AccuWeather.com - WeatherMatrix | Was U.S. Record Low Temperature of Minus 80 Broken in Alaska?

AccuWeather.com - WeatherMatrix | Was U.S. Record Low Temperature of Minus 80 Broken in Alaska?

AccuWeather.com - Brett Anderson | My Forecast for February

AccuWeather.com - Brett Anderson | My Forecast for February

No snow, far from it , until maybe next week.

There is simply a lack of cold air and any east coast cyclogenesis.  The models keep hinting at a colder and possibly snowier period after this weekend.  As for now, Spring has sprung.  Enjoy.  Put away your snow skis for now, at least.

February 9th. may be our last hope for a snowstorm? .

The Euro weeklies are out and predict a colder trend in 2,3, and 4 weeks from now.  The CPC is saying the same.  So, after the first week of February things will be more wintry around here.  The Euro is doing this for the first time this winter, all along it has insisted on a warm winter, until now.

AccuWeather.com - Elliot Abrams | Winter in the Shadows for Groundhog Day

AccuWeather.com - Elliot Abrams | Winter in the Shadows for Groundhog Day

Strong snow squalls approaching the Delaware river and may continue into NJ, after midnight.

****40 mph wind gusts, 1 to 2" snow, lightning reported.

For what it is worth, some long range speculation. I hesitate to call it a forecast because anything beyond 7 days is suspect, especially this winter! It refuses to turn cold and snowy.

Facebook

 ^Click on the link to find out if it will snow after Feb. 3rd.^

February 3rd to the 12th is the infamous "snow window" but, will it snow this year?  IF, this is right the Eastern US and Canada will be in a cold, snowy weather situation. The blue and purple colors represent cold temperatures.

But hey, look at the snow in Stowe, VT.  Looks nice but it is a very shallow snow cover.  Live shot.------->>

From DT at WxRisk.com and Facebook.

Cold Signal? Maybe.

The map above ( from University of Wyoming )  is of the stratosphere at the North Pole.  It has a much different appearance than a week ago and may mean a turn to colder in a week or so.  We shall see as this is a teleconnection. It does not influence our weather directly but it can foreshadow future weather patterns.  I believe that this represents a cross polar wind flow. Stay tuned.


EUROPE has turned dramatically colder and we may be next.  But then, we have seen such predictions of a pattern change all winter and none have proved out to be correct.  According to Blizz92 at Weatherunderground, it will get cold for about 5 days around February 7th., then, back to mild weather.  He does not see a pattern shift.


See other North Pole maps below.  (Click on home.)

Cool site for snowflakes!

Snow site from Cal. Tech.***** ( click here )

This is the best!http://www.its.caltech.edu/~atomic/snowcrystals/photos/photos.htm

Shared from AccuWeather.com

GFS indicating blocking high pressure over Greenland toward the end of January. Meaning cold and snowy weather is likely in New York, New Jersey, Pennsylvania, later this month. This week we get some mild weather, but not extreme warmth.

Photos: 1, Occupy Marines( wildlife art painting by Collin Bogle.)  2,3- Accuweather fan photos.

Mostly 3 to 6" snow on the way.

Saturday snow now looks more likely. The latest GFS model run is colder with more snow.

e-WALL : PSU ELECTRONIC MAP WALL

e-WALL : PSU ELECTRONIC MAP WALL

Every weather map you really will ever need.

Thursday night: Light Snow!

AccuWeather.com - Elliot Abrams | Saturday Storm: Snow or Rain?

AccuWeather.com - Elliot Abrams | Saturday Storm: Snow or Rain?

Elliot Abrams explains about the Polar Vortex at stratospheric levels and the changes it could mean for us.

Snow Saturday , light amounts due Saturday.

The big warm up looks like it has fallen apart for this weekend and next week.

Saranac Lake, NY: -23 below zero Monday, Jan. 16, 2012

Stowe, VT : -17 below zero.
Toms River, NJ  3 degrees above.

A wintry mixture of frozen precip. is falling this evening and tonight.  Light accumulations possible.  Rain Tuesday. 

SKI REPORT, STOWE, VT.  Trapp Lodge

Martin Luther King Day!

January 16th 7:20 AM

Powder! 60k Best skiing of the year!
It is a cold start to the day - only -15 degrees.  It is expected to warm up with sun to about 25 above.  The classic skiing will still be the best of the year!  The wax is Green - about as easy as it gets.  There has been almost a foot of new snow since Thursday and all 60 kilometers are open.  The skiing is terrific!   Good job Alex!

Major warm spell begins January 21.

The next warm spell next weekend will be long lasting , probably about a week long.  A large storm in Canada will help to pull up warm air along the east coast.  Thanks to DT, Nick S., and Henry Margusity.

