it may bring snow/rain with it.  Too far in the future to make a good guess.

My original Super Bowl Weather Forecast is still not that bad:

Partly cloudy, windy, snow  showers, temperatures 25 to 30 at kickoff. Windy weather conditions are the rule in the meadowlands stadium area.

Some snow may occur on or about Jan. 27, 28.

Snow/rain may occur on the Monday after the Super Bowl.

Friday, January 17, 2014

Super Bowl Sunday Weather Forecast

POLAR VORTEX WINS THE SUPER BOWL ! 

Snow / rain.  Temps. 25 to 44 F.  ( 7am data, EST ). The stadium located in the meadowlands, is subject to windy conditions, so anyone going to the game needs to be prepared for dealing with rather harsh wintry weather.

In the days before the Super Bowl the weather looks very cold, with snow possible.


This forecast is from the GFS data and will be updated as the data changes.


Thursday, January 16, 2014

Polar Vortex to Reinforce Extremes: Frigid East, Dry West

Polar Vortex to Reinforce Extremes: Frigid East, Dry West < click here.

Harsh winter conditions return next week to New York and New Jersey, weather forecast for Super Bowl

Next week will see a return of cold weather and maybe some snow as well.  Temps will be below freezing all day by the middle of the week.

Super Bowl Forecast
Partly cloudy, windy, snow  showers, temperatures 25 to 30 at kickoff.

The days leading up to the Super Bowl will be cold and probably snowy as well.  Expect snow on the ground and frigid temperatures that week.


PLEASE NOTE THIS IS MY OWN BEST GUESS AND NOT ANY OFFICIAL WEATHER FORECAST.  WE ARE definitely heading into a cold regime with multiple light to moderate snow threats.


Thanks to Wxrisk & DT, Steve Dimartino  at NYNJPAWEATHER.COM, ACCUWEATHER.COM !

And.......the National Weather Service too!

Friday, January 10, 2014

Area flood watch, no it is not another Gov. Christie political retribution. Or is it?

We have a lot of see saw weather ahead. Tomorrow is a flood watch for heavy rain combined with snow melt.  Even some river ice jams possible.  You might think that someone is up to no good with an anti global warming weather machine.  Make it look like a natural event but it really is somebody looking to cause a flood for retribution?  Only time will tell.

Jan. 17, 18 the deep freeze appears.  Watch for frozen pipe floods.  Check your heat and hot water systems.  Check with the Governor, just in case. Those Republicans get nasty when you do not do things their way.  If the GWB gets washed away along with your bathroom ceiling, well do not say you we're not warned.

What a vivid imagination.  I must see Walter Mitty.  Tap omertà, to pockets!, topoketa, that is.

Sometimes I hate spell check.  I would rather cast my own spell.

No, I won't shut up, or buy another Frankenphone.  So there!

This weekend: RAINFALL AMOUNTS FROM 1 1/2 TO 2 INCHES...WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS UP TO 2 1/2 INCHES IN AND NEAR THE HIGHER TERRAIN NORTH AND WEST OF NEW YORK CITY...IS LIKELY TO CAUSE SIGNIFICANT URBAN...LOW LYING AND POOR DRAINAGE FLOODING EARLY THIS WEEKEND. IN ADDITION TO URBAN AND POOR DRAINAGE FLOODING...FLASHY SMALL STREAM AND RIVER FLOODING IS POSSIBLE. CONDITIONS ARE ALSO FAVORABLE FOR ICE JAM FLOODING.


Wednesday, January 8, 2014

Super Bowl Weather Prediction

I do not know what it will be weather wise .  But I predict it will be the first and last Super Bowl for New Jersey.

Our infrastructure will struggle to handle the crowds and traffic.  The roads were being updated but they are not yet complete.  Traffic and mass transit headaches will make for a dubious Super Bowl debut for New Jersey.  Austerity and super are two incompatible concepts, yes?