Monday, December 20, 2010

"Alaska Clipper" may slam NJ this weekend...yes, probably. Our best shot so far, this season. A real White Christmas?

I gave the storm that name, I think it fits.  Things look good because this is a vigorous system, traveling a more northerly path, ;and the forecast model runs have had less wobble and waffling than is usually the case.  The storm will enter the USA near San Francisco.  If this holds together until Wednesday, then we can expect a snowy Christmas Weekend.

As is usual, there are a number of ways for the expected storm to unravel, so getting to the Wednesday afternoon forecast is critical.  Think snow.

Monday 7 am update:
Euro model shows widespread 12 inch + snowstorm this weekend. May begin Christmas Eve.
Monday noon:  Still on track but some wobble in some models.  Waiting for 2 pm Euro.
12 Z Euro shows strong coastal storm but later in the weekend
3 pm:
We have to wait until Wed. or Thurs. to figure this one out.  3 to 6 inch snow is the most likely outcome so far.  A complete miss is unlikely as is a big blizzard.

2378

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