AccuWeather.com - Meteo Madness | Snow Map for the Snow Monday into Tuesday

AccuWeather.com - Meteo Madness | Snow Map for the Snow Monday into Tuesday

Frozen precip. in the forecast late Monday. Light amounts expected.

Mild Winter Sends Natural Gas Prices on a Downward Trend

Mild Winter Sends Natural Gas Prices on a Downward Trend

Ingredients on Deck for Historic Seattle Snowstorm

Ingredients on Deck for Historic Seattle Snowstorm

Warm ups ahead!

Tuesday will be a mild with showers but then cool down again.

Next weekend will begin a warmer and longer lasting mild spell.  The arctic blasts will be defeated once again.

I usually like to blog on the next snowstorm, but this winter has no snowstorms in sight, so far.  This could change in February, maybe.

CowBell

DT at WxRisk throws in the towel. No big change to cold and snowy. Nope, it won't happen. A mild winter will be the trend for the East Coast.

But, very cold this weekend, then milder early next week, followed by another cold shot, later.

The meteorology blogger, Blizz'92, at WeatherUnderground, also expects no pattern change and hence we will continue an East Coast, mostly mild, winter.

I give up on the cold and snowy scenario as well.  By the time the change happens it might as well be Spring.

Cockapoo Puppies in Their First Snow in Iowa

Cockapoo Puppies in Their First Snow in Iowa

Switch to colder pattern will be temporary, still more mild weather to come in January. NEW! Stowe, Vermont Snow Cam.

Mt. Mansfield should get 6 to 12" by Saturday.

What has been going on this winter?

      We have been under the influence of La Nina, a very large pool of cold water in the Pacific.  Also factoring in are the Indian Ocean which is warm, and some cold water near Greenland.  All this has caused the jet stream to ride further north than usual.  Although there are predictions of a switch to a colder pattern, it has been very slow to show up.  The remainder of January still has some mild weather in it.  But this weekend will be colder, noticeably so.

Last winter we had a negative NAO which is a large blocking high pressure near Greenland.  This forces cold air south, toward the Eastern Seaboard.  It is not there this year, so far.  So, no snow.

Stormy followed by more wintry conditions on Friday.

Although Friday will feature very windy weather and plunging temperatures, there are no major snow accumulations in sight.  A flash freeze and a snow coating might occur Friday.  This weekend will be much colder with a moderating trend next week.

AccuWeather.com - Elliot Abrams | A Jolt of January

AccuWeather.com - Elliot Abrams | A Jolt of January

AccuWeather.com - Meteo Madness | Give it a Few Weeks for Winter to Really Kick in!

AccuWeather.com - Meteo Madness | Give it a Few Weeks for Winter to Really Kick in!

Winter returns on the long range.

In 144 hours, winter will be back, according to the GFS.  Thanks to DT at WxRisk.com.

The Much Talked About Pattern Change Remains Just talk.

But there is a small chance for a little snow Monday in the New York Metro area weather , away from the coast.  A cold rain is more likely.

Pattern Change Ahead About Jan. 15- Get ready for Winter!

As I check the various blogs, consensus is building for a colder and snowier pattern to set up the middle of January.  You might think of Tuesday and Wednesday of this week as a preview of what is to come.  Here are a few who see a change probably shaping up.  DT at WxRisk, Henry M. at AccuWeather, Steve D. at NYNJPA Weather, Earthlight at American Weather Forum, Accuweather.com itself on the main page, JB at Weatherbell.
A big storm may hit next week but will more likely be rain near the coast.  After that the cold may set in full force.

Joe Bastardi at Weatherbell looks for a major arctic outbreak in January, 3rd. week.


This Saturday:  50 degrees.

Henry Margusity at Accuweather reports that the Euro brings in colder air Jan. 13th.   Colder than now he says!

A widely followed British forecaster predicts massive snows Jan. 11 to 14 in the Eastern US.  fwiiw.

Snow in the future? Maybe!

Looking over the blogs and long range GFS and ECMWF we have a chance at our first snow between January 10th to 14th.

The warm pattern will return but there are some signs that the pattern will shift to colder in late January and February.  So we may getting into a late winter snow pattern.  Meteorologists consider the months of Dec., Jan., and Feb., as the winter season.  So the 2nd half of winter may be quite a change from the first very mild portion.

  It is well known from climatology. that February is the New York City Metro areas snowiest time period, anyway.

The weather will always surprise you.  Let's see what happens.

Henry M. at Accuweather, Steve D. at NY,NJ PA Weather, Joe B.  at Weatherbell, all are looking for a change coming up.