Wednesday, February 10, 2010

It may not look so bad Wednesday morning, but wait until you see what happens.

THE INFAMOUS NEW YORK CITY SNOW WINDOW WILL OPEN WIDE ON WEDNESDAY!

THIS IS THE WINTER PREDICTED BY JOE BASTARDI LAST OCTOBER at Accuweather.com. And, he was among the very first to sound the alarm, about our current storm many days ago. Today, he warns us that yet another snow may come next week, perhaps. Henry Margusity his colleague, is at once ecstatic and offering sobering advice on exercising caution with this storm. Even snow lovers can get too much of a good thing.

We will all be calling it a blizzard even though it may not fully meet all the technical details. In a blizzard, you just can"t see where you are heading, the actual amount of snow on the ground may not be that great. Blowing and drifting snow will bring low visibility.

About one foot of snow will be common but some areas will reach 15 to 20 inches. Exactly where that occurs, will become known later Wednesday. If you hear thunder , you are probably in the heavy snow band.

Winds will be strong in gusts especially in coastal areas. Damage to power lines will occur in places.

Fortunately, we won't have very low temperatures but the wind chill will be quite uncomfortable

UPDATES:

8:30 am most snow, Clark,NJ 4 inches.
Reports of very heavy snow in PA
Virginia had wind gust to 60 mph
Numerous 40 mph gusts

9;30 am
Satellite images show an approaching upper level vortex from the west. When it reaches the coast, that is when the real snow will begin.

Moose did not even ask to go out, but I took him out at 9am anyway. Unprecedented for Moose.

We just received the first punch and the second punch is on the way. Do not be deceived by a lull.

Southeast PA 10 inches new snow on the ground. ( as if they need it.)

Forecast maps give the impression that a developing low just off NJ coast will be slow to move out, at first, thus the heavy snow as the low strengthens.

10:00 oh no! A clipper like snowstorm appears next week and brings even more snow. BUT sometime the GFS is only kidding. Maybe it won't happen.

11:00 western PA has temps in the teens and this cold air is headed this way, thus the blizzard warnings, Harrisburg PA, 14 inches new snow, so far. Ballooner territory about 4 inches now.


Trenton area has a dry spot. Some areas have sleet and freezing rain. This is temporary.

Just some speculation on my part, if the cold air over western PA marches toward us ,that would be a worst case scenario.

Warm moist air to the east, cold air intruding from the west as the low intensifies, something like the Blizzard of 1888. It was raining over Long Island, while there were near zero temps over NJ and NY in that most famous of all blizzards. It caused New York City to realize that a subway transportation system would be a life saver.

Nah! Never happen! But it will get worse, that is certain.

Hey! At 11:30 it almost stopped snowing. What a gyp!

11:45 am the heaviest band of snow is over Warren County,NJ extending west and south through PA. Not where expected. We will have to watch the movement of this heavy snow band carefully.

12:15 Barometric pressure is crashing at Cape May. This is consistent with forecasts.

12:23 thunder snow in southeast PA!
The snow bomb is going to detonate! Falling temps expected here later.
Heavy snow band along I-81 corridor in PA.
Lodi, NJ 6 inches, Roselle 7, Hawthorne 5,

Philadelphia is the bullseye, the National Weather Service calls for 18-24 inches there. But it is snowing well into NY state as well. Many Nj locations will get near 20 inches near the "waist" of NJ.

1:00 a heavy snow band from Allentown to Philadelphia is crossing the Delaware river, into NJ

2:00 moderate to heavy snow, windy. Fog.28 degrees
Heavy snow band seen on radar Ocean County. Runs from Ocean City to Trenton
18 inches in SE PA
The storm center is visible on radar just east of Atlantic City.

4:30 pm the storm center has begun to move out into the Atlantic. The snow is not over, it will remain heavy in some areas especially central and southern NJ. Other areas may see the snow fall with less intensity.
There are many hours of snow ahead.
FORECAST FROM EARLIER BELOW.

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