The storm may arrive on the 25th , Friday. It will be fast moving and is not likely to produce very deep snows. Most places will be closer to the 3 to 6 inch range. The sooner the storm moves in, the less likely that there would be rain with it.
Nat. Weather service: 4" Friday, 3" more Fri. night. Snow showers Saturday.
From DT @ Wxrisk.com and Facebook.
The afternoon data has SPLIT and do NOT agree. The GFS Model shows 2 Lows... the 1st one tracks though PA and north of NYC which pulls up warm air from NC to NYC and CT... and rain. The front stalls on the East coast and 2nd low forms which forces the rain to snow over NC VA MD DE NJ eastern PA and NYC and se New england. Behind this systems a NEW blast of arctic cold air. The GFS says the rain MIGHT end as snow .
The 12z EURO ..whch usually excels in this time frame... keeps the same over all set up and track from the previous model run...so the Model appears to be developing CONSISTENCY. The 12z Saturday EURO which came out at 145pm keeps the low MUCH further south vs the GFS so again COLD air from the Great Lakes builds in NY WVA PA MD and VA. and this keeps the precip snow over central and Northern VA WVA MD DE PA NJ NYC and southern New England. For snow lovers the 0z and 12Z euro solutions are the BEST and it would bring several inches to snow starved northern half of VA MD and DE into southeast PA. For Central and southwest VA this might be an snow to ICE event .
http://mysite.verizon.net/vze1aqbof/sitebuildercontent/sitebuilderpictures/12ZECMWFJAN19.jpg
For snow lovers the 0z and 12Z euro solutions are the BEST and it would bring several inches to snow starved northern half of VA MD and DE into southeast PA. Behind this Low a HUGE blast of arctic air comes in... even colder than what we will see JAN 20-21-22-23.http://mysite.verizon.net/vze1aqbof/sitebuildercontent/sitebuilderpictures/12ZEURDAY8.jpg
Nat. Weather service: 4" Friday, 3" more Fri. night. Snow showers Saturday.
From DT @ Wxrisk.com and Facebook.
The afternoon data has SPLIT and do NOT agree. The GFS Model shows 2 Lows... the 1st one tracks though PA and north of NYC which pulls up warm air from NC to NYC and CT... and rain. The front stalls on the East coast and 2nd low forms which forces the rain to snow over NC VA MD DE NJ eastern PA and NYC and se New england. Behind this systems a NEW blast of arctic cold air. The GFS says the rain MIGHT end as snow .
The 12z EURO ..whch usually excels in this time frame... keeps the same over all set up and track from the previous model run...so the Model appears to be developing CONSISTENCY. The 12z Saturday EURO which came out at 145pm keeps the low MUCH further south vs the GFS so again COLD air from the Great Lakes builds in NY WVA PA MD and VA. and this keeps the precip snow over central and Northern VA WVA MD DE PA NJ NYC and southern New England. For snow lovers the 0z and 12Z euro solutions are the BEST and it would bring several inches to snow starved northern half of VA MD and DE into southeast PA. For Central and southwest VA this might be an snow to ICE event .
http://mysite.verizon.net/vze1aqbof/sitebuildercontent/sitebuilderpictures/12ZECMWFJAN19.jpg
For snow lovers the 0z and 12Z euro solutions are the BEST and it would bring several inches to snow starved northern half of VA MD and DE into southeast PA. Behind this Low a HUGE blast of arctic air comes in... even colder than what we will see JAN 20-21-22-23.http://mysite.verizon.net/vze1aqbof/sitebuildercontent/sitebuilderpictures/12ZEURDAY8.jpg
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