A better picture of what will happen this weekend.

10:56 am UPDATE


I have to go with snow likely on Sunday, with central and southern NJ getting the most snow.  The latest GFS brings the storm closer in toward us, hence snow is more likely now.  How much????


I think that we can discard the idea of a major snowstorm for northern NJ. Coastal and southern NJ could see several inches.  But, there will be snow in the air Sunday.


The various computer models have been inconsistent and it still continues that way.
                                                                                                             
Early morning Thursday update:


Right now, a near miss is the most likely outcome for Sun. Dec. 19th.  The coast would see some snow, and the interior areas little if any.


 Later today, around lunchtime, there should be a more certain outlook on what will happen Sunday.  Forecast models are all over the board right now.


 Another, smaller storm may occur a couple days later.  If at first, you don't succeed, try, try, again.


Snow day probability for Monday: 50% ( revised Thursday afternoon )


2155