As of 9 pm it now looks like there is at least partial agreement that we will see mostly snow on Sat. I would guess several inches accumulation. The timing of the snow is in doubt. The amount is greater in a modest way. Does 3 or 4 inches of snow strike terror into you?
I-80 has been the rain/snow dividing line for quite some time now and will most likely continue. Give or take 25 miles. What is 25 miles among friends?
Such a scenario has appeared before, in the last several weeks, only to have mush, instead of all snow. We really need a big pattern change for a big snow and that does not seem likely, soon enough, for Saturday to turn into a biggie.
In the Wayne area, untreated pavement held ice cover all through the day Wednesday, despite above freezing temps. and hours of plain rain. Only a short distance away most of the ice melted.
A sharp cold snap is likely next week. After Inauguration Day, a mild spell is due. Just before the Inauguration a snowstorm could occur but only if You Think Snow!
WEATHER SPEAK
Here are some of the better known computer models:
GFS global forecast system
ECMWF european center for medium range weather forecasts
ETA model developed for east coast storms
NGM nested grid model
NAM don't know
AVN aviation
RUC rapid update cycle
The information above is probably correct but do not count on it.
MOOSE REPORT
He doesn't forecast anything more than one day ahead. Smart dog!
